Sam Miller is the editor-in-chief of Baseball Prospectus. He has written for two Baseball Prospectus annuals and co-edited the 2014, 2015 and 2016 editions. He also co-hosts, with Ben Lindbergh, the Effectively Wild podcast, and is the co-author of The Only Rule Is It Has To Work, about his experience running baseball operations for an independent minor-league team.
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0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 874: The One-Month Winter-Move Mulligans by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 873: The Braves Are the Best (at Bilking Taxpayers) by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 BP Unfiltered: My Predicted Standings by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 872: The April Prospect Primer by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 871: The Braves Are Bad Edition by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 870: Reevaluating the Astros by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 869: Buckle Up, Replay is the Law by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 868: Jake Arrieta is Reaganing by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 Pebble Hunting: Which Bunts Are Missing? by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 867: Embracing the Harper-Trout Temptation by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 866: Noah Syndergaard, Right Now by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 865: 2016 Trend Watch (Reliever Evolution Edition) by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 864: A Too-Soon Search for 2016 Trends by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: Our Generation’s Hall of Famers, Ranked By Subjective Trade Valuation of Mid-Career Baseball Cards In A Semi-Premium Early-1990s Set by Sam Miller
5 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 863: The 0-9-Off: A Battle for Baseball's Most Soul-Crushing Start by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
17 Pebble Hunting: So I Guess This Is Vince Velasquez Now by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 862: Jeff Sullivan on This Season's Noteworthy Novelties by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 861: Murder, Remorse, and Major League Games by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 860: Week One in Baseball Confirmation Bias by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
7 Pebble Hunting: How You Tried To Beat PECOTA by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 859: Ross Stripling and Trevor Story by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 858: John Thorn on the New Details About Baseball's Origin Story by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 857: Joe Sheehan on the Scourge of Big Bullpens by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 856: The Biggest Baseball-Watchers Edition by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 855: Jeff Passan on Righting the Elbow and Writing The Arm by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 854: The Opening Day Edition by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: One Post, 30 Team Preview Podcasts by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller, George Bissell and Jeffrey Paternostro
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 853: 2016 Season Preview Series: Los Angeles Dodgers by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 852: 2016 Season Preview Series: Chicago Cubs by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 851: The Squid is Fried Edition by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 Winter Is Leaving by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 850: 2016 Season Preview Series: Cleveland Indians by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 849: 2016 Season Preview Series: New York Mets by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 848: 2016 Season Preview Series: Tampa Bay Rays by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
9 Prospectus Feature: Beat PECOTA: We Dare Ya by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 847: 2016 Season Preview Series: Boston Red Sox by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 846: Nihilistic Trivia Time by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 845: 2016 Season Preview Series: San Francisco Giants by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
10 Pebble Hunting: Sim City 1000000 by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 844: 2016 Season Preview Series: Washington Nationals by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 842: 2016 Season Preview Series: Houston Astros by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
6 BP Unfiltered: A Short Story About The 2015 Baseball Season by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 841: 2016 Season Preview Series: Toronto Blue Jays by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 840: The Underrated Trout Edition by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 839: 2016 Season Preview Series: New York Yankees by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 838: 2016 Season Preview Series: Seattle Mariners by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and George Bissell
33 Pebble Hunting: Should Have Taken Trout by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 837: 2016 Season Preview Series: Pittsburgh Pirates by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Jeffrey Paternostro
7 Pebble Hunting: What It Means To Have The Best Farm System In Baseball, Part 4 by Sam Miller
23 BP Unfiltered: The Worst Possible Reshuffling of MLB Cities and MLB Team Names, Probably by Sam Miller
Ben and Sam banter about a LaRoche-related White Sox conspiracy and update Ryan Webb's save outlook, then answer emails about Ryan Howard, Trout vs. Goldschmidt, a terrible trivia question, and more.
Ben and Sam preview the Giants' season with Erik Malinowski, and Jeff talks to Grant Brisbee of McCovey Chronicles (at 24:10). How many simulations does it take for the Rockies to win 106 games, or the Dodgers to lose 121?
were a sentient Baseball Prospectus reader, I bet it would mostly ignore our projected team win totals. Putting a single number on a team’s upcoming season is antithetical to what PECOTA tries to do. It doesn’t actually see the Royals as a 75-win team, or the Cubs as a 94-win team; it sees them both as collections of players who are individually more likely to do some things than others, and who are collectively more likely to do some things than others. If forced—and, really, if you think about how many steps it takes us to get from PECOTA ’s individual projections to a one-number team projection for the Royals, “forced” might be exactly the word you’d use—PECOTA will give you a Omar Infante most likely number for the team. But that specific number is not that likely, and it's not what PECOTA wants you to take away from this.
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Ben and Sam preview the Nationals' season with Washington Post Nationals beat writer Chelsea Janes, and Jeff talks to Chelsea's Washington Post colleague, James Wagner (at 23:56).
Ben and Sam preview the Astros' season with Houston Chronicle Astros beat writer Evan Drellich, and George talks to Evan's Houston Chronicle colleague, Jesus Ortiz (at 31:38).
Ben and Sam preview the Blue Jays' season with Joshua Howsam of Baseball Prospectus Toronto, and George talks to Sportsnet columnist Shi Davidi (at 19:49).
Ben and Sam announce this year's Effectively Wild fantasy game, "Beat PECOTA," then answer listener emails about Mike Trout, game theory in the amateur draft, baseball caps, Goose Gossage, and more.
Ben and Sam preview the Yankees' season with Kenny Ducey of Sports Illustrated and BP Bronx, and George talks to Lohud.com Yankees beat writer Chad Jennings (at 29:32).
Ben and Sam preview the Mariners' season with BP/Lookout Landing writer Meg Rowley, and George talks to Tacoma Rainiers broadcaster Mike Curto (at 25:23). Measuring the scale of a single draft pick.
"We're going to take this kid with our first pick," Bane reportedly told his staff. "The problem is that he's not going to be there. He's too good." – San Francisco Chronicle
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Ben and Sam preview the Pirates' season with Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Pirates beat writer Travis Sawchik, and Jeff talks to Pat Lackey of Where Have You Gone Andy Van Slyke? (at 23:58).