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Russell A. Carleton 

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07-20

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4

The GM Trade Game
by
Russell A. Carleton and BP Staff

07-12

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5

Baseball Therapy: Mr. Jones and Me
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-05

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11

Baseball Therapy: The Great Debates
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-27

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1

Baseball Therapy: The Pendulum Swings Back
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-21

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6

Baseball Therapy: Senior Signs
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-14

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4

Baseball Therapy: The Fly Ball ... Revolution?
by
Russell A. Carleton

06-06

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8

Baseball Therapy: Fire Up the Time Machine
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-31

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5

Baseball Therapy: Circumstances, Implementation, and the Slow Change of Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-23

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6

Baseball Therapy: How Long Can You Keep a Secret?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-16

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8

Baseball Therapy: Let's Assume the Ball Isn't Juiced ...
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-09

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4

Baseball Therapy: Do Strikeouts Spread?
by
Russell A. Carleton

05-02

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7

Baseball Therapy: Is the Whole the Sum Of Its Parts?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-25

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6

Baseball Therapy: The Disappearing Left Fielder?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-18

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4

Baseball Therapy: Reliably Stable (You Keep Using That Word)
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-11

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7

Baseball Therapy: Whatever Happened to Predictability?
by
Russell A. Carleton

04-04

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5

Baseball Therapy: Stop Shifting (So Much)
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-28

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14

Baseball Therapy: Let's Fix the Pace-of-Play Problem
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-22

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Secret Powers of the Foul Ball
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-14

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11

Baseball Therapy: Bring Back Ball Four
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-07

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2

Baseball Therapy: Is Defense Slump-Proof?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-28

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7

Baseball Therapy: Baseball Needs Some New Words
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-21

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7

Baseball Therapy: Is Win Probability Broken?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-15

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4

Baseball Therapy: Taking the Weirdness Out of Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-08

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3

Baseball Therapy: The Minor League Milestone Chart
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-01

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9

Baseball Therapy: Blame it on the Plane
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-24

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1

Baseball Therapy: Let's Dig Into These Tunnels
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-17

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8

Baseball Therapy: What Does Batter/Pitcher Matchup Data Tell Us?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-11

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10

Baseball Therapy: Grinding On Grounders
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-04

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26

Baseball Therapy: The Bullpen of My Dreams
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-23

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9

Baseball Therapy: Worrying About the Money
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-13

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5

Baseball Therapy: The Questions We Can't Answer
by
Russell A. Carleton

12-09

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7

Baseball Therapy: The New CBA, By The Numbers
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-30

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3

Baseball Therapy: The 26th Man
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-22

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4

Prospectus Feature: MLB's Ongoing Search for Front Office Diversity
by
Russell A. Carleton and Kate Morrison

11-17

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2

Baseball Therapy: Can a Closer be Worth $100 Million?
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-08

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2

Baseball Therapy: The Million Dollar Pillow Fight
by
Russell A. Carleton

11-01

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0

Baseball Therapy: I Don't Know What You'll Do Next Summer
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-25

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4

Baseball Therapy: Stop, Miller Time.
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-18

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4

Baseball Therapy: Getting to the Bottom of the Barrel
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-12

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9

Baseball Therapy: Cy Young Catchers
by
Russell A. Carleton

10-05

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3

Baseball Therapy: How Much Is Theo Epstein Worth?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-27

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2

Baseball Therapy: Bullpen Contagion
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-20

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6

Baseball Therapy: Is The American League Just Better?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-13

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3

Baseball Therapy: Should MLB Go For the Gold?
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-07

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2

Baseball Therapy: Stop Blaming the September Call-Ups!
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-01

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6

Baseball Therapy: Let's See if We Can Get a Handle on Zach Britton's Cy Young Case
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-23

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3

Baseball Therapy: If I Had A Million Dollars
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-16

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29

Baseball Therapy: Rage Over Roids
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-09

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1

Baseball Therapy: Learning A New Position Is Free
by
Russell A. Carleton

08-03

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4

Baseball Therapy: What Would 7-Inning Baseball Look Like?
by
Russell A. Carleton

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February 1, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Blame it on the Plane

9

Russell A. Carleton

Taking a needed second, deeper look at jet lagged baseball players.

Last week, there was an article making the rounds about a baseball study that was published in an actual scientific journal! The study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS) and written by researchers Alex Song, Thomas Severini, and Ravi Allada of Northwestern University, looked at major-league games from 1992-2011. They specifically looked at the effects of travel across time zones for teams.

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January 24, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Let's Dig Into These Tunnels

1

Russell A. Carleton

Getting started with the many new possibilities.

With the release of BP’s new data on pitcher tunnels, the idea is that one way a pitcher can fool the hitter is to make sure that his pitches all look the same as they fly through the air toward the batter, until they get to the point where the batter has to make his decision of whether he will swing, and if so, where he will aim his bat. If a pitcher can keep all the pitches going through the same “tunnel” and have the break (or lack thereof) be a surprise that reveals itself only after the batter has started his swing, then he’s going to get more swings and misses and weakly hit balls.

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Have we been too quick to dismiss the value of batter vs. pitcher histories?

Because it’s Hall of Fame week, there have been plenty of Edgar Martinez partisans out there making the case for the former Mariners third baseman/designated hitter. Martinez’s case is dulled somewhat by the fact that he spent so much of his career designated to hit, and perhaps more damning that he didn’t reach 3,000 hits nor 500 home runs (nor 50 stolen bases) for his career.

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January 11, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Grinding On Grounders

10

Russell A. Carleton

Does the grind of the regular season cause fielders to get worse on ground balls?

Those lazy, hazy, crazy days of summer seem so far away. It’s been more than two months since the end of the baseball season and the most interesting thing to talk about in January is Hall of Fame voting. Pitchers and catchers don’t report for another month. We have reached the hungry season where even rumors of what some utility infielder might do next year counts as news. Baseball fandom is a cycle of saturation and deprivation.

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January 4, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The Bullpen of My Dreams

26

Russell A. Carleton

Are modern managers misusing their bullpens or is there actually a good reason why leverage doesn't determine reliever usage?

“Doc, I had that dream again.”

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Internships are the clearest paths to jobs in baseball, but the system knocks out candidates before they even have a chance.

Last week, Braves general manager John Coppolella did something that most GMs would never dream of doing. He got on Twitter and took questions. It’s something that he does once in a while as part of his #AskCoppy series. Most of the questions were about various Braves personnel, along with a few “get to know you” questions.

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Gambler's falacies among umpires and social capital in clubhouses.

I’d like to do something entirely theoretical. I’d like to propose some studies that will likely never actually see the pages of Baseball Prospectus, but would be fun to do anyway. Since it’s the offseason, let’s have some fun.

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Breaking down all the changes--and non-changes--in the new Collective Bargaining Agreement, which seemingly pushes MLB closer to a salary cap.

There will be baseball next year!

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November 30, 2016 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: The 26th Man

3

Russell A. Carleton

LOOGYs? Speed? Defense? Dads? How should teams fill a potential 26th spot on the roster.

Negotiations for MLB’s collective bargaining agreement (CBA) are heating up, and one item reportedly being discussed is the possible addition of a 26th roster spot. It would be the first expansion of active rosters in a very long time and, if it happens, would bring up the question of what teams will do with that 26th spot.

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MLB parted ways with the Korn Ferry search firm as it continues to struggle filling front office roles with minority candidates.

It’s Thanksgiving, which means it’s time to travel several hundred miles to have an awkward dinner with your family. It’s a season of eating too much, rehashing old family arguments that were silly to begin with and even sillier 20 years later, and dealing with Uncle Larry. You know Uncle Larry. The one who voted for that candidate whom you can’t stand and who would now like to take a few moments to describe why he did so.

We here at Baseball Prospectus know that you’ve probably come to the site to get away from it all and to think about topics that aren’t so emotionally loaded. So, as a public service, we figured we’d write about race. It’s OK, both our Uncles Larry voted for Rick Porcello too.

Last week, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reported that Major League Baseball is no longer working with executive search firm Korn Ferry, whom the league had retained a little more than a year ago to help teams identify racial and ethnic minorities to fill front office vacancies. When Korn Ferry was hired, there was a growing concern internally that nearly all of the top executives in the game were white, and MLB wanted to do something about it.

To bolster their efforts, MLB created an internal Diversity Pipeline Initiative, headed by former Pirates director of baseball personnel Tyrone Brooks. In the past year, though, several general managers have been politely excused from their duties and have been replaced, mostly by 30-something, statistically-savvy Caucasian guys who used to work for the Cleveland Indians[1].

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November 17, 2016 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Can a Closer be Worth $100 Million?

2

Russell A. Carleton

Aroldis Chapman wants to know. And maybe Kenley Jansen, too.

If rumors are to be believed, Aroldis Chapman is looking for a nine-digit number on his next contract. Presumably, Chapman is looking for a four- or five-year deal, which would put his annual salary somewhere in the range of $20-25 million. In a market where teams also have the option of turning to Kenley Jansen or Mark Melancon, it seems a lot to ask, but hey, why not ask for a million for every mile per hour on your fastball. (I plan on demanding $40 million this offseason, if anyone out there is looking.) Maybe Jansen and Melancon are looking for similarly huge paydays.

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November 8, 2016 8:38 am

Baseball Therapy: The Million Dollar Pillow Fight

2

Russell A. Carleton

Toothbrush to be named later.

During the September stretch drive and the playoffs, when the good players play every day and the good pitchers pitch more innings than they’re used to, there’s a saying that “you can sleep in November.” Hopefully, some major leaguers are taking a well-deserved nap right about now. But baseball never really sleeps. There are general managers getting ready to call agents to make offers to free agents and calling each other to propose crazy deals. In December, they’ll throw a big sleepover in National Harbor, Maryland during the Winter Meetings and make a bunch of those deals.

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