Biographical

Portrait of Mitch Gueller

Mitch Gueller PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
55.0 5.49 1.63 26 3 5 0 -0.5
Birth Date11-10-1993
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age22 years, 8 months, 16 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.52016
+proj
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA. (For previous card version with FAIR_RA, click here.)
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA
2012 PHL Rk 8 6 27.3 26 12 19 0 .249 92 8.6 4.0 0.0 6.3 52% .302 .247 1.39 3.36 5.27
2013 WPT A- 14 14 58.3 83 26 35 4 .267 102 12.8 4.0 0.6 5.4 46% .374 .336 1.87 4.38 5.86
2014 WPT A- 13 13 63.3 65 29 31 2 .265 95 9.2 4.1 0.3 4.4 38% .300 .285 1.48 4.34 4.69
2015 WPT A- 12 12 68.7 57 23 44 3 .258 99 7.5 3.0 0.4 5.8 54% .263 .229 1.17 3.89 2.23
2016 LWD A 5 3 13.3 15 9 12 0 .263 92 10.1 6.1 0.0 8.1 50% .375 .306 1.80 4.17 8.10

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 4.1 5.8 0 16 16 77.5 71 29 36 8 .265 1.28 4.49 4.88 5.2 0.6
80o 3.5 5.6 0 15 15 69.4 69 28 32 8 .282 1.40 4.96 5.4 1.0 0.1
70o 3 5.4 0 14 14 63.9 67 27 30 8 .295 1.48 5.32 5.78 -1.4 -0.2
60o 2.7 5.2 0 13 13 59.2 66 27 28 8 .306 1.56 5.62 6.11 -3.1 -0.3
50o 2.4 5.1 0 12 12 55.0 64 26 26 7 .316 1.63 5.92 6.43 -4.5 -0.5
40o 2.1 4.9 0 11 11 50.9 62 25 24 7 .326 1.71 6.22 6.76 -5.6 -0.6
30o 1.8 4.6 0 10 10 46.6 59 24 22 7 .337 1.79 6.55 7.12 -6.5 -0.7
20o 1.5 4.4 0 9 9 41.8 56 23 20 7 .350 1.90 6.94 7.55 -7.3 -0.8
10o 1.1 3.9 0 8 8 35.3 51 21 17 6 .369 2.05 7.51 8.16 -7.8 -0.9
Weighted Mean2.44.90111154.06225257.3131.615.876.38-4.2-0.5

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 7/25/2016 10:15 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.8 5.5 0 15 15 72.1 71 29 31 8 .259 1.38 4.58 4.71 2.3 0.3
80o 3.2 5.2 0 14 14 64.5 69 28 27 8 .276 1.50 5.01 5.17 -1.2 -0.1
70o 2.8 5 0 13 13 59.3 67 27 25 8 .288 1.60 5.33 5.51 -3.3 -0.4
60o 2.5 4.8 0 12 12 54.9 66 27 23 8 .299 1.68 5.61 5.8 -4.8 -0.5
50o 2.2 4.6 0 11 11 50.9 64 26 22 7 .308 1.76 5.88 6.09 -6.1 -0.7
40o 2 4.4 0 10 10 47.1 62 25 20 7 .318 1.85 6.15 6.37 -7.0 -0.8
30o 1.7 4.2 0 9 9 43.0 59 24 18 7 .329 1.94 6.45 6.69 -7.9 -0.9
20o 1.4 3.9 0 8 8 38.5 56 23 16 7 .342 2.05 6.81 7.07 -8.7 -0.9
10o 1.1 3.5 0 7 7 32.5 51 21 14 6 .359 2.22 7.32 7.62 -9.3 -1.0
Weighted Mean2.24.50111150.06225217.3061.745.836.04-5.7-0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2017237110272716619176852238.3181.615.446.0210.44.14.61.2-1.1
201824580212112214256581638.3181.635.536.1210.54.14.31.2-1.0
201925580212112214256591638.3181.625.476.0610.44.14.31.2-0.9
202026580212112214355581638.3201.635.486.0710.64.14.31.2-0.9
202127580202011913753601638.3191.605.365.9410.44.04.51.2-0.7
202228580202012113752641638.3191.575.255.8110.23.94.81.2-0.6
202329580222212714550631638.3161.545.175.7210.33.64.51.1-0.5
202430580202012113847591538.3161.535.175.7210.33.54.41.1-0.5
202531570191911313044541538.3161.545.205.7610.33.54.31.2-0.5

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball1.10out of baseball1.23.2

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball1.10out of baseball1.23.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 89)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Charles Kaalekahi 2014 0.00 DNP
2 94 Amir Garrett 2014 0.00 DNP
3 93 Alonzo Gonzalez 2014 0.00 DNP
4 93 Giovanny Gallegos 2014 0.00 DNP
5 93 Christopher Kirsch 2014 0.00 DNP
6 93 Jake Sisco 2014 0.00 DNP
7 93 Lou Trivino 2014 0.00 DNP
8 93 Luis DeJesus 2014 0.00 DNP
9 93 Mason Hope 2014 0.00 DNP
10 93 Arturo Reyes 2014 0.00 DNP
11 92 Matthew Carasiti 2014 0.00 DNP
12 92 Dovydas Neverauskas 2015 0.00 DNP
13 92 Robert Aviles 2014 0.00 DNP
14 91 Jonathan Musser 2014 0.00 DNP
15 91 Dillon Maples 2014 0.00 DNP
16 91 Evan Rutckyj 2014 0.00 DNP
17 90 Leonard Lorenzo 2014 0.00 DNP
18 90 Dace Kime 2014 0.00 DNP
19 90 Endrys Briceno 2014 0.00 DNP
20 89 Ranfi Casimiro 2015 0.00 DNP
21 89 Conner Kendrick 2015 0.00 DNP
22 89 Jacob Dahlstrand 2014 0.00 DNP
23 89 Bryan Verbitsky 2014 0.00 DNP
24 89 Ramon Del Orbe 2014 0.00 DNP
25 89 David Buchanan 2011 0.00 DNP
26 89 Jordan Cooper 2011 0.00 DNP
27 88 Cody Reed 2015 0.00 DNP
28 88 Konner Wade 2014 0.00 DNP
29 88 Daurin Tavarez 2011 0.00 DNP
30 88 Joshua Mueller 2011 0.00 DNP
31 88 Tyrell Jenkins 2015 0.00 DNP
32 88 Matthew Miller 2011 0.00 DNP
33 88 Anthony Capra 2009 0.00 DNP
34 88 Luis Perdomo 2015 0.00 DNP
35 88 Phillip Andersen 2006 0.00 DNP
36 88 J.R. Bradley 2014 0.00 DNP
37 88 Ryan Ullmann 2014 0.00 DNP
38 88 Jonathan Dooley 2011 0.00 DNP
39 88 Stalin Gerson 2011 0.00 DNP
40 88 Victor De Leon 2014 0.00 DNP
41 87 Yacksel Rios 2015 0.00 DNP
42 87 Matt Swynenberg 2011 0.00 DNP
43 87 Francis Ramirez 2014 0.00 DNP
44 87 James Patterson 2011 0.00 DNP
45 87 Zach Simons 2007 0.00 DNP
46 87 Brad Meyers 2008 0.00 DNP
47 87 Angel Gonzalez 2011 0.00 DNP
48 87 Braulio Lara 2011 0.00 DNP
49 87 Matt Grace 2011 0.00 DNP
50 87 Stephen Kohlscheen 2011 0.00 DNP
51 87 Robby Rowland 2014 0.00 DNP
52 87 Blake Perry 2014 0.00 DNP
53 87 Ramon Garcia 2007 0.00 DNP
54 87 Josh Wall 2009 0.00 DNP
55 87 Kyle Kendrick 2007 3.94
56 87 Jason Hursh 2014 0.00 DNP
57 87 Euris Quezada 2011 0.00 DNP
58 87 Tyler Waldron 2011 0.00 DNP
59 87 Edlando Seco 2011 0.00 DNP
60 87 Thomas Robson 2015 0.00 DNP
61 87 Kirk Wetmore 2011 0.00 DNP
62 87 Mitchell Boggs 2006 0.00 DNP
63 87 Steve Delabar 2006 0.00 DNP
64 87 Gabriel Garcia 2011 0.00 DNP
65 87 Bryan Evans 2009 0.00 DNP
66 87 Justin Schumer 2011 0.00 DNP
67 87 Clayton Richard 2006 0.00 DNP
68 87 Lino Martinez 2015 0.00 DNP
69 87 Robin Leyer 2015 0.00 DNP
70 87 Edward Concepcion 2011 0.00 DNP
71 87 Matt Maloney 2006 0.00 DNP
72 87 Brandon Mann 2006 0.00 DNP
73 87 Chris Nicoll 2006 0.00 DNP
74 87 Seth Frankoff 2011 0.00 DNP
75 87 David Phelps 2009 0.00 DNP
76 86 Sheng-An Kuo 2008 0.00 DNP
77 86 Jack McGeary 2011 0.00 DNP
78 86 Evan Reed 2008 0.00 DNP
79 86 Kevin Walter 2014 0.00 DNP
80 86 Mario Alvarez 2006 0.00 DNP
81 86 Darin Gorski 2010 0.00 DNP
82 86 Brett Brach 2010 0.00 DNP
83 86 Raul Fernandez 2012 0.00 DNP
84 86 Gary Daley 2008 0.00 DNP
85 86 Joshua Wilson 2009 0.00 DNP
86 86 Bobby Doran 2011 0.00 DNP
87 86 Alex Gillingham 2012 0.00 DNP
88 86 Caleb Brewer 2011 0.00 DNP
89 86 Julio Ramos 2010 0.00 DNP
90 86 Frank Viola 2006 0.00 DNP
91 86 Gregory Ross 2012 0.00 DNP
92 86 David Palladino 2015 0.00 DNP
93 86 Zach Zuercher 2006 0.00 DNP
94 86 Tim Stronach 2008 0.00 DNP
95 86 Aaron Shafer 2009 0.00 DNP
96 86 Tayler Scott 2014 0.00 DNP
97 86 Kyle Farrell 2011 0.00 DNP
98 86 Willian Avinazar 2011 0.00 DNP
99 86 Trevor Williams 2014 0.00 DNP
100 86 Brandon Brennan 2014 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 Part of a pair of 2012 supplemental-round draftees, Gueller is extremely raw, building off a low-90s fastball, but so far little else. His curveball is inconsistent, thanks to a lack of command, and his changeup is underdeveloped because he didn't really need it in high school. He has mid-rotation upside that's a long way from being realized, but it's built on a solid foundation, especially for a teenager.

BP Articles

Mitch Gueller is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
5 O'Clock Power: Scouting a Series: Aberdeen vs. WilliamsportTucker Blair2015-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-11


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