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Happy Thanksgiving! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume Monday, December 1

Zachary Levine 

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11-20

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9

Skewed Left: Saving on Stanton?
by
Zachary Levine

11-13

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0

Skewed Left: Fixing Awards Season
by
Zachary Levine

11-10

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5

Skewed Left: Rarefied Rookie Relief
by
Zachary Levine

10-31

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18

Skewed Left: Those Lucky Red Sox
by
Zachary Levine

10-23

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4

Playoff Prospectus: Royals Spit Hot Fire: World Series Game 2
by
Zachary Levine

10-22

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Preview
by
Zachary Levine

10-16

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9

Skewed Left: The Molina Mind-bender
by
Zachary Levine

10-07

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3

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Irony Of Ryu's Strong Start
by
Zachary Levine

10-06

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5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-03

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1

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers vs. Cardinals
by
Zachary Levine

09-29

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0

Skewed Left: All Games Are Equal Except For These
by
Zachary Levine

09-17

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5

Skewed Left: How to Change Things When Change is Hard
by
Zachary Levine

09-11

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2

Skewed Left: It's Not a No-Hitter 'til _____
by
Zachary Levine

09-05

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4

Skewed Left: The Billy Beane Famous-Old-DH Gambit
by
Zachary Levine

08-28

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21

Skewed Left: A Three-Hour Tour
by
Zachary Levine

08-21

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4

Skewed Left: Saber Seminar One Year From Now
by
Zachary Levine

08-14

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16

Skewed Left: Where Have All The Suspensions Gone?
by
Zachary Levine

08-01

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4

Transaction Analysis: Astros, Marlins, Swap Sell-Low Guys
by
Zachary Levine, Jeff Moore, J.P. Breen and Jason Parks

07-31

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1

Skewed Left: The Nomar Garciaparra Trade Turns Ten
by
Zachary Levine

07-25

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4

Skewed Left: The Mismatched Incentives of Draftees and Their Agents
by
Zachary Levine

07-17

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 494: Evan Drellich on the Astros' Aiken Pains
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

07-15

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4

Skewed Left: What Is An All-Star Pitcher?
by
Zachary Levine

07-09

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7

Skewed Left: What the CBA Says About the All-Star Game
by
Zachary Levine

07-03

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16

Skewed Left: The Ingrained, Misguided, 162-Game Schedule
by
Zachary Levine

06-26

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3

Skewed Left: Which Position Players Make the Best Pitchers?
by
Zachary Levine

06-19

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2

Skewed Left: The Missing Mound Charge
by
Zachary Levine

06-12

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1

Skewed Left: The Wisdom of Pinch-Hitting with Pitchers
by
Zachary Levine

06-05

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17

Skewed Left: The Economics of the Singleton Extension
by
Zachary Levine

05-29

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7

Skewed Left: What We've Learned About Replay
by
Zachary Levine

05-22

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1

Skewed Left: Dallas Keuchel Defies his Destiny
by
Zachary Levine

05-13

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21

Skewed Left: How Much Losing Jose Fernandez Hurts
by
Zachary Levine

05-08

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2

Skewed Left: The Five Teams That Don't Have to Play by (All of) the Rules
by
Zachary Levine

05-01

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0

Skewed Left: Staying Alive in the Independent Leagues, 2014 Edition
by
Zachary Levine

04-24

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9

Skewed Left: The Squandered Promise of the Diamondbacks Rotation
by
Zachary Levine

04-18

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4

Skewed Left: How Service Time Dictates Top Prospect Promotions
by
Zachary Levine

04-16

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0

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 429: The Dodgers, DirecTV, and Baseball's Broadcast Bubble/Your Finest Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

04-10

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7

Skewed Left: The Surprising Sameness of Justin Upton
by
Zachary Levine

04-03

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11

Skewed Left: The Revolving Door Rankings
by
Zachary Levine

03-27

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11

Skewed Left: PECOTA vs. Vegas
by
Zachary Levine

03-25

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10

Prospectus Preview: AL East 2014 Preseason Preview
by
Andrew Koo and Zachary Levine

03-20

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7

Skewed Left: Where Are All the Australian Position Players?
by
Zachary Levine

03-13

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25

Skewed Left: The Good and the Bad News About Instant Replay's Spring Trial
by
Zachary Levine

03-07

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3

BP Unfiltered: Your Attempts To Explain Baseball
by
Zachary Levine

03-06

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42

Skewed Left: The Art of Explaining Baseball
by
Zachary Levine

02-27

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13

Skewed Left: What it Means to Move Off Catcher
by
Zachary Levine

02-26

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5

BP Unfiltered: Sabermetrics Goes MOOC
by
Zachary Levine

02-13

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41

Point/Counterpoint
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

02-13

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9

Skewed Left: Fun with 2014 PECOTA Comparables
by
Zachary Levine

02-06

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7

Skewed Left: The Truth About One-Day Contracts
by
Zachary Levine

01-30

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18

Skewed Left: Saying Goodbye to Lance Berkman
by
Zachary Levine

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November 20, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Saving on Stanton?

9

Zachary Levine

Just how much does backloading Giancarlo Stanton's contract help the Marlins?

That the Marlins are backloading Giancarlo Stanton’s contract in order to go out and sign players now is a nice story. It might also be true—there’s fair reason to doubt it, given the Marlins’ dubious history when it comes to spending—but giving him $6.5 million in 2015 rather than the $25 million average annual value of the deal frees up space to make a better run in 2015.

And Stanton is saying all the right things. At his Wednesday press conference, the takeaway line was “We’ve got to trust that we are all in it to win it,” a trust that seemed to be all but gone when Stanton was sniping at his own front office after the post-2012 liquidation sale.

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November 13, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Fixing Awards Season

0

Zachary Levine

The timing of the baseball awards creates a few issues, is there a better way to do things?

It’s probably more this year than most years, but every time an award comes out this awards season, we’re realizing more and more that we’ve entered disclaimer season.

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November 10, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Rarefied Rookie Relief

5

Zachary Levine

Dellin Betances may not have racked up the saves, but that hasn't stopped voters from giving Rookie of the Year votes to a non-closer, something that rarely happens.

Dellin Betances very well could, at a few minutes after 6 p.m. Bronx Time, post the highest finish ever in the Rookie of the Year voting for a middle reliever.

He won’t win. Jose Abreu will win and very well could receive all 30 of the American League’s first-place votes to join Mike Trout and Evan Longoria as the only unanimous AL MVPs since the Jeter-and-Nomar back-to-backs of the mid-1990s.

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October 31, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: Those Lucky Red Sox

18

Zachary Levine

Perhaps the 88-win Giants had luck on their side in winning the 2014 World Series, but can the same be said for the 97-win 2013 Red Sox?

We as a community tended to view our 2014 bracket champion San Francisco Giants, not to mention the Royals who finished a neck behind, as a little bit lucky. Hence, the rather dismissive language associated with the seventh and 10th best teams from the regular season, the latter being the one crowned champion. Hence, the discussion of whether the playoff structure had failed us.

We didn’t – OK, fine, I didn’t – want any runners-up winning short series and fluking their way to a title in a sport that used to be designed to reward the start-to-finish steady.

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The Royals staff threw some major heat and every key moment went their way as they snagged Game Two and evened the World Series at a game apiece.

Sometime before a parade broke out on the path from the visiting bullpen and well before a fight, or more accurately a halfhearted inter-dugout posturing contest, broke out around home plate, the Futures Game broke out at Kauffman Stadium.

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With a rested Giants pen and a Royals' starter who exited his last start with shoulder issues, Game Two of the World Series could come down to which group of relievers steps up.

The difference between a tied series and an imposing lead for the Giants will likely be in the grips of the relievers, although for a very different reason on both sides. It’s a 13-year vet who’s happened upon the last two World Series taking on a rookie whose start couldn’t possibly come with more question marks. And then the real show will begin.

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Could sending Molina to the batter's box essentially without a bat be a better option for the Cardinals simply due to his elite talents behind the plate?

When Yadier Molina went to the bullpen to warm up Trevor Rosenthal in Game 3 of the NLCS, the speculation was totally warranted. Why not bring Molina in to catch with his oblique injury? That’s something that affects the swing, and if you can get some defensive work out of him, that’s where so much of his value is anyway.

In that light, we had received one of my favorite questions to the Effectively Wild podcast, which Ben and Sam passed along:

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The Cardinals lefties keep beating up on the Dodgers lefties, but the Dodgers will turn to a very special lefty in Game Four.

If Hyun-Jin Ryu, after walking Matt Holliday in the first inning, had grabbed his left shoulder like he did after the first inning on Sept. 12th, which was the only inning he’d pitched in the past four weeks, it would have been a disaster for the Dodgers. If he had thrown a complete game, it would have been a borderline miracle.

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October 6, 2014 5:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews

5

Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

The Giants and Nationals will play what feels like Game Four, while the Dodger will lean on a returning Ryu.

The Nationals were one out away from evening up the NLDS on Saturday night, but instead wound up on the wrong end of a historic, 18-inning affair, losing 2-1 to the Giants on a Brandon Belt home run. Now they try to become just the ninth team in postseason history to win a five0game series after losing the first two games. Here is a look at the PECOTA odds and projected lineups for Game Three of the NLDS.

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October 3, 2014 7:34 pm

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Dodgers vs. Cardinals

1

Zachary Levine

Two of the more storied franchises in the National League face off, with the two best starters in the league kicking things off on Friday evening.

With the postseason’s marquee series being the last to play ball, they didn’t even need those extra days at the end. The Dodgers didn’t need to put away the Giants with a week to go, and the Cardinals didn’t need to call Adam Wainwright back from the bullpen Sunday night to keep him fresh.

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September 29, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: All Games Are Equal Except For These

0

Zachary Levine

In hindsight, some games loom larger than others for the six teams that were still fighting for position on the last day of the year.

With three races coming down to Game 162 on Sunday, we didn’t get that much drama, but we got some memorable performances. We’ll remember David Price pitching the Tigers to the AL Central crown and, maybe even more, Sonny Gray shutting out the Rangers to give the Athletics the final playoff spot.

But divisions are not won, playoff spots not earned, in Game 162 alone. They can be won or, in three excruciating cases, lost anywhere in the 183-day season.

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September 17, 2014 6:00 am

Skewed Left: How to Change Things When Change is Hard

5

Zachary Levine

Ten players who turned their seasons around after being traded

Brandon McCarthy’s pitch this offseason was probably going to be one of faith. He was going to have to convince teams that he was what his fielding independent pitching said about him, not what the results did. In 78 innings with the Yankees, the whole tone of the presentation changed.

Since his trade from Arizona, McCarthy’s ERA has been cut nearly in half, from 5.01 with the Diamondbacks to 2.54 in New York. His walk and strikeout rates have improved slightly, but they were already fine; it’s been the BABIP and a change in his repertoire from more two-seamers to more cutters and four-seamers that have made the difference.

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