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Wilson Karaman 

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05-22

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2

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Eight
by
Wilson Karaman

05-20

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Back-End Breakouts
by
Wilson Karaman

05-15

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2

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Seven
by
Wilson Karaman

05-08

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5

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Six
by
Wilson Karaman

05-06

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Jason Heyward?
by
Wilson Karaman

05-01

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Five
by
Wilson Karaman

04-29

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3

The Call-Up: Michael Lorenzen
by
Mark Anderson and Wilson Karaman

04-24

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13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Four
by
Wilson Karaman

04-22

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Stat Line Scouting
by
Wilson Karaman

04-10

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Two
by
Wilson Karaman

04-08

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15

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Bold Predictions
by
Wilson Karaman

04-06

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33

Transaction Analysis: The Last Blockbuster of the Offseason
by
Matthew Trueblood, Mark Anderson, Bret Sayre and Wilson Karaman

04-01

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1

My Model Portfolio: Heavy is the Head That Wears the Crown
by
Wilson Karaman

03-27

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP
by
Wilson Karaman

03-25

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7

Five to Watch: National League Position Battles
by
Wilson Karaman

03-18

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7

Five to Watch: AL Post-Prospects
by
Wilson Karaman

03-12

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2

Five to Watch: National League Starting Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

03-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: ADP Underachivers: Hitters
by
Wilson Karaman

03-04

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5

The Adjuster: Relief Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

02-26

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4

Player Profile: Jesse Hahn
by
Wilson Karaman

02-24

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Player Profile: Hisashi Iwakuma
by
Wilson Karaman

02-20

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10

The Adjuster: Starting Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

02-17

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7

Prospectus Feature: Hacking Mass Wrap
by
Wilson Karaman

02-12

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6

The Adjuster: Outfielders
by
Wilson Karaman

02-10

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13

Transaction Analysis: Padres Have Big Aims, James
by
Russell A. Carleton and Wilson Karaman

02-04

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The Adjuster: Shortstops
by
Wilson Karaman

01-30

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3

Player Profile: Chris Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-28

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2

The Adjuster: Third Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-21

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8

The Adjuster: Second Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-16

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7

Player Profile: Ike Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-14

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5

The Adjuster: First Basemen
by
Wilson Karaman

01-07

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17

The Adjuster: Catchers
by
Wilson Karaman

12-31

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Transaction Analysis: Rays Take A Cab
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Nick Shlain

12-29

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1

Transaction Analysis: Grilli, Pierz In
by
R.J. Anderson

12-23

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Fantasy Freestyle: Still Holliday Season
by
Wilson Karaman

12-20

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10

Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a Star
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre, Jordan Gorosh, Jeff Moore and Ethan Purser

12-19

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5

Transaction Analysis: Catchin' Relief
by
Matthew Trueblood, R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Mike Gianella, Jordan Gorosh and Chris Rodriguez

12-19

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Transaction Analysis: Bringing the Band Back Together... Again
by
Daniel Rathman and Wilson Karaman

12-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: Live That Fantasy
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-18

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9

Transaction Analysis: Padres Add Myers
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Tucker Blair

12-15

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9

Transaction Analysis: Melky Laughs Last
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-12

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15

Transaction Analysis: All the Fantasy Angles
by
J.P. Breen, Mike Gianella, Wilson Karaman, Ben Carsley and Nick Shlain

12-10

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4

Fantasy Team Preview: San Diego Padres
by
Wilson Karaman

12-05

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5

Transaction Analysis: The Mariners Get Happy
by
R.J. Anderson and Wilson Karaman

12-04

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?
by
Wilson Karaman

12-01

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7

Transaction Analysis: On Trading a Superstar With Two Years Service Time
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre and Nick J. Faleris

11-21

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5

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
by
Wilson Karaman

11-18

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10

Transaction Analysis: Heyward Movement
by
Sam Miller, Jeff Moore, Ben Carsley and Wilson Karaman

11-10

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7

Fantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue Jays
by
Wilson Karaman

10-30

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Fantasy Freestyle: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Accept that Justin Upton is Quite Good
by
Wilson Karaman

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

May 22, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Eight

2

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

After a week of scarcity, this week our two-start cup runneth over. No clubs will play short schedules, which means a bump back up into the mid-40s for two-start options. American Leaguers will have significant advantages in both quality and quantity, while managers in NL-only leagues will be stuck pecking through a bunch of uncertain options after a shakier-than-you’d-like top five of startable hurlers. Personal pick of the week: Atlanta’s Williams Perez, whose nasty secondaries and bad-ass histrionics last week highlighted one of the more entertaining big-league starting debuts I can remember watching.

As far as the nuts and bolts guidelines for what lies within, the pitchers will be split by league and then by categories:

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May 20, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Back-End Breakouts

0

Wilson Karaman

Can these three arms keep surpassing preseason expectations?

I play in a lot of deep (16 to 20-team) leagues, and one of the most important things you can do in a deep league is find yourself some pitching bargains late to fill out the back end of your rotation with consistent league-average production. Confidence in the ability to pull off that feat allows you to invest more heavily in bats during the middle stages of a draft and gives you that much more of a built-in advantage in roster construction. It’s not an easy thing to do, though, and one of the keys to pulling it off involves hitting on a few would-be streamers early who end up providing multi-week or even full-season value. Likewise, diagnosing when to cut bait on those guys is of paramount importance.

In that spirit, here are three guys in this mold who’ve produced outsized return value early in the season, with a look at whether or not the gravy train’s likely to continue on down the track or not.

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May 15, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Seven

2

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

Week Seven’s a week of slim pickin’s for the two-start vultures among us. A full six teams will play only five games during the scoring period, and at least as of press time none of them seem inclined to skip any members of their respective rotations. The 39 two-start options on tap represent the fewest of any week thus far, and the two belonging to Colorado are shrouded in mystery. They haven’t named a starter for one of the slots as yet, and Jordan Lyles, the man scheduled to occupy the other, took a comebacker off his pitching hand two nights ago. Neither an if-healthy Lyles nor the mystery man project as usable options given the Rockies’ homestand, which means of the 39 guys, nearly a third—12 in total—are radioactive. Only five guys in the AL and six in the NL make for true no-doubters, meaning a whole bunch of uncertainty and one-start streaming across the land.

As far as the nuts and bolts guidelines for what lies within, the pitchers will be split by league and then by categories:

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May 8, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Six

5

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

Maybe it’s just how the schedule has shaken out in the early going, but it sure feels like the American League has been a real wasteland of instability on the mound thus far. Once again junior circuit -only managers will be faced with a host of difficult decisions, high (low?)lighted by several starters who’ve pitched significantly above their peripherals to date. Only the Angels will take the field just five times this week, everyone else will have at least one two-start option. Keep an eye on the Dodgers and Rockies, however, as the weather in Denver this weekend portends the Apocalypse, and its entirely possible if not probable that one of both of Kershaw and Greinke end up seeing their two-start status bump to next week. The Nationals also still list Stephen Strasburg as being in line to take his next scheduled turn, and early word from his chiropractic session indeed indicates that he just might.

As far as the nuts and bolts guidelines for what lies within, the pitchers will be split by league and then by categories:

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May 6, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Jason Heyward?

5

Wilson Karaman

Is there any reason to hope for a rebound from the Cardinals outfielder?

Entering draft season, Jason Heyward was something of a controversial player. Some (myself very much included) saw a young player who’d shown a consistently solid approach and flashed tantalizing power and speed components at various points in his career, enough to suggest that if the 25-year-old ever put everything together at once, there might just be top-10-in-fantasy-baseball upside in his bat. Others saw a passive hitter who couldn’t hit lefties and whose swing mechanics had devolved from his days as an elite prospect.

He ended up going 74th overall in NFBC drafts, but with a significant variance between high (36) and low (118) draft slots that reflected the uncertainties surrounding his profile. Fast forward through the first month of the season, and regardless of where in that range he went in your league, the returns have been… not good.

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May 1, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Five

7

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

For the second week in a row, the American League crop features a whole bunch of question marks and difficult decisions for –only managers. I rate a full 17 of the 21 AL two-start options as no better than an option to consider this week, though as I note below a handful of the top “consider” guys are there for schedule-related reasons.

The Mets are the only team who will play just five games and intends to keep their full rotation on schedule, so they’ll be without a two-start option next week. Arizona has not yet named a replacement for Archie Bradley in their rotation, but whoever it is will inherit a @COL, SDG schedule and subsequently won’t present much of a viable streaming option. The Cardinals have also not formally announced a fill-in for Adam Wainwright’s slot, though Mozeliak has indicated it’s likely to be either Tim Cooney, who pitched yesterday, or Tyler Lyons. Neither will make for a particularly intriguing two-start option, though draws against the Cubs and Pirates aren’t disqualifying from consideration in their own right.

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April 29, 2015 6:00 am

The Call-Up: Michael Lorenzen

3

Mark Anderson and Wilson Karaman

With Homer Bailey going down once again, the Reds turn to the most major-league ready arm down in the minors.

The Situation: With Homer Bailey down for the foreseeable future due to a sprained elbow ligament, right-hander Michael Lorenzen gets the call from Triple-A to fill his rotation spot. Lorenzen’s big-league debut is slated for Wednesday against Central Division foe Milwaukee.

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April 24, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Four

13

Wilson Karaman

Helping you set your fantasy rotation for next week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

Week Four is a glorious week for two-start pitching, as 13 of the top 21 drafted arms will take the bump twice. Beyond just the top end, every single team is currently scheduled to send at least one of its starters out for multiple turns, so there’s likely to be a deep bench of options available for your consideration on the waiver wire as well. Overall, the NL will feature a more balanced menu, with 16 of its 20 two-starters on the docket at least warranting some consideration. Things are a bit dicier in the junior circuit. On the one hand, there are more options (24). On the other, there are way more question marks and landmines. A particularly lengthy list of “considers” will force a whole bunch of not fun decisions for –only leaguers.

As far as the nuts and bolts guidelines for what lies within, the pitchers will be split by league and then by categories:

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April 22, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Early-Season Stat Line Scouting

9

Wilson Karaman

Examining minor leaguers whose hot starts make them worth monitoring.

The full-season minor-league schedule has officially kicked off, and we’ve got a good week and a half’s worth of data to work off of now. And we all know what that means: it’s time to start adjusting our pre-season rankings to account for out-of-the-gate performance! Kidding, kidding. For the 52,472,832nd time, using minor-league stats lines for information on prospect status is a terrible, terrible idea. And using nine or 10 games worth of stats is a really terrible idea. Yet there’s still, somehow, a semblance of relevance here insofar as the early returns do affect our perceptions of players despite what we may tell ourselves. And when perception of a prospect changes, even in a small way and against our will, the trade and acquisition values we assign him in dynasty formats is affected. Over the next month as our assorted prospects for a run this season begin to formalize it’ll be these early season performances that inform our recency bias in evaluating prospects to target or sell.

So with caveats noted and demands for caution aired in full, let’s take a look at some interesting super-early performances, both from prospects already firmly on the radar and others who’ve shown some early signs off life from the depths of the prospect ocean.

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April 10, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week Two

7

Wilson Karaman

Helping you start your fantasy rotation for the coming week with a look at the two-start pitchers.

And it begins. Welcome back to the Weekly Pitching Planner! For the uninitiated, every Friday of the season I’ll use this space to take you through the schedule of two-start pitchers for the coming week with a goal of helping identify streamers and inform those difficult decisions about which multi-start options to start and sit. Outside of the elites, two-start pitchers are often as much or more trouble than they’re worth, so we’ll aim to tread carefully through this potential minefield.

It’s a potential minefield, of course, because rare is the week in which the stars align to offer your starters not just one but two consecutive tasty matchups. As a result you’ll notice that sometimes the better starters will find themselves in the “consider” category, as they might have one good matchup but a second tough one. And similarly, less-talented hurlers might just meander their way into “start” territory from time to time on account of a plum schedule.

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April 8, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Bold Predictions

15

Wilson Karaman

Wilson goes out on a limb, forecasting big things for Pedro Alvarez, Mike Napoli, and others.

It occurred to me the other day in filling out my BP staff predictions ballot that I hadn’t written a #bold fantasy predictions column anywhere on the internet yet this spring. And that’s just a damn shame, because who doesn’t love #bold predictions! So with no further ado, and likely much ado about nothing, here are five things that are definitely going to happen.

Pedro Alvarez will lead the National League in home runs with a whiff rate under 22 percent

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The Padres add one more superstar, while taking on far too many millions for Melvin Upton; the Braves get leaner while the short-term outlook gets sadder.

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