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May 1, 2013

BP Announcements

Fantasy Roundtable - Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET

Join the fantasy baseball team for a Wednesday evening roundtable discussion.

On Wednesday, May 1, the Baseball Prospectus fantasy staff will be chatting live at this address. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=1043

Please join us starting at 9:30 PM EDT to follow along, comment, and ask any questions you may have. In fact, you may begin submitting questions and comments right now at the roundtable page.

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BP Daily Podcast

Effectively Wild Episode 193: AAA Teams vs. the Marlins and Astros/The Braves and Strikeouts/Pickoffs and Pitch Counts/John Farrell and the Jays/Non-Superstar HOFers

Ben and Sam answer listener emails about whether good minor-league teams could beat bad major-league teams, the Braves and Ks, whether the Jays should regret letting John Farrell go, and more.



Ben and Sam answer listener emails about whether good minor-league teams could beat bad major-league teams, the Braves and Ks, whether the Jays should regret letting John Farrell go, and more.

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April 30, 2013

BP Unfiltered

The Love Song Of P. Scott Proefrock

The love that dare not speak its name. (Which is to say, the love of Delmon Young's bat.)

La cosa che la gente non capisce di Delmon, a mio parere, รจ un giocatore di baseball.
 
LET us play then, you and I,
When the diamond is spread out against the sky
Like a fly ball rolling past a defender;
Let us go, through certain half-deserted baselines,
The muttering confines
Of restless nights in three-night cheap hotels
And sawdust ballparks with retractable domes:
Fungoes that follow like a tedious argument
Of insidious intent
To lead you to an overwhelming question….
Oh, do not ask, “What is it?”
Let us go and make our weigh-in.
 
In the room the beatwriters come and go
Talking of Ruben Amaro.
 
And indeed there will be time
To wonder, “Why right field?” and, “Why right field?”
Do I dare
Disturb the universe?
In a minute there is time
For decisions and revisions which the official scorer will reverse.
 
In the room the beatwriters come and go
Talking of Ruben Amaro.
 
And would it have been worth it, after all,
Would it have been worth while,
After the pop flies and the liners and the cans of corn,
After the GIFs, after the E9s, after the throws that roll along the field—
And this, and so much more?—
It is impossible to say just what I mean!
But as if a magic lantern threw the plays in patterns on a screen:
Would it have been worth while
If one, watching a TV or reading a box score,
And turning toward the reporter, should say:
“That is not it at all,
That is not what I meant, at all.”

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BP Daily Podcast

Effectively Wild Episode 192: Stephen Strasburg's New Injury Scare/The Underhyped Manny Machado

Ben and Sam discuss the news about Stephen Strasburg's forearm and talk about why Manny Machado's performance this season hasn't gotten more attention.



Ben and Sam discuss the news about Stephen Strasburg's forearm and talk about why Manny Machado's performance this season hasn't gotten more attention.

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Minor League Update

Games of Monday, April 29

White Sox prospect Courtney Hawkins is racking up worrisome strikeout totals in High-A ball, but he has also hit seven home runs.

Pitching Prospect of the Day: Henry Owens, LHP, Red Sox (High-A Salem): 5.0 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 8 K; long levers; fastball sits 92-94 with good life; struggled to command his 73-75 mph curveball, which flashed solid-average; good arm speed on a 77-79 mph with changeup that has excellent life and easy plus potential. Owens is still developing, but he caught my eye, and I really like his future; 26.0 IP, 15 H, 6 ER, 8 BB, 30 K in five starts.

Position Prospect of the Day: Christian Walker, 1B, Orioles (Low-A Delmarva): 3-3, 2B, HR, RBI; I will be seeing the former CWS star this week; potential plus hit tool; will need to provide enough power to profile at first base; .360/.440/.512 with 3 HR in 86 at-bats at Low-A.

Other notable prospect performances from April 29:

“The Good”

  • Raul Alcantara, RHP, Athletics (Low-A Beloit): 6.1 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 8 K; plus fastball; potential solid-average slider; average changeup; improving command; 28.1 IP, 31 H, 10 ER, 4 BB, 17 K in five starts thus far.
  • Stetson Allie, 1B, Pirates (Low-A West Virginia): 2-5, 2 HR, 2 R, 5 RBI, 3 K; plus-plus raw power; swing has a lot of length, which leads to a lot of swing and miss; will have to prove himself at higher levels before he will appear on prospect lists; 32-for-92 with 6 HR and 30 strikeouts thus far in Low-A.
  • Jose Berrios, RHP, Twins (Low-A Cedar Rapids): 6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 8 K; fastball works 92-94 and will touch even higher; curveball has plus potential and is a hard-breaker with depth; changeup has plus potential, but still needs to be developed.
  • Yeiper Castillo, RHP, Cubs (High-A Daytona): 4.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; low 90s fastball; working to command more effectively; changeup with solid-average potential; inconsistent curveball; repeating High-A at 24; 14.0 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 18 K in six appearances.
  • Tyler Glasnow, RHP, Pirates (Low-A West Virginia): 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 7 K; can really spin the curveball, which has plus potential; fastball works 90-94 with good downhill plane; still developing his changeup; deceptive delivery; will need to show he can repeat his mechanics; 20.0 IP, 10 H, 4 ER, 13 BB, 23 K in five starts.
  • Kyle Hendricks, RHP, Cubs (Double-A Tennessee): 6.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; command pitcher; three-pitch mix (fastball/curveball/changeup); will have to be on his game at all times; 26.0 IP, 22 H, 9 ER, 8 BB, 23 K in five starts.
  • Jeff McVaney, OF, Tigers (High-A Lakeland): 3-5, 2B, HR, 2 R, 3 RBI; average bat speed; plus raw power; tough positional profile means he will have to prove himself at every level.
  • Carlos Martinez, RHP, Cardinals (Double-A Springfield): 5.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K; Respectfully referred to as “Little Pedro” tonight by a scout; fastball works 95-plus and can touch 99 when he needs to, with good life to boot; curveball has plus potential; changeup could be plus plus; small frame; some believe he may be a frontline closer rather than a second or third starter.
  • Francellis Montas, RHP, Red Sox (Low-A Greenville): 5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 9 K; plus-plus fastball velocity; slider has solid-average potential; changeup still a work in progress; 21.0 IP, 23 H, 14 ER, 6 BB, 27 K in five starts.
  • Tom Murphy, C, Rockies (Low-A Asheville): 2-3, 3B, HR, 2 R, RBI, K; plus power potential; solid-average hit tool potential; defense is still a work in progress; .408/.500/.588 with 6 HR in 49 at-bats this season.
  • Jurickson Profar, SS, Rangers (Triple-A Round Rock): 2-4, 2 2B, 3 R, RBI, 2 BB; best all-around prospect in baseball; biding his time in Triple-A; five-tool potential shortstop.
  • Neftali Soto, 3B, Reds (Triple-A Louisville): 4-4, 2B, HR, 2 RBI; solid-average power; fringe-average hit tool; below-average runner; fringy defender at third; big-league-reserve ceiling; .313/.353/.484 in 64 Triple-A at-bats.
  • Bubba Starling, CF, Royals (Low-A Lexington): 2-4, HR, R, 2 RBI, K; plus raw power; plus-plus defensive profile; plus-plus runner; swing can get long; ultimate future depends on maturation of hit tool.
  • Drew Steckenrider, RHP, Marlins (Low-A Greensboro): 5.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K; dominating low minors with a monster fastball; secondary offerings are still a work in progress.

“The Bad”

  • Austin Brice, RHP, Marlins (Low-A Greensboro): 3.0 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 3 K; the struggle in Low-A continues for Brice; 20.2 IP, 21 H, 15 ER, 18 BB, 21 K in 5 starts.
  • Trevor May, RHP, Twins (Double-A New Britian): 4.0 IP, 9 H, 8 ER, 3 BB, 1 K; May, acquired as main prospect in Ben Revere trade, usually has swing-and-miss stuff, but was knocked around last night.
  • Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Diamondbacks (Triple-A Reno): 4.0 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 4 K; Skaggs is about ready to be done with the PCL.

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April 29, 2013

BP Unfiltered

The Week In Albert Pujols Playing Through Pain, April 22-April 28

Albert Pujols slowly continues to be slow.

When last we saw our hero, he was limping slowly to first base because of (at best) the pain of his plantar fasciitis or (at worse) lingering effects from his "very minor" offseason knee surgery or (at worst) some undisclosed foot, ankle, knee, or hip injury still to be diagnosed. He was trying his best but he was in a lot of pain. He was slow.

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BP Unfiltered

Starling Marte, Bryce Harper, and the Limits of WARP

Have Starling Marte and Bryce Harper really been equally valuable in 2013?

Earlier today, CBS baseball writer Jon Heyman asked a rather innocuous question on Twitter.


Tater Trot Tracker

Trot Times for April 28

The tater trots from April 28: Stanton's big weekend.

It's going to be a quick one today, so let's get right to the trots!

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