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Mike Gianella 

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01-17

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-12

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2

The -Only League Landscape: American League Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-11

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 114: There’s No Desperation In Susac
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

01-10

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12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers
by
Mike Gianella

01-03

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10

Fantasy Content Preview
by
Mike Gianella

12-15

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 112: Mixed League Valuations
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

12-13

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1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Batting Average
by
Mike Gianella

12-08

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5

Transaction Analysis: Adam Eaton, Underrated No More
by
Jarrett Seidler, Adam McInturff, Mike Gianella and Matthew Trueblood

12-08

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1

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

12-06

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6

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

12-01

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 110: Feeling Frosty
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

11-18

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8

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-17

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 109: He's Still Mike Trout
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

11-16

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2

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

11-11

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7

Retrospective Player Valuation: AL Pitchers
by
Mike Gianella

11-09

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1

Retrospective Player Valuation: 2016 AL Hitters
by
Mike Gianella

10-27

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 108: Expert League Recap
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

10-26

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4

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and World Series Game 2 Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-15

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2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and LCS Game Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-07

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 1 Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-05

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0

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game: Giants vs. Mets
by
Mike Gianella

09-30

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1

Expert League Recap
by
Mike Gianella

09-27

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 26
by
Mike Gianella

09-22

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 104: The Trea Turner Zone
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-20

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3

Expert FAAB Review: Week 25
by
Mike Gianella

09-13

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 24
by
Mike Gianella

09-09

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Positioning Your Team for Success
by
Mike Gianella

09-06

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 23
by
Mike Gianella

09-02

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: 2016 In-Season Valuations: Third Edition
by
Mike Gianella

08-31

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 102: The One About Gary Sanchez
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-30

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3

Expert FAAB Review: Week 22
by
Mike Gianella

08-23

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella

08-23

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1

The Call-Up: Robert Gsellman
by
Jeffrey Paternostro and Mike Gianella

08-17

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 101: You Know It When You See It
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-16

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 20
by
Mike Gianella

08-15

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0

The Call-Up: Aaron Judge
by
Steve Givarz and Mike Gianella

08-08

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 100: 30 Teams in 60 Minutes
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-02

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 18
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 99: We Don't Know
by
George Bissell and Mike Gianella

07-26

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41

Transaction Analysis: Aroldis Chapman Takes The 105 To Wrigley
by
Christopher Crawford, Mike Gianella, Rian Watt, Adam McInturff and Nicolas Stellini

07-26

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1

Expert FAAB Review: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella

07-21

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 98: The Dan Vogelbach One
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-19

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2

Expert FAAB Review: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella

07-15

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 15
by
Mike Gianella

07-08

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3

The Call-Up: Josh Bell
by
Craig Goldstein and Mike Gianella

07-08

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Second-Half... Bounce Backs?
by
Mike Gianella

07-06

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 97: Briefly
by
George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-05

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 14
by
Mike Gianella

07-01

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0

In-Season Fantasy Valuations: Second Edition, 2016
by
Mike Gianella

06-28

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Expert FAAB Review: Week 13
by
Mike Gianella

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January 17, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen

12

Mike Gianella

Stacking up the players at this position by fantasy-value-based bins.

Welcome back to our fantasy positional ratings series at Baseball Prospectus. Things can only get better from here on out, as we move from the not-so-fun duties of ranking catchers to the much more fun assignment of ranking first basemen. Once again, I rated the players at the position and then received the feedback of our crack team of fantasy writers in order to bring you a mix of my ratings at the position along with a reality check from the rest of our staff if I was too low or high on a specific player. Let’s get right to it.

Five-star players are the studs at their position. In general, they are the players who will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and will fetch mixed-league auction bids over $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and they are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late-round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of last year's values but rather offer insight into what we expect will happen in 2017.

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January 12, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: American League Catchers

2

Mike Gianella

A look at the menu of backstop options in the junior circuit.

In any two-catcher format, catcher is a challenging position to fill. This is particularly true in mono leagues, where nearly every team must carry at least one backup and some teams fill both slots with a reserve. Entering 2016, only seven AL catchers were assigned a bid of $10 or more in my final AL-only bid limit update, with the top catchers – Brian McCann and Salvador Perez – sporting a modest bid limit of $16. Where in previous years AL-only fantasy managers pushed the envelope and spent on position scarcity, last year the expert market recognized that pushing too far past the earnings ceiling was foolhardy. However, two new additions – Jonathan Lucroy from the National League and Gary Sanchez in his first full season – may provide new life to the catching pool in the AL, once again offering the opportunity to spend aggressively. Evan Gattis regaining catcher eligibility also adds to the fun.

How bare was the cupboard entering 2016? You have to go back to 2013 to find an AL catcher who had earned $20 or more (Victor Martinez). Including Martinez, 17 catchers earned $15 or more; however, nearly 50 percent of these $15+ seasons occurred in 2014. The shift in earnings has less to do with a lack of production and more to do with the changing earnings dynamic. Eleven AL catchers hit 10 or more home runs in 2016, a miniscule drop from 13 catchers in 2015 and 12 in 2014. With the value of a home run in the AL dropping from 27 cents per home run in 2014 down to 20 cents in 2016, a position that relies mostly on power to produce value was bound to lose ground. The expert market was more aggressive than my bid limits, but not by much. McCann cost $18 while Perez cost $16. The 10 most expensive AL catchers cost $12 on average. The days of spending for position scarcity behind the dish might be over.

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George Bissell, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

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January 10, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Catchers

12

Mike Gianella

Stacking up the backstops, broken down into fantasy-value-based bins.

Today, we kick off our positional tier rankings. Players at each position will be divided into five tiers, represented by a star rating.

Five-star players are the studs at their position. In general, they are the players who will be nabbed in the first couple of rounds of the draft, and will fetch mixed-league auction bids over $30. Four-star players are a cut below the studs at the position. They will also be early-round selections, and they are projected to be worth more than $20 in most cases. Three-star players are the last tier in which players are projected to provide double-digit dollar value in auctions, and two-star players are projected to earn single digits in dollar value in auctions. One-star players are late-round sleepers and roster placeholders. The positional tiers aren't simply a regurgitation of last year's values but rather offer insight into what we expect will happen in 2017.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

A look ahead at the mountains of fantasy goodness coming your way between now and when you're on the clock for your first pick of the spring.

It is almost impossible to believe, but it is that time, when fantasy baseball enthusiasts start preparing in earnest for the upcoming season. Once again, Baseball Prospectus is here to provide the best wall-to-wall coverage in the industry. For the fourth year in a row, we're expanding our already exhaustive slate of articles to make sure that you're ready for your draft or auction. Whether you play in a shallow mixed league, a deep dynasty league, or nearly any format in between, we're here to make sure that you're ready to kick ass and take names on Draft Day.

If you're long-time reader, most of the features outlined below will be quite familiar. Feel free to skim this article, or skip it entirely if you're a particularly brave soul. Once again, we have expanded our fantasy staff, which will allow us to add a few new features as well as augment our already high level of existing coverage. Raising the bar gets tougher every year, but we believe that the new writers listed below are more than up to the challenge:

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George Bissell and Mike Gianella of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 13, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Over/Underachievers: Batting Average

1

Mike Gianella

Maybe the BABIP gods don't always have a plan.

Yesterday, George Bissell broke down the landscape around the league in batting average. He found that batting average has slipped slightly over the last decade. He pointed out that batting average is one of the most antiquated metrics we use in fantasy sports to measure hitter success, yet we still do have to try and figure out who is going to help or hurt us in the category. Here are a few hitters who either over or underperformed in the category in 2016.

Overachievers

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Chicago restocks the farm system with another blockbuster, sending Adam Eaton to Washington for three pitching prospects.

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December 8, 2016 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Pitchers

1

Mike Gianella

Play without an ace at your own risk.

Welcome to my fourth annual look at retrospective player valuation at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of articles examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the sixth article in a series of six. The first four articles in the series focused on NL-only and AL-only leagues. The final two posts examine mixed leagues, with this article examining pitchers.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below. (If you have been reading along for the entire series, note that there are some changes for the mixed league articles).

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December 6, 2016 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: Mixed League Hitters

6

Mike Gianella

The speed merchants sat atop the mixed league valuations in 2016. Should we expect more of the same in 2017?

Welcome to my fourth annual look at retrospective player valuation at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of articles examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the fifth article in a series of six. The first four articles in the series focused on NL-only and AL-only leagues. The final two posts examine mixed leagues, with this article examining hitters.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below. (If you have been reading along for the entire series, note that there are some changes for the mixed league articles).

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

George Bissell and Mike Gianella of Baseball Prospectus take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

November 18, 2016 6:00 am

Retrospective Player Valuation: NL Pitchers

8

Mike Gianella

It's the good stuff. Not like those imitation AL pitchers.

Welcome to my annual look at retrospective player valuation here at Baseball Prospectus. Over the next few weeks, I will be writing a series of posts examining how players performed from a fantasy perspective in 2016. This is the fourth post in a series of six. The first two posts in the series looked at AL-only leagues, the next two shifted their focus to NL-only, and the final two posts will examine mixed leagues.

Before I dig in, here is a brief description of the charts below.

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