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Mike Gianella 

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12-16

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Trouble With Tiers
by
Mike Gianella

12-12

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15

Transaction Analysis: All the Fantasy Angles
by
J.P. Breen, Mike Gianella, Wilson Karaman, Ben Carsley and Nick Shlain

12-08

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 36: The One About Valuations
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

12-08

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Fantasy Team Preview: Philadelphia Phillies
by
Mike Gianella

12-08

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5

Transaction Analysis: Replacing a Legend
by
R.J. Anderson, Craig Goldstein, Mike Gianella, Andrew Koo and Jordan Gorosh

12-04

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3

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed-League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

12-02

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Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed-League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-20

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Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-18

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3

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-13

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8

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-11

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1

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-05

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3

Transaction Analysis: Lind Blows Out of Toronto
by
R.J. Anderson and Mike Gianella

10-29

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3

Fantasy Team Preview: Minnesota Twins
by
Mike Gianella

10-28

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 35: We Were Into It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-20

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Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

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22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2
by
Mike Gianella

10-12

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-08

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7

Playoff Prospectus: Vogelsong Stymies, Williams Perplexes: NLDS Game Four
by
Mike Gianella

10-06

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 34 Therapuetic Fantasy Baseball
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-06

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5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-05

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8

Playoff Prospectus: Zimmermann and Post-Zimmermann: The Two Games Within NLDS Game Two
by
Mike Gianella

10-03

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5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

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7

Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

10-01

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9

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Mike Gianella

09-29

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps
by
Mike Gianella

09-22

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: DFS and the State of Fantasy Baseball
by
Mike Gianella

09-18

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 25
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-17

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 33: Halfway House
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

09-15

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part Two: National League
by
Mike Gianella

09-11

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11

Free Agent Watch: Week 24
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-08

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American League
by
Mike Gianella

09-04

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5

Free Agent Watch: Week 23
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-04

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 32: Just Turn My Mic Off
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-28

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-25

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Weak Links
by
Mike Gianella

08-21

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 31: J.P.! You Made It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella, J.P. Breen and Mauricio Rubio

08-21

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-14

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 20
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-13

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 30: Responsible Adults
by
Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

08-11

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Other Competitive Balance Mechanisms
by
Mike Gianella

08-08

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 19
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-07

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 29: It's Not Realistic And You Shouldn't Expect It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-04

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Leagues With In-Season Salary Caps
by
Mike Gianella

07-31

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Transaction Analysis: Chris Denorfia is in the News!
by
Mike Gianella and Jeff Quinton

07-31

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1

Transaction Analysis: Cardinals Trade from the Depths
by
Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella and Jason Parks

07-31

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Free Agent Watch: Week 18
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-29

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 28: Trade Deadline Preview
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

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October 3, 2014 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants

5

Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

The Nats bring a deep roster, a particularly talented rotation, and the NL's best record to face a team that has been an October juggernaut.

The Nationals come into the series with the National League's best record and boast an impressive rotation and deep lineup. They'll take on a Giants team that won't have it's ace until later in the series after Madison Bumgarner dominated in the Wild Card Game, helping San Franscisco advance to the NLDS. However, the Giants' offense has more pop than the teams they brought to October in the recent past and their manager has proven he can pull the right strings in the postseason.

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Four postseason games, with the first pitch scheduled before breakfast on the West Coast. Previews of all four of them.

All losses count the same no matter the score, so after a dismaying loss Thursday the Tigers get a chance to even the series.

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October 1, 2014 12:07 am

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview

9

Mike Gianella

The Giants and the Pirates play at 8:07 Eastern today; the winner gets the Nationals.

Thanks to the Milwaukee Brewers’ second-half collapse, the playoff picture was pretty clear in the National League in the last few weeks, the only question being whether the Pirates could steal the division from the Cardinals with a late push. The Cardinals held on, so for the second year in a row the Pirates will host the NL Wild Card game at PNC Park, this time against the San Francisco Giants.

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September 29, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps

2

Mike Gianella

Mike looks back at how he did in a couple of NL-only expert leagues.

You are a worthless scumbag if you talk about your fantasy team. While these words have (probably) never been uttered, the sentiment certainly exists. Talking at length about your fantasy team is a combination of egotistical and boring, and nobody cares but you and the 11 other nerds who are in your league.

The naysayers do have a point. The story of how you overcame that six-point deficit in the last three weeks is captivating if it is your league, and especially riveting if it happened to you. If it is someone else’s league, the tale loses its luster quickly. I love fantasy baseball, and even I don’t want to hear more than a 60-second recap of what happened in your league.

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September 22, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: DFS and the State of Fantasy Baseball

2

Mike Gianella

Will daily leagues one day supplant rotisserie and head-to-head formats?

If you play fantasy sports, you are familiar with DFS, even if you don’t play DFS. Short for Daily Fantasy Sports, in the past two years DFS has gone from a novelty to a mainstay, carving out a significant share of the fantasy sports marketplace. As a result, most websites that cater to fantasy baseball have started devoting a portion of content to DFS and/or partnering with a DFS service. Baseball Prospectus is no exception; in 2014, BP and Draft Street entered a working partnership, which then became a partnership with Draft Kings when Draft Kings purchased Draft Street earlier this year.

DFS arguably represents the biggest paradigm shift in fantasy sports since the Internet changed fantasy gaming from a game you played with friends in your neighborhood or your college to a game you could play with anyone anywhere in the world who had a working modem. Even if you haven’t played DFS, the appeal of the game is obvious. There are a number of great things about DFS, but the three biggest positives to in my mind are:

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September 18, 2014 9:43 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 25

1

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

For the last time this season, looking at players who might be on the waiver wire and are worth rostering, depending on the format of your league.

As you’ve seen many of us say this week at Baseball Prospectus, this will be the last Free Agent Watch of the season. We hope you’ve found it useful at best and legible at worst. We’re also going to be playing around with the format of this piece for next season, so if there’s anything that you think we should be providing in this space that we are currently not, drop us a note in the comments. It’s been real, der readers. This column will see you next in April.

12-TEAM MIXED

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Bret and Mike take some deeper dives into important fantasy topics of the week.

Read the full article...

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September 15, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part Two: National League

7

Mike Gianella

These players might not be the center of your fantasy attention, but some could have sneaky keeper value in NL-only leagues.

Last week, I took a look at some of baseball’s “other guys.” These are players who can fit a lot of descriptions, but often are afterthoughts at this time of year. In keeper leagues with reserve lists, many of these players have to be activated or cut before the season is over, so it is definitely worth taking a look at this less scrutinized pool of players to see if they are worth hanging onto in 2015 and at what price point.

These recommendations are primarily geared toward AL-only and NL-only fantasy players. Last week I looked at the American League. Today, I tackle the National League.

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September 11, 2014 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 24

11

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

If these players are on the waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format of your league.

12-TEAM MIXED

Juan Lagares, OF, New York Mets
September fantasy baseball is all about positioning. And it seems only fitting that a player who is so great at it in the field has made himself awfully useful to those looking to make a push in stolen bases over the last two-and-a-half weeks of the season. Lagares has been better than anticipated all season at the plate and as good as advertised in the field—leading to a ridiculous season per some stats (he’s been worth 3.6 WARP and 5.6 rWAR). He’s been making it count down the stretch, though, as he’s hit safely in 15 of his last 17 games, hitting .338/.370/.456 with only eight strikeouts in 73 plate appearances in that time frame. However, the most interesting aspect of his performance has been how many liberties he’s been taking on the base paths. After only stealing four bases over the first four-and-a-half months, Lagares has heisted eight since the start of his hitting streak. With the Mets going nowhere, despite what math may say, Lagares may find himself with the green light as often as he wants it throughout September. That would turn him into a mixed-league play nearly across the board. —Bret Sayre


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September 8, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American League

10

Mike Gianella

These players might not be the center of your fantasy attention, but some could have sneaky keeper value in AL-only leagues.

Last year, I introduced a piece I called “The Other Guys.” It received such a positive response that I decided to bring it back again this year.

In fantasy baseball, and particularly in keeper leagues, analysts typically take a look at the hot prospects down on the farm who are getting called up for the first time in September. This is useful from a knowledge perspective, but from a decision making standpoint often isn’t very helpful. Mookie Betts is a keep at $10 next year if he makes the Red Sox out of camp; even if he’s on the bench, it’s likely he’ll be kept for the anticipated rewards down the road.

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September 4, 2014 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 23

5

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

If these players are on your waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format of your league.

12-TEAM MIXED

Mookie Betts, OF/SS/2B, Boston Red Sox
It’s been a roller-coaster season for the diminutive Red Sox rookie, as Betts tore through the upper minors during the first half of the year, and then was briefly shunned after struggling out of the gate at the major league level. The shock of a top prospect not being super awesome right away must have just paralyzed the organization and fan base. Lo and behold, after some experience and soul searching, Betts is doing pretty much was Betts was expected to do by those with unrealistic expectations. After being recalled on August 1st, Betts is just hitting .311/.400/.525 with three homers and three steals in 61 at-bats. In fact, he’s been hitting so well that his 132 OPS+ ranks second on the team, among players with 50 plate appearances or more. With the shallowness of middle infield (and the fact that he carries outfield eligibility to boot), there’s no reason he should be owned in only 26 percent of Yahoo leagues and 18 percent of ESPN leagues. —Bret Sayre


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Bret and Mike take some deeper dives into important fantasy topics of the week.

Read the full article...

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