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Rany Jazayerli 

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01-06

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: The Case for Tim Raines
by
Rany Jazayerli

11-03

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2

The BP Wayback Machine: Dayton Moore's First Week
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-06

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Rebuilding the Best in Motor City, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-06

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The BP Wayback Machine: Rebuilding the Best in Motor City, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-24

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Dayton Moore's First Week
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-03

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Hot Starts, Part III
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-29

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: The Right Team for the Test?
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-16

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: Improvement Ratio
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-20

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: The Importance of Being 1-0
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-14

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39

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-13

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57

Doctoring The Numbers: Starting Them Young, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-27

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3

The BP Wayback Machine: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-15

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0

The BP Wayback Machine: Sweet Relief
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-10

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4

The BP Wayback Machine: The Doctor is...Gone
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-09

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7

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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5

Prospectus Q&A: Chris Hayes, Part One
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-28

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5

Doctoring The Numbers: When the Rains Come
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Dodgers and Nationals
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: Royals and Phillies
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-12

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Brewers and Giants
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-27

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Cubs and the Red Sox
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mariners, Braves, and Diamondbacks
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Mets, Rangers, and Orioles
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-06

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Doctoring The Numbers: Angels, Indians, and Reds
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Marlins, White Sox, and Rays
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: Diving into Data
by
Rany Jazayerli

04-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: Charlie Haeger
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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Hope and Faith: How the Kansas City Royals Can Win the World Series
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-23

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Doctoring The Numbers: Worst. Contract. Ever.
by
Rany Jazayerli

01-31

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Hidden Market Boost
by
Rany Jazayerli

10-02

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Playoff Prospectus: Tigers versus Yankees
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-08

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: Building the Best in Motor City
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-05

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 12
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part 11
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-11

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Ten
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-21

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2006--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-15

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Nine
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-07

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-23

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You're Gonna Laugh...
by
Rany Jazayerli

02-20

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1

Top 50 Prospects
by
Rany Jazayerli and Dayn Perry

10-06

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0

Playoff Prospectus: Props for the Ozzeroo
by
Rany Jazayerli

09-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven
by
Rany Jazayerli

08-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-09

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five
by
Rany Jazayerli

06-02

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-25

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-19

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two
by
Rany Jazayerli

05-13

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Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft
by
Rany Jazayerli

03-28

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2005--Setting the Stage
by
Rany Jazayerli

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March 21, 2006 12:00 am

2006--Setting the Stage

0

Rany Jazayerli

We continue our preparation for the season with Rany's list of three players to watch closely this year.

Well, if you don't want to strike out, don't swing for the fences. Still, by any reasonable measure that was a truly awful piece of prognostication.

Despite my embarassment, I'm back to try my hand at this soothsaying gig once more. But rather than issue foolhardy proclamations of imminent greatness from the three players listed below, I will merely argue that all three are, for various reasons, worth watching very carefully this season.

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Rany forges ahead in his draft study with a look at college shortstops, third basemen, and outfielders.

Read the full article...

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March 7, 2006 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Eight

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Rany Jazayerli

The Good Doctor returns with Part Eight of his draft study, focusing on college hitters.

Last time, we looked at the relative merits of high school players by position, ending with this chart:

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February 23, 2006 12:00 am

You're Gonna Laugh...

0

Rany Jazayerli

There was a minor error in the Top 50 Prospects list released here on Monday. Rany explains.

We screwed up.

But not in the way you might think.

Read the full article...

February 20, 2006 12:00 am

Top 50 Prospects

1

Rany Jazayerli and Dayn Perry

Our annual prospect list finds a pair of highly-regarded outfielders leading the pack.

1. Delmon Young, OF, Tampa Bay
2. Jeremy Hermida, OF, Florida
3. Ryan Zimmerman, 3B, Washington
4. Francisco Liriano, LHP, Minnesota
5. Howie Kendrick, 2B, Los Angeles of Anaheim

6. Brandon Wood, SS, Los Angeles of Anaheim
7. Andy Marte, 3B, Cleveland
8. Chris Young, OF, Arizona
9. Prince Fielder, 1B, Milwaukee
10. Alex Gordon, 3B, Kansas City







Read the full article...

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October 6, 2005 12:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: Props for the Ozzeroo

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Rany Jazayerli

Bobby Jenks has gone from failed starter to playoff closer, and Ozzie Guillen deserves much of the credit.

No, let's try that again. I loathe the White Sox. Despise them. Can't stand them. It's a hatred that was forged in the late '80s and early '90s, when Hawk Harrelson divided the baseball world into good guys and bad guys (and I rooted for the bad guys), when a team named for the color of snow decided to make their dominant color the color of pitch. Everyone needs a rival to hate, and for me that was the team in Chicago that played in a ballpark named after a skinflint, a ballpark they replaced with a new one that was hopelessly outdated barely a year after it opened.

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September 13, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Seven

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with a look at the value of high-school hitters drafted between 1984 and 1999.

Using the technique described in the last part of this draft series, here's a breakdown of draft pick value for college and high school players, separated into pitchers and regulars, from 1984 through 1999:

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August 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Six

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany returns with his newest installment on assessing the value of draft picks.

I'm back now, and promise to get the next installment of this series out well in advance of the big 4-0.

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June 9, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Five

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Rany Jazayerli

Measuring the value of drafted hitters and pitchers in an effort to quantify the difference, if any, between the two.

Here are the 15-year WARP lines for all pitchers and all hitters, from 1984 through 1999:

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June 2, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Four

0

Rany Jazayerli

Having established that there is no longer any difference between high schoolers and collegians in the draft, the question now is, "why not?"

Reader after reader responded with their own theory as to what could cause teams to do a significantly better job of drafting high-school talent, even as they drafted more high-school players. And each response looked frighteningly liked the last: it's the signing bonuses, stupid.

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May 25, 2005 12:00 am

Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Three

0

Rany Jazayerli

Rany Jazayerli has more on draft history, including a conclusion that may surprise you.

  • College players taken in the first three rounds are about 50% more likely to reach the majors than high school players;
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    May 19, 2005 12:00 am

    Doctoring The Numbers: The Draft, Part Two

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    Rany Jazayerli

    What pool of players to emphasize at the draft table--college or high-school--is one of the game's ongoing debates. The data indicates that one group has a decisive edge in value.

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