Biographical

Portrait of Braden Shipley

Braden Shipley P  

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D-backs Player Cards | D-backs Team Audit | D-backs Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
34.7 5.57 1.60 22 2 3 0 -0.4
Birth Date2-22-1992
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age22 years, 8 months, 0 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2013 SBN A 4 4 20.7 4.92 94 .243 .249 .315 .362 .252 .218 101 1.4 0.1 1.4 0.1
2013 YAK A- 8 8 19.0 3.65 112 .345 .249 .331 .347 .272 .475 98 4.2 0.5 4.2 0.5
2014 SBN A 8 8 45.7 3.92 112 .253 .260 .325 .375 .266 .336 97 5.8 0.6 5.8 0.6
2014 VIS A+ 10 10 60.3 5.47 91 .263 .274 .341 .432 .278 .336 103 6.5 0.7 6.5 0.7
2014 MOB AA 4 4 20.0 5.40 71 .256 .241 .310 .363 .257 .216 95 -0.5 -0.1 0.7 0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2013 SBN A 0 1 0 4 4 20.7 14 8 16 2 46% .218 6.1 3.5 0.9 7.0 1.06 2.61 1.4 0.1
2013 YAK A- 0 2 0 8 8 19.0 30 6 24 1 44% .475 14.2 2.8 0.5 11.4 1.89 7.58 4.2 0.5
2014 MOB AA 1 2 0 4 4 20.0 14 10 18 3 56% .216 6.3 4.5 1.4 8.1 1.20 3.60 0.7 0.1
2014 VIS A+ 2 4 0 10 10 60.3 57 21 68 7 46% .336 8.5 3.1 1.0 10.1 1.29 4.03 6.5 0.7
2014 SBN A 4 2 0 8 8 45.7 46 11 41 1 47% .336 9.1 2.2 0.2 8.1 1.25 3.74 5.8 0.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-13 2014-08-23 Minors 10 0 Right Fingers Blister Index Finger -
2014-04-03 2014-04-17 Minors 14 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 3.6 4.1 0 15 15 56.8 48 22 36 6 .264 1.23 4.05 4.4 5.1 0.5
80o 2.9 3.8 0 13 13 48.8 45 21 31 5 .282 1.35 4.54 4.94 1.4 0.1
70o 2.5 3.6 0 11 11 43.3 43 20 28 5 .296 1.44 4.91 5.34 -0.6 -0.1
60o 2.1 3.4 0 10 10 38.7 40 19 25 5 .308 1.52 5.23 5.69 -2.0 -0.2
50o 1.8 3.2 0 9 9 34.6 38 18 22 5 .319 1.60 5.54 6.02 -3.0 -0.3
40o 1.5 2.9 0 8 8 30.6 35 16 20 4 .330 1.68 5.86 6.37 -3.7 -0.4
30o 1.3 2.6 0 7 7 26.4 32 15 17 4 .342 1.77 6.21 6.75 -4.2 -0.4
20o 1 2.3 0 6 6 21.7 28 13 14 3 .356 1.88 6.63 7.2 -4.3 -0.4
10o 0.6 1.8 0 4 4 15.6 22 10 10 3 .376 2.04 7.23 7.86 -4.0 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.8309933.43617224.3151.585.485.96-2.7-0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2015235902929177190841302343.3241.555.305.769.74.36.61.2-1.7
2016245802626152154661151943.3141.444.735.149.13.96.81.1-0.4
2017255702626152148651151943.3061.404.534.938.83.96.81.1-0.1
2018265702424142138581071743.3061.384.454.848.83.76.81.10.1
2019275702323135133581051543.3121.414.574.978.93.97.01.0-0.1
2020285602222132131541031643.3121.404.514.908.93.77.01.1-0.0
202129460212112211847941443.3071.354.274.648.73.56.91.00.3
202230460212112111746931443.3051.354.254.628.73.46.91.00.4
202331450191911310943871343.3051.344.284.658.73.46.91.00.3

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.3out of baseball3.93.80.8out of baseball8.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 92)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Pedro Guerra 2012 0.00 DNP
2 95 Elisaul Pimentel 2011 0.00 DNP
3 95 Nicholas Carr 2009 0.00 DNP
4 95 Jeff Ferrell 2013 0.00 DNP
5 94 Ricky Romero 2007 0.00 DNP
6 94 Leonel Santiago 2012 0.00 DNP
7 94 Jo-Jo Reyes 2007 6.93
8 94 Nik Turley 2012 0.00 DNP
9 94 Ramon Garcia 2007 0.00 DNP
10 94 Murphy Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
11 94 Daniel Guerrero 2008 0.00 DNP
12 94 Tyler Wilson 2012 0.00 DNP
13 94 Thomas Collier 2012 0.00 DNP
14 94 Jose A. Ramirez 2012 0.00 DNP
15 93 Bryan Mitchell 2013 0.00 DNP
16 93 James Houser 2007 0.00 DNP
17 93 Todd Redmond 2007 0.00 DNP
18 93 Yeiper Castillo 2011 0.00 DNP
19 93 Blake Wood 2008 0.00 DNP
20 93 Drake Britton 2011 0.00 DNP
21 93 Charlie Furbush 2008 0.00 DNP
22 93 Egan Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
23 93 Erik Cabrera 2013 0.00 DNP
24 93 Jeff Locke 2010 0.00 DNP
25 92 Colin Kleven 2013 0.00 DNP
26 92 Juri Perez 2013 0.00 DNP
27 92 Angel Baez 2013 0.00 DNP
28 92 Mike Wright 2012 0.00 DNP
29 92 James Adkins 2008 0.00 DNP
30 92 Manuel Soliman 2012 0.00 DNP
31 92 Robert Bundy 2012 0.00 DNP
32 92 Jose Arias 2013 0.00 DNP
33 92 Kevin Eichhorn 2012 0.00 DNP
34 92 Lucas Luetge 2009 0.00 DNP
35 92 Josh Outman 2007 0.00 DNP
36 92 Bryan Morris 2009 0.00 DNP
37 92 Brett Wallach 2011 0.00 DNP
38 92 Adam Wilk 2010 0.00 DNP
39 92 Jesus Sanchez 2010 0.00 DNP
40 92 Matt Thompson 2012 0.00 DNP
41 92 Gustavo Gomez 2013 0.00 DNP
42 92 Bobby Hansen 2012 0.00 DNP
43 92 Parker Markel 2013 0.00 DNP
44 92 Dan Straily 2011 0.00 DNP
45 92 Ben Snyder 2008 0.00 DNP
46 92 Brett Lorin 2009 0.00 DNP
47 92 Michael Belfiore 2011 0.00 DNP
48 92 Robert Morey 2011 0.00 DNP
49 91 Daniel Tuttle 2013 0.00 DNP
50 91 Alex Colome 2011 0.00 DNP
51 91 Ryan Pressly 2011 0.00 DNP
52 91 Kyle Kaminska 2011 0.00 DNP
53 91 Clint Everts 2007 0.00 DNP
54 91 J.C. Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
55 91 Shane Greene 2011 0.00 DNP
56 91 Carlos Alvarado 2012 0.00 DNP
57 91 Miguel Munoz 2011 0.00 DNP
58 91 Mario Hollands 2011 0.00 DNP
59 91 Austin Kirk 2012 0.00 DNP
60 91 Joseph Colon 2012 0.00 DNP
61 91 Paul Demny 2012 0.00 DNP
62 91 Rudy Owens 2010 0.00 DNP
63 91 Alexander Smit 2008 0.00 DNP
64 91 Manuel Rivera 2012 0.00 DNP
65 91 Colin Rea 2013 0.00 DNP
66 91 Nick Maronde 2012 1.50
67 91 Jose Rosario 2013 0.00 DNP
68 91 Josue Carreno 2013 0.00 DNP
69 91 Edgar Garcia 2010 0.00 DNP
70 90 Lisalverto Bonilla 2012 0.00 DNP
71 90 Mike Rayl 2011 0.00 DNP
72 90 Daryl Thompson 2008 6.91
73 90 Nick Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
74 90 Jhonny Nunez 2008 0.00 DNP
75 90 Anthony Capra 2009 0.00 DNP
76 90 Matthew Andriese 2012 0.00 DNP
77 90 Richard Sullivan 2009 0.00 DNP
78 90 Tim Berry 2013 0.00 DNP
79 90 Chad Rodgers 2010 0.00 DNP
80 90 Leondy Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
81 90 Tommy Milone 2009 0.00 DNP
82 90 Kyle Lobstein 2012 0.00 DNP
83 90 Hector Hernandez 2013 0.00 DNP
84 90 Jeff Ames 2013 0.00 DNP
85 90 Duane Below 2008 0.00 DNP
86 90 Starlin Peralta 2013 0.00 DNP
87 90 Radhames Quezada 2013 0.00 DNP
88 90 John Lannan 2007 4.41
89 90 Zachary Neal 2011 0.00 DNP
90 90 Leandro Cespedes 2009 0.00 DNP
91 90 Chad Bettis 2011 0.00 DNP
92 90 Misaul Diaz 2012 0.00 DNP
93 90 Cody Anderson 2013 0.00 DNP
94 90 Tyler Herron 2009 0.00 DNP
95 90 Nicholas Lee 2013 0.00 DNP
96 90 Yoervis Medina 2011 0.00 DNP
97 90 Rainy Lara 2013 0.00 DNP
98 90 Brennan Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
99 90 Tony Butler 2010 0.00 DNP
100 90 Zach Russell 2012 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).

BP Articles

Braden Shipley is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: September 15, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 12Jeff Moore2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Our Top 50 Dynasty League ProspectsBen Carsley2014-08-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 6Jeff Moore2014-08-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 30Jeff Moore2014-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTop 50 Dynasty League Prospects: Midseason UpdateBret Sayre2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium access2014 Futures Game Preview: Scouting the U.S. TeamRon Shah2014-07-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 8Jeff Moore2014-07-09
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP Top 50: The Best Midseason ProspectsJason Parks2014-07-07
Eyewitness Accounts: June 26, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: Futures Team Meet and Greet: USACraig Goldstein2014-06-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: June 23, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-06-23
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Ron Shah2014-06-10
The 2013 Redraft: How Much Has Changed?Baseball Prospectus2014-06-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Profiling Alex ReyesCraig Goldstein2014-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, May 21Jeff Moore2014-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of May 16-18Jeff Moore2014-05-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneBen Carsley2014-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: The U25 Top 150, Part OneCraig Goldstein2014-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, May 5Jeff Moore2014-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 24Jeff Moore2014-04-25
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, April 17Jeff Moore2014-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: Prospects We're Most Excited to See This YearBP Prospect Staff2014-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: Prospects We're Most Excited to See This YearJason Parks2014-04-07
BP Top 101 Prospects: Opening Day AssignmentsRon Shah2014-04-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsCraig Goldstein2014-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty Dynamics: NL West Under-25 RankingsBen Carsley2014-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: NL West 2014 Preseason PreviewDaniel Rathman2014-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: NL West 2014 Preseason PreviewRussell A. Carleton2014-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Slider/Changeup/CommandBP Prospect Staff2014-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessTop Tools: Best Slider/Changeup/CommandMark Anderson2014-03-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomBP Prospect Staff2014-03-03
25-and-Under Talent Rankings: Ranking All 30 Teams from Top to BottomJason Parks2014-03-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 5-7Baseball Prospectus2014-01-31
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-27
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Top 101 ProspectsBP Prospect Staff2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedRob McQuown2014-01-27
The Top 101 Prospects of 2014: Sliced and DicedMauricio Rubio2014-01-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Arizona Diamondbacks Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: The Top 50 2013 Signees for Dynasty DraftsBret Sayre2014-01-09


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark, where do you see the ETA for Diamondback hurlers Braden Shipley and Aaron Blair? Also, are the mid rotation to back end guys or a chance for more?
(Brett from New Jersey)
Shipley is showing the stuff and enough polish to move very quickly through the system and could reach the big leagues late next year, though 2016 is more likely. Blair is squarely in the 2016 time frame for me. Shipley has a much higher ceiling and be a #2 if he can put it all together; Blair has the type of ceiling you noted. (Mark Anderson)
2014-06-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Higher upside - Henry Owens or Braden Shipley? See either one making an ace level leap anytime soon?
(John from LA)
Braden Shipley, whom I could be seeing next week, has the higher upside by far. (Ron Shah)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any word on Braden Shipley? Heard he has biceps tendonitis. Is that serious? TJ? I see him as a solid #2 to Archie. What do you think?
(tsweber from Reno)
Big fan of Shipley. Dig the stuff and the delivery - he stays back a little bit more than I would like, but the balance+posture are excellent. Tendinitis can be a bit of a wild card, as we don't know the root of the inflammation, and biceps tendinitis can have implications for elbow and shoulder. The D'Backs will be wise to stay cautious in order to avoid the risk of cascade injury (detecting a theme in this chat), and with careful management the minor setback will just be a speed bump in his development. I am not too concerned, so I think that we can back off the TJ ledge.

On the jukebox: Warren G, "Regulators" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. In your opinion, which hitter and pitcher, outside of the top 50, have the highest ceilings?
(cracker73 from Florida )
Alex Reyes, Jose Martinez, Braden Shipley, and Hunter Harvey on the pitching side; Nick Williams, Raimel Tapia, and David Dahl on the positional side of the ball. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)Name game time! Outside of the top 50 prospects, give me 2 pitchers and 2 hitters you think are going to be well within the top 50 by this time next year!
(vegetto712 from Florida)
David Dahl and Josh Bell with the stick; Alex Reyes and Braden Shipley with the arm (Jason Parks)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of a ceiling do you see for Braden Shipley? Could he be a role 6/#2 starter?
(Mark from Arizona)
That may be his ultimate ceiling, but he's probably more of a High-5, #3 starter, which is still really good. (Mark Anderson)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Top 5 dynasty prospects from this past draft?
(John from My basement)
Off the top of my head: Bryant, Frazier, Gray, Stewart, Appel. The fifth one was tough for me. I also really like JP Crawford, Braden Shipley, Hunter Harvey and Reese McGuire. The first four I'm a little more confident on. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)More promising potential: Braden Shipley or Hunter Harvey?
(Alex from Denver)
I'd take Harvey's ceiling, but also high on Shipley. (Jason Parks)
2013-10-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which prospect will breakout next year?
(Cards from St. Louis)
Braden Shipley; Hunter Harvey; Edwin Diaz; Chi Chi Gonzalez

Just to name a few (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Braden Shipley has thrown 11 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system in 2014, including pitches thrown in . In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph), also mixing in a Curve (81mph) and Change (86mph).