CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Happy Thanksgiving! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume Monday, December 1

Mike Gianella 

Search Articles by Mike Gianella

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

11-20

comment icon

0

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-18

comment icon

3

Retrospective Player Valuation: National League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-13

comment icon

8

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-11

comment icon

1

Retrospective Player Valuation: American League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-05

comment icon

3

Transaction Analysis: Lind Blows Out of Toronto
by
R.J. Anderson and Mike Gianella

10-29

comment icon

3

Fantasy Team Preview: Minnesota Twins
by
Mike Gianella

10-28

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 35: We Were Into It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-20

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

comment icon

22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

comment icon

2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2
by
Mike Gianella

10-12

comment icon

0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-08

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: Vogelsong Stymies, Williams Perplexes: NLDS Game Four
by
Mike Gianella

10-06

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 34 Therapuetic Fantasy Baseball
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-06

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-05

comment icon

8

Playoff Prospectus: Zimmermann and Post-Zimmermann: The Two Games Within NLDS Game Two
by
Mike Gianella

10-03

comment icon

5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

comment icon

7

Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

10-01

comment icon

9

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Mike Gianella

09-29

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps
by
Mike Gianella

09-22

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: DFS and the State of Fantasy Baseball
by
Mike Gianella

09-18

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: Week 25
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-17

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 33: Halfway House
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

09-15

comment icon

7

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part Two: National League
by
Mike Gianella

09-11

comment icon

11

Free Agent Watch: Week 24
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-08

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American League
by
Mike Gianella

09-04

comment icon

5

Free Agent Watch: Week 23
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-04

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 32: Just Turn My Mic Off
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-28

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-25

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: Weak Links
by
Mike Gianella

08-21

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 31: J.P.! You Made It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella, J.P. Breen and Mauricio Rubio

08-21

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-14

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 20
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-13

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 30: Responsible Adults
by
Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

08-11

comment icon

9

Fantasy Freestyle: Other Competitive Balance Mechanisms
by
Mike Gianella

08-08

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: Week 19
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-07

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 29: It's Not Realistic And You Shouldn't Expect It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-04

comment icon

3

Fantasy Freestyle: Leagues With In-Season Salary Caps
by
Mike Gianella

07-31

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Chris Denorfia is in the News!
by
Mike Gianella and Jeff Quinton

07-31

comment icon

1

Transaction Analysis: Cardinals Trade from the Depths
by
Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella and Jason Parks

07-31

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 18
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-29

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 28: Trade Deadline Preview
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

07-28

comment icon

21

The HOF Rule Change
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: FAAB in Review: Asking the Non-Experts
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

comment icon

1

Transaction Analysis: Bochy and Peavy, Back Together
by
R.J. Anderson, Jason Parks and Mike Gianella

07-25

comment icon

0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 27: Closers On The 60 Day DL
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

07-24

comment icon

0

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-23

comment icon

20

Transaction Analysis: Headley Chased
by
Sam Miller, Mike Gianella and Jeff Moore

07-21

comment icon

10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 12, 2014 12:45 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews

0

Mike Gianella

Even on the road, the Giants are slight favorites to put the Cardinals in a deep hole.

Madison Bumgarner continued his postseason dominance, putting up 7 2/3 shutout innings to lead the Giants to a 3-0 win in Game One of the NLCS. Here are the lineups and PECOTA projections for Game Two.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

The Nats had the pitching advantage on paper -- again -- but they lost -- again, and some odd bullpen maneuvering by Matt Williams certainly didn't help.

At the beginning of the National League Division Series between the Washington Nationals and the San Francisco Giants, it seemed that some were overestimating the Nationals and underestimating the Giants (you can perhaps include me in this group, as I predicted that the Nats would sweep the Giants). When this series is looked back at in a few years – if we remember it at all – it is entirely possible that the opposite will occur, and we will underestimate how close this series was. After four games, the Nationals and Giants played 45 innings, scored nine runs apiece and were evenly matched throughout. Yet it was the Giants who walked away not only with a victory but a victory in a mere four games.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Bret and Mike take some deeper dives into important fantasy topics of the week.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 6, 2014 5:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews

5

Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

The Giants and Nationals will play what feels like Game Four, while the Dodger will lean on a returning Ryu.

The Nationals were one out away from evening up the NLDS on Saturday night, but instead wound up on the wrong end of a historic, 18-inning affair, losing 2-1 to the Giants on a Brandon Belt home run. Now they try to become just the ninth team in postseason history to win a five0game series after losing the first two games. Here is a look at the PECOTA odds and projected lineups for Game Three of the NLDS.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

The Giants come away with the longest game in postseason history.

This is the kind of game recap that needs two recaps. There were two separate stories that took place during the course of this historic game, the longest postseason game by time and one of the two longest postseason games by innings played. The first story was about the great pitching duel between Jordan Zimmermann and Tim Hudson. The second story was about eight innings of bullpen mastery or offensive futility (depending upon your point of view) that ended with a Brandon Belt blast in the top of the 18th. Both stories were woven together and made possible by a Drew Storen blown save that perhaps should never have happened.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 3, 2014 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants

5

Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

The Nats bring a deep roster, a particularly talented rotation, and the NL's best record to face a team that has been an October juggernaut.

The Nationals come into the series with the National League's best record and boast an impressive rotation and deep lineup. They'll take on a Giants team that won't have it's ace until later in the series after Madison Bumgarner dominated in the Wild Card Game, helping San Franscisco advance to the NLDS. However, the Giants' offense has more pop than the teams they brought to October in the recent past and their manager has proven he can pull the right strings in the postseason.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Four postseason games, with the first pitch scheduled before breakfast on the West Coast. Previews of all four of them.

All losses count the same no matter the score, so after a dismaying loss Thursday the Tigers get a chance to even the series.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

October 1, 2014 12:07 am

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview

9

Mike Gianella

The Giants and the Pirates play at 8:07 Eastern today; the winner gets the Nationals.

Thanks to the Milwaukee Brewers’ second-half collapse, the playoff picture was pretty clear in the National League in the last few weeks, the only question being whether the Pirates could steal the division from the Cardinals with a late push. The Cardinals held on, so for the second year in a row the Pirates will host the NL Wild Card game at PNC Park, this time against the San Francisco Giants.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 29, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps

2

Mike Gianella

Mike looks back at how he did in a couple of NL-only expert leagues.

You are a worthless scumbag if you talk about your fantasy team. While these words have (probably) never been uttered, the sentiment certainly exists. Talking at length about your fantasy team is a combination of egotistical and boring, and nobody cares but you and the 11 other nerds who are in your league.

The naysayers do have a point. The story of how you overcame that six-point deficit in the last three weeks is captivating if it is your league, and especially riveting if it happened to you. If it is someone else’s league, the tale loses its luster quickly. I love fantasy baseball, and even I don’t want to hear more than a 60-second recap of what happened in your league.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 22, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: DFS and the State of Fantasy Baseball

2

Mike Gianella

Will daily leagues one day supplant rotisserie and head-to-head formats?

If you play fantasy sports, you are familiar with DFS, even if you don’t play DFS. Short for Daily Fantasy Sports, in the past two years DFS has gone from a novelty to a mainstay, carving out a significant share of the fantasy sports marketplace. As a result, most websites that cater to fantasy baseball have started devoting a portion of content to DFS and/or partnering with a DFS service. Baseball Prospectus is no exception; in 2014, BP and Draft Street entered a working partnership, which then became a partnership with Draft Kings when Draft Kings purchased Draft Street earlier this year.

DFS arguably represents the biggest paradigm shift in fantasy sports since the Internet changed fantasy gaming from a game you played with friends in your neighborhood or your college to a game you could play with anyone anywhere in the world who had a working modem. Even if you haven’t played DFS, the appeal of the game is obvious. There are a number of great things about DFS, but the three biggest positives to in my mind are:

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 18, 2014 9:43 am

Free Agent Watch: Week 25

1

Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

For the last time this season, looking at players who might be on the waiver wire and are worth rostering, depending on the format of your league.

As you’ve seen many of us say this week at Baseball Prospectus, this will be the last Free Agent Watch of the season. We hope you’ve found it useful at best and legible at worst. We’re also going to be playing around with the format of this piece for next season, so if there’s anything that you think we should be providing in this space that we are currently not, drop us a note in the comments. It’s been real, der readers. This column will see you next in April.

12-TEAM MIXED

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Bret and Mike take some deeper dives into important fantasy topics of the week.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>