Biographical

Portrait of Zach Eflin

Zach Eflin PPadres

Padres Player Cards | Padres Team Audit | Padres Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
84.7 5.14 1.51 48 3 8 0 -0.8
Birth Date4-8-1994
Height6' 4"
Weight200 lbs
Age20 years, 6 months, 13 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-0.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2012 PDR Rk 4 3 7.0 4.58 120 .270 .286 .360 .444 .291 .346 107 2.1 0.2 2.1 0.2
2013 FTW A 22 22 118.7 4.14 115 .245 .252 .327 .373 .259 .275 106 19.7 2.1 19.7 2.1
2014 LEL A+ 24 24 128.0 4.87 90 .278 .272 .340 .433 .275 .323 91 12.7 1.3 12.7 1.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2012 PDR Rk 0 1 0 4 3 7.0 9 3 4 0 31% .346 11.6 3.9 0.0 5.1 1.71 7.71 2.1 0.2
2013 FTW A 7 6 0 22 22 118.7 110 31 86 7 42% .275 8.3 2.4 0.5 6.5 1.19 2.73 19.7 2.1
2014 LEL A+ 10 7 0 24 24 128.0 138 31 93 9 53% .323 9.7 2.2 0.6 6.5 1.32 3.80 12.7 1.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-10 - Minors - - - Not Disclosed -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 5.9 7.3 0 20 20 109.0 92 38 61 11 .256 1.19 3.83 4.17 6.9 0.7
80o 5.2 7.1 0 19 19 100.3 92 38 56 11 .273 1.30 4.26 4.63 0.8 0.1
70o 4.7 7 0 18 18 94.3 92 37 53 11 .285 1.37 4.58 4.98 -2.9 -0.3
60o 4.2 6.9 0 17 17 89.2 92 37 50 11 .295 1.44 4.86 5.28 -5.7 -0.6
50o 3.9 6.8 0 16 16 84.6 91 37 47 11 .305 1.51 5.12 5.57 -8.0 -0.8
40o 3.5 6.6 0 15 15 80.1 90 36 45 11 .315 1.58 5.39 5.86 -9.9 -1.0
30o 3.2 6.5 0 14 14 75.4 89 36 42 11 .326 1.65 5.69 6.18 -11.7 -1.2
20o 2.8 6.3 0 13 13 70.0 87 35 39 10 .338 1.75 6.04 6.57 -13.4 -1.4
10o 2.2 6 0 12 12 62.8 84 34 35 10 .356 1.88 6.54 7.11 -15.0 -1.5
Weighted Mean3.96.70161683.889364711.3021.495.085.52-7.5-0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152191003030189181701242340.2891.334.264.638.63.35.91.1-0.1
20162291002929184183661252240.3021.364.354.729.03.26.11.1-0.3
2017238902626153152571001840.2981.364.424.808.93.35.91.1-0.3
201824780232313613245891640.2941.304.134.498.83.05.91.10.2
201925780222213112943881540.2991.324.194.568.93.06.11.00.1
202026770212112311939831440.2961.294.074.428.72.96.11.00.3
202127770212112412038831440.2951.274.004.358.72.86.01.00.4
202228770212112612135861440.2941.243.844.178.62.56.11.00.7
202329770222212712236881440.2941.243.824.158.62.56.21.00.7

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
0.30.2out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 86)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Eduardo Rodriguez 2013 0.00 DNP
2 95 Garrett Gould 2012 0.00 DNP
3 94 Zach Lee 2012 0.00 DNP
4 93 Henderson Alvarez 2010 0.00 DNP
5 92 Kyle Ryan 2012 0.00 DNP
6 92 Clayton Cook 2011 0.00 DNP
7 92 Ian Krol 2011 0.00 DNP
8 91 Casey Kelly 2010 0.00 DNP
9 91 Shawn Morimando 2013 0.00 DNP
10 91 Brody Colvin 2011 0.00 DNP
11 91 Dae-Eun Rhee 2009 0.00 DNP
12 91 T.J. House 2010 0.00 DNP
13 91 Matt Lollis 2011 0.00 DNP
14 91 Sean O'Sullivan 2008 0.00 DNP
15 90 Mike Foltynewicz 2012 0.00 DNP
16 90 Adalberto Mejia 2013 0.00 DNP
17 90 Richard Castillo 2010 0.00 DNP
18 90 Jonathan Pettibone 2011 0.00 DNP
19 90 Clayton Tanner 2008 0.00 DNP
20 89 Parker Bridwell 2012 0.00 DNP
21 89 Jason Adam 2012 0.00 DNP
22 89 Jeurys Familia 2010 0.00 DNP
23 89 Carlos Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
24 89 Jacob Turner 2011 9.24
25 89 Benjamin Wells 2013 0.00 DNP
26 89 Victor Payano 2013 0.00 DNP
27 89 Rick Porcello 2009 4.22
28 88 Trevor Reckling 2009 0.00 DNP
29 88 Alex Burnett 2008 0.00 DNP
30 87 Drew Hutchison 2011 0.00 DNP
31 87 Chad James 2011 0.00 DNP
32 87 Joey Mahalic 2009 0.00 DNP
33 87 Wilfredo Boscan 2010 0.00 DNP
34 87 Quinton Miller 2010 0.00 DNP
35 87 Alexander Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
36 87 Andrew Faulkner 2013 0.00 DNP
37 87 David Holmberg 2012 0.00 DNP
38 87 Mike Montgomery 2010 0.00 DNP
39 86 Nathan Eovaldi 2010 0.00 DNP
40 86 Michael Fulmer 2013 0.00 DNP
41 86 Luis Cruz 2011 0.00 DNP
42 86 Jesse Biddle 2012 0.00 DNP
43 86 Jairo Heredia 2010 0.00 DNP
44 86 Jason Garcia 2013 0.00 DNP
45 86 Michael Pineda 2009 0.00 DNP
46 86 Giovanni Soto 2011 0.00 DNP
47 86 Tyrell Jenkins 2013 0.00 DNP
48 85 Jose Campos 2013 0.00 DNP
49 85 Juan Minaya 2011 0.00 DNP
50 85 Omar Poveda 2008 0.00 DNP
51 85 Will Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
52 85 Jenrry Mejia 2010 4.85
53 85 Luke Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
54 85 Deolis Guerra 2009 0.00 DNP
55 85 Robinson Lopez 2011 0.00 DNP
56 85 Joe Ross 2013 0.00 DNP
57 84 Matt Wisler 2013 0.00 DNP
58 84 Tim Alderson 2009 0.00 DNP
59 84 Jake Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
60 84 J.C. Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
61 83 Timothy Melville 2010 0.00 DNP
62 83 Nick Kingham 2012 0.00 DNP
63 83 Dan Cortes 2007 0.00 DNP
64 83 Matt Hobgood 2011 0.00 DNP
65 83 Brad Hand 2010 0.00 DNP
66 83 Stephen Landazuri 2012 0.00 DNP
67 83 Graham Johnson 2010 0.00 DNP
68 83 Arodys Vizcaino 2011 4.15
69 83 Zeke Spruill 2010 0.00 DNP
70 83 Jarrod Parker 2009 0.00 DNP
71 83 Kelvin De La Cruz 2009 0.00 DNP
72 83 Wilmer Font 2010 0.00 DNP
73 82 Phillippe Aumont 2009 0.00 DNP
74 82 Carlos Carrasco 2007 0.00 DNP
75 82 Alex Sanabia 2009 0.00 DNP
76 82 Trey Haley 2010 0.00 DNP
77 82 Brett Marshall 2010 0.00 DNP
78 82 Lino Martinez 2013 0.00 DNP
79 82 Clayton Blackburn 2013 0.00 DNP
80 82 Manny Banuelos 2011 0.00 DNP
81 82 Tyler Vail 2012 0.00 DNP
82 82 Chris Tillman 2008 0.00 DNP
83 82 Jose Urena 2012 0.00 DNP
84 82 Robbie Ray 2012 0.00 DNP
85 81 Chaz Roe 2007 0.00 DNP
86 81 Chris Archer 2009 0.00 DNP
87 81 Blake Beavan 2009 0.00 DNP
88 81 Raul Alcantara 2013 0.00 DNP
89 81 Tyler Chatwood 2010 0.00 DNP
90 81 Ross Seaton 2010 0.00 DNP
91 81 Antonio Cruz 2012 0.00 DNP
92 81 Stolmy Pimentel 2010 0.00 DNP
93 81 Trevor Cahill 2008 0.00 DNP
94 81 Lorenzo Mendoza 2012 0.00 DNP
95 81 Ryan Morris 2008 0.00 DNP
96 81 Luis Diaz 2012 0.00 DNP
97 81 Heitor Correa 2010 0.00 DNP
98 80 Jeff Lyman 2007 0.00 DNP
99 80 Joe Wieland 2010 0.00 DNP
100 80 Tyler Matzek 2011 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Taken with the 33rd pick overall in 2012 out of a Florida high school, Zach Eflin missed a month of his senior season with triceps tendonitis but was healthy enough to get some work in after signing.

BP Articles

Zach Eflin is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/19Jason Parks2014-03-19
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/19Mark Anderson2014-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersJared Weiss2014-02-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Starting PitchersBen Murphy2014-02-28
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2014 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-02-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Starting Pitcher ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-26
BP Experts Prospect Mock Draft: Rounds 8-10Bret Sayre2014-02-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2014-01-13
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Thursday, May 23Zach Mortimer2013-05-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: San Diego Padres Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-02


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)My big brother may be in the big leagues already, but in the end he'll be "the other Ross", won't he?
(The other Ross from SD)
You've come to the wrong place looking for Joe Ross love. Try, like, any of my colleagues. I don't think Tyson is that special either. Let's talk about Zach Eflin. Zach Eflin > Joe Ross. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give me 5 SP prospects you are higher on than industry? I really like Sean Manaea.
(JoJo from SD)
Manaea is a good one to like. I think I'm higher, or at least more ready to gamble on, Fried, Zack Lee, A.J. Cole, Zach Eflin and Allen Webster than are some of my peers. I was very high on Giolito last season compared to most, but the industry seems to have caught up with me there. I'm lower on Biddle, Ranaudo, Taillon (slightly), and Lance McCullers than are some in the industry, it seems. (Ben Carsley)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Zach Eflin a top 75 prospect?
(padremurph from San Diego)
Not for me. Not yet. ( I reserve the right to change my mind and rank him in the top 75) (Jason Parks)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Bret, I play in a fairly deep competitive keeper league 16 team with a 20 man minor system. I am always looking for the edge in future top prospects as they carry quite the value in mid season trades etc. In 2011 I was able to grab a pre breakout Taveras and Bogaerts, since that year I am always looking for prospects who look to really make that jump from back end or outside the top 100 to future top 30 stud. I was wondering if you had some names to watch in A and Low A, that could make these leaps, particularly position players. Alen Hanson and Polanco are already picked up, Adalberto Mondesi is spoken for as well, trying to stay ahead of my competition.
(Brandon from Toronto)
If you want a few off the radar names, how about Zach Eflin and Dilson Herrera. And if you don't need to dig quite that deep, check out Dorssys Paulino, Blake Snell, Jeimer Candelario and Joe Ross. (Bret Sayre)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.