Biographical

Portrait of Ronald Guzman

Ronald Guzman 1BRangers

Rangers Player Cards | Rangers Team Audit | Rangers Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 19)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .220 3 19 22 0 .205 -1.2
Birth Date10-20-1994
Height6' 5"
Weight205 lbs
Age20 years, 0 months, 5 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2010
2011
2012
2013
-1.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2012 RNG Rk 52 235 .286 .271 .351 .399 .280 .390 99 7.1 7.3 -4.6 -0.3 1.6 12.0 1.1 12.0 1.1
2013 HIC A 49 191 .264 .246 .313 .365 .264 .297 98 0.8 5.4 -3.4 -0.3 -0.8 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.0
2014 HIC A 118 492 .226 .263 .330 .385 .264 .270 103 -18 14.0 -8.9 -9.3 -1.5 -15.2 -2.5 -15.2 -2.5

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2012 RNG Rk 235 29 68 15 3 1 33 19 42 7 1 .321 .374 .434 .113 .286 12.0 -0.3 1.1
2013 HIC A 191 17 47 8 0 4 26 11 27 0 0 .272 .325 .387 .116 .264 0.7 -0.3 0.0
2014 HIC A 492 46 97 32 0 6 63 37 107 6 3 .218 .283 .330 .112 .226 -15.2 -9.3 -2.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-03-15 2013-03-15 Minors 0 0 Left Knee Surgery Meniscus - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 529 52 136 25 1 9 52 29 110 1 0 .277 .318 .386 .255 5.0 1B 0 0.5
80o 502 46 120 22 1 8 47 26 108 1 0 .257 .297 .358 .238 -3.7 1B 0 -0.4
70o 482 42 109 20 1 7 43 23 106 1 0 .242 .281 .338 .225 -9.3 1B 0 -1.0
60o 466 39 100 18 1 6 40 21 104 1 0 .230 .267 .321 .214 -13.8 1B 0 -1.5
50o 450 36 93 17 1 6 38 20 103 1 0 .219 .255 .305 .204 -17.7 1B 0 -1.9
40o 434 33 84 15 1 5 35 18 101 1 0 .208 .242 .289 .194 -21.3 1B 0 -2.3
30o 418 30 77 14 1 5 32 16 99 1 0 .196 .229 .272 .183 -24.8 1B 0 -2.7
20o 398 27 68 12 1 4 29 15 96 1 0 .182 .213 .252 .171 -28.4 1B 0 -3.1
10o 371 23 58 10 1 4 25 12 92 1 0 .162 .191 .225 .153 -32.7 1B 0 -3.6
Weighted Mean45938971816392110410.226.262.314.210-15.51B 0-1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20152025027589152414500.250.296.356.241-0.1-0.4-0.5-3.614.9-11.3-0.7
20162125026539052415560.235.289.339.233-0.7-5.5-0.6-3.614.9-16.3-0.7
201722250265411162514530.232.282.358.235-0.5-4.1-0.5-3.614.9-14.9-0.7
201823629681452711363351251.250.297.366.243-0.8-5.4-1.4-9.014.9-10.0-1.8
201924602631302311259321191.236.282.349.233-1.4-10.8-1.3-8.614.9-15.8-1.7
202025601641302211258351121.237.288.347.235-1.2-9.5-1.2-8.614.9-14.6-1.7
202126602651352521361341091.245.292.366.242-0.8-5.6-1.1-8.614.9-10.9-1.7
202227604661352611160461041.248.308.363.247-0.5-2.8-1.3-8.614.9-7.8-1.7
20232825025549132215490.239.289.331.230-0.8-7.1-0.5-3.614.9-17.9-0.7

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
out of baseball2.32.2out of baseballout of baseball0.26.8

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 93 Jose Osuna 2012 .000 DNP
2 88 Cedric Hunter 2007 .000 DNP
3 86 Michael Ortiz 2008 .000 DNP
4 84 Leighton Pangilinan 2010 .000 DNP
5 83 Matthew Cerda 2009 .000 DNP
6 82 Oswaldo Arcia 2010 .000 DNP
7 82 Danry Vasquez 2013 .000 DNP
8 82 Rory Rhodes 2011 .000 DNP
9 82 Rafael Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
10 82 Jaime Ortiz 2008 .000 DNP
11 81 Joseph Paciorek 2008 .000 DNP
12 81 Maikel Franco 2012 .000 DNP
13 81 Geraldo Rodriguez 2007 .000 DNP
14 80 Jarek Cunningham 2009 .000 DNP
15 80 Giovanny Urshela 2011 .000 DNP
16 80 Renato Nunez 2013 .000 DNP
17 80 Jonathan Schoop 2011 .000 DNP
18 80 Matthew Sweeney 2007 .000 DNP
19 80 Brandon Drury 2012 .000 DNP
20 80 Jesus Lopez 2007 .000 DNP
21 80 Jeimer Candelario 2013 .000 DNP
22 79 Anthony Garcia 2011 .000 DNP
23 79 Rougned Odor 2013 .000 DNP
24 79 Jose Martinez 2008 .000 DNP
25 79 Raimel Tapia 2013 .000 DNP
26 79 Eddie Rosario 2011 .000 DNP
27 79 Justin Jacobs 2008 .000 DNP
28 79 Josh Vitters 2009 .000 DNP
29 79 Jae-Hoon Ha 2010 .000 DNP
30 79 Jay Austin 2010 .000 DNP
31 79 Matthew Sulentic 2007 .000 DNP
32 79 Wilmer Flores 2011 .000 DNP
33 78 Zach Collier 2010 .000 DNP
34 78 Aaron Hicks 2009 .000 DNP
35 78 Caleb Gindl 2008 .000 DNP
36 78 Jorge Polanco 2013 .000 DNP
37 78 Oscar Taveras 2011 .000 DNP
38 78 Sebastian Valle 2010 .000 DNP
39 78 Royce Consigli 2011 .000 DNP
40 78 Jefry Marte 2010 .000 DNP
41 78 Dante Bichette 2012 .000 DNP
42 78 Miguel Gonzalez 2010 .000 DNP
43 78 Jorge Martinez 2012 .000 DNP
44 78 Johermyn Chavez 2008 .000 DNP
45 78 Hanser Alberto 2012 .000 DNP
46 78 Ramon Flores 2011 .000 DNP
47 78 Henry Ramos 2011 .000 DNP
48 78 Gioskar Amaya 2012 .000 DNP
49 78 Ruben Tejada 2009 .000 DNP
50 77 Aderlin Rodriguez 2011 .000 DNP
51 77 Cito Culver 2012 .000 DNP
52 77 Frederick Parejo 2010 .000 DNP
53 77 Enrique Hernandez 2011 .000 DNP
54 77 Christian Bethancourt 2011 .000 DNP
55 77 Austin Gallagher 2008 .000 DNP
56 77 Mitch Dening 2008 .000 DNP
57 77 Tomas Telis 2010 .000 DNP
58 77 Brent Keys 2010 .000 DNP
59 77 Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 .000 DNP
60 77 Teoscar Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
61 77 Angelo Gumbs 2012 .000 DNP
62 77 Marcell Ozuna 2010 .000 DNP
63 77 Delino DeShields 2012 .000 DNP
64 77 Wilson Ramos 2007 .000 DNP
65 77 Nick Noonan 2008 .000 DNP
66 77 Edilio Colina 2008 .000 DNP
67 77 Jose Tabata 2008 .000 DNP
68 77 Hak-Ju Lee 2010 .000 DNP
69 77 Gabriel Guerrero 2013 .000 DNP
70 77 Chih-Hsien Chiang 2007 .000 DNP
71 77 Gabriel Quintana 2012 .000 DNP
72 77 Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 .000 DNP
73 77 Francisco Pena 2009 .000 DNP
74 77 Joe Benson 2007 .000 DNP
75 77 Daniel Ortiz 2009 .000 DNP
76 77 Michael Almanzar 2010 .000 DNP
77 77 Wilfredo Tovar 2011 .000 DNP
78 77 Marco Hernandez 2012 .000 DNP
79 77 Jacob Skole 2011 .000 DNP
80 77 Quincy Latimore 2008 .000 DNP
81 77 Oliver Zapata 2012 .000 DNP
82 77 Jose Peraza 2013 .000 DNP
83 77 Noah Perio 2011 .000 DNP
84 77 Trevor Story 2012 .000 DNP
85 77 Jorge Bonifacio 2012 .000 DNP
86 76 Ketel Marte 2013 .000 DNP
87 76 Nino Leyja 2010 .000 DNP
88 76 Hernan Perez 2010 .000 DNP
89 76 Willy Garcia 2012 .000 DNP
90 76 Alfredo Morales 2012 .000 DNP
91 76 D'Arby Myers 2008 .000 DNP
92 76 Nolan Arenado 2010 .000 DNP
93 76 Garabez Rosa 2009 .000 DNP
94 76 Engel Beltre 2009 .000 DNP
95 76 Luigi Rodriguez 2012 .000 DNP
96 76 Gorkys Hernandez 2007 .000 DNP
97 76 Jonathan Galvez 2010 .000 DNP
98 76 Alex Liddi 2008 .000 DNP
99 76 Breyvic Valera 2012 .000 DNP
100 76 Jake Hager 2012 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 First baseman Ronald Guzman, signed out of the Dominican Republic for $3.45 million, is a lanky 6-foot-5 lefty with a swing and approach that are mature beyond his 18 years.

BP Articles

Ronald Guzman is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of August 15-17Jeff Moore2014-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Unlikeliest Part of the Rangers' CollapseSam Miller2014-08-12
This article requires BP Premium accessThis is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip: Day 12: Hickory (Return Trip)Jordan Shusterman2014-06-08
This article requires BP Premium accessThis is Not Your Father's Baseball Road Trip: Day 12: Hickory (Return Trip)Jake Mintz2014-06-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPECOTA Takes on Prospects: The Hard-to-Find First Base ProspectAndrew Koo2014-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of April 4-6Jeff Moore2014-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/25Jason Parks2014-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessNotes from the Field: Backfield Scouting Notes, 3/25BP Prospect Staff2014-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: First Base ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-01-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 50 First BasemenBret Sayre2014-01-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessState of the Position: First BasemenCraig Goldstein2014-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Texas Rangers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 17Zach Mortimer2013-07-18
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Monday, July 1Zach Mortimer2013-07-02
BP Unfiltered: Hot Prospect Video: Ronald GuzmanJason Cole2013-06-21
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Minors: First Half RecapJason Parks2013-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessMinor League Update: Games of Wednesday, June 5Zach Mortimer2013-06-06
This article requires BP Premium accessMonday Morning Ten Pack: May 28BP Prospect Staff2013-05-28
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: Replacement RangersZachary Levine2013-05-14
Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational RankingsJason Parks2013-03-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Texas Rangers Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-02-19
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Notes, Part IJason Parks2012-09-26


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Recognizing they weren't candidates for this list, how are Nomar Mazara and Ronald Guzman progressing?
(Rob from Alaska)
Mazara is climbing quickly; likely to be a top 101 this off-season. Very good hitter that is likely to explode in the next few seasons. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Who has the higher ceiling: Vogelbach or Ronald Guzman?
(Frank from Texas)
Guzzie (Jason Parks)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Looking for young power. Should I stash Ronald Guzman now?
(Silverback38 from VA)
How deep is your league? I'd wait and take someone out of the upcoming draft. (Ronit Shah)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Ronald Guzman jumps into the top 100 prospect discussion next year?
(RyanW from Fort Worth)
It;s a tough profile, so the power will have to show up before he jumps into that discussion. I obviously like the bat, but tough value spot. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'll go ahead and apologize for the blatant fantasy question, but in a medium-deep keeper league looking for lottery tickets, which one of Gabriel Guerrero, Manuel Margot, Franklin Barreto, Amed Rosario, and Ronald Guzman would you want?
(Rob from Alaska)
You can't really go wrong with any of them if you're looking for lottery tickets. I've been particularly impressed with the reports on Rosario, but my eyes tell me Margot might be the guy I'd put my money on. (Mark Anderson)
2013-07-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jason, who do you like more as a prospect? Nick Williams or Ronald Guzman? Thanks!
(Joe from Dallas)
Guzman has a tough profile, as he is already limited to 1B. But I really love his approach to hitting and the ease in which he does it. I've already spoken about my love for Williams as well, especially the bat-to-ball skills. But his overall game is very rudimentary, and he could flame out before bringing it all together. THe more I watch Guzman, the more Freddie Freeman I see in the swing. (Jason Parks)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you believe Ronald Guzman will develop enough power to be 1st division at 1B?
(mikeyurk from CT)
I do. I'm a big believer in Guzman's offensive upside. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do Ronald Guzman and Nomar Mazara appear to be living up to their international hype? Are they Top 100 types by the end of the season?
(jaymoff from Salem)
Probably not top 100 types this year, but they have the potential to be down the line. Living up to the hype so far, for me. (Jason Cole)
2013-05-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ronald Guzman had some work on his meniscus, but any report if he's close to returning?
(Sexy Rexy from New York)
He's playing in extended spring training, and should get the promotion to Hickory once its all good to go. Very natural hitter despite having the body of a young power forward. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)Still a long way away from top 100 contention, but have you seen Ronald Guzman in person this spring? Are the reports true about him bulking up quite a bit?
(Ryan from Dallas)
He didn't bulk up. He's lanky 18-year-old kid that added some meat to the frame. Its not crazy meat either. He is starting to fill out. It's something I expected to see at some point. He works his ass off. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jairo Beras higher ceiling than Ronald Guzman?
(rangerfans2 from Fort Worth)
He has crazy power, and if you value the promise of power Beras's ceiling is higher than Guzman. I'd still tak Guzman. Yes, he's a 1B prospect and the power can't stand next to the raw coming out of Beras. But I'll take the better hitter every time. (Jason Parks)
2012-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Ronald Guzman will be in the discussion for Top 50 by this time next year?
(Greg36 from Fort Worth)
It might take more time than that, but he has the potential to be in that discussion during his developmental process. (Jason Parks)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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