Baseball Prospectus Day at Nationals Park - July 7, 2013
BP invades the nation's capital
Baseball Prospectus and the Washington Nationals invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Sunday, July 7 at Nationals Park. Thanks to the fine folks in the Nationals front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
Starting a new series with a 12-pitch battle between Mike Moustakas and Chris Sale.
I’ve always loved long plate appearances. If one of the best thing about baseball is the batter-pitcher matchup, and one of the other best things about baseball is that it has no clock or appointed time for anything to end, then it stands to reason (sort of) that double-digit-pitch batter-pitcher matchups would be the absolute best thing about baseball. So each Friday, I’m going to highlight the most extended sequence of the seven-day period from the previous Thursday-Wednesday. If there’s a tie, I’ll pick the most interesting plate appearance.
Bret takes a look through this past week's streamer picks and looks at where he went right (and wrong).
For those of you unfamiliar with the #streameroftheday process, I recommend one starting pitcher per day who is owned in fewer than 10% of leagues (lower than your typical standards) and post it on Twitter at @dynastyguru. And this Friday post is where I stand in front of the firing squad, fully accountable for these recommendations. I ran a longer introduction in my first post of the season, explaining why my ownership limit is much lower than most others out there, but essentially it's to be helpful in deeper mixed leagues. If you want to read the whole thing, the link is here. With the pleasantries out of the way, let's jump into the action.
Evaluators are mixed on Jesus Aguilar's ceiling, but he looked the part of a future regular last night.
Pitching Prospect of the Day: Max Fried, LHP, Padres (Low-A Fort Wayne): 5.2 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 8 K; polished high-school arm; plus fastball; plus-plus curveball; changeup could be solid-average; started a no-hitter on this evening; room to add mass to his frame; number-two-starter ceiling; 19.0 IP, 17 H, 8 ER, 10 BB, 22 K in four starts.
Position Prospect of the Day: Jesus Aguilar, 1B, Indians (Double-A Akron): 4-5, HR, R, 3 RBI, K; plus raw power; fringy hit tool; I’m not the biggest fan but I did hear one source who believed he could be in the lineup every day.
Other notable prospect performances from May 9:
Javier Baez, SS, Cubs (High-A Daytona): 2-4, 2B, 3B, R, RBI, SB; major-league bat speed; potential to contend for batting titles; plus-plus raw power; plus-plus arm; may have to eventually move off of shortstop; still working to slow the game down; crazy fantasy value.
Tyler Collins, OF, Tigers (Double-A Erie): 2-3, 2B, HR, 2 R, 2 RBI; solid-average hit tool; developing over-the-fence power; plays mostly as gap power currently; average runner; hardnosed player; being stuck in a corner-outfield position creates a tough profile.
C.J. Edwards, RHP, Rangers (Low-A Hickory): 7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; plus fastball; curveball flashes plus; developing changeup; stock rising; 28.2 IP, 19 H, 8 ER, 9 BB, 31 K in six starts this season.
Jesus Galindo, CF, Giants (Low-A Augusta): 2-4, 2B, 3B, 3 R, BB, K, 2 SB; plus-plus runner; slap hitter; minimal power; potential to stay in center field; repeating Low-A at 22; fringy prospect; .263/.365/.273 with 1 2B, and 16 SB in 99 at-bats.
David Holmberg, LHP, Diamondbacks (Double-A Mobile): 8.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 8 K; acquired in the Edwin Jackson deal; average fastball; solid-average changeup; throws both a curveball and slider, two usable breaking pitches; back-end starter profile; 41.0 IP, 34 H, 9 ER, 13 BB, 31 K in seven starts.
Micah Johnson, 2B, White Sox (Low-A Kannapolis): 3-4, 3B, 4 R, RBI, BB, 4 SB; plus runner; hit tool will be challenged at higher levels; gap power; did not like him defensively at second; plays very hard at all times; stock is on the rise but will have to prove his hitting ability after promotion; .303/.389/.477 with 6 2B, 5 3B, 1 HR, and 29 SB in 109 at-bats;
Tom Murphy, C, Rockies (Low-A Asheville): 2-4, 2B, HR, 3 R, 4 RBI, BB; easy plus power potential; solid-average hit tool; college bat; defense behind the plate is still a work in progress; .415/.531/.892 with 6 2B, 2 3B, 7 HR in 65 at-bats.
Neil Ramirez, RHP, Rangers (Double-A Frisco): 6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 9 K; fastball sits in low 90s and will touch higher; slider flashes plus, but can get inconsistent; fringy curveball; stuff ticks up in bursts.
Matt Reynolds, SS, Mets (High-A St. Lucie): 3-5, 2B, 3B, 2 R, 5 RBI; plus potential hit tool; gap power; well-below-average runner; will have to move off shortstop in time; utility-type prospect; .277/.356/.412 with 6 2B, 2 3B, 2 HR in 119 at-bats .
Noah Syndergaard, RHP, Mets (High-A St. Lucie): 7.0 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K; plus-plus potential fastball; plus potential curveball and changeup; creates major plane on fastball; high-number-two ceiling; how’s that Dickey trade looking right now? 38.0 IP, 35 H, 11 ER, 13 BB, 38 K in seven starts.
Aaron Westlake, 1B, Tigers (High-A Lakeland): 5-6, 2B, HR, 2 R, 4 RBI; plus power potential; smooth hitting stroke; can try to do too much at the plate; limited to first base defensively; below-average runner; will have to really hit to fit an everyday profile; .299/.333/.425 with 9 2B, 3B, and 2 HR in 134 at-bats this season.
Dan Winkler, RHP, Rockies (High-A Modesto): 5.2 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 9 K; solid-average fastball; plus slider; fringy changeup; may fit better in a relief role long term.
Sean Coyle, 2B, Red Sox (High-A Salem): 0-4, 3 K; has made great improvements at the plate in 2013, but nights like this happen.
Maikel Franco, 3B, Phillies (High-A Clearwater): 0-5, 2 K; have gotten very good reports about Franco; this was just one of those nights; .300/.345/.538 with 13 2B and 6 HR in 130 at-bats this season.
Tyson Gillies, OF, Phillies (Double-A Reading): 0-4, 2 K; after a demotion back to Double-A, it looks like Gillies is now on his way off the prospect radar.
Michael Taylor, CF, Nationals (High-A Potomac): 0-4, 3 K; the swing never really did it for me; has trouble recognizing spin. Last year the defense was very good, but he took a few sloppy routes to the ball tonight.
Addison Russell, SS, Athletics (High-A Stockton): 0-3, 2 K; the early-season struggles continue for the 2012 first-round selection, who is tackling High-A at age 19.
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