Baseball Prospectus Visits Safeco Field - May 25, 2013
BP Ball Park Tour Hits the Pacific Northwest
Baseball Prospectus and the Seattle Mariners invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, May 25 at Safeco Field. Thanks to the fine folks in the Mariners front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
- Admittance to a private "meet and greet" with special guests and Baseball Prospectus personalities (including Jason Parks, Matthew Kory, and Mike Ferrin) in the Safeco Field Interview Room 2 hours prior to game time
- A question and answer session with members of the Seattle Mariners Baseball Ops Department, including GM Jack Zduriencik and Asst. GM Jeff Kingston
- Main level ticket (in section 114) to watch the Mariners take on the Texas Rangers with Baseball Prospectus fans and staff
- Felix Hernandez Perfect Game bobblehead
- A $15 coupon to be used toward a new Baseball Prospectus Premium subscription or your next Premium renewal
Game time is 7:10 PM.
Reserve your spot now!
LAST DAY TO PURCHASE TICKETS WAS MAY 12
You must be logged in or create a free account to make your purchase. Confirmations with additional details will be sent within 3 days of your purchase.
April 27, 2013 3:15 PM
Effectively Wild Episode 164: Dan Evans on Being a Baseball Renaissance Man and His New Job with the Blue Jays
Ben and Sam talk to former Los Angeles Dodgers General Manager Dan Evans about his history as a baseball renaissance man and his new roles with the Toronto Blue Jays and the Northern League.
Games of Wednesday, March 20
Although Collin Cowgill lacks the tools to be a first-division regular, he could see significant time with the Mets this year.
Prospect of the Day: Collin Cowgill, OF, Mets (competing for a starting outfield job): 2-3, HR, R, 2 RBI. Acquired from the Athletics earlier this offseason for Jefry Marte, Cowgill lacks outstanding physical tools and instead relies on his baseball instincts and abilities to provide value on both sides of the ball. His overall profile would fit better in a fourth-outfielder role, but since the Mets’ outfield is a wasteland, he could earn regular at-bats for at least part of the season; .293/.370/.512 with three doubles, two home runs, and three stolen bases in 41 at-bats.
Other notable prospect performances from March 20:
- Trevor Bauer, RHP, Indians (expected to start the year in Triple-A Columbus): 3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 0 K. The third-overall pick the 2011 draft, Bauer has moved on to his second organization and is still working to improve his fastball command; four walks in 14 innings this spring.
- Jackie Bradley Jr., CF, Red Sox (expected to start the year in Triple-A Pawtucket): 2-4, 2B. The 40th-overall pick in 2011 is on a mission to prove everyone who passed on him wrong by using his superior bat-to-ball skills; .426/.526/.533 with eight walks in 45 at-bats this spring.
- Rob Brantly, C, Marlins (expected to start the year as the Marlins’ primary catcher): 2-3, 2 RBI, 2 2B. Acquired in the Anibal Sanchez-and-Omar Infante deal with the Tigers, Brantly is a bat-first catcher who has the ability to drive the ball to all fields; .310/.370/.381 in 42 at-bats.
- Gary Brown, CF, Giants (expected to start the year in Triple-A Fresno): 0-4, 2 R, BB, 2 K, SB. A first-round selection in 2010, Brown is still a plus-plus runner, and he improved in the second half of 2012 after making mechanical changes to his swing; .219/.265/.406 with three extra base-hits in 32 at-bats.
- Evan Gattis, C, Braves (expected to start the year in Triple-A Gwinnett): 1-5, K. The oft-discussed Braves prospect has impressive raw power, but limited defensive abilities and holes in his swing cloud his future potential; .357/.378/.619 with seven extra base-hits and 12 strikeouts in 42 spring at-bats.
- Heath Hembree, RHP, Giants (expected to start the season in Triple-A Fresno): 1 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, BB, K. Hembree owns a devastating fastball-slider combination that makes him one of the top relief prospects in the minors; two saves and six strikeouts in seven spring appearances.
- Travis Jankowski, OF, Padres (expected to start the season in High-A Lake Elsinore): 1-3, R, RBI, BB, K. A standout at Stony Brook, Jankowski is a plus runner and plays a really good center field, but he is still working on the other facets of his game; four hits in nine spring at-bats.
- Francisco Lindor, SS, Indians (expected to start the season in High-A Carolina). 0-2. Lindor, the Tribe’s top pick in 2011, shows plus-plus defensive ability and could eventually have a plus hit tool; 3-for-14 this spring at the age of 19.
- T.J. McFarland, LHP, Orioles (Rule Five pick pushing to stay on the big-league roster): 3 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 K. This lefty tries to induce ground balls by keeping his heavy fastball down in the zone; 1.9 ground out-to-air out ratio in 11 2/3 innings this spring.
- Kyle McPherson, RHP, Pirates (competing for the fifth-starter job with the Pirates): 4.2 IP, 10 H, 8 ER, 0 BB, 3 K. A big-bodied righty, McPherson relies on impressive command to overcome his lack of elite stuff; 23 hits allowed in 17 1/3 innings.
- Mark Montgomery, RHP, Yankees (expected to start the year in Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre): 1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K. Montgomery boasts one of the top off-speed pitches in the minors in his 70-grade slider, which will help him work meaningful innings in the back end of the Yankees' bullpen at some point in 2013; four strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings this spring.
March 21, 2013 5:00 AM
Starting Pitcher Guide Available Now
Paul Sporer & Doug Thorburn have released their 2013 SP Guide
Back in January, we made you aware of the Starting Pitcher Guide being put together by myself and Doug Thorburn. We could not be more proud of the resultant book that checked in at over 108,000 words of starting pitcher goodness. In the end, there were 436 pitchers analyzed across the 30 organizations along with a supplemental Excel file of colored tiers covering starters and bullpens, including potential closers in waiting and high-strikeout studs who could offer value in holds leagues or even as a dollar guy at the backend of your AL/NL only pitching staff.
Last time out, we whet your appetite with a one player sample that showed the analysis from both myself and Doug on A’s phenom Jarrod Parker. Today, we are offering a full team sample covering the Washington Nationals for you to peruse in order to get an idea of what you will be getting with the SP Guide. It is now available for just $12 via PayPal. This weekend and next will be the two biggest fantasy draft weekends of the season so get yours now.
March 20, 2013 3:10 PM
Effectively Wild Episode 163: All About the International Draft
Ben and Sam discuss the rumored approach of the international approach with highly informed guest Jorge Arangure.
Ben and Sam discuss the rumored approach of the international approach with highly informed guest Jorge Arangure.
Games of Tuesday, March 19
The Dodgers' $42 million man is impressing evaluators and fans in spring training.
Prospect of the Day: Yasiel Puig, OF, Dodgers (expected to start the year in Double-A Chattanooga): 4-4, 2 R, 2 RBI, 3B, HR, SB. Puig has turned heads this spring with his football-esque frame and jaw-dropping power. Many in the industry stuck their noses up at the Dodgers for spending $42 million on Puig, at that point an unproven commodity, but all signs now suggest that it will be a worthwhile investment; .500/.489/.804 with three home runs, 13 runs scored, and 10 RBI in 46 at-bats.
Other notable prospect performances from March 19:
- Adeiny Hechavarria, SS, Marlins (expected to be the starting shortstop): 1-3, R, RBI. A secondary piece in the package that Miami received from Toronto in the Jose Reyes/Josh Johnson/Mark Buehrle blockbuster, Hechavarria gets rave defensive reviews, but has a multitude of offensive question marks; .175/.227/.250 with only two extra base-hits in 40 at-bats.
- Shelby Miller, RHP, Cardinals (competing for the number-five starter job): 4 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K. Big-framed Texan with big fastball and a big-time shot at winning the last spot in the St. Louis rotation; 11 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings this spring.
- Trevor Rosenthal, RHP, Cardinals (expected to be the primary setup man): 1 IP, 0 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K. Rosenthal has an electric arm from which he uncorks an 8 fastball and 6 curveball that many scouts believe should lead to a rotation role; 5 1/3 innings, seven hits allowed, no walks, and seven strikeouts since moving back to the bullpen.
- Brock Holt, 2B/SS, Red Sox (expected to start the year in Triple-A Pawtucket): 1-1, R, BB. A throw-in prospect in the Joel Hanrahan trade, Holt has average-at-best tools that play up due to plus-plus makeup; .214/.267/.286 in 42 at-bats.
- Jose Iglesias, SS, Red Sox (expected to start the year in Triple-A Pawtucket, unless Stephen Drew starts on the disabled list): 1-2, K. Iglesias is an elite defender, but his slugging percentage in Grapefruit League play is a small-sample-size mirage.; .233/.267/.442 with six extra-base hits 43 at-bats.
- Kevin Gausman, RHP, Orioles (expected to start the year in Double-A Bowie): 2 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 3 K. Baltimore’s 2012 first-round pick is rapidly raising his stock with an impressive fastball-slider-changeup repertoire; 14 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings.
- Derrick Robinson, CF, Reds (expected to start the year in Triple-A Louisville): 3-3, 3 R, RBI, 2B. Robinson lacks the bat-to-ball skills necessary to secure a role in the majors, and after six years in the Royals’ farm system, he joined the Reds this offseason; .371/.389/.457 in 35 at-bats.
- Yorman Rodriguez, OF, Reds (expected to start the year in High-A Bakersfield): 1-2, 2B. A 2008 international bonus baby, Rodriguez has always shown raw power, arm strength, and running ability, but his strikeout rate and questions about his #want prevent him from climbing prospect lists; .350/.435/.800 in 20 at-bats.
- Corey Dickerson, OF, Rockies (expected to start the year in Double-A Tulsa): 2-2, 2 2B, 2 RBI. Dickerson has limited projection and a left-field-only defensive profile, but he is scrappy and shows excellent bat-to-ball skills that will enable him to stay on a major-league roster for years; .400/.458/.650 in 20 at-bats.
- Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies (expected to start the year in Triple-A Colorado Springs): 3-4, 2 R, RBI. Arenado is a polished hitter who is now showing the power scouts have long anticipated would come; .314/.314/.743 and four home runs in 35 at-bats.
- Luis Sardinas, SS, Rangers (expected to start the year in High-A Myrtle Beach): 1-2, R. A prototypical Venezuelan shortstop, Sardinas has a potential 6 hit tool and 7 defensive profile; 3-for-11 with two RBI and one run scored this spring.
- Nick Franklin, 2B, Mariners (expected to start the year in Triple-A Tacoma): 2-2, 2 R, 2 RBI, 2B, BB, SF, SB. As expected, Franklin will need to move to the right side of the infield. Fortunately, his solid contact rates and sneaky power will keep him on the prospect radar; .179/.233/.357 in 28 at-bats.
March 20, 2013 5:00 AM
The New Shifters
Which pitchers are sliding on the rubber this spring?
My piece on Monday touched on Tim Collins and the league's top rubber shifters last season. The new season hasn't started yet when it does there are already a number of pitchers slated to slide along the rubber. Here's an incomplete index of those pitchers.
Donnie Joseph (Source, hat tip to Patrick):
Eiland also altered Joseph’s balance over the rubber and eliminated the hitch. It was, pretty much, a complete overhaul -- similar to Eiland’s reconstruction a year earlier on another lefty reliever: Tim Collins.
Allen Webster (Source, hat tip to Marc Normandin):
"A lot of two-seamer guys, they're either in the middle of the rubber or on the first base side of the rubber. Webby was way on the right side, so you see him chasing right-handers a lot because he's so far away. So when you move him over it gives him an easier plane to throw his sinker," said Nieves. "Instead of sitting on the third-base side trying to throw a sinker, you place him in the middle and the sinker plays a little more on top of the plate and you can run balls into righties. He can sink it away from a lefty. He can actually front-door a lefty or back-door a righty at a different angle."
Ricky Romero (Source, hat tip to Drew Fairservice):
In addition to changing some mechanics in his throwing motion, Romero’s positioning on the mound will also shift. He had usually set up closer to first base before beginning his throwing sequence, but found that he had some difficulty to get in on right handed hitters.
Now, as part of the adjustments with Walker, Romero will move to the middle of the rubber.
Please feel free to add more in the comments.
March 19, 2013 12:25 PM
Games of Monday, March 18
The Marlins' top prospect is flashing his offensive potential in Grapefruit League play.
Prospect of the Day: Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins: 2-3 HR, R, RBI, CS. Elite hitting prospect may be pinned to a left-field defensive profile, but the bat has a chance to be special. Yelich has a potential 7 hit tool and is making leaps in the power department as he develops; .359/.457/.795 with four home runs, 12 runs scored, and 12 RBI in 39 spring at-bats.
Other notable prospect performances from March 18:
- Bruce Rondon, RHP, Tigers: 1 IP, W, BB, 2K. Near-elite fastball-slider arsenal misses plenty of bats, but Rondon lacks the command necessary to be trusted in the ninth inning; 15 strikeouts and seven walks in 8 2/3 innings.
- Travis d'Arnaud, C, Mets: 2-3, 2 R, 2B. Top-rated catching prospect has an excellent contact swing and shows power to all fields; .345/.412/.483 with four doubles in 29 at-bats.
- Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals: 2-4, RBI. Taveras displays jaw-dropping hitting ability by combining elite bat speed with excellent plate discipline, all at the age of 20; .300/.340/.500 with two home runs and 10 RBI in 50 at-bats.
- Jackie Bradley, Jr., OF, Red Sox: 1-3, R, BB. A defensive wizard, Bradley has also impressed scouts with his on-base ability and sneaky power from the left side; .436/.551/.564 in 39 at-bats.
- Jeremy Hazelbaker, OF, Red Sox: 1-1, R, SB. Former fourth-round pick has always had tools but has never had a strikeout rate below 23 percent; .375/.474/.500 in 16 at-bats.
- Travis Shaw, 1B, Red Sox: 0-4, 4 K. Since being promoted to Double-A, Shaw has struggled due to his limited bat speed; 0-for-5 with five strikeouts this spring.
- Aaron Hicks, CF, Twins: 0-2, R, BB. A first-round pick in 2008, Hicks is a plus defender with plate discipline, raw power, and good speed, and is expected to begin the year as Minnesota’s everyday center fielder; .306/.352/.632 with four homers and 13 RBI in 49 at-bats.
- Matt Den Dekker, CF, Mets: 0-3, K. Outstanding defensive center fielder struggles offensively with a below-average hit tool and below-average power; .194/.216/.278 with 14 strikeouts in 36 at-bats.
- Adam Eaton, CF, Diamondbacks: 2-2, 3B, R, RBI. Former 19th-round pick has developed into a top-of-the-order bat with solid bat-to-ball ability and plus-plus speed; .382/.397/.545 with 21 hits and 11 runs scored in 55 at-bats.
- Darin Ruf, LF, Phillies: 2-5, 2 R, RBI, K, 2 2B. Ruf has struggled to catch up to major-league velocity this spring (as well as a few fly balls); .224/.309/.388 with 11 strikeouts in 49 at-bats.
- Donnie Joseph, LHP, Royals: 1 IP, 0 H, 2 BB, 2 K. The headliner in the return for Jonathan Broxton has used his fastball-slider tandem to miss plenty of bats in Arizona; 12 strikeouts in seven innings.
- J.J. Hoover, RHP, Reds: 1.1 IP, 4 K. Acquired from the Braves for Juan Francisco, Hoover has thrived since being moved to the bullpen and focusing on his sinker-curveball combination; 14 strikeouts in eight innings.
March 19, 2013 4:34 AM