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Zachary Levine 

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07-08

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7

Skewed Left: Fixing a Hole Where the Votes Came In
by
Zachary Levine

04-10

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0

BP Unfiltered: The Best Part of the Twins Season So Far
by
Zachary Levine

04-06

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3

Transaction Analysis: Keeping Kluber and Carrasco in Cleveland
by
Zachary Levine

03-27

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0

Skewed Left: History Repeats Itself
by
Zachary Levine

03-18

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5

Every Team's Moneyball: Houston Astros: Luhnow Life Financial
by
Zachary Levine

03-09

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0

BP Unfiltered: A Kershaw Day fun fact
by
Zachary Levine

03-09

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6

Kershaw Day
by
Zachary Levine

02-25

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4

Skewed Left: Indians Get a Head Start
by
Zachary Levine

02-12

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14

Skewed Left: Quoth PECOTA "Nevermore"
by
Zachary Levine

02-05

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2

Skewed Left: It Was the Best of Times... Emphasis on Was
by
Zachary Levine

01-28

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15

Skewed Left: Favorite PECOTA Comps
by
Zachary Levine

01-14

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11

Skewed Left: Just Once Before I Die...
by
Zachary Levine

01-08

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2

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 596: Hall Hypotheticals and Other Luminous Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

01-07

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5

Skewed Left: An Astro for the Ages
by
Zachary Levine

12-18

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10

Skewed Left: Padres Can't Play It Safe
by
Zachary Levine

12-12

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10

Transaction Analysis: The Pitchers the Reds Shed
by
R.J. Anderson, Zachary Levine and Jordan Gorosh

12-09

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5

Transaction Analysis: The Serious Sox
by
Zachary Levine

11-20

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10

Skewed Left: Saving on Stanton?
by
Zachary Levine

11-13

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0

Skewed Left: Fixing Awards Season
by
Zachary Levine

11-10

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5

Skewed Left: Rarefied Rookie Relief
by
Zachary Levine

10-31

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19

Skewed Left: Those Lucky Red Sox
by
Zachary Levine

10-23

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4

Playoff Prospectus: Royals Spit Hot Fire: World Series Game 2
by
Zachary Levine

10-22

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Preview
by
Zachary Levine

10-16

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9

Skewed Left: The Molina Mind-bender
by
Zachary Levine

10-07

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3

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Irony Of Ryu's Strong Start
by
Zachary Levine

10-06

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5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-03

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1

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers vs. Cardinals
by
Zachary Levine

09-29

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0

Skewed Left: All Games Are Equal Except For These
by
Zachary Levine

09-17

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5

Skewed Left: How to Change Things When Change is Hard
by
Zachary Levine

09-11

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2

Skewed Left: It's Not a No-Hitter 'til _____
by
Zachary Levine

09-05

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4

Skewed Left: The Billy Beane Famous-Old-DH Gambit
by
Zachary Levine

08-28

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21

Skewed Left: A Three-Hour Tour
by
Zachary Levine

08-21

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4

Skewed Left: Saber Seminar One Year From Now
by
Zachary Levine

08-14

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16

Skewed Left: Where Have All The Suspensions Gone?
by
Zachary Levine

08-01

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4

Transaction Analysis: Astros, Marlins, Swap Sell-Low Guys
by
Zachary Levine, Jeff Moore, J.P. Breen and Jason Parks

07-31

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1

Skewed Left: The Nomar Garciaparra Trade Turns Ten
by
Zachary Levine

07-25

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4

Skewed Left: The Mismatched Incentives of Draftees and Their Agents
by
Zachary Levine

07-17

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 494: Evan Drellich on the Astros' Aiken Pains
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

07-15

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4

Skewed Left: What Is An All-Star Pitcher?
by
Zachary Levine

07-09

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7

Skewed Left: What the CBA Says About the All-Star Game
by
Zachary Levine

07-03

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16

Skewed Left: The Ingrained, Misguided, 162-Game Schedule
by
Zachary Levine

06-26

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3

Skewed Left: Which Position Players Make the Best Pitchers?
by
Zachary Levine

06-19

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2

Skewed Left: The Missing Mound Charge
by
Zachary Levine

06-12

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1

Skewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with Pitchers
by
Zachary Levine

06-05

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17

Skewed Left: The Economics of the Singleton Extension
by
Zachary Levine

05-29

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7

Skewed Left: What We've Learned About Replay
by
Zachary Levine

05-22

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1

Skewed Left: Dallas Keuchel Defies his Destiny
by
Zachary Levine

05-13

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21

Skewed Left: How Much Losing Jose Fernandez Hurts
by
Zachary Levine

05-08

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2

Skewed Left: The Five Teams That Don't Have to Play by (All of) the Rules
by
Zachary Levine

05-01

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0

Skewed Left: Staying Alive in the Independent Leagues, 2014 Edition
by
Zachary Levine

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The changes made to this year's All-Star Game voting may have been rushed, but they also may be the answer.

In a way, the institution of the much-debated and occasionally-mocked USA vs. the World format for the All-Star Game did exactly what it was supposed to do. And yet in many others, the announcement of the first ever starting lineups under this format last night only underscored how sloppily this was put together and how much there is to clean up for 2018.

There were few changes since the previous round of voting with Xander Bogaerts over Carlos Correa on the world team being the only verdict that carried any drama last night. But in case anyone missed it: here are the starting lineups, which were announced in the first of two prime time broadcasts, the second with the pitchers and reserves coming tonight.

Read the full article...

...is a suspension.

Let’s say you’re a terrible baseball team. You’re the kind of team that could get swept in the Tigers in its opening series by an aggregate score of 22-1 and not have Baseball Twitter coming within a mile of defending you as small sample size victims.

Read the full article...

The Indians decision to lock up to of their starting pitchers without much of a track record makes sense based on the lack of arms coming through their system.



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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: History Repeats Itself

0

Zachary Levine

An offseason filled with sugestions of change following another year of stifled offense brings about a familiar feeling.

What’s troubling baseball, though, is a fear: People may admire good pitching, but how long will they pay to see it?Joseph Durso, The New York Times, May 1968

Managers have come up with new strategic concepts. The main difference is that they now platoon their pitchers... Fresh pitchers keep streaming in. Once upon a time a hitter could adjust to a pitcher after he’d come to bat a couple of times and the pitcher was beginning to tire. Now they get no chance to tire and the hitter has no opportunity to adjust. The game has become one-sided. –Former Yankees All-Star shortstop Tony Kubek, July 1968

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How the Astros double as an insurance company.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the payroll artists Houston Astros and San Diego Padres.

Previous team previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays



Read the full article...

Clayton Kershaw's numbers would look even better if he didn't have such bad luck with his road ballparks.

Are you enjoying your Clayton Kershaw Day? We’re glad we can play a small part in spreading the awareness that he’s good at baseball.

Read the full article...

March 9, 2015 5:00 am

Kershaw Day

6

Zachary Levine

PECOTA expects Kershaw to be great once again, but what do the extreme projections, both good and bad ends, foresee?

Clayton Kershaw is, according to the PECOTA projections, supposed to be the best pitcher in baseball this year. This is hardly a surprise. He was the best pitcher in baseball last year. By ERA+, he’s also been the best pitcher in baseball over the last two years, the last three years, the last four years, the last five years, the last six years, the last seven years, and with enough innings to qualify, the seven-year veteran has been the best pitcher in baseball over the last eight years.

The projection is something pretty familiar for Kershaw: A 2.23 ERA, 237 strikeouts in 224 innings, a 19-9 win-loss record—numbers that would give him another Cy Young Award should he be in the running against pretty much anybody other than 2014 Kershaw. The 5.8 WARP would fit right in within 0.3 wins of each of his three best seasons and a small regression from last year’s performance.

Read the full article...

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February 25, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Indians Get a Head Start

4

Zachary Levine

Are the Indians early start times a roundabout way to keep from losing viewers late during long games?

If the Cleveland Indians discovered the fix—or more accurately, the workaround—to baseball’s pace of game problem, they did it by accident.

In a move that didn’t make too many waves on Lake Erie, even in our slowest month for baseball news, the Indians will shift five home games from the usual weekday start time of 7:10 p.m. to the special time of 6:10 p.m. The games are all Mondays, Tuesdays or Wednesdays and all on or before May 13.

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February 12, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Quoth PECOTA "Nevermore"

14

Zachary Levine

PECOTA seems to always underestimate the Orioles. Another last-place finish is projected, but is it justified?

As far as February traditions go, it’s moving right up there with rural Pennsylvanians’ abuse of a groundhog and LL Cool J mailing in his Grammy hosting duties. Every year as teams prepare to load up the trucks for spring training, PECOTA gives the Orioles a nice sendoff with a last-place prediction.

It doesn’t matter if they won the year before. And in the small sample size of the last four years, all of which have featured a last-place projection in Baltimore, it doesn’t seem to preclude their winning the division, as they turned last-place outlooks into first-place finishes in both 2012 and 2014.

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February 5, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: It Was the Best of Times... Emphasis on Was

2

Zachary Levine

PECOTA says the Phillies are headed for the worst record in baseball, just four years after having the best. It turns out that's pretty rare.

When it comes to collapses—and the big ones, like from the very top to the very bottom—the 1998 Florida Marlins are the brand name standard. They won the 1997 World Series, and after disposing of Kevin Brown, Bobby Bonilla, Moises Alou and Charles Johnson, finished a major league worst 54-108 the very next year.

They were the Wild Card, though, and not to reignite a discussion of whether that means they truly went best to worst, what the Phillies are capable of doing this year is a best-to-worst in its purest sense.

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January 28, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Favorite PECOTA Comps

15

Zachary Levine

The author takes a look at some of the names PECOTA comes up with as comparisons to certain players, from the odd to the interesting.

Happy PECOTA Day, which, barring any last-minute surprises, will culminate in the release of our 2015 projections early this afternoon. ! I didn’t get you anything, but it’s the thought that counts.

Last year was my first time putting together the list of favorite PECOTA comps—you can read the introduction and disclaimers there—and doing it for a second time proved once again to be a really fun exercise. You get to see where it’s scariest (fun debut year, Masahiro Tanaka, here’s a Jeremy Bonderman comp), where it’s the most tantalizing (Joey Gallo: Giancarlo Stanton) and of course where it’s the most unintentionally racist (Koji Uehara: Takashi Saito).

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How much value does the Brewers Timeless Ticket promotion really hold?

The Milwaukee Brewers are asking you to guess when you’re going to die.

Not so explicitly, and this isn’t one of those carnival games where if you get it right within a year you walk away with the stuffed Scooter Gennett. But that’s the grim math behind what was a really fun promotion that was publicized yesterday after a relatively quiet October announcement.

Read the full article...

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