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5 BP Unfiltered: Blind BABIP Results: You Suck by Sam Miller
4 Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face, Part 2 by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 227: Julio Urias and Young Pitchers/Prospects Switching Positions/Jose Iglesias and High BABIPs/Goodbye Base Coaches by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
39 Pebble Hunting: Blind BABIP Test, Part 2 by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 226: Predictions About Zack Wheeler/The Story of Signing Puig by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 225: Missing Out on Mariano Rivera/Scouting Scouts by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 Pebble Hunting: A Week of Watching Yoenis Cespedes by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 224: The Evolution of On-Field Celebrations/The Home Run Derby Draft by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 223: Should College Pitchers Shut it Down After Being Drafted?/The Red Sox and Advance Scouting by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
46 Pebble Hunting: How Beanballs and Brawls Could Be Avoided by Sam Miller
4 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 222: Bloodlines and the Draft/Giving Up in Extras/Managers Telling the Truth/Moore, Molina, and Calling Pitches by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
7 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 221: Astros Pro Scouting Coordinator Kevin Goldstein on the Amateur Draft by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
17 Pebble Hunting: The Worst a Team Ever Did in the Draft by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 220: Sick Starters, The Value of Hitting Coaches, and The Most Disappointing Team of 2013 by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 Pebble Hunting: Baseball's Best Comp by Sam Miller
12 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 219: The Mock Draft Mystery/Joey Votto's Future/Scouts and Espionage/The New-Look Royals Lineup by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 218: Paralysis by Biogenesis by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
10 Pebble Hunting: The Batting Order Evolution by Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 217: Umpires, Catchers, and Home Field Advantage/Forming a Wall/The Anti-DH Movement/Lengthening Games by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 216: Whither the White Sox?/Dissecting Yasiel Puig's Debut by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 215: Does Money Still Make Teams Better?/Taking our Temperatures on Tim Lincecum and Chris Davis by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
20 Pebble Hunting: A Riddle in a Minor-League Baseball Game by Sam Miller
5 BP Unfiltered: Stats vs. The Will To Win on the Family Feud by Sam Miller
6 Daily Hit List: Friday, May 31 by Sam Miller
13 Pebble Hunting: Every Manager's Face, Part 1 by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 214: B.J. Upton and Fixing Mechanical Flaws/Scouting and the International Draft by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 213: The Royals and Not Hitting Homers/The Physical Signs of Scouting by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
23 Pebble Hunting: A Week of Watching Eric Hosmer by Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 212: Doing Away with Errors/Rotating Positions/What Would Retired Players Hit?/Aesthetically Pleasing Players/3-0 Red Lights by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 211: The Phillies, the Blue Jays, and Selling/The Scary Side of Jose Canseco by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 210: Revisiting the Montero-Pineda Trade/Your Ticket Refund/Giveaway Ideas by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 Pebble Hunting: How Pitchers Age at the Plate by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 209: Veterans vs. Young Players/The Dodgers and Grit by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 208: Refunds for Losses/More Catching Questions/DHs and Defensive Positioning/Most Pitchers in an Inning by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
5 BP Unfiltered: The Worst Thing The Dodgers Have Done This Year by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 207: Reevaluating Patrick Corbin/Baseball and Redheads by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: The Week In Albert Pujols Playing Through Pain, May 13-May 19 by Sam Miller
1 Pebble Hunting: Extreme Strikeout Matchups by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 206: When Does it Make Sense to Fire Managers?/What We Think about Hot Streaks by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 205: Catcher Framing Questions/A Hypothetical Pitching Problem/Post-Start MRIs by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 204: The Yankees and Luck/How We Watch Baseball/Consuming Scouting Reports by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
5 Pebble Hunting: The Starts That Defied FIP by Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 203: Strikeouts and Defense/Shortest Pitching Careers/Novelty All-Star Games/World Series of Worst/Rooting Against No-Hitters by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: A Broken Bat That Did Not Seriously Injure Any Catchers by Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: Mark Reynolds Gets Close To A Pop-Up by Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 202: Bryce Harper Hits the Wall/Albert Pujols' Pain by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Unfiltered: The Week In Albert Pujols Playing Through Pain, May 6-May 12 by Sam Miller
16 Pebble Hunting: The Strike Zone Solution by Sam Miller
7 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 201: Drafting Age-25-and-Under Starters/Still No No-Hitters by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 BP Unfiltered: Mark Reynolds and a Very Suspicious Break by Sam Miller
Go to Archives...
All of you, and me. We all suck.
When we did
the Blind BABIP test for Jake Peavy last year, we were collectively sliiiiightly better than random guesses. So slight that it was hard to pat ourselves on the back, but better all the same. When we did the Blind BABIP test for Jose Iglesias, we were quite a bit worse than random guesses. On average, each of you got 4.45 answers correct out of 10. It's one thing to say baseball is hard to crack. It's another to say that baseball is actively misleading us, and yet that's the case. Given more information, we do a worse job of figuring out what is going on than if we had no information. Read the full article... The meaning of several more managers' faces.
Hey look sharp, it's the second stage of Every Manager's Face.
Here was the first part. And here is the second part:
Face, Or: Bob Melvin? Face Bob Melvin Read the full article...
Ben and Sam answer listener emails about young pitchers, prospects switching positions, Jose Iglesias' high BABIP, and base coaches. Can you tell Jose Iglesias' hits from his outs?
has a .507 Jose Iglesias this year. This article is not about that BABIP, exactly, but we are starting there. Iglesias entered the season with a .164 career BABIP in the majors, and a .300 BABIP in the minors, and a reputation as the best defensive shortstop in baseball, with a bat that might be just weak enough to support that glove. Finding out Jose Iglesias has a .507 BABIP is like finding out that BABIP quietly signed with the Pirates and hit 14 home runs in May. Anyway, like I said, this article isn't about that BABIP. Chin-lung Hu
A year ago, we did
a blind BABIP test for a start; 20 balls put in play, 10 were hits, and you tried to guess which were which based on all the information you could collect up to the point of contact. Gosh, Jake Peavy did you ever do terribly. Given a 50 percent chance of guessing the correct answers blindly, you collectively got 52 percent of the answers correct. But maybe that wasn't fair; maybe focusing on the pitcher (who, as we know, controls his BABIP only a little bit) is a doomed exercise. Hitters control their BABIP some bit more than that. So maybe we should be focusing on the batter, looking to see if he's balanced and putting a good swing on the ball or flailing, jammed, late, or on top of the ball. So what happens if we do this from the batter's perspective? Will we be any better? I suspect... well, honestly, I don't know. Read the full article...
Ben and Sam discuss their expectations for Zack Wheeler and other young pitchers, then talk about the true story behind the Dodgers signing Yasiel Puig.
Ben and Sam discuss what Mariano Rivera's retirement might cost us, then talk about whether it's possible to evaluate scouts statistically.
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June 14, 2013 5:00 am
In which last year's Rookie of the Year runner-up adjusts to his opponents' adjustment in his sophomore season.
Was going to watch
for a week because he was hitting so poorly. Was going to start watching on Tuesday, June 4. Yoenis Cespedes He entered the day hitting .229/.302/.447. Yes, you can spot the hole where a better would provide a convenient fill, but there were plenty of signs that Cespedes was stalled: two steals in seven tries, for instance, after swiping 16 in 20 attempts last year; a .203/.241/.414 line against right-handers, whom he had handled well in 2012. BABIP
So that’s where Cespedes was when I sat down to watch a week of him. That was in the past. Now we’re in the future! Isn’t it marvelous? Look at my cellular phone, it has a camera! Also, Yoenis Cespedes is having a good year. Just like that, Cespedes went from having a bad sophomore season for me to write about to having a pretty good season (118 Mostly: +) for me to write about. What happened in those seven days, you might wonder. OPS
Ben and Sam discuss the evolution and future of on-field celebrations, then pick the players they'd most want to appear in the Home Run Derby.
Ben and Sam discuss whether college pitchers should stop pitching for their college teams after being drafted, then talk about the Red Sox and advance scouting.
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June 12, 2013 5:04 am
And why a few suspensions won't stop an ugly scene from occurring again.
I’m a scaredy-cat, and a pacifist, so I come to these sorts of discussions from a place that won’t appeal to everybody. When I see a pitch going toward
’s face, for instance, I think of it as the culmination of a violent series of events that could have easily killed a man; that it didn’t kill a man makes me only marginally less queasy about the whole thing. At the risk of going into unnecessarily macabre territory, I want to imagine that it did kill a man; the difference between that universe and ours is perhaps mere inches. Had it killed a man, there would be reckoning, soul-searching, panels to study the issue. There would be vigorous discussion about whether the criminal justice system should be brought in. There would be, mostly, an attempt to figure out how this happened, and what went wrong, and where we could have prevented it. Zack Greinke
So how did the beanball that touched off a brawl between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks on Tuesday night happen? What went wrong? Where could somebody have prevented it?
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Ben and Sam answer listener emails about baseball bloodlines, managers revealing too much, giving up in extras, calling games, and more.
Ben and Sam talk to Kevin Goldstein about the amateur draft, his scouting assignments, the Astros' system, and more.