Biographical

Portrait of Shane Watson

Shane Watson PPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
36.0 5.51 1.54 22 2 3 0 -0.4
Birth Date8-13-1993
Height6' 4"
Weight200 lbs
Age23 years, 1 months, 17 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
0.02016
DRA-Based WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA
2012 PHL Rk 5 3 7.0 0 1 0 5 1 8 0 .276 86 6.4 1.3 0.0 10.3 53% .294 .194 0.86 2.01 1.29 86 2.89
2013 LWD A 16 16 72.0 4 6 0 63 28 53 12 .268 93 7.9 3.5 1.5 6.6 53% .229 .259 1.26 5.47 4.75 102 4.43
2015 LWD A 9 9 43.7 1 5 0 53 18 31 4 .268 88 10.9 3.7 0.8 6.4 52% .338 .325 1.63 4.63 4.33 107 5.65
2015 PHL Rk 2 2 4.0 0 0 0 5 7 3 0 .268 96 11.2 15.8 0.0 6.8 56% .556 .399 3.00 7.05 6.75 139 11.53
2016 LWD A 7 7 39.3 2 2 0 32 11 32 3 .263 100 7.3 2.5 0.7 7.3 62% .261 .238 1.09 3.91 3.20 101 4.30
2016 CLR A+ 14 14 71.0 4 5 0 78 29 60 6 .246 98 9.9 3.7 0.8 7.6 40% .333 .273 1.51 4.01 3.93 105 4.88

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-03-30 2014-09-18 Minors 172 0 Right Shoulder Recovery From Surgery Instability 2014-01-17 -
2014-01-17 2014-01-17 Minors 0 0 Right Shoulder Surgery Instability 2014-01-17 -
2013-07-04 2013-09-05 Minors 63 0 Right Shoulder Subluxation -
2012-10-26 2012-10-26 Minors 0 0 - General Medical Other Type I Diabetes - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.1 4.3 0 13 13 56.8 49 21 35 7 .256 1.22 4.24 4.61 5.7 0.6
80o 2.6 4 0 11 11 49.4 46 19 30 7 .273 1.32 4.72 5.13 2.4 0.3
70o 2.2 3.8 0 10 10 44.2 44 18 27 6 .285 1.40 5.07 5.51 0.5 0.1
60o 1.9 3.6 0 9 9 40.0 41 18 25 6 .296 1.47 5.37 5.84 -0.8 -0.1
50o 1.6 3.4 0 8 8 36.1 39 17 22 6 .305 1.54 5.67 6.16 -1.8 -0.2
40o 1.4 3.1 0 7 7 32.3 37 16 20 5 .315 1.61 5.97 6.49 -2.6 -0.3
30o 1.2 2.9 0 7 7 28.4 34 14 17 5 .326 1.69 6.29 6.84 -3.2 -0.3
20o 0.9 2.5 0 6 6 24.0 30 13 15 4 .339 1.79 6.69 7.27 -3.5 -0.4
10o 0.6 2.1 0 4 4 18.1 24 10 11 4 .356 1.93 7.25 7.88 -3.6 -0.4
Weighted Mean1.63.208835.03716226.3031.525.626.1-1.6-0.2

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 9/30/2016 12:13 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.1 5.1 0 12 12 52.9 49 21 31 7 .251 1.31 4.48 4.67 -4.6 -0.5
80o 1.7 4.7 0 11 11 45.9 46 20 27 7 .267 1.43 4.92 5.15 -6.4 -0.7
70o 1.5 4.4 0 10 10 41.1 44 19 24 6 .278 1.51 5.26 5.5 -7.3 -0.8
60o 1.3 4.2 0 9 9 37.1 41 18 22 6 .289 1.59 5.55 5.81 -7.9 -0.9
50o 1.1 3.9 0 8 8 33.4 39 17 19 6 .298 1.66 5.83 6.11 -8.2 -0.9
40o 1 3.6 0 7 7 29.9 37 16 17 5 .307 1.74 6.11 6.41 -8.3 -0.9
30o 0.8 3.3 0 6 6 26.2 34 14 15 5 .318 1.83 6.42 6.74 -8.2 -0.9
20o 0.6 2.9 0 5 5 22.1 30 13 13 4 .330 1.93 6.79 7.13 -7.9 -0.9
10o 0.4 2.3 0 4 4 16.6 24 10 10 4 .347 2.09 7.33 7.7 -7.0 -0.8
Weighted Mean1.13.808832.53716196.2951.645.786.06-7.8-0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
2% 2% 0% 3% 4%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20172361002828172188771132744.3141.545.395.979.84.05.91.4-1.0
20182461002727164182741022644.3121.565.556.1410.04.15.61.4-1.2
201925580232313614761872144.3111.535.405.989.84.05.81.4-0.8
202026590242414115762872344.3131.555.506.0910.03.95.51.5-1.0
202127580222213014057852044.3101.525.385.969.73.95.91.4-0.8
202228580222213114056872044.3101.505.325.899.63.96.01.4-0.7
202329580242413914855892144.3081.465.215.779.63.65.81.4-0.6
202430580222213213952862044.3061.455.115.669.53.65.91.4-0.4
202531580212112613450811944.3051.465.195.759.53.65.81.4-0.5

Upside By Year

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseball1.3out of baseballout of baseball0.21.4

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
2015out of baseballout of baseball1.3out of baseballout of baseball0.21.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 96 Silfredo Garcia 2014 0.00 DNP
2 94 Cesar Vargas 2014 0.00 DNP
3 94 Nick Pivetta 2015 0.00 DNP
4 94 Myles Jaye 2014 0.00 DNP
5 94 Chi Chi Gonzalez 2014 0.00 DNP
6 94 Felipe Rivero 2014 0.00 DNP
7 94 Michael Ynoa 2014 0.00 DNP
8 94 William Davis 2015 0.00 DNP
9 93 Ramon Del Orbe 2014 0.00 DNP
10 93 Tyrell Jenkins 2015 0.00 DNP
11 93 Domingo Tapia 2014 0.00 DNP
12 93 Chad Bettis 2011 0.00 DNP
13 93 Max Russell 2011 0.00 DNP
14 93 Chad Kuhl 2015 0.00 DNP
15 92 Evan Rutckyj 2014 0.00 DNP
16 92 Scottie Allen 2014 0.00 DNP
17 92 Tyler Green 2014 0.00 DNP
18 92 Tayler Scott 2014 0.00 DNP
19 92 Fernando Rodriguez 2006 0.00 DNP
20 92 Jhonny Nunez 2008 0.00 DNP
21 92 Cesar Ramos 2006 0.00 DNP
22 92 Robert Morey 2011 0.00 DNP
23 92 Josh Outman 2007 0.00 DNP
24 92 Bobby Parnell 2007 0.00 DNP
25 92 Esmil Rogers 2008 0.00 DNP
26 92 Mike Rayl 2011 0.00 DNP
27 92 Ryan Mattheus 2006 0.00 DNP
28 91 Joely Rodriguez 2014 0.00 DNP
29 91 Shane Greene 2011 0.00 DNP
30 91 Angel Cuan 2011 0.00 DNP
31 91 Mario Hollands 2011 0.00 DNP
32 91 Scott Barlow 2015 0.00 DNP
33 91 Parker Bridwell 2014 0.00 DNP
34 91 Jason Hursh 2014 0.00 DNP
35 91 Rafael Rodriguez 2007 0.00 DNP
36 91 Robert Ray 2006 0.00 DNP
37 91 Bryan Brickhouse 2014 0.00 DNP
38 91 Ricardo Morales 2006 0.00 DNP
39 91 Angel Calero 2009 0.00 DNP
40 91 Hector Silvestre 2015 0.00 DNP
41 91 Derek Hankins 2006 0.00 DNP
42 91 Bryan Morris 2009 0.00 DNP
43 91 Miguel Nunez 2015 0.00 DNP
44 91 Brett Wallach 2011 0.00 DNP
45 90 Tony Butler 2010 0.00 DNP
46 90 Jordan Smith 2008 0.00 DNP
47 90 Reidier Gonzalez 2008 0.00 DNP
48 90 Nicholas Carr 2009 0.00 DNP
49 90 Ubaldo Jimenez 2006 4.70
50 90 Blake Wood 2008 0.00 DNP
51 90 Luis Parra 2014 0.00 DNP
52 90 Robin Leyer 2015 0.00 DNP
53 90 Clint Everts 2007 0.00 DNP
54 90 Jose Sanchez 2006 0.00 DNP
55 90 Alex Balog 2015 0.00 DNP
56 90 Jacob Renshaw 2008 0.00 DNP
57 90 Jayson Aquino 2015 0.00 DNP
58 90 Tyson Ross 2009 0.00 DNP
59 90 Taylor Jordan 2011 0.00 DNP
60 90 Chris Anderson 2015 0.00 DNP
61 90 Albert Suarez 2012 0.00 DNP
62 90 Casey Crosby 2011 0.00 DNP
63 90 Yoervis Medina 2011 0.00 DNP
64 90 Adrian Sampson 2014 0.00 DNP
65 90 Shane Broyles 2014 0.00 DNP
66 90 Carlos Monasterios 2008 0.00 DNP
67 90 Mark Cohoon 2010 0.00 DNP
68 90 Gabriel Encinas 2014 0.00 DNP
69 90 Elvis Araujo 2014 0.00 DNP
70 90 Dae-Eun Rhee 2011 0.00 DNP
71 90 Josue Montanez 2014 0.00 DNP
72 90 Bobby Doran 2011 0.00 DNP
73 90 Randor Bierd 2006 0.00 DNP
74 90 Dylan Baker 2014 0.00 DNP
75 90 Egan Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
76 90 John Gast 2011 0.00 DNP
77 90 Deunte Heath 2008 0.00 DNP
78 90 Daryl Thompson 2008 6.91
79 90 Jorge Lopez 2015 5.40
80 90 Richard Sullivan 2009 0.00 DNP
81 90 Adam Harben 2006 0.00 DNP
82 90 Derek De Young 2014 0.00 DNP
83 90 Ethan Stewart 2013 0.00 DNP
84 90 Sugar Ray Marimon 2011 0.00 DNP
85 90 Julio Cesar Pimentel 2008 0.00 DNP
86 90 Tyler Waldron 2011 0.00 DNP
87 90 Matt Anderson 2014 0.00 DNP
88 90 Scott Moviel 2010 0.00 DNP
89 90 Carlton Smith 2008 0.00 DNP
90 89 Ryan Pressly 2011 0.00 DNP
91 89 Yeiper Castillo 2011 0.00 DNP
92 89 Joe Ross 2015 3.87
93 89 Mike Mayers 2014 0.00 DNP
94 89 Adrian Houser 2015 0.00
95 89 Branden Kline 2014 0.00 DNP
96 89 Sebastian Vader 2014 0.00 DNP
97 89 Zachary Neal 2011 0.00 DNP
98 89 Jared Hughes 2008 0.00 DNP
99 89 Jose Escalona 2008 0.00 DNP
100 89 Luis Noel 2010 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Shane Watson is among the better arms in the Phillies' system, but it says more about the organization's lack of depth than anything else. Decent fastball and a nice curve but not much else.
2013 The Phillies made Watson their first pick of 2012 in the supplemental round and signed him away from a commitment to USC. Watson is a tall, projectable righty who can run it up to the mid-90s, though he often works closer to 91-92 with plenty of life. He complements the fastball with a sharp 12-to-6 curveball that has plus potential as well. There's a lot of upside here for sure, but a teenager this far away is also rife with risk.

BP Articles

Shane Watson is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
The View From Behind The Backstop: Goin' HAMJeffrey Paternostro2016-04-20
Every Team's Moneyball: Philadelphia Phillies: Changing HabitsChristopher Crawford2015-03-30
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of June 6-June 9Zach Mortimer2013-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Philadelphia Phillies Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-01-11


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