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Rany Jazayerli 

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05-03

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Hot Starts, Part III
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-29

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Right Team for the Test?
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-16

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The BP Wayback Machine: Improvement Ratio
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-20

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The BP Wayback Machine: The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-27

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-15

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The BP Wayback Machine: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-10

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4

The BP Wayback Machine: The Doctor is...Gone
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-09

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7

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-28

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5

Doctoring The Numbers: When the Rains Come
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Dodgers and Nationals
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: Royals and Phillies
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-12

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Brewers and Giants
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-27

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Cubs and the Red Sox
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mariners, Braves, and Diamondbacks
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mets, Rangers, and Orioles
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Angels, Indians, and Reds
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Marlins, White Sox, and Rays
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Diving into Data
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Charlie Haeger
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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Hope and Faith: How the Kansas City Royals Can Win the World Series
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Worst. Contract. Ever.
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-31

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-02

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Playoff Prospectus: Tigers versus Yankees
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-08

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-11

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-21

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2006--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-15

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Nine
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-23

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You're Gonna Laugh...
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Top 50 Prospects
by
Rany Jazayerli and Dayn Perry

10-06

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Playoff Prospectus: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-09

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-19

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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2005--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-17

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Doctoring The Numbers: A Star No One Sees
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-22

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Top 50 Prospects
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-18

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Wes Ferrell
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-16

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Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Ron Herbel
by
Rany Jazayerli

07-14

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Amazing Danny Kolb
by
Rany Jazayerli

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October 6, 2005 12:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: Props for the Ozzeroo

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Rany Jazayerli

Bobby Jenks has gone from failed starter to playoff closer, and Ozzie Guillen deserves much of the credit.

No, let's try that again. I loathe the White Sox. Despise them. Can't stand them. It's a hatred that was forged in the late '80s and early '90s, when Hawk Harrelson divided the baseball world into good guys and bad guys (and I rooted for the bad guys), when a team named for the color of snow decided to make their dominant color the color of pitch. Everyone needs a rival to hate, and for me that was the team in Chicago that played in a ballpark named after a skinflint, a ballpark they replaced with a new one that was hopelessly outdated barely a year after it opened.

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September 13, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with a look at the value of high-school hitters drafted between 1984 and 1999.

Using the technique described in the last part of this draft series, here's a breakdown of draft pick value for college and high school players, separated into pitchers and regulars, from 1984 through 1999:

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August 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with his newest installment on assessing the value of draft picks.

I'm back now, and promise to get the next installment of this series out well in advance of the big 4-0.

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June 9, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five

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Rany Jazayerli

Measuring the value of drafted hitters and pitchers in an effort to quantify the difference, if any, between the two.

Here are the 15-year WARP lines for all pitchers and all hitters, from 1984 through 1999:

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June 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four

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Rany Jazayerli

Having established that there is no longer any difference between high schoolers and collegians in the draft, the question now is, "why not?"

Reader after reader responded with their own theory as to what could cause teams to do a significantly better job of drafting high-school talent, even as they drafted more high-school players. And each response looked frighteningly liked the last: it's the signing bonuses, stupid.

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May 25, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three

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Rany Jazayerli

Rany Jazayerli has more on draft history, including a conclusion that may surprise you.

  • College players taken in the first three rounds are about 50% more likely to reach the majors than high school players;
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    May 19, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two

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    Rany Jazayerli

    What pool of players to emphasize at the draft table--college or high-school--is one of the game's ongoing debates. The data indicates that one group has a decisive edge in value.

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    May 13, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft

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    Rany Jazayerli

    In the first of a series, Rany examines 15 years' worth of draft data to establish some basic rules.

    Sexy, it's not. Neither is it all that telegenic, although it certainly could be if MLB ditched the conference call for an amphitheatre with good lighting and tried to make a production out of it. There's no denying its importance, though. There is no source of talent that comes close to matching what's available in what is officially called the Rule 4 Draft. Moreover, there is almost no way to build a successful ballclub without some measure of success in the draft. (The Yankees are trying to prove that last sentence incorrect. They are not succeeding.)

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    March 28, 2005 12:00 am

    2005--Setting the Stage

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    Rany Jazayerli

    Five players who could follow in the footsteps of 2004's biggest surprises.

    As Bill James wrote 20 years ago--I'm obligated by contract to quote James in at least one-third of my articles--"A chart of numbers that would put an actuary to sleep can be made to dance if you put it on one side of a card and Bombo Rivera's picture on the other."

    We recognize the tale that the numbers tell because while the specific numbers may be unique from player to player, the patterns tend to become recognizable. We look at Miguel Cabrera's two rows of numbers and hear in our minds the echoes of numbers we've seen before next to names like Hank Aaron and Frank Robinson. A stroll down Randy Johnson's lines conjures memories of other pitchers who found greatness after taming their wild heat, from Nolan Ryan to Sandy Koufax.

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    March 17, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: A Star No One Sees

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    Rany Jazayerli

    He's more than just underrated; Bobby Abreu is on his way to the Hall of Fame.

    This might be one of the reasons (admittedly down the list) for why Barry Bonds is so disliked by the media. He has rendered one of the greatest of all barstool arguments--"who is the best player in baseball?"--utterly irrelevant for the past half-decade.

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    February 22, 2005 12:00 am

    Top 50 Prospects

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    Rany Jazayerli

    Our annual list finds two highly regarded young hitters battling for the top spot.

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    August 18, 2004 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: Chasing Wes Ferrell

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    Rany Jazayerli

    Having embarrassed the meek, the good doctor now celebrates the strong by counting down the best-hitting pitchers in baseball.

    While a pitcher's career numbers are weighed most heavily on this list, recent performance counts as well. So you rabid Chris Hammond fans out there, chill.

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