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Schrodinger's Bat |
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04-10 | Schrodinger's Bat: Defense and Pitch Classification |
04-03 |
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03-27 | |
03-20 | |
03-13 | |
03-06 | |
02-25 | |
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12-06 | |
11-29 | |
11-15 | Schrodinger's Bat: Minor League Baserunning Awards |
11-08 | |
11-01 | |
10-25 | |
10-18 | |
10-11 | Schrodinger's Bat: On Atmosphere, Probability, and Prediction |
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09-27 | |
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06-28 | |
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06-14 | Schrodinger's Bat: The Science and Art of Building a Better Pitcher Profile |
06-07 | |
05-31 | |
05-24 | Schrodinger's Bat: Batter Versus Pitcher, Gameday Style |
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05-10 | |
05-03 | |
04-26 | |
04-19 |
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April 17, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Opus 100 |
Reaching a statistical landmark, and changing gears in the pursuit of applied research.
"Scientists don't immerse themselves in particulars only for the grandiose (or self-serving) reason that such studies may lead to important generalities. We do it for fun."
--Stephen Jay Gould, "Opus 100", reprinted in The Richness of Life: The Essential Stephen Jay Gould
April 10, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Defense and Pitch Classification |
A new season brings a new batch of PITCHf/x data from which to learn.
"With me, being a hard thrower ... no matter what, they're defending that heater, man. So the more confidence I have to throw that [changeup] in any count, I'm going to throw it. I'm just going to. I don't care anymore. It's going to help me and I realize that."
--A.J. Burnett on his pitch selection. PITCHf/x has confidence in his fastball as well.
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April 3, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Reminiscing with SFR, the Sequel |
A continuing stroll through the defensive data of yesteryear with SFR, covering 1957-83.
"Aw, how could he lose the ball in the sun, he's from Mexico."
--Harry Caray, on a Jorge Orta feat in the field.
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March 27, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Reminiscing with SFR |
Unleashing Simple Fielding Runs on an eleven-year span, from 1988 to 1998.
"He (Ozzie Smith) plays like he's on a mini-trampoline or wearing helium kangaroo shorts."
--Andy Van Slyke
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March 20, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Clearing the Decks |
It's a topic grab bag with looks at bunting, preventing free bases, and more.
"When I came up, you couldn't play if you couldn't bunt, but home runs have pretty much taken over the game today... Bunting has become a lost art."
--Kirby Puckett
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March 13, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Spring Fling |
A trip to Arizona produces some news and notes from four spring training camps.
"It's designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything is new again..."
--A. Bartlett Giamatti
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March 6, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Hitters v. Clemens |
Whlie Roger Clemens is in the news about his alleged off-field antics, Dan talks to Jonathan Mayo, author of a new book about Clemens' on-field success.
"No athlete goes through what Roger Clemens has put himself through in terms of conditioning and hard work not to win. Whatever your opinion of Clemens, there's never been any doubt about his competitive nature.
--from the Introduction to Facing Clemens by Jonathan Mayo
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February 25, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: What Would Bacon Do? |
In answering the decade-old question about Derek Jeter's defensive value, what would one of science's great philosophers have to say?
"It is the peculiar and perpetual error of the human understanding to be more moved and excited by affirmatives than by negatives."
--Francis Bacon (1561-1626)
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February 21, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Flashing Leather Down on the Farm |
Rating the outfielders in the minors, plus seeing how well the system evaluates some scouting touts.
"It is the peculiar and perpetual error of the human understanding to be more moved and excited by affirmatives than by negatives."
--Francis Bacon (1561-1626)
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February 14, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Wrapping it Up |
Putting the finishing touches on the better (fielding) mousetrap.
"Baseball is Darwinian in its results but Newtonian in its processes. With rigorous empiricism fielders built up a solid foundation of knowledge through generations of trials and thousands of errors. Their peer-reviewed results quickly became standard operating procedures."
--Cait Murphy, describing the evolution of defensive play in Crazy '08: How a Cast of Cranks, Rogues, Boneheads, and Magnates Created the Greatest Year in Baseball History
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February 7, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: The Toughest of Them All? |
Tweaking a simple projection system, and addressing whether or not the AL Central is really the game's toughest division.
"Never make predictions, especially about the future."
--Casey Stengel
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January 31, 2008 12:00 am
Schrodinger's Bat: Back to the Drawing Board |
With a nod to the wisdom of crowds, Dan revisits Simple Fielding Runs and outfield defense.
"I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work."
--Thomas A. Edison
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Schrodinger's Bat: Reminiscing with SFR, the Sequel
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