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Shawn Hoffman 

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09-02

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10

Squawking Baseball: Has Selig Sparked Economic Growth?
by
Shawn Hoffman

08-26

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31

Squawking Baseball: Despite The Screams, Revenue Sharing Isn't Broken
by
Shawn Hoffman

08-12

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3

Squawking Baseball: Do New Owners Spend More?
by
Shawn Hoffman

06-10

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10

Squawking Baseball: The American Needle Fallout
by
Shawn Hoffman

05-20

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18

Squawking Baseball: The Enigma That is MLB Network
by
Shawn Hoffman

05-06

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16

Squawking Baseball: At Bat for iPad Review
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-29

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15

Squawking Baseball: Early Attendance Patterns
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-11

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10

Squawking Baseball: Forbes' 2010 Team Valuations
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-01

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14

Squawking Baseball: Predictions for 2010
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-25

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6

Squawking Baseball: How the NFL is Destroying MLB Mobile
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-18

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23

Squawking Baseball: Sports TV's Golden Age
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-11

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24

Squawking Baseball: At Bat 2010
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-04

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19

Squawking Baseball: LA Story
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-18

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25

Squawking Baseball: Non-traditional viewing
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-11

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13

Squawking Baseball: Valuing Franchises
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-04

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48

Squawking Baseball: The Best and Worst GMs of the '90s
by
Shawn Hoffman

01-28

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24

Squawking Baseball: The Age of the Payroll Floor
by
Shawn Hoffman

01-21

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66

Squawking Baseball: The Best and Worst GMs of the Aughties
by
Shawn Hoffman

01-14

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10

Squawking Baseball: Waiting for the Winter of 2011-12
by
Shawn Hoffman

10-25

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1

The Biz Beat: Another Chilly Winter?
by
Shawn Hoffman

10-08

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21

Relative League Quality
by
Shawn Hoffman

09-24

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27

The Biz Beat: Fixing the GM Rankings
by
Shawn Hoffman

09-11

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8

The Biz Beat: The Winter Market
by
Shawn Hoffman

08-20

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57

The Biz Beat: A New Way to Rank the GMs
by
Shawn Hoffman

08-12

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30

The Biz Beat: A Revenue-Sharing Re-Think
by
Shawn Hoffman

08-05

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19

Using Tools
by
Shawn Hoffman

07-29

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16

The Biz Beat: Seeing Everything?
by
Shawn Hoffman

07-22

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10

The Biz Beat: Doom and Gloom?
by
Shawn Hoffman

07-16

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9

The Biz Beat: Baseball's Midseason Report Card
by
Shawn Hoffman

07-01

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3

The Biz Beat: The Hundred Years War
by
Shawn Hoffman

06-24

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12

The Biz Beat: Live Streaming on the iPhone
by
Shawn Hoffman

06-18

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4

The Biz Beat: Social Networks
by
Shawn Hoffman

06-11

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5

The Biz Beat: Probing the Yankees' Local Streaming Deal
by
Shawn Hoffman

06-04

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14

The Biz Beat: 21st Century Labor Issues
by
Shawn Hoffman

05-21

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11

The Biz Beat: Conceiving a New Contract
by
Shawn Hoffman

05-07

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12

The Biz Beat: Affiliate Programs
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-30

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20

The Biz Beat: Yankee Ticket Pricing
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-24

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7

The Biz Beat: Forbes on Baseball
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-16

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19

The Biz Beat: Give it Away, Give it Away Now
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-09

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5

The Biz Beat: Exploiting the Down Times
by
Shawn Hoffman

04-02

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5

The Biz Beat: A Look at the Year Ahead
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-26

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17

Changing Channels
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-19

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21

Being Like Bud
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-12

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20

Make the World Go 'Round
by
Shawn Hoffman

03-05

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10

Remodeling the Media
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-26

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25

Solving the Digital Blackout Blues
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-19

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7

Riding High
by
Shawn Hoffman

02-05

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13

Opening Up MLB.com
by
Shawn Hoffman

01-29

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2

Way Above It All
by
Shawn Hoffman

01-22

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7

Cut Out
by
Shawn Hoffman

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March 4, 2010 11:47 am

Squawking Baseball: LA Story

19

Shawn Hoffman

Are the Dodgers really losing their financial sanity?

Did you hear? The Dodgers are getting cheap. Really cheap. By 2018, they'll be spending less than the Royals on payroll, all while pocketing about $300 million in profit. If the team doesn't do well, so be it—people will come to the games anyway, because in the history of sports (and particularly in Los Angeles, where there's little else to do), there's nothing that fans enjoy more than a rich team that doesn't spend.

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February 18, 2010 7:06 pm

Squawking Baseball: Non-traditional viewing

25

Shawn Hoffman

This could be the year that watching MLB games on mediums other than television takes off.

We're coming up on a really fascinating period in the history of sports media. At some point in the next five to 10 years, the television industry is going to be staring down the same barrel that the music industry has been looking at for the last decade. Cable in particular is just waiting to get its lunch eaten, as our already-exorbitant monthly rates keep going up thanks to more and more basic-tier channels that we'll never, ever watch. For the major sports leagues (and even some of the non-major ones, for that matter), the options are pretty clear: develop some contingency plans, or risk losing an incredibly large chunk of your revenues.

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February 11, 2010 11:45 am

Squawking Baseball: Valuing Franchises

13

Shawn Hoffman

While Forbes creates a stir each spring with its valuations of major-league franchises, do the numbers have predictive worth of acutal sale prices?

For the past 20 years, Forbes Magazine (and previously Financial World Magazine) has put out its annual estimates of the thirty MLB teams' revenue, income, and value every April. For obvious reasons, these numbers can be incredibly valuable for anybody outside the industry; they are the only full set of financial estimates that are publicly available, so by default they're our best option for any kind of economic analysis.

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February 4, 2010 11:56 am

Squawking Baseball: The Best and Worst GMs of the '90s

48

Shawn Hoffman

Dialing up the wayback machine to see who ranked atop and at the bottom of MLB during the Clinton era.

As a recap, here's my original piece on PER (or Payroll Efficiency Rating), followed up by some adjustments, and then the first part of this series two weeks ago.

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January 28, 2010 12:17 pm

Squawking Baseball: The Age of the Payroll Floor

24

Shawn Hoffman

The union's new activity towards making teams uphold one of the CBA's provisions.

Welcome to the age of the payroll floor, or at least the mandate to spend some esoteric minimum if you're taking other teams' revenue-sharing dollars.

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January 21, 2010 12:19 pm

Squawking Baseball: The Best and Worst GMs of the Aughties

66

Shawn Hoffman

The best and worst single seasons and decade-long performances by the men in the front office.

For me, this is a lot of fun, but as a refresher, here's how these rankings are calculated. First, we find each team's expected revenue, based on their third-order winning percentage, and how big their market is. Then, you divide that by what each team's marginal revenue should have been, had they won exactly as many games as their payroll would have predicted. (Draft pick value is also factored in, so the worst teams get slightly more credit than the vanilla mediocre teams.) The end result is PER-Payroll Efficiency Rating-which tells us how well each team spent their payroll dollars.

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January 14, 2010 12:42 pm

Squawking Baseball: Waiting for the Winter of 2011-12

10

Shawn Hoffman

Attempting to predict when the free-agent market can look to have a financial rebound.

Let's throw some cold water on an outdated idea: player salaries don't always go up. Over the long term, there's always going to be a decent amount of inflation in payrolls, but it's very cyclical-instead of rising 10 percent every year, as we lazily tend to assume, there are significant peaks and troughs along the way. Right now, because of the recession, we're in a down cycle-2010 payrolls will likely be flat from their 2008 levels, meaning that any team that signed a mediocre player to a "going rate" contract in '07 or '08, assuming that it would look cheap by the time it was done, is probably feeling very sorry today. On the flip side, there's a pretty good chance that we'll look back at some of the deals signed during this recession and think of them as absolute steals.

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October 25, 2009 1:35 pm

The Biz Beat: Another Chilly Winter?

1

Shawn Hoffman

How economic uncertainty could tame the Hot Stove League and especially the free-agent market.

What's the free-agent market going to be like this winter? A buyer's market, or a seller's? I can honestly say that I have no idea, and any team executive who gives you a more definitive answer is probably either hoping or hedging.

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October 8, 2009 12:18 pm

Relative League Quality

21

Shawn Hoffman

Sure, the AL's run roughshod over the NL, but could it be that the senior circuit is the victim of a systemic crime?

The American League is kicking the National League's butt, and has been for a number of years. Check out some of the numbers from the last five seasons, courtesy of Jay Jaffe's article last month: a 714-546 record in interleague games, an even better run differential, and not a single year with an interleague winning percentage under .540. The AL is Danny Almonte to the NL's 11-year-old little leaguer.

So how did this happen? Why, all of a sudden, is the American League so dominant? Is it just a cyclical shift, or is there something deeper that will keep the AL on top for the foreseeable future?

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September 24, 2009 12:19 pm

The Biz Beat: Fixing the GM Rankings

27

Shawn Hoffman

Tweaking the system to better evaluate the benefits of draft position.

Way back in August of 2009, I tried to evaluate major league front offices on how efficiently they were spending their payroll dollars, building on the work of Doug Pappas and Nate Silver. I called it MR3/ExpMR-which was horrible. So from now on, we're going with Payroll Efficiency Rating, or PER. So there.

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September 11, 2009 1:39 pm

The Biz Beat: The Winter Market

8

Shawn Hoffman

After last winter's bonanza, the shopping-season selections among starting pitchers might leave something to be desired.

Want a top-of-the-rotation starter this winter? You might want to check the trade market, because this year's pool of free-agent starting pitchers is mediocre at best, and downright boring at worst. That's a sharp contrast from last year's group, which featured C.C. Sabathia, A.J. Burnett, and Derek Lowe at the top, and had teams bidding against each other in the worst economic environment we will ever see.

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August 20, 2009 12:10 pm

The Biz Beat: A New Way to Rank the GMs

57

Shawn Hoffman

Building on the work of Doug Pappas and Nate Silver, a new kind of scorecard.

Back in 2004, the late Doug Pappas came up with a simple way to evaluate how well each team was spending their money: marginal payroll per marginal win. Here's Doug's original formula:

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