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0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 345: Roy Halladay and Mark Prior Retire by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 344: The Robinson Cano Signing and Seattle's Dysfunctional Front Office by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
28 Transaction Analysis: A Need Cano Basis by Sam Miller and Bret Sayre
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 343: Some Questions Asked by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
11 Transaction Analysis: Rip Van Wilson by Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 342: Should Teams Stop Spending?/Industry Theories About the Transaction Spree by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 341: Hot Stovepocalypse by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 Transaction Analysis: Extraordinary Joe? by Sam Miller
3 Transaction Analysis: A.J. Way by Sam Miller
2 Transaction Analysis: Astros Acquire a Player! by Sam Miller
1 Transaction Analysis: The Raising of Kazarus by Sam Miller and Bret Sayre
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 340: Attempting to Make Sense of the Doug Fister Deal by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
6 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 13. Pitch Counts by Sam Miller
5 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 339: Alex Rodriguez, Bud Selig, and Hard-Boiled Baseball by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 338: Giving Thanks for Your Emails by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 12. The Nate Doctrine by Sam Miller
37 Pebble Hunting: Extrapolating the Breakdown of Traditional Defense by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 337: Free Agent Spending So Far/The McCann, Molina, and Smith Signings by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 11. Paying Pedro by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 336: Paying Peralta, and Punishing PED Users by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 335: Your Questions, Our Answers by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 10. On The Future by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 334: The Fielder-Kinsler Trade/Australia's Asia Series Cinderella Story by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
17 Transaction Analysis: Fielder, Kinsler, and the Trade That Put Everything in its Place by Sam Miller
3 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 9. Magazine Cover Indicator by Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 333: How Teams Are Bridging the Gap Between Front Office and Field Staff by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
5 Transaction Analysis: Giant LOOGY by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 332: Will Jay Z Revolutionize Being a Baseball Agent? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
26 Pebble Hunting: The Hall of Fame 50 Percent Probability Test by Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 8. Converting the Pitcher by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 331: Jason Parks on the Best Farm System in Baseball by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
5 BP Unfiltered: Weep, Mob, For the Downballot Snub by Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 330: A Lengthy Listener Email Show by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 Transaction Analysis: What Do the A's Really Believe? by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 7. Day Men, Fighter Of The Night Men by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 329: The Debate About Buying a Hall of Fame Vote by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 6. Injury Nexus by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 328: Chris Jaffe on Evaluating Managers and the Latest Trends in Managerial Hiring by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 327: Neil DeMause on the Braves' New Ballpark and Public Financing for Stadiums by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 Pebble Hunting: Rereading Nate Silver: 5. The Colorado Effect by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 326: The Minor League Free Agent Draft by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 325: The Offseason's First Listener Emails by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 4. Pitcher Breakouts by Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 324: Kevin Kerrane on Scouting and Dollar Sign on the Muscle by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 3. Breakouts by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 323: Adrian Cardenas on Leaving Major League Baseball Behind by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
7 Pebble Hunting: The Stupidest Part of Baseball by Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 2. Collusion by Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 322: The Qualifying Offer Analysis Episode by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 BP Unfiltered: Rereading Nate Silver: 1. GMs Getting Smarter by Sam Miller
Ben and Sam discuss who did and didn't get qualifying offers, which player stands to lose the most money as a result, and why the system doesn't make sense. Revisiting one of many classic Nate Silver articles.
A note about what follows: I've long been a fan of consuming an artist or author's complete body of work. Reading everything, the hits and the deep cuts both, seems to reveal deeper themes and tendencies. I once committed six months to reading all 27 works by a notable American author, and it was (and remains) deeply satisfying. I tried the same with another author a couple years later and ran out of steam. This offseason, I'm trying something different: I'm going to knock out
Nate Silver's BP archives. He wrote 241 times on this site. Some were maintenance posts, or game recaps, or other articles that were really only valuable in the moment. I'll be reading and reviewing all of the rest, at a rate of about one per day. Read the full article...
Ben and Sam discuss what the Yankees will (and should) do this winter.
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November 4, 2013 6:00 am
Five players you'll be crushing on before 2014 is out.
You’re a bit of a flirt, you know that? It’s always a new favorite player with you. Right now it’s
, but before that it was Koji Uehara , and before that it was Billy Hamilton , and there was your Altuve phase, your spring fling with Evan Gattis , your Romo romance, your affairin’ with Haren, your je t’aimes with Yoenis Cespedes Tiny Tims. You hooked up with and Mike Trout before they were household names, with Zack Greinke and Kyle Blanks before they weren’t household names. You’ve dated defenders ( Wily Mo Pena , Franklin Gutierrez ) and you’ve cuddled with clods ( Peter Bourjos , Jack Cust ). You’re demanding, but you’re not particularly discerning. Matt Stairs
You and Uehara had a good thing, and you'll never forget his 89-percent strike rate in three-ball counts. But while you’ll never stop loving him, your guys’ relationship has probably peaked. Now your mom is starting to ask you about him, and once that happens it’s time for a new squeeze, one your mom knows nothing about. Who will your favorite player be next year? A few suggestions:
Ben and Sam talk to Colin Wyers about how he got hired by the Astros, working in baseball, and where sabermetrics is headed.
Ben and Sam review the World Series and talk about the 2013 seasons and futures of the Red Sox and Cardinals with Zachary Levine.
October 30, 2013 10:48 am
Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the playoffs, then discuss how MLB could disincentivize tanking for higher draft picks.
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October 29, 2013 12:56 pm
How the Cardinals have tried everything.
Between fourth grade and eighth, we’re all at least once where the Cardinals are. There are 10 of us on the field or the court, and as we’re dividing up into two teams we’re all too aware that one of the 10 is so much better than the rest that the game is settled as soon as he is chosen with the first pick. He’s six feet; we’re four. He’s shaving; we still secretly have a teddy bear. He’s on a traveling team; we’re on our church choir. He will never, ever lose. The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
Ben and Sam discuss David Ortiz, Jon Lester and Adam Wainwright, and the latest questionable moves by Mike Matheny and John Farrell.
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October 28, 2013 6:04 am
With a weakened ace, the Red Sox split the baby, and win.
Throughout the World Series, we'll be providing two recaps of each game, one with a focus on the winner and the other devoting a longer look to the loser. This is the Red Sox entry for Game Four. The Cardinals edition is here. The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
Ben and Sam discuss the eventful Games Three and Four of the World Series.
October 28, 2013 12:00 am
The Cardinals beat the Red Sox on an obstruction call. Was it right? Yes. Could it have been right the other way? Yes.
We don't nearly appreciate the extent to which luck decides who wins or loses baseball games. We think we do, because we look at
and Pythagorean records and such, but really there are layers upon layers of luck—luck being the loaded word; good fortune being perhaps the more accurate phrase, and more generous—that we either don't notice or don't anticipate. The ending to this game would fall under the luck we don't anticipate. BABIP Read the full article...