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Reynaldo Lopez P  

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Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
33.7 6.18 1.74 18 2 2 0 -0.6
Birth Date1-4-1994
Height6' 0"
Weight185 lbs
Age20 years, 9 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.62014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 DWA Rk 5 0 10.7 5.89 88 .318 .246 .337 .343 .256 .367 108 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2013 HAG A 1 1 4.0 6.71 41 .398 .234 .314 .335 .254 .500 93 -0.9 -0.1 -0.9 -0.1
2013 AUB A- 1 1 1.3 5.93 69 .560 .293 .347 .407 .272 .636 110 -0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0
2014 HAG A 9 9 47.3 3.68 124 .169 .262 .329 .374 .261 .211 104 9.8 1.0 9.8 1.0
2014 AUB A- 7 7 36.0 4.10 102 .177 .239 .301 .333 .245 .167 93 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 DWA Rk 1 1 1 5 0 10.7 12 5 9 1 39% .367 10.1 4.2 0.8 7.6 1.59 3.38 0.1 0.0
2013 HAG A 0 0 0 1 1 4.0 8 1 4 1 53% .500 18.0 2.2 2.2 9.0 2.25 6.75 -0.9 -0.1
2013 AUB A- 0 1 0 1 1 1.3 7 0 0 0 64% .636 47.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.25 47.25 -0.1 -0.0
2014 AUB A- 3 2 0 7 7 36.0 15 15 31 0 62% .167 3.8 3.8 0.0 7.8 0.83 0.75 2.9 0.3
2014 HAG A 4 1 0 9 9 47.3 27 11 39 1 65% .211 5.1 2.1 0.2 7.4 0.80 1.33 9.8 1.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 1.7 0.8 23 4 55.0 51 23 29 6 .273 1.34 4.55 4.95 -0.3 -0.0
80o 1.7 1.5 0.6 19 4 47.3 48 22 25 5 .291 1.47 5.06 5.5 -2.6 -0.3
70o 1.5 1.4 0.5 17 3 42.0 45 20 22 5 .305 1.56 5.44 5.91 -3.8 -0.4
60o 1.3 1.3 0.4 15 3 37.6 42 19 20 5 .316 1.64 5.77 6.27 -4.6 -0.5
50o 1.1 1.2 0.4 14 3 33.6 40 18 18 4 .327 1.72 6.09 6.62 -5.1 -0.5
40o 0.9 1.1 0.3 12 2 29.8 37 17 16 4 .338 1.81 6.42 6.98 -5.4 -0.5
30o 0.8 1 0.3 11 2 25.8 34 15 14 4 .350 1.90 6.78 7.37 -5.4 -0.6
20o 0.6 0.8 0.2 9 2 21.3 30 13 11 3 .364 2.02 7.21 7.84 -5.3 -0.5
10o 0.4 0.6 0.1 6 1 15.3 23 10 8 3 .384 2.19 7.84 8.52 -4.6 -0.5
Weighted Mean1.11.20.413332.53817174.3241.706.036.56-4.7-0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201521221345879538581145.3191.525.185.639.83.96.01.1-0.7
201622221366929437601145.3051.434.745.159.23.65.91.1-0.2
20172322130576763052845.3081.404.534.929.03.66.21.00.0
20182422129475793051945.3181.464.865.289.53.66.11.1-0.3
20192522128472752849845.3141.444.755.169.43.56.21.0-0.2
20202622130576782855945.3131.394.534.929.23.36.51.10.0
20212722131579792859945.3111.354.264.639.03.26.71.00.3
20222822132581802760945.3101.334.134.488.93.06.71.00.4
20232922132581802760945.3101.334.144.508.93.06.71.00.4

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseball1.6out of baseballout of baseball2.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 90)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Evan Grills 2012 0.00 DNP
2 96 Richard Alvarez 2013 0.00 DNP
3 95 JR Morillo 2012 0.00 DNP
4 95 Seon Gi Kim 2012 0.00 DNP
5 95 Kevin Siegrist 2010 0.00 DNP
6 94 Genison Reyes 2012 0.00 DNP
7 94 Jade Todd 2010 0.00 DNP
8 94 Pedro Diaz 2013 0.00 DNP
9 94 Baudilio Lopez 2011 0.00 DNP
10 94 Fabio Castillo 2009 0.00 DNP
11 94 Ryan Weber 2011 0.00 DNP
12 94 Luis Parra 2012 0.00 DNP
13 93 Jarlin Garcia 2013 0.00 DNP
14 93 Yao-Lin Wang 2011 0.00 DNP
15 93 Jorge Lopez 2013 0.00 DNP
16 93 Brooks Pounders 2011 0.00 DNP
17 93 Rafael Dolis 2008 0.00 DNP
18 92 Trey McNutt 2010 0.00 DNP
19 92 Dovydas Neverauskas 2013 0.00 DNP
20 92 Miguel Almonte 2013 0.00 DNP
21 92 Yordano Ventura 2011 0.00 DNP
22 92 Marcus Jensen 2012 0.00 DNP
23 91 Alexis Paredes 2012 0.00 DNP
24 91 Christian Meza 2011 0.00 DNP
25 91 Miguel Chalas 2012 0.00 DNP
26 91 Myles Jaye 2012 0.00 DNP
27 91 Orlando Castro 2012 0.00 DNP
28 91 Richard Zumaya 2010 0.00 DNP
29 91 Kelvin Vasquez 2013 0.00 DNP
30 91 Wander Suero 2012 0.00 DNP
31 91 Evan Rutckyj 2012 0.00 DNP
32 91 Daury Torrez 2013 0.00 DNP
33 91 Sebastian Vader 2012 0.00 DNP
34 91 James Pugliese 2013 0.00 DNP
35 91 Zachary Fuesser 2011 0.00 DNP
36 91 Luis Morel 2013 0.00 DNP
37 90 Colton Pitkin 2010 0.00 DNP
38 90 Matt Hoffman 2009 0.00 DNP
39 90 Casey Sadler 2011 0.00 DNP
40 90 Jeffry Antigua 2010 0.00 DNP
41 90 Raynel Velette 2011 0.00 DNP
42 90 Carlos Pimentel 2010 0.00 DNP
43 90 Brett Gerritse 2011 0.00 DNP
44 90 Tyler Cravy 2010 0.00 DNP
45 90 Daniel Corcino 2011 0.00 DNP
46 90 Arismendy Ozoria 2011 0.00 DNP
47 89 Michael Feliz 2013 0.00 DNP
48 89 Brett Oberholtzer 2010 0.00 DNP
49 89 Doug Salinas 2009 0.00 DNP
50 89 Jeff Lyman 2007 0.00 DNP
51 89 Clario Perez 2013 0.00 DNP
52 89 Domingo German 2013 0.00 DNP
53 89 Alexander Claudio 2012 0.00 DNP
54 89 Anthony Ferrara 2010 0.00 DNP
55 88 Josh Hodges 2011 0.00 DNP
56 88 Ryan Searle 2009 0.00 DNP
57 88 Yeiper Castillo 2009 0.00 DNP
58 88 Carlos Vazquez 2012 0.00 DNP
59 88 Michael Blazek 2009 0.00 DNP
60 88 Efrain Nieves 2010 0.00 DNP
61 88 Leondy Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
62 88 Jorge Rodriguez 2012 0.00 DNP
63 88 Matt Mitchell 2009 0.00 DNP
64 88 Maverick Lasker 2010 0.00 DNP
65 88 Andrew Bellatti 2012 0.00 DNP
66 88 Jhonathan Ramos 2010 0.00 DNP
67 88 Keivi Rojas 2013 0.00 DNP
68 88 Juan Marcano 2011 0.00 DNP
69 88 Ranfi Casimiro 2013 0.00 DNP
70 88 Dennis Neuman 2010 0.00 DNP
71 88 Matthew Spann 2011 0.00 DNP
72 88 Pablo Menchaca 2008 0.00 DNP
73 88 Su-Min Jung 2010 0.00 DNP
74 87 Joel Bender 2012 0.00 DNP
75 87 Austin Brice 2012 0.00 DNP
76 87 Zach McAllister 2008 0.00 DNP
77 87 Enny Romero 2011 0.00 DNP
78 87 Jackson Quezada 2007 0.00 DNP
79 87 Nicholas Tyson 2008 0.00 DNP
80 87 Anthony Fernandez 2010 0.00 DNP
81 87 Austin Reed 2012 0.00 DNP
82 87 Jacob Dahlstrand 2012 0.00 DNP
83 87 Arquimedes Nieto 2009 0.00 DNP
84 87 Ebelin Lugo 2010 0.00 DNP
85 87 El'Hajj Muhammad 2012 0.00 DNP
86 87 Bruce Rondon 2011 0.00 DNP
87 87 Andry Ubiera 2013 0.00 DNP
88 87 Justin Edwards 2008 0.00 DNP
89 87 Gustavo Gomez 2011 0.00 DNP
90 87 Thyago Vieira 2013 0.00 DNP
91 87 Jose A. Ramirez 2010 0.00 DNP
92 87 Allen Webster 2010 0.00 DNP
93 87 Wily Peralta 2009 0.00 DNP
94 87 Abel De Los Santos 2013 0.00 DNP
95 87 Zach Russell 2010 0.00 DNP
96 87 Hector Silvestre 2013 0.00 DNP
97 87 Luis Avilan 2010 0.00 DNP
98 87 Jake Odorizzi 2010 0.00 DNP
99 87 Carlos Estevez 2013 0.00 DNP
100 87 Hector Hernandez 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

Reynaldo Lopez is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: September 2, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: August 25, 2014BP Prospect Staff2014-08-25
Eyewitness Accounts: August 21, 2014Tucker Blair2014-08-21


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)This was obviously a big year for Reynaldo Lopez. Did you catch any of his starts? What's the prognosis?
(AJ from Phoenix)
I did not, as he never made a start in Rome, which is my home turf. Tucker Blairís your man on this one. Check out his report. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=205 (Ethan Purser)
2014-09-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did you get to see Reynaldo Lopez pitch this year? Scouting his stats he looks pretty exciting. He wasn't included on many prospect lists going into 2014. Think he's a 2015 top 101 here at BP?
(mbovie from Baltimore)
I did not. Check the first answer where Tucker Blair's report is linked. I'm excited based off of his report. His name will certainly be in the mix, I'd imagine. (Ethan Purser)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Congrats on being first on the explosion of Reynaldo Lopez...How high would you place R Him on the offseason prospect rankings both for Washington and nationally? Would he be in the top 100 conversation?
(Festivus313 from Pittsburgh)
Thanks, although I should note that the industry has known about Reynaldo a lot longer than I have. As always.

I think very highly of Reynaldo. He is a no doubt top 100 for me. Elite FB command along with present command and potential for plus command? That is a ridiculous combination and does not even factor in the potential average + secondary offerings. I know prospects tend to be "buzzed" too high, but this is seriously one of the best arms I watched all year. He deserves the buzz. (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Name your favorite "sleeper" Nationals prospect and your favorite Carolina League "sleeper"? Also, are you watching Reynaldo Lopez in-person tomorrow night?
(NatsGM from THE NatsGM Studios)
I'm going to try my best to make it. Unfortunately, I am a Ravens fan and they play tomorrow. Spare me your miserable jabs and comments please. I've had enough this week.

Spencer Kieboom is a 23yo C in Low-A, but I know the Nats like him and he's a potential backup type. I think more role 4 than anything. He's under the radar because of his age, but he's not an org guy. Also, 60 grade last name. (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Rank this dominican arms Domingo German michael feliz Alex reyes and Reynaldo lopez.
(Jeffrey from New York)
1. Reynaldo Lopez
2. Alex Reyes
3. Domingo German
4. Michael Feliz (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Are the Nationals one of the more underrated farm systems? Besides having the best pitcher in the minors, they seem to have a lot of toolsy, high-upside type of guys. And they have Reynaldo Lopez.
(Shawn from Cubicle)
I think they are, partially because I was able to watch Hagerstown all season.

3 impact arms in Gioltio, Lopez, Cole
Nick Pivetta and Jake Johansen have ability
Rafael Bautista, Wilmer Difo, Drew Ward

It's a nice group, and that was basically only Hagerstown. Pedro Severino is a solid defense-first C for Potomac, and they still have a few guys like Brian Goodwin, Matt Skole, etc that could potentially provide impact. (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Favorite breakout prospect candidates for 2015?
(Festivus313 from Pittsburgh)
So many to choose from (i'm going to miss a ton here):

Manuel Margot - Red Sox - I think his breakout season was "technically" this season, but the natural bat to ball ability is ridiculous with him. Red Sox have a big-time talent here.

Josh Hart - Orioles - Poor numbers but the tools are all there. I expect to see more from him in the future.

Can I still choose Reynaldo Lopez?

One other guy I really liked in my brief stint: Marlins Michael Mader - live arm that is one to watch. Don't think it's top 101 worthy, but he could be a solid starter prospect. (Tucker Blair)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Besides Giolito and Cole, and now that Souza and Taylor have both played in MLB, is there a Nats minor league prospect worth talking about?
(Charlie from Rockville)
I have heard Reynaldo Lopez has been hitting triple digits. (CJ Wittmann)


BP Roundtables

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