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April 3, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Seeking Balance and Value

0

Keith Cromer

It's tough to argue with those two criteria, which guided Keith's selections this year.

Mike Gianella recently released his latest mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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April 2, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Find a Way to Get Trout

0

Bret Sayre

Bret buys an upside-laden pitching staff and leaves over the $47 he needs to put Mike Trout atop his roster.

Mike Gianella recently released his latest mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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April 2, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Balance, Balance, Balance

0

Matt Collins

Matt eschews the Billy Hamiltons of the world for reliable, four-category contributors.

Process:

When I’m going into an auction, balance is the biggest thing I’m looking for. I like to target players who are pretty good at everything, but not necessarily great in any one area. While Billy Hamilton’s huge steal numbers are going to go for $30-plus in some leagues, I’ll stick with the Matt Hollidays of the world who are a safe bet to contribute in four categories for a mid-teens price. Offensively, I’ll typically let the biggest-name players slide and anchor my lineup with a handful of players in the $15-$25 range. I’ll use my last few roster spots to shore up any areas I may be lacking in. On the pitching side, I like to build around one big name to anchor my staff, and then fill in with cheaper options. Those cheap options should be a mix of boring veterans and high-upside young arms. I’m looking for cheap saves, too, and the best way to find them is to target some players who may not be viewed as full-time closers right now but should get a decent save total by the end of the year.

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April 1, 2015 11:48 am

My Model Portfolio: Trust Your Instincts

2

J.P. Breen

After a few months of preparation, J.P. invests in the players he believes are primed to take the next step.

Process

When I sat down to compile a championship fantasy squad with a full $260 budget (using Mike Gianella’s player values), I did not have a coherent strategy. In fact, I sifted through each position, grabbing players by feel and trying to identify either elite players I coveted or players I thought were undervalued. In this way, I sought to avoid outsmarting myself and overthinking.

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April 1, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Heavy is the Head That Wears the Crown

1

Wilson Karaman

Defending champion (he says) Wilson reveals his ideal squad for 2015.

Mike Gianella recently released his latest mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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March 31, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Stars, Scrubs, and High-End Starters

4

Nick Shlain

Nick splurges on the Tiger tandem of Miguel Cabrera and David Price, and builds his team around a handful of high-value bats.

The Process:
Mixed leagues are adorable. Look at all of these players—the possibilities are almost endless. Even so, I stuck to my guns and played out a mostly stars-and-scrubs approach for this exercise. It’s my preferred strategy in any mixed league because the replacement-level value on the waiver wire in mixed leagues is significantly higher than in an “-only” format. Even if I completely whiff on estimating a player’s value or lose one due to injury, the waiver wire won’t be a complete wasteland when it’s time to find a replacement.

I’m not especially concerned with having three $1 players on offense because of the point I just made about replacement level being what it is in mixed leagues. Once I saw that Stephen Vogt was only $1, I knew I wanted to grab him and a $1 catcher to save some money at the position with an eye toward making Vogt my catcher once he gains in-season eligibility there. This allowed me to buy five offensive players for at least $21 each.


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March 31, 2015 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Framing Decisions Around Value

0

Jeff Quinton

Jeff starts by taking the players he likes more than our bid values, then fills out his roster with the money left over.

Overall Strategy:

Last year, I got caught in the trap of wanting an impact player in each position-player slot, which led to me taking a lot of lower-probability, upside plays that did not pan out. The problem here was not with risk, but rather with framing my decisions through something other than value. This year, my strategy was to first take all the players I like more than Mike Gianella (the creator of the values) and then tweak my roster if needed in order to avoid any category deficiencies.

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July 22, 2014 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Three-and-a-Half Months Later

3

Bret Sayre

Checking in on how the fantasy staff's ideal rosters have fared to date.

During the last week of March, the BP Fantasy team set out to complete a fun exercise that I set out for everyone. Using Mike Gianella’s pre-season bid limits from March 21, all nine members of the team at the time completed a 23-man roster for $260. It sounded like such a fun idea that soon-to-be Editor-in Chief Sam Miller and pitching mechanics guru Doug Thorburn decided to submit entries. And finally, I received a very well thought out e-mail from reader “Cronfordox” (otherwise known as Scott) with a team of his own, which I included to bring us to an even number of 12 entries. We understand 12-team leagues. It makes sense.

If you want to go and read the explanations of the teams we created at the time, here are all of the links in one place, but for this piece we’re going to concentrate on how our individual teams have fared. So you don’t have to start clicking around, here were the parameters:

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March 31, 2014 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Yes, I Paid for Trout

2

Wilson Karaman

See how Wilson built his team after shelling out $46 for the best player in the game.

Mike Gianella recently released his latest mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff (and anyone else on the BP roster who wants to participate) will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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March 31, 2014 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Two Aces

2

Doug Thorburn

Doug's attachment to arms shines through as he nabs David Price and Felix Hernandez to anchor his dream Roto staff.

Process:
I tend to go with something resembling the stars-and-scrubs approach, mostly because I think that it's possible to identify “scrubs” who will be productive. It's no secret that I have an attachment to arms, and I always make a point to secure a pair of aces in my fantasy leagues, whether draft or auction.

The knock against pitchers is that they always get hurt, which tends to depress their value, and the injury-risk makes it all the more important to have two top-end guys at the top of my fantasy rotation—if one gets hurt then my season is not necessarily down the drain, because ace no. 2 can carry the weight. So my staff is top-heavy, after which it's time to go dumpster-diving, and I take great joy each fantasy season in identifying the cheap pitchers who will ascend to the next level. Oh, and sucks to closers—they are way too volatile to trust in a league where rosters are locked on Opening Day, so I'll just go ahead and aim for victories in the counting stats of Ks and Ws while sacrificing saves. My calculator says that two 15s and a 1 supersede the worth of a sixth-place finish in three categories, and the draft-and-lock setup changes the game in this case.


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March 28, 2014 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: The Rare "Spend More on Offense" Strategy

3

Ben Carsley

Ben devotes more than 70 percent of his $260 budget to bats.

On Friday, March 21, Mike Gianella released Version Four of his mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff (and anyone else on the BP roster who wants to participate) will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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March 28, 2014 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Stars and Scrubs

9

Mike Gianella

Mike Trout, Miguel Cabrera, and...

On Friday, March 21, Mike Gianella released Version Four of his mixed league Bid Limits, which spurred an idea from Bret Sayre called Model Portfolios, wherein the fantasy staff (and anyone else on the BP roster who wants to participate) will create their own team within the confines of a standard 23-man, $260 budget. The roster being constructed includes: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OFx5, UTx2, and Px9 along with the following standards issued by Sayre:

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