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Russell A. Carleton 

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05-24

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4

Baseball Therapy: Framing the At-Bat
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-17

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5

Prospectus Feature: The Only Rule Is You Have To Answer My Questions
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-11

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8

Baseball Therapy: The Even Slightly More Convincing Argument Against the Shift
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-03

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10

Baseball Therapy: The Pretty Good Case That the Shift Doesn't Work
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-27

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7

Baseball Therapy: Can Teams Come Back From a Comeback?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-19

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17

Baseball Therapy: The One About Exit Velocity
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-12

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5

Baseball Therapy: Somebody Is Finally Trying to Kill the Traditional Closer Role
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-07

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1

Baseball Therapy: Go Ahead, Call It a Comeback
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-05

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8

Baseball Therapy: Someone's Not Paying Attention
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-29

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7

Baseball Therapy: It Worked Last Time
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-22

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4

Baseball Therapy: Are You Cultured?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-15

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8

Baseball Therapy: Bringing Down The House
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-08

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1

Baseball Therapy: Should Someone Save Salvy?
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-01

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19

Baseball Therapy: Let's Talk About Tax Policy
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-23

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13

Baseball Therapy: Is There a Times Through The Order Penalty?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-16

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7

Baseball Therapy: Do Bad PECOTA Projections Make Teams Mad?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-09

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13

Baseball Therapy: The Crack in the Defensive Spectrum
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-02

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20

Baseball Therapy: The Dark Side of Pitch Framing?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-26

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6

Baseball Therapy: It's Nice to Have Options
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-19

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2

Baseball Therapy: Let's Figure Out What a Scouting Department's Entire Product is Worth
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-12

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7

Baseball Therapy: Put Russell In the Hall of Fame
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-05

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12

Baseball Therapy: Now With 50 Percent Less Math
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-31

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2

Best of BP 2015: Why Not Make the Hole Square?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-22

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8

Baseball Therapy: We Can Be Heroes?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-16

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17

Baseball Therapy: Have We Been Underpricing Relievers?
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-08

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6

Baseball Therapy: Fiddlesticks, Yeah!
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-01

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5

Baseball Therapy: The Neuropsychology of Bad Managing
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-24

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7

Baseball Therapy: The Kimbrel Gambit
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-19

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6

Baseball Therapy: What Should the QO Number Be?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-10

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3

Baseball Therapy: I Want to Write About Player Development
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-03

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8

Baseball Therapy: How Much the DH Rule Matters
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-28

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8

Baseball Therapy: And on the Fifth Day He Rested
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-20

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5

Baseball Therapy: Say You'll Remember Me
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-13

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14

Baseball Therapy: Do We Still Need Divisions?
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-06

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9

Baseball Therapy: My Bad Baseball Predictions
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-29

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6

Baseball Therapy: Let Him Pitch!
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-23

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Going Streaking
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-22

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10

Baseball Therapy: Why Do Pitchers Get Tired?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-15

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4

Baseball Therapy: Seven Months Has Gone So Fast
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-09

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11

Baseball Therapy: The Chessmaster and the Screwball
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-03

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5

Baseball Therapy: A Veteran and His Presents
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-25

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5

Baseball Therapy: Interaction Effects and Credit
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-18

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5

Baseball Therapy: Collage or Jigsaw?
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-11

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23

Baseball Therapy: Starlin Castro and ADHD
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-04

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21

Baseball Therapy: No Relief For Starters
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-28

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2

Baseball Therapy: Bumping the Grind
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-21

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11

Baseball Therapy: So You've Decided To Trade Within Your Division
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-08

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24

Baseball Therapy: Why Not Make the Hole Square?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-30

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19

Baseball Therapy: Better Playing Through Chemistry
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-23

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13

Baseball Therapy: The Wonderful World of Throwing to First
by
Russell A. Carleton

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December 16, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Have We Been Underpricing Relievers?

17

Russell A. Carleton

All the cool teams are collecting relievers again, but are they more like pogs or Magic: The Gathering cards?

Last year, the must-have item of the Winter Meetings shopping season was a catcher with mad framing skills. In a short period of time, Hank Conger, Ryan Hannigan, Miguel Montero, and everyone who owned a chest protector on the Padres roster changed teams. This year, tastes have changed. Now, the new hip thing that all the cool teams have is a crazy good closer. More to the point, a second crazy good closer to pitch in the role once known as “the eight- inning guy.” It’s not enough to have one shoe any more. You need two.

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In praise of that word.

Statcast’s rookie season is now in the rearview mirror. And it was a good one. The slightly Orwellian information system gave us plenty of new information to drool over. We learned terms like “route efficiency” and “exit velocity” and “launch angle” and could marvel at just how fast baseball players moved around the diamond, chasing after the little white pearl which was moving even faster still. Baseball might be a game of inches, but it’s a game of inches played at insane speeds.

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Bunting and broccoli and the brain.

I believe you are all familiar with the hashtags. #Mathenaging. #Yosted. #BuntToWin. And that’s just the state of Missouri. It’s now common knowledge that there are certain strategic plays that were once popular, but upon further review, it’s clear that they are questionable tactics at best. Everyone knows it, and yet, bunting is still a thing. Even the “smart” managers do it. Why?

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November 24, 2015 7:34 am

Baseball Therapy: The Kimbrel Gambit

7

Russell A. Carleton

Just how much of a difference does a good closer make?

Well, we have a pretty good idea of what Craig Kimbrel is worth at this point. Kimbrel – one of the prime contenders for “best active reliever in baseball” – has swapped his Atlanta address for sunny San Diego and then again for Boston, all within 2015. Boston paid a pretty price for the fireballer, sending four prospects to the Padres for the honor of having Kimbrel on their team. The Padres had previously sent Cameron Maybin , Matt Wisler and Jordan Paroubeck (and oh yeah, Carlos Quentin, who was immediately DFAed) to the Braves for Kimbrel, along with the most important piece of the deal, relieving the Braves of the contract of Melvin Upton Jr. (nee B.J.).

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Spoiler: It's not $15.8 million.

Baseball has been trying to figure this problem out since free agency began. Baseball players are free actors and may sign with whomever they choose—and that usually corresponds to whoever happens to offer the most money. Some teams have more money than others. How to keep the big money *cough*Yankees*cough*Dodgers*cough* teams from simply buying championships and ruining all the fun for everyone else?

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November 10, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: I Want to Write About Player Development

3

Russell A. Carleton

How do we use our skills as statheads in a field that evades us?

I want to write about player development. I want to do it mostly because there’s not a lot of writing about it among the statistically inclined sort, which I find to be very strange. Everyone’s always looking around for the #NewMoneyball and, frankly, it’s staring right at them. Young, cost-controlled players return value—on average—at a dollar per win rate that’s about half what a team would pay on the free agent market. And that’s just the average. If a team is any good at player development, it can assemble a roster of young, cost-controlled players and ride that wave for a long time. If a team could nail down player development, they’d have a bit of an edge, wouldn’t you say?

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November 3, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: How Much the DH Rule Matters

8

Russell A. Carleton

When it comes to the World Series, the home-rules advantage trumps the home-field advantage.

Every year during the World Series, we’re once again brought face-to-face with the strangest oddity in all of professional sports. The rules for the sport itself change based on where the game is being played. If the game is being played in one of the “American” League parks, the pitcher doesn’t have to bat, but is instead replaced by a player who is his “designated” replacement in the lineup. In one of the “National” League parks, the pitcher has to take his turn like any of his other eight friends. Oh sure, we all have our opinion on the #TeamDH vs. #TeamBadBaseball debate, but take a look back and consider how strange it would seem if the Eastern Conference in the NBA had a three-point line but the Western Conference did not. Can you even imagine #Team3Pointer vs. #AllCountTheSame Twitter wars?

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October 28, 2015 6:01 am

Baseball Therapy: And on the Fifth Day He Rested

8

Russell A. Carleton

Do October's starts reflect May's decisions?

Last week, on my favorite podcast in the world (seriously) Effectively Wild, Sam and Ben interviewed now-former Dodgers head trainer Stan Conte. Their interview covered a wide range of topics related to player injuries, both the ones that we get to hear about and the ones we don’t. At one point, Sam asked a question about a hypothetical team that was pretty much guaranteed to go to the postseason and had little to play for over the last two weeks of September. Should the team rest its starters down the stretch, saving them for the playoffs and letting the September call-up guys take over, or perhaps go to a six-man rotation to take some of the strain off the four guys who will actually be starting playoff games?

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October 20, 2015 8:14 am

Baseball Therapy: Say You'll Remember Me

5

Russell A. Carleton

Exploring how much a bad outing affects a reliever the next day--and whether managers should be changing their routines based on it.

Watching a playoff game should count as aerobic exercise. You should seriously be able to go to your doctor and said “I know that you told me to go run a couple miles per week, doc, but it’s October and I’m a baseball fan.” And your doctor should simply nod. Everything is so important. Things that wouldn’t even register during the regular season get picked apart and rehashed and they get your heart racing, particularly if you’re a fan of one of the two teams playing. And there’s good reason for that. Because we’ve now entered the League Championship Series section of the competition, one little decision might be the difference between a trip to the World Series and a trip to the trivia challenge bin. (Quick, name the two losing teams in 2013's LCSs without looking…)

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October 13, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Do We Still Need Divisions?

14

Russell A. Carleton

Is there a solution for the Pirates Problem?

It seems a little unfair. In 2015, the Pittsburgh Pirates had the second-best record in all of baseball. Arguments aside about whether that makes them the second-best team in all of baseball, Andrew McCutchen and friends are currently sitting at home watching the rest of the playoffs. The Cubs—the team that beat them in the Wild Card game—are in the NLDS against the Cardinals—the team that had the best record in the big leagues and who just happened to be located in a city in the same general geographic area as Pittsburgh.

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October 6, 2015 6:01 am

Baseball Therapy: My Bad Baseball Predictions

9

Russell A. Carleton

What we learn from our mistakes.

Hi, my name is Russell and I’m an expert.

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September 29, 2015 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Let Him Pitch!

6

Russell A. Carleton

*slams fists on table* LET HIM PITCH

We know that the Mets are going to the playoffs. We know that Matt Harvey plans to pitch in the playoffs. But should he? Harvey, of course, missed the entire 2014 season after Tommy John surgery, and a couple of weeks ago there was a small kerfuffle over whether Harvey would be "allowed" to pitch in the postseason. It seems now that the issue has been resolved and the answer is yes.

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