Biographical

Portrait of Carlos Duran

Carlos Duran CFPhillies

Phillies Player Cards | Phillies Team Audit | Phillies Depth Chart

2016 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .199 5 24 21 5 .195 -0.8
Birth Date11-22-1994
Height6' 2"
Weight170 lbs
Age21 years, 9 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2012
2013
2014
2015
-0.82016
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2012 VPH Rk 52 164 .244 .286 .363 .407 .000 .257 92 -3.1 5.1 -1.4 2.4 -0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2
2014 PHL Rk 35 125 .281 .239 .325 .339 .000 .381 99 2.9 4.7 -0.4 0.0 -0.5 7.3 0.7 7.3 0.7
2015 WPT A- 43 180 .255 .248 .314 .342 .000 .314 99 -0.8 5.0 0.5 -0.7 1.5 6.0 0.6 6.0 0.6
2015 CLR A+ 4 15 .140 .250 .326 .344 .000 .111 97 -1.8 0.4 0 0.1 0.1 -1.3 -0.1 -1.3 -0.1
2016 LWD A 84 337 .238 .249 .313 .370 .260 .306 87 -7.5 9.3 0.4 -0.1 2.1 4.4 0.5 4.4 0.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 VPH Rk 164 21 29 7 0 1 16 15 35 0 4 .204 .284 .275 .070 .244 0.1 2.4 0.2
2014 PHL Rk 125 20 32 8 1 0 11 16 23 9 3 .299 .390 .393 .093 .281 7.3 0.0 0.7
2015 WPT A- 180 21 40 7 1 2 12 14 41 10 5 .247 .303 .340 .093 .255 6.0 -0.7 0.6
2015 CLR A+ 15 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 3 0 0 .083 .214 .083 .000 .140 -1.3 0.1 -0.1
2016 LWD A 337 33 74 14 1 2 24 23 69 12 4 .243 .295 .316 .072 .238 4.4 -0.1 0.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT CSAA_CHANCES CSAA_RT

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2016 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/15/2015 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 334 38 79 15 1 8 35 23 91 8 5 .258 .310 .396 .250 5.4 CF 1 0.7
80o 305 33 66 12 1 7 30 19 86 7 4 .238 .287 .364 .232 -0.6 CF 1 0.0
70o 284 29 59 11 1 6 26 17 82 6 3 .223 .271 .341 .218 -4.2 CF 1 -0.4
60o 267 26 52 10 1 5 24 15 78 6 3 .211 .257 .322 .207 -6.9 CF 1 -0.7
50o 250 24 47 9 1 5 21 13 75 5 3 .199 .243 .304 .196 -9.1 CF 1 -0.9
40o 233 21 41 8 1 4 19 12 71 4 2 .188 .230 .286 .186 -10.9 CF 1 -1.1
30o 216 18 37 7 1 4 17 10 67 4 2 .176 .216 .267 .174 -12.4 CF 0 -1.3
20o 195 16 29 6 0 3 14 8 62 3 2 .162 .199 .245 .161 -13.7 CF 0 -1.4
10o 166 12 21 4 0 2 11 6 54 2 1 .142 .176 .215 .142 -14.7 CF 0 -1.6
Weighted Mean260254991523147753.206.251.315.203-7.8CF 1-0.8

2016 Rest-of-Season Forecast

Last Update: 8/27/2016 11:15 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 534 59 131 23 1 11 53 32 134 14 8 .265 .306 .383 .251 8.0 CF 2, 1.0
80o 505 53 115 20 1 10 47 28 131 12 7 .244 .284 .353 .232 -1.6 CF 1, 0.0
70o 484 48 104 18 1 9 43 26 129 11 6 .230 .267 .331 .219 -7.8 CF 1, -0.7
60o 467 44 94 16 1 8 39 23 126 10 5 .217 .253 .313 .208 -12.7 CF 1, -1.2
50o 450 41 86 15 1 7 36 21 124 9 5 .205 .240 .296 .197 -16.9 CF 1, -1.7
40o 433 38 80 14 1 7 33 20 122 8 5 .194 .227 .279 .186 -20.8 CF 1, -2.1
30o 416 34 71 12 1 6 31 18 119 8 4 .181 .213 .261 .175 -24.6 CF 1, -2.5
20o 395 31 61 11 0 5 27 15 115 7 4 .167 .197 .240 .161 -28.5 CF 1, -3.0
10o 366 26 50 9 0 4 23 13 110 5 3 .147 .175 .211 .143 -33.0 CF 1, -3.5
Weighted Mean460439216183823126105.213.249.307.203-14.4CF 1,-1.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
2% 2% 0% 2% 2%

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2017224414282152840231329.202.248.311.205-1.1-11.50.40.710.9-23.51.4
2018234214181152939231269.207.254.321.211-0.8-9.00.30.610.4-20.31.3
2019244124080152839231208.209.258.323.213-0.7-8.00.30.410.2-18.91.3
2020254114181152939231208.210.258.325.214-0.7-7.80.30.310.2-18.61.3
2021264054079151939231188.211.260.327.215-0.7-7.40.20.210.0-17.81.2
2022274054079151939231178.211.261.329.216-0.6-7.20.10.110.0-17.41.2
2023284054179151939231177.212.262.331.217-0.6-7.0-0.0-0.010.0-17.01.2
2024294054179151939241177.212.263.331.217-0.6-7.1-0.1-0.110.0-16.81.2
2025304054179151939241176.212.263.331.217-0.7-7.3-0.3-0.310.0-16.81.2

Long-Term Forecast Based on RoS PECOTA (Beyond the 2016 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20172225023488142112705.206.245.299.202-2.0-19.00.1-0.414.3-33.10.5
201823313296110162815886.208.247.308.205-1.9-18.20.1-0.515.2-32.90.7
201924508501071919472713111.229.270.331.222-0.8-8.50.2-1.015.3-23.01.1
2020255235210417112502515011.213.255.325.213-1.4-13.80.2-1.215.3-28.21.1

Upside By Year

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PEAK 5
out of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseballout of baseball

Previous Year Preseason Upside By Year

Yr Proj 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 PEAK 5
20150out of baseball4.51.60.17.318.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 92)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 98 Adonis Pacheco 2013 .000 DNP
2 97 Jose Figueroa 2014 .000 DNP
3 97 Elias Torres 2013 .000 DNP
4 96 Gabriel Rosa 2015 .000 DNP
5 96 Rafael Fernandez 2010 .000 DNP
6 96 Carlos Torres 2014 .000 DNP
7 96 Michael Swinson 2011 .000 DNP
8 95 Zach Collier 2012 .000 DNP
9 95 Jay Austin 2012 .000 DNP
10 95 Kevin W Garcia 2014 .000 DNP
11 95 Jake Cave 2014 .000 DNP
12 95 Connor Oliver 2015 .000 DNP
13 95 Juan Ramirez 2012 .000 DNP
14 95 Josue Calzado 2007 .000 DNP
15 94 Zoilo Almonte 2010 .000 DNP
16 94 Raul Fortunato 2012 .000 DNP
17 94 D'Andre Toney 2013 .000 DNP
18 94 Cody Rogers 2010 .000 DNP
19 94 Chris Lofton 2011 .000 DNP
20 94 Andrew Toles 2013 .000 DNP
21 94 Delta Cleary 2011 .000 DNP
22 93 Eduardo Sosa 2012 .000 DNP
23 93 Kelvin Encarnacion 2013 .000 DNP
24 93 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2009 .000 DNP
25 93 Larry Cobb 2007 .000 DNP
26 93 Leandro Castro 2010 .000 DNP
27 93 Darrell Ceciliani 2011 .000 DNP
28 93 Xavier Avery 2011 .000 DNP
29 92 Ty Morrison 2012 .000 DNP
30 92 Michael Taylor 2012 .000 DNP
31 92 Calvin Culver 2010 .000 DNP
32 92 Alberth Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
33 92 Jacob Scavuzzo 2015 .000 DNP
34 92 Marcos Derkes 2013 .000 DNP
35 92 Dalton Pompey 2014 .253
36 92 Clay Fuller 2008 .000 DNP
37 92 Jesus Solorzano 2012 .000 DNP
38 92 Alexander Mercedes 2013 .000 DNP
39 92 Donavan Tate 2012 .000 DNP
40 92 Abraham Almonte 2010 .000 DNP
41 91 Rafael Bautista 2014 .000 DNP
42 91 Stephen Chapman 2007 .000 DNP
43 91 Alberto Diaz 2010 .000 DNP
44 91 Trayvon Robinson 2009 .000 DNP
45 91 Jonesy Zarraga 2013 .000 DNP
46 91 Brenden Webb 2011 .000 DNP
47 91 Jesus Galindo 2012 .000 DNP
48 91 Yohan Silva 2006 .000 DNP
49 91 Joe Benson 2009 .000 DNP
50 90 Starling Marte 2010 .000 DNP
51 90 D'Marcus Ingram 2009 .000 DNP
52 90 Brandon Roberts 2006 .000 DNP
53 90 Dexter Fowler 2007 .000 DNP
54 90 Chevy Clarke 2013 .000 DNP
55 90 Evan Crawford 2010 .000 DNP
56 90 David Paisano 2009 .000 DNP
57 90 Guillermo Pimentel 2011 .000 DNP
58 90 Peter Hissey 2011 .000 DNP
59 90 Oliver Zapata 2014 .000 DNP
60 90 Jacob Skole 2013 .000 DNP
61 90 Ronald Bermudez 2009 .000 DNP
62 90 Tyler Hollick 2014 .000 DNP
63 90 Felix Pie 2006 .000 DNP
64 90 Keon Broxton 2011 .000 DNP
65 90 Joshua Flores 2007 .000 DNP
66 90 Arlon Quiroz 2008 .000 DNP
67 90 Felix Sanchez 2011 .000 DNP
68 90 Joe Munoz 2007 .000 DNP
69 90 Junior Sosa 2012 .000 DNP
70 89 Maikis De La Cruz 2012 .000 DNP
71 89 Shane Keough 2008 .000 DNP
72 89 Gilbert Gomez 2013 .000 DNP
73 89 Raimel Tapia 2015 .000 DNP
74 89 Rafael Ortega 2012 .459
75 89 Vaughn Bryan 2014 .000 DNP
76 89 Wendell Fairley 2009 .000 DNP
77 89 Slade Heathcott 2012 .000 DNP
78 89 Jose Monzon 2013 .000 DNP
79 89 LeVon Washington 2013 .000 DNP
80 89 B.J. Boyd 2015 .000 DNP
81 89 Christopher Garia 2014 .000 DNP
82 89 Jhohan Acevedo 2014 .000 DNP
83 88 Sundrendy Windster 2010 .000 DNP
84 88 Henry Zabala 2011 .000 DNP
85 88 Dwight Britton 2009 .000 DNP
86 88 Marcus Knecht 2011 .000 DNP
87 88 Christopher White 2009 .000 DNP
88 88 Alexis Oliveras 2010 .000 DNP
89 88 Raul Reyes 2008 .000 DNP
90 88 Paulo Orlando 2007 .000 DNP
91 88 Evan Van Hoosier 2015 .000 DNP
92 88 Edgardo Baez 2007 .000 DNP
93 88 Dominique Taylor 2014 .000 DNP
94 88 Ryan Aper 2014 .000 DNP
95 88 Samir Rijo 2011 .000 DNP
96 88 J.T. Restko 2006 .000 DNP
97 88 Erik Komatsu 2009 .000 DNP
98 88 David Kandilas 2012 .000 DNP
99 88 Maximo Mendez 2008 .000 DNP
100 88 Mitch Dening 2010 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

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