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Wilson Karaman 

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03-27

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP
by
Wilson Karaman

03-25

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7

Five to Watch: National League Position Battles
by
Wilson Karaman

03-18

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7

Five to Watch: AL Post-Prospects
by
Wilson Karaman

03-12

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2

Five to Watch: National League Starting Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

03-11

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: ADP Underachivers: Hitters
by
Wilson Karaman

03-04

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5

The Adjuster: Relief Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

02-26

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4

Player Profile: Jesse Hahn
by
Wilson Karaman

02-24

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0

Player Profile: Hisashi Iwakuma
by
Wilson Karaman

02-20

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10

The Adjuster: Starting Pitchers
by
Wilson Karaman

02-17

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7

Prospectus Feature: Hacking Mass Wrap
by
Wilson Karaman

02-12

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6

The Adjuster: Outfielders
by
Wilson Karaman

02-10

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13

Transaction Analysis: Padres Have Big Aims, James
by
Russell A. Carleton and Wilson Karaman

02-04

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0

The Adjuster: Shortstops
by
Wilson Karaman

01-30

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3

Player Profile: Chris Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-28

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2

The Adjuster: Third Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-21

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8

The Adjuster: Second Base
by
Wilson Karaman

01-16

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7

Player Profile: Ike Davis
by
Wilson Karaman

01-14

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5

The Adjuster: First Basemen
by
Wilson Karaman

01-07

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17

The Adjuster: Catchers
by
Wilson Karaman

12-31

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0

Transaction Analysis: Rays Take A Cab
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Nick Shlain

12-29

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1

Transaction Analysis: Grilli, Pierz In
by
R.J. Anderson

12-23

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Still Holliday Season
by
Wilson Karaman

12-20

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10

Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a Star
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre, Jordan Gorosh, Jeff Moore and Ethan Purser

12-19

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5

Transaction Analysis: Catchin' Relief
by
Matthew Trueblood, R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Mike Gianella, Jordan Gorosh and Chris Rodriguez

12-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: Bringing the Band Back Together... Again
by
Daniel Rathman and Wilson Karaman

12-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: Live That Fantasy
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-18

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9

Transaction Analysis: Padres Add Myers
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman and Tucker Blair

12-15

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9

Transaction Analysis: Melky Laughs Last
by
Sahadev Sharma and Wilson Karaman

12-12

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15

Transaction Analysis: All the Fantasy Angles
by
J.P. Breen, Mike Gianella, Wilson Karaman, Ben Carsley and Nick Shlain

12-10

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4

Fantasy Team Preview: San Diego Padres
by
Wilson Karaman

12-05

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5

Transaction Analysis: The Mariners Get Happy
by
R.J. Anderson and Wilson Karaman

12-04

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Hey, So What Happened to Mike Minor Last Year?
by
Wilson Karaman

12-01

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7

Transaction Analysis: On Trading a Superstar With Two Years Service Time
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre and Nick J. Faleris

11-21

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5

Fantasy Team Preview: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
by
Wilson Karaman

11-18

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10

Transaction Analysis: Heyward Movement
by
Sam Miller, Jeff Moore, Ben Carsley and Wilson Karaman

11-10

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7

Fantasy Team Preview: Toronto Blue Jays
by
Wilson Karaman

10-30

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Accept that Justin Upton is Quite Good
by
Wilson Karaman

10-21

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Alcides Escobar
by
Wilson Karaman

10-10

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Shelby Miller
by
Wilson Karaman

10-03

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Fantasy Freestyle: Playoff Spotlight: Denard Span
by
Wilson Karaman

09-25

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Using FIP to Find Value
by
Wilson Karaman

09-19

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10

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26
by
Wilson Karaman

09-12

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13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25
by
Wilson Karaman

09-05

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13

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 24
by
Wilson Karaman

08-29

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23
by
Wilson Karaman

08-22

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12

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 22
by
Wilson Karaman

08-15

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 21
by
Wilson Karaman

08-08

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11

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 20
by
Wilson Karaman

08-01

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7

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19
by
Wilson Karaman

07-25

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9

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 18
by
Wilson Karaman

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP

5

Wilson Karaman

Comparing when the fantasy staff would advise you to take players to when they're actually being selected.

This article took shape thanks to the comments and suggestions of BP readers Tuck and TroJim. The former noted that a column elaborating on some of the larger discrepancies between Mike Gianella’s Top 300 list and current ADP numbers might be a helpful exercise in helping drafters determine value, and I agree. And then in a response to questions about the utility of our Darkhorses series focusing on generally known and highly drafted players, TroJim made the following excellent point: “Like the stock market... some people try to get rich on penny stocks and others find success in discerning which blue chips will perform the best.”

And lo, a column was born. I’m going to focus this article on the players with the largest gaps between our own ranking and ADP from the top 84 names on Mike’s list, as that cutoff represents the top six rounds of a standard 14-team league. I don’t think I’m breaking much ground with this declaration, but the top six rounds of a draft are extremely important rounds. These are your blue chip players, the foundation upon which your team is built. It’s possible to win with an underwhelming start, but it’s awfully difficult.

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March 25, 2015 6:00 am

Five to Watch: National League Position Battles

7

Wilson Karaman

The latest on a handful of competitions ongoing in senior circuit camps.

Yesterday, Nick Shlain wrote about some fantasy-relevant position battles in the American League, and today we’ll turn our attention to the senior circuit. Here are a few I’ve had my eye on.

Chicago Cubs 2B: Et Tu, Javier?

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March 18, 2015 6:00 am

Five to Watch: AL Post-Prospects

7

Wilson Karaman

A handful of former blue-chippers still worthy of your attention.

Since we’re deep in the thick of draft season right now I figured I’d use this space to focus solely on those non-sexy no-longer-prospect types who’ve shown some legitimate reasons for intrigue over the past twelve months. In case you’ve missed them, here are our previous articles in this series:

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March 12, 2015 6:00 am

Five to Watch: National League Starting Pitchers

2

Wilson Karaman

A handful of senior-circuit hurlers worthy of your attention.

In case you missed it, J.P. and Nick got our “Five to Watch” series started this week with looks at NL Post-Prospects and AL Hitters. Today we turn our attention back to the bump, and in a surprising turn it actually proved tougher sledding last year to find top-tier pitching talent in the senior circuit. Twenty NL pitchers returned at least $20 of NL-only value last season, with 37 topping the $15 mark. That stacked up a little light against the AL, where 24 hit the $20 threshold and 46 topped $15. So in the interest of helping you navigate these choppier-than-expected waters, here are five NL starters who, for one reason or another, fan the flames of my heart as interesting hurlers to keep an eye on.

Hyun-Jin Ryu, LHP, Dodgers

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March 11, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: ADP Underachivers: Hitters

0

Wilson Karaman

Given where they're going in drafts right now, you might do well to pass on these five bats.

It’s here! Your draft is finally here! Yes, one of the most wonderful times of the fantasy baseball year is upon us, and that means narrowing down our target lists. One of the best ways to do this is by comparing you own player valuations with finally relevant ADP compilations as a means to figuring out who you may be able to secure the best surplus value potential by acquiring. Your basic goal above all else on draft day should always be to maximize the potential surplus value you can generate with your picks. That means targeting guys who are the most likely to outperform their draft positions, thereby giving you the greatest cumulative advantage in value production over your opponents.

One of the best ways to not accomplish that goal is by ending up with guys who have poor chances to produce value equivalent to the cost you paid to acquire them. In other words, if I draft a guy in the fifth round who goes on to produce numbers that are equal to a guy someone else drafted in the ninth round, my player has generated negative value for me. Not good.

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March 4, 2015 6:00 am

The Adjuster: Relief Pitchers

5

Wilson Karaman

Examining relievers who are worth targeting in leagues that count Holds or have innings caps.

I want to start this article by stating, clearly and in no uncertain terms, that I did not want to write this article. Bret made me do it. While on the one hand, aggressively targeting middle relievers in the early season is one of my favorite strategies for driving down my pitching ratios, projecting middle relievers before the season starts for draft day consumption is just a terrible, terrible idea. Yes, the flame-out rate is high. But just as importantly, the out-of-nowhere-hero effect is even higher. Dellin Betances? Yeah, that dude got drafted in like one percent of leagues last year. Wade Davis, Ken Giles, Brad Boxberger… none of those guys were high priority for drafters outside the deepest of leagues last spring.

Relievers come, and relievers go. How they’ll perform, nobody knows. Still, there do tend to be some traits in particular you’ll want to go after if you’re targeting guys in a Holds league. For one, there’s a significant correlation between strikeouts and the Holds leaderboards. Since accumulating Holds oftentimes depends on securing outs in high-leverage situations, this would seem to follow rather logically. Jeff Zimmerman wrote a nice piece to this effect last winter, and the basic punchline was that using past performance to predict future Holds totals is basically pointless, but that middle relievers with higher strikeout rates tend to be the best bets.

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February 26, 2015 6:00 am

Player Profile: Jesse Hahn

4

Wilson Karaman

A rare case study of a pitcher who might *benefit* from a trade out of San Diego.

Player Background

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February 24, 2015 6:00 am

Player Profile: Hisashi Iwakuma

0

Wilson Karaman

Can the Mariner right the ship after a rough finish to 2014?

Player Background

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February 20, 2015 6:00 am

The Adjuster: Starting Pitchers

10

Wilson Karaman

Examining which hurlers become more and less valuable in leagues that count walks and quality starts.

On to the bump we go! While this series has previously focused on hitting adjustments in OBP and points formats, today we tackle starters in non-standard leagues. Judging by our Bat Signal data I decided to focus today on leagues that utilize a penalty for Walks, be it in ratio form (K-BB, K/BB, BB/9) or a negative point value, as well as leagues that utilize Quality Starts as a merciful counting stat replacement for archaic pitcher Wins. I’m more than happy to address any other specific player-and-format questions in the comments below, or if you’ve got a particularly unique league setup that requires a longer discussion of value you can always drop it into a Bat Signal.

In case you missed it, here are our tiered rankings for starting pitchers in standard leagues: Part I and Part II.

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Revisiting the worst performers of 2014 and talking to the year's grand MASSter.

Sure, yes, the Royals returned to the World Series last year for the first time since 1985, and yes that was a big deal and all. But there was an even more important storyline of lost glory restored in 2014: HACKING MASS came back, baby! Our annual test of wills—specifically the will to identify the least-talented major-league players with the best chance of somehow, someway remaining in their teams’ starting lineup all year—returned from several years of hiatus.

For the uninitiated, our cherished rulebook is here for your reading pleasure.

Last year’s contest featured 819 players who averaged 181.2 total accumulated ESPN (that’s Exuded Stiff Points, Net). Our champions, the fightin’ Pianosa Bombardiers, paced the contest with 487 ESPN.

So without further ado, let’s begin! Ladies and gentlemen, your 2014 HACKING MASS All-Stars:

All Star Team

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February 12, 2015 6:00 am

The Adjuster: Outfielders

6

Wilson Karaman

Examining the players at this position who see a bump or drop in value in OBP or points formats.

The state of the outfield is strong, my friends. As Mike Gianella pointed out in his look at the State of the Position on Monday, outfield accounted for nearly half of all hitting value in 2014, and the position features a strong batch of up-and-coming talent to reinforce its elite top shelf. The opportunity to run up a significant OBP cushion is of particular note in this positional grouping, as the position’s collective .321 OBP last season trailed only first basemen, and there are a lot more outfielders than there are first basemen. In an attempt to accommodate the depth of the position I’ve added a “runners up” list at the bottom of each section with some other notable names to keep in mind on top of the profiled hitters, and I’m happy to expand on any of them in the comments below.

In case you missed it, here are our tiered rankings for outfielders in standard leagues: Part I (The Top 30) and Part II (The Top 60).

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February 10, 2015 12:01 am

Transaction Analysis: Padres Have Big Aims, James

13

Russell A. Carleton and Wilson Karaman

San Diego gets James Shields for relatively little, as the market seems to have undervalued his durability.

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