Biographical

Portrait of Elier Hernandez

Elier Hernandez RFRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .181 1 13 17 0 .163 -1.8
Birth Date11-21-1994
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lbs
Age19 years, 11 months, 3 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2011
2012
2013
-1.82014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2012 IDA Rk 60 267 .217 .277 .349 .421 .269 .283 112 -13.3 8.3 -3.1 4.4 2.0 -8.5 -0.4 -8.5 -0.4
2013 IDA Rk 66 319 .272 .279 .348 .428 .278 .368 108 4.4 9.7 -3.7 2.7 -1.5 5.7 0.8 5.7 0.8
2014 LEX A 111 446 .246 .261 .325 .383 .260 .324 106 -6.6 12.7 -4 0.2 -2.6 -3.0 -0.3 -3.0 -0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 IDA Rk 267 30 52 10 4 0 34 14 66 2 0 .208 .256 .280 .072 .217 -8.5 4.4 -0.4
2013 IDA Rk 319 44 87 15 8 3 44 18 62 9 2 .301 .350 .439 .138 .272 5.7 2.7 0.8
2014 LEX A 446 54 111 19 4 9 34 16 99 5 5 .264 .296 .393 .129 .246 -3.0 0.2 -0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-23 2014-06-10 Minors 18 0 - Not Disclosed - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 529 39 119 20 3 2 39 19 151 2 0 .239 .266 .303 .213 -15.0 RF 5 -1.1
80o 502 35 104 17 3 2 35 16 148 1 0 .219 .244 .278 .196 -22.6 RF 4 -2.0
70o 482 31 93 16 2 1 32 15 145 1 0 .205 .229 .259 .183 -27.5 RF 4 -2.5
60o 466 29 84 14 2 1 30 13 142 1 0 .192 .216 .244 .173 -31.3 RF 4 -3.0
50o 450 26 77 13 2 1 28 12 140 1 0 .181 .203 .229 .163 -34.5 RF 4 -3.3
40o 434 24 71 12 2 1 26 11 137 1 0 .170 .191 .215 .153 -37.5 RF 4 -3.7
30o 418 22 64 11 2 1 24 10 134 1 0 .158 .177 .199 .142 -40.3 RF 4 -4.0
20o 398 19 54 9 1 1 21 9 131 1 0 .143 .162 .181 .130 -43.2 RF 3 -4.3
10o 371 16 44 7 1 1 18 7 125 1 0 .124 .140 .157 .113 -46.5 RF 3 -4.7
Weighted Mean45928821421291314110.188.210.238.169-32.7RF 4-3.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152025021497121810701.211.246.273.198-2.4-23.7-0.2-1.714.9-36.72.0
20162125020447121711751.188.228.247.182-3.5-33.8-0.3-1.814.9-46.72.0
20172225021458231910721.192.230.276.191-2.9-28.5-0.2-1.914.9-41.32.0
2018232502147812199691.204.238.277.193-2.7-26.9-0.3-2.014.9-39.62.0
2019242502044712189681.192.226.264.186-3.2-31.2-0.2-2.014.9-43.92.0
20202530224538122113781.191.229.255.186-3.2-32.0-0.3-2.514.9-44.12.5
20212660751116204647251562.203.240.283.197-2.5-28.4-0.4-5.314.9-37.65.0
20222760853116213646351502.206.253.285.203-2.2-25.4-0.7-5.414.9-34.25.0
20232825019467111611681.198.234.247.184-3.3-32.8-0.2-2.314.9-45.22.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball0.7out of baseball4.1out of baseballout of baseball4.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 83)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 95 Mario Yepez 2007 .000 DNP
2 94 Gregory Polanco 2011 .000 DNP
3 93 Zoilo Almonte 2008 .000 DNP
4 92 Gilbert Gomez 2011 .000 DNP
5 90 Cliff Andersen 2007 .000 DNP
6 90 Kyler Burke 2007 .000 DNP
7 89 Juan Duran 2011 .000 DNP
8 89 David Christensen 2007 .000 DNP
9 88 Max Walla 2010 .000 DNP
10 88 Jose Rivero 2009 .000 DNP
11 88 Henry Ramos 2011 .000 DNP
12 88 Daniel Ortiz 2009 .000 DNP
13 88 Cesar Puello 2010 .000 DNP
14 88 Zach Collier 2010 .000 DNP
15 87 Steven Moya 2011 .000 DNP
16 86 Leonardo Reyes 2008 .000 DNP
17 86 Mitch Dening 2008 .000 DNP
18 85 Jonathan Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
19 85 Julio Aparicio 2009 .000 DNP
20 85 Jorge Bonifacio 2012 .000 DNP
21 85 Jae-Hoon Ha 2010 .000 DNP
22 85 Raimel Tapia 2013 .000 DNP
23 85 Alexis Oliveras 2008 .000 DNP
24 84 Xavier Avery 2009 .000 DNP
25 84 Kelly Dugan 2010 .000 DNP
26 84 Caleb Gindl 2008 .000 DNP
27 84 Isaac Galloway 2009 .000 DNP
28 84 Dustin Biell 2008 .000 DNP
29 84 Scott Robinson 2008 .000 DNP
30 84 Royce Consigli 2011 .000 DNP
31 84 Alfredo Morales 2012 .000 DNP
32 83 Markus Brisker 2010 .000 DNP
33 83 Eric Eiland 2008 .000 DNP
34 83 Geulin Beltre 2010 .000 DNP
35 83 Socrates Brito 2012 .000 DNP
36 83 Telvin Nash 2010 .000 DNP
37 83 Jordan Scott 2011 .000 DNP
38 83 Ender Inciarte 2010 .000 DNP
39 83 Willy Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
40 83 Avisail Garcia 2010 .000 DNP
41 82 Justin Reed 2007 .000 DNP
42 82 Corey Adamson 2011 .000 DNP
43 82 Luis Sumoza 2008 .000 DNP
44 82 Bobby Stone 2009 .000 DNP
45 82 Alex Llanos 2010 .000 DNP
46 82 Derrick Robinson 2007 .000 DNP
47 81 Daniel Carroll 2008 .000 DNP
48 81 Kenny Wilson 2009 .000 DNP
49 81 Jhonny Medrano 2007 .000 DNP
50 81 Nicholas Giarraputo 2007 .000 DNP
51 81 Fernando Cruz 2009 .000 DNP
52 81 Michael Crouse 2010 .000 DNP
53 81 Reymond Fuentes 2010 .000 DNP
54 81 D'Arby Myers 2008 .000 DNP
55 81 Ty Morrison 2010 .000 DNP
56 81 Jon Gilmore 2008 .000 DNP
57 81 Marcell Ozuna 2010 .000 DNP
58 80 Gabriel Noriega 2010 .000 DNP
59 80 Angel Castillo 2008 .000 DNP
60 80 Hilton Richardson 2008 .000 DNP
61 80 David Paisano 2007 .000 DNP
62 80 Theo Bowe 2010 .000 DNP
63 80 Travis Mattair 2008 .000 DNP
64 80 Michael Wing 2008 .000 DNP
65 80 Richard Lucas 2008 .000 DNP
66 80 Carlos Martinez 2008 .000 DNP
67 80 Teodoro Martinez 2011 .000 DNP
68 80 Francisco Martinez 2010 .000 DNP
69 80 Daniel Mateo 2011 .000 DNP
70 80 Jose Garcia 2007 .000 DNP
71 80 Cesar Valera 2011 .000 DNP
72 80 Ramon Flores 2011 .000 DNP
73 80 Abraham Almonte 2008 .000 DNP
74 79 Dwight Britton 2007 .000 DNP
75 79 Heiker Meneses 2011 .000 DNP
76 79 Christopher Hawkins 2011 .000 DNP
77 79 Justin Jackson 2008 .000 DNP
78 79 Billy Hamilton 2010 .000 DNP
79 79 Hector Gomez 2007 .000 DNP
80 79 Rey Navarro 2009 .000 DNP
81 79 Juan Silva 2010 .000 DNP
82 79 Mario Martinez 2009 .000 DNP
83 79 Cameron Garfield 2010 .000 DNP
84 79 Junior Lake 2009 .000 DNP
85 79 Rangel Ravelo 2011 .000 DNP
86 79 Andrew Rundle 2007 .000 DNP
87 79 Johermyn Chavez 2008 .000 DNP
88 79 Oscar Figueroa 2007 .000 DNP
89 79 Balbino Fuenmayor 2009 .000 DNP
90 79 Jose Flores 2007 .000 DNP
91 79 Wilfred Pichardo 2009 .000 DNP
92 79 Juan Lagares 2008 .000 DNP
93 79 Andres James 2007 .000 DNP
94 79 Geraldo Rodriguez 2007 .000 DNP
95 78 Luis Mateo 2009 .000 DNP
96 78 Matt Davidson 2010 .000 DNP
97 78 Oswaldo Arcia 2010 .000 DNP
98 78 Joe Benson 2007 .000 DNP
99 78 Brent Brewer 2007 .000 DNP
100 78 Oscar Taveras 2011 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2013 A $3 million international bonus baby, Elier Hernandez struggled in his first taste of professional ball, but scouts rave about his bat speed and believe that once he adapts, the power will come around.

BP Articles

Elier Hernandez is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, April 23Jeff Moore2014-04-24
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Sally, Florida State, and Southern League NotesEthan Purser2014-04-22
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Sally, Florida State, and Southern League NotesJeff Moore2014-04-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: Outfield ProspectsBen Carsley2014-02-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Kansas City Royals Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-22
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Matt Harvey Pitching to PitchersSam Miller2013-06-24


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-09-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Did you get to see any Elier Hernandez and Samir Duenez this year in Lexington? Thoughts on them? Also: Dominique Taylor is fire.
(Daniel from Calgary)
I did. I wrote up Hernandez here.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23362

Hernandez has the tools to be an above-average corner outfielder but the hit tool underwhelmed in my viewing. Arm-side pitching gives him trouble, especially arms who can spin a decent breaking ball. If I could revise the above report, I'd probably turn him in as a AAA guy realistically. I was a bit optimistic on the realistic role and would adjust downward at this point, though the ceiling remains unchanged.

Duenez was underwhelming. He played an excellent first base, but the swing was slightly long and he struggled to barrel balls up in my viewing. He's very young, however, so I'll likely see him again next season in Low-A after he performed decently in the Pioneer League after being demoted. (Ethan Purser)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Brighter future: Manuel Margot or Elier Hernandez?
(j train and the big brain from cubicle)
Margot (Jason Parks)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Any recent reports on Elier Hernandez?
(KC from KC)
No I do not have any recent reports on Elier Hernandez, but I talked with a Latin America scout earlier in the year who was unimpressed with Hernandez's baseball ability. However, the same scout was very impressed how Hernandez looked physically. (Zach Mortimer)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.