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Wilson Karaman 

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01-21

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8

The Adjuster: Second Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-16

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7

Player Profile: Ike Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-14

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5

The Adjuster: First Basemen
by
Wilson Karaman

01-07

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17

The Adjuster: Catchers
by
Wilson Karaman

12-31

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0

Transaction Analysis: Rays Take A Cab
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Nick Shlain

12-29

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1

Transaction Analysis: Grilli, Pierz In
by
R.J. Anderson

12-23

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Still Holliday Season
by
Wilson Karaman

12-20

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10

Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a Star
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre, Jordan Gorosh, Jeff Moore and Ethan Purser

12-19

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5

Transaction Analysis: Catchin' Relief
by
Matthew Trueblood, R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Mike Gianella, Jordan Gorosh and Chris Rodriguez

12-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: Bringing the Band Back Together... Again
by
Daniel Rathman and Wilson Karaman

12-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: Live That Fantasy
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-18

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9

Transaction Analysis: Padres Add Myers
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Tucker Blair

12-15

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9

Transaction Analysis: Melky Laughs Last
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-12

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15

Transaction Analysis: All the Fantasy Angles
by
J.P. Breen, Mike Gianella, Wilson Karaman, Ben Carsley and Nick Shlain

12-10

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4

Fantasy Team Preview: San Diego Padres
by
Wilson Karaman

12-05

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5

Transaction Analysis: The Mariners Get Happy
by
R.J. Anderson and Wilson Karaman

12-04

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?
by
Wilson Karaman

12-01

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7

Transaction Analysis: On Trading a Superstar With Two Years Service Time
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre and Nick J. Faleris

11-21

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5

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
by
Wilson Karaman

11-18

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10

Transaction Analysis: Heyward Movement
by
Sam Miller, Jeff Moore, Ben Carsley and Wilson Karaman

11-10

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7

Fantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue Jays
by
Wilson Karaman

10-30

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Accept that Justin Upton is Quite Good
by
Wilson Karaman

10-21

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Alcides Escobar
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Shelby Miller
by
Wilson Karaman

10-03

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Denard Span
by
Wilson Karaman

09-25

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Using FIP to Find Value
by
Wilson Karaman

09-19

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26
by
Wilson Karaman

09-12

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13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25
by
Wilson Karaman

09-05

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13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24
by
Wilson Karaman

08-29

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23
by
Wilson Karaman

08-22

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12

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22
by
Wilson Karaman

08-15

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21
by
Wilson Karaman

08-08

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11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20
by
Wilson Karaman

08-01

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19
by
Wilson Karaman

07-25

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9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18
by
Wilson Karaman

07-18

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5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 17
by
Wilson Karaman

07-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Buy or Sell: Charlie Morton
by
Wilson Karaman

07-03

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11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15
by
Wilson Karaman

06-27

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2

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 14
by
Wilson Karaman

06-20

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13
by
Wilson Karaman

06-13

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9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 12
by
Wilson Karaman

06-06

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 11
by
Wilson Karaman

05-30

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 10
by
Wilson Karaman

05-23

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Nine
by
Wilson Karaman

05-16

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4

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Eight
by
Wilson Karaman

05-15

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: The Middle of the Road
by
Wilson Karaman

05-09

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18

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Seven
by
Wilson Karaman

05-02

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Six
by
Wilson Karaman

04-25

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3

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Five
by
Wilson Karaman

04-11

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12

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Three
by
Wilson Karaman

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December 15, 2014 12:57 am

Transaction Analysis: Melky Laughs Last

9

Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

The White Sox continue to upgrade their many positions of doom, signing Melky Cabrera to a three-year deal.

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December 10, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: San Diego Padres

4

Wilson Karaman

Petco Park can turn just about any pitcher into a fantasy asset.

Injuries. Oh, the injuries these Padres have suffered. Also the terrible, terrible offensive performances. The Padres have been a broken record of a franchise for a while now, and among the ugliest incarnations of their recent archetype was on display last summer. They scored the fewest runs in baseball and finished a strong last in TAv as well. They couldn’t get on base, they couldn’t hit for power, and they were mediocre base-stealers. On the flipside, their pitching produced the fourth-best ERA in baseball and they posted top-third strikeout and WHIP numbers to boot. They were aided by a park that, while playing less extreme than in years past, was still among the worst places in baseball to hit. The bullpen routinely churns out a couple middle relievers every year who produce strong ratio support, and last year was no exception.

The team has been quiet thus far in the off-season* but has been linked to enough players to suggest an aggressive pursuit of offensive upgrades. Whether they succeed in obtaining any remains to be seen. True to form, the bulk of the fantasy value to be had on this squad right now resides on the pitching side. Still, given the wholesale reputation discount Padre hitters are likely to get on draft day there are a handful of interesting value plays worth considering on the offensive end.

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December 5, 2014 12:01 am

Transaction Analysis: The Mariners Get Happy

5

R.J. Anderson and Wilson Karaman

The Mariners swap Michael Saunders for J.A. Happ in a trade that was preceded by a beef, and might itself precede another trade.

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December 4, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?

1

Wilson Karaman

A look at whether the Braves lefty is primed for a rebound.

I’ll admit up front that I have a huge soft spot for Mike Minor. I acquired him in my home league as a buy-low guy in late May of 2012, and he proceeded to return gobs and gobs of surplus value for me over the following season-and-a-half. I didn’t end up owning him in any leagues this past season, and I was pretty bummed out about that coming out of my assorted drafts. Sometimes the best deals are the ones you don’t make, though, right? According to NFBC data Minor was taken as the 29th starting pitcher off the board last spring, yet Mike Gianella recently figured him as the fourth-biggest bust among NL starting pitchers after he returned exactly zero dollars-worth of production in a season plagued by injury and poor performance. So what happened here, and where should we be setting expectations for Minor in 2015 and beyond?

The injury issues probably deserve front and center attention as top billing in our story. Minor had what can be charitably described as… well, just a terrible-sounding operation to remove scar tissue from his urethra as the new year dawned. In addition to making men around the country wince and recoil, the procedure knocked him off his standard throwing schedule heading into spring training and led to some shoulder inflammation after he tried to ramp up too quickly. The shoulder issue turned out to be a nagging one, forcing a DL stint that cost him all of April and ending his season prematurely in September as the Braves fell out of contention. When he did toe the rubber in between those shutdowns the results were obviously quite poor relative to the pitcher we saw over the previous 18 months. And the first thing that jumps out in looking at his profile is that Minor’s release point for the vast majority of the season was significantly higher than it had been at any point since his first-half troubles in 2012.

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Billy Beane trades another star, though the package he got in return is different than we're used to. Plus: Prospect breakdowns and fantasy implications.

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November 21, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

5

Wilson Karaman

Two words: Mike Trout.

The Angels rolled their way to the best record in baseball last season on the strength of one of the best offensive units in the league. With a lineup featuring the current best player in the game as well as one of the greatest right-handed hitters in its history, they paced MLB with 773 runs scored and a collective .277 TAv. Pitching wasn’t quite as pretty, as the Halos’ 3.58 team ERA ranked just a middle-of-the-pack 15th even though they call one of the more pitcher-friendly parks in baseball home. Despite the overall mediocrity of the staff, there were several standout arms for fantasy purposes, with guys like Garrett Richards and Matt Shoemaker coming out of nowhere to produce strong returns on FAAB investments.

Despite the regular season success the Orange Countians were quickly dispatched from the playoffs by the Tasmanian Devil that was your October 2014 Kansas City Royals. But with only Jason Grilli headed from a contributing role into free agency this offseason they’ll head into 2015 as the early favorites to repeat as Western Division champions, and they currently project to feature pretty much the exact same cast of fantasy-relevant characters. Let’s take a look at what they have to offer.

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November 18, 2014 12:01 am

Transaction Analysis: Heyward Movement

10

Sam Miller, Jeff Moore, Ben Carsley and Wilson Karaman

The Cardinals get one of the best young stars in the game, while the Braves add club-controlled pitching.

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November 10, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue Jays

7

Wilson Karaman

The Jays have the longest active postseason drought in the majors, but they also have players that can help your fantasy team get there.

With the Royals’ magic carpet ride to Game Seven of the World Series in October, the dubious distinction for longest playoff drought in Major League Baseball now belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays, who haven’t played a meaningful game since Joe Carter touched ‘em all. But despite those real-world sorrows the Canadian club continues to produce valuable fantasy players year after year, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. Rogers Center again played as one of the best ballparks in baseball to catch a souvenir in 2014, and the Blue Jays’ high octane offense checked in third in the Majors in both homeruns and team ISO, fifth in runs scored, and eighth in TAv. And for its part, the pitching staff, while overall poor and inconsistent, managed to produce some sneaky interesting performances. With a wave of young pitching talent set to break imminently, there is promise for more in the immediate future as well.

The Jays will enter this off-season set up for a relatively modest amount of turnover. Two of their starting outfielders from a year ago, Melky Cabrera and Colby Rasmus, will hit free agency, and while the club recently shipped Adam Lind to Milwaukee in order to clear some payroll, it appears unlikely either will be back with Toronto in 2015. Pitching-wise, the rotation cup is poised to runneth over. Last year’s starting five should all remain under club control, and while the club recently declined injury-riddled Brandon Morrow’s option several young MLB-ready prospects will be waiting in the wings for trial runs throughout the year. The departures of closer Casey Janssen and injured set-up man Sergio Santos will open up the back of the bullpen for a competition or free agent signings as well. Let’s take a look at how the roster is currently shaping up as we enter the offseason.

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The Braves outfielder is a better fantasy asset than you think.

Last winter, I wrote a fairly lengthy piece over at Dynasty Guru detailing my frustration with Justin Upton as a longtime owner in my primary dynasty league. The verdict: The move to Atlanta in 2013 had been a net negative for Upton’s fantasy profile, as organizational philosophies emphasizing swinging for the downs and limiting stolen base attempts were poised to restrict Upton’s batting average and stolen base contributions. I later doubled down a month into the season with a pretty brutal deconstruction of Upton’s successful-on-the-surface April efforts, ultimately recommending a sell-high on account of an exploding swing-and-miss rate on in-zone fastballs and an unsustainable BABIP. My conclusion, which mind you was not necessarily unwarranted by the numbers, suggested “an ugly dossier of negative indicators for performance going forward—one that does not at all suggest that Upton’s strong surface start is evidence that he’s finally turned the corner as he enters his physical prime. Nigh on every indicator of successful hitting has not only failed to improve over the past couple of seasons, but is instead regressing at a fairly rapid pace right now.”

So, what happened next? Well, from that sell recommendation to the end of the season he maintained a .259/.330/.462 line with 21 homers, 147 R+RBI, and five steals en route to the 37th-most valuable fantasy season overall (14th among outfielders). Not on par with his April campaign, when he was the second-most valuable outfielder behind Jose Bautista, but certainly well-above average numbers across the board. The batting average was a slight liability and the steals were token contributions. His power production, on the other hand, was highly valuable even after he tore through a good bit of his full-season value in April. His .313 TAv was the second-best mark of his career, checking in 21st among all qualified hitters. Here’s the real kicker, though: I wasn’t particularly wrong in any of the analysis I offered of Upton’s offensive flaws in either of those articles. He logged the numbers he did despite a whole bunch of glaring red flags. So what do we make of him as a fantasy asset going forward, and how should he be valued come draft day 2015?

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The Royals shortstop won't be a sexy name on draft day, but there's a lot to like about his fantasy profile.

Player Background
The Brewers signed Escobar as a 16-year-old on international signing day of 2003, and he made his stateside debut the following summer as a 17-year-old in the Pioneer League. After working his way up to Double-A for the second half of his age-20 season in 2007, he cracked the Brewers’ top prospect list for the first time heading into 2008, ultimately topping the list as a five-star prospect in 2010 and peaking as high as 19th on the BP 101 that same offseason. The Brewers traded away the then-26-year-old J.J. Hardy to clear a path for Escobar, which should tell you all you need to know about how highly regarded he was as a prospect. Regaled universally for his plus-plus range and generally top shelf defensive profile at short, Escobar was tabbed as an impatient, powerless hitter, but one still capable of slapping his way to a .280-plus batting average with 30-steal speed.

Despite the shortstop-of-the-future billing, the Brewers shipped the then-23-year-old to Kansas City as the centerpiece of the Zack Greinke trade after he struggled in his first full big-league season. Since arriving in KC, Escobar has pretty much developed into exactly the type of player scouts envisioned him becoming. He hasn’t posted a walk rate over 4.2 percent in any of his four seasons in Royal blue, nor has he managed to crack the .100 ISO threshold or generate league-average offensive value.


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October 10, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Shelby Miller

1

Wilson Karaman

After he held his own against Clayton Kershaw in the deciding game of the NLDS, is the righty's arrow pointing upward for 2015?

And on we march to the LCS! Unfortunately, one of the teams making that claim this year yet again is the Cardinals, who dispatched my Dodgers to the golf courses of Southern California for the second straight year. And one of the guys who helped set up their 412th-straight NLCS clash with the Giants was 23-year-old Shelby Miller, who pitched 5 2/3 reasonably strong innings in the Division Series clincher.

Now, if you rewind just two months to the beginning of August, this highlight would’ve been an improbable one to predict. At the time, Miller was staggering his way through a terribly disappointing sophomore campaign. His 4.14 ERA and 1.39 WHIP through July were paired with ugly strikeout and walk rates, resulting in a brief demotion from the rotation and an ownership rate that cratered at 67 percent in Sportsline leagues after the All-Star break. Hope for the breakout that many envisioned pre-season looked to be as fleeting as Miller’s command, and those with long-term dynasty league investments in the talented right-hander were exploring options to ship him for cents on the dollar as trading deadlines approached.

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