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Mike Gianella 

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10-29

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3

Fantasy Team Preview: Minnesota Twins
by
Mike Gianella

10-28

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 35: We Were Into It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-20

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Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League
by
Mike Gianella

10-17

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22

Playoff Prospectus: A Three-Act Tragedy, A Three-Act Triumph: NLCS Game 5
by
Mike Gianella

10-16

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2

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League
by
Mike Gianella

10-13

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5

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2
by
Mike Gianella

10-12

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Mike Gianella

10-08

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7

Playoff Prospectus: Vogelsong Stymies, Williams Perplexes: NLDS Game Four
by
Mike Gianella

10-06

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 34 Therapuetic Fantasy Baseball
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

10-06

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5

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews
by
Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

10-05

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8

Playoff Prospectus: Zimmermann and Post-Zimmermann: The Two Games Within NLDS Game Two
by
Mike Gianella

10-03

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5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

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7

Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

10-01

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9

Playoff Prospectus: NL Wild Card Game Preview
by
Mike Gianella

09-29

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: 2014 Expert-League Recaps
by
Mike Gianella

09-22

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2

Fantasy Freestyle: DFS and the State of Fantasy Baseball
by
Mike Gianella

09-18

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 25
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-17

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 33: Halfway House
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

09-15

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part Two: National League
by
Mike Gianella

09-11

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11

Free Agent Watch: Week 24
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-08

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The Other Guys, Part One: American League
by
Mike Gianella

09-04

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5

Free Agent Watch: Week 23
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

09-04

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 32: Just Turn My Mic Off
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-28

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-25

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Weak Links
by
Mike Gianella

08-21

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 31: J.P.! You Made It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella, J.P. Breen and Mauricio Rubio

08-21

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Week 21
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-14

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Free Agent Watch: Week 20
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-13

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 30: Responsible Adults
by
Bret Sayre and Mike Gianella

08-11

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9

Fantasy Freestyle: Other Competitive Balance Mechanisms
by
Mike Gianella

08-08

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 19
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

08-07

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 29: It's Not Realistic And You Shouldn't Expect It
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

08-04

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Leagues With In-Season Salary Caps
by
Mike Gianella

07-31

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0

Transaction Analysis: Chris Denorfia is in the News!
by
Mike Gianella and Jeff Quinton

07-31

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1

Transaction Analysis: Cardinals Trade from the Depths
by
Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella and Jason Parks

07-31

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 18
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-29

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 28: Trade Deadline Preview
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

07-28

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21

The HOF Rule Change
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: FAAB in Review: Asking the Non-Experts
by
Mike Gianella

07-28

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1

Transaction Analysis: Bochy and Peavy, Back Together
by
R.J. Anderson, Jason Parks and Mike Gianella

07-25

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 27: Closers On The 60 Day DL
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

07-24

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0

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-23

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20

Transaction Analysis: Headley Chased
by
Sam Miller, Mike Gianella and Jeff Moore

07-21

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: The MLB Trade Landscape, Buyers
by
Mike Gianella

07-19

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 26: Second Half Preview
by
Bret Sayre, Mike Gianella and Mauricio Rubio

07-17

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Free Agent Watch: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

07-15

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: 10 Crazy Predictions Fantasy Writers Should Have Made
by
Mike Gianella

07-10

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Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 25: TINO-esque
by
Mike Gianella, Nick J. Faleris and Mauricio Rubio

07-10

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week 15
by
Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

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The Twins are teeming with top prospects, but there are big leaguers who could help your fantasy squad in 2015, too.

Byron Buxton. Miguel Sano. Alex Meyer. Kohl Stewart. Eddie Rosario.
This is how 2013/2014’s offseason preview for the Minnesota Twins opened, and with good reason. It seemed like a fait accompli that most or all of these prospects would begin their promising big league futures with the Twins at some point in 2014. As we know now with the benefit of sweet, delicious hindsight, it didn’t work out that way. Every one of these future studs hit a bump in the road, and not one of the Twins vaunted five put up a single MLB at-bat or inning pitched in 2014.

The future still looks bright for both these prospects and the Twins, but 2014 reminded us that if you want to make God laugh, show him a well-defined prospect timetable. With the exception of Stewart, all of these prospects could still make an impact in 2015 but 2014 reminds us to temper our expectations. Given the Twins fantasy outlook otherwise, for the most part we will be the same position in 2015 that we were in 2014: shying away from most of this roster in shallower formats while waiting for better days, both in the real world as well as in our fantasy realm.


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Bret and Mike take a deep dive into current fantasy baseball topics.

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October 20, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 2 - National League

0

Mike Gianella

In the second of a two-part series, Mike reviews how his senior-circuit bid value recommendations fared.

Last week, I took a look back at how my outlier predictions did for American League players in 2014. This week, I will take a look at the National League.

What you will find below is a complete list of players where my bid limit was $3 higher or lower than the average expert league price in the CBS, LABR, and Tout Wars NL-only auctions. In addition, based on a reader suggestion rather than simply “grade” how well my predictions did in retrospect, I will attempt to explain why each specific bid limit was particularly aggressive or timid.


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The Giants play on, while Mike Matheny manages one that we'll never forget.

Baseball is boring. Baseball is slow. We need to speed up the pace of the game. The kids aren’t going to watch the games if this keeps up.

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October 16, 2014 12:52 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Five Preview

2

Mike Gianella

The Cardinals have their backs up against the wall facing the Giants ace, while their (possibly) ailing stud tries to extend their season one more game.

After the Cardinals took an early lead in Game Four of the NLCS, the Giants rallied and held on for a 6-4 win to take a commanding 3-1 advantage in the series. Here are the PECOTA odds and the matchups for Game Five of the NLCS.

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October 13, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: My Personal Scorecard: Part 1 - American League

2

Mike Gianella

In the first of a two-part series, Mike reviews how his junior-circuit bid value recommendations fared.

If you have read my work for any appreciable amount of time (either here at Baseball Prospectus or previously at my blog), you know that I am a significant believer in accountability. Many of us post our predictions in the spring. In turn, many of you rely on these predictions to construct your fantasy teams. Unfortunately, few fantasy writers revisit their work after the season and offer an honest assessment of how well or poorly they did. There are many reasons for this, and I could write an entire piece simply discussing why we as an “industry” are not very good at self-auditing. The short answer is that while it is human nature to pat ourselves on the back for our successes, we don’t really like to call attention to our failures.

I was guilty of this last year as well. After posting bids at BP for the first time in 2013, I wrote absolutely nothing about how I did (which kind of stinks, because I actually had a pretty good year). It is easy to criticize others for not auditing their work, but at a minimum I have to hold myself up to my own standard.

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October 13, 2014 1:11 am

Playoff Prospectus: Managing in a 'Must-Not-Lose': NLCS Game 2

5

Mike Gianella

The Cardinals nearly let the series get away from them, but four home runs make a lot of sins look small.

Postseason baseball brings with it an endless stream of clichés and meaningless bromides, and one of those tired bromides is that this game is a “must win.” Once you reach this point in the season, every game is a must-win game. Lose three game in the League Division Series and you’re out; lose four in the League Championship Series or the World Series and the same precept applies. “Must win” is a term that gets dragged out endlessly, but “must not lose” is probably the more apt term.

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October 12, 2014 12:45 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews

0

Mike Gianella

Even on the road, the Giants are slight favorites to put the Cardinals in a deep hole.

Madison Bumgarner continued his postseason dominance, putting up 7 2/3 shutout innings to lead the Giants to a 3-0 win in Game One of the NLCS. Here are the lineups and PECOTA projections for Game Two.

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The Nats had the pitching advantage on paper -- again -- but they lost -- again, and some odd bullpen maneuvering by Matt Williams certainly didn't help.

At the beginning of the National League Division Series between the Washington Nationals and the San Francisco Giants, it seemed that some were overestimating the Nationals and underestimating the Giants (you can perhaps include me in this group, as I predicted that the Nats would sweep the Giants). When this series is looked back at in a few years – if we remember it at all – it is entirely possible that the opposite will occur, and we will underestimate how close this series was. After four games, the Nationals and Giants played 45 innings, scored nine runs apiece and were evenly matched throughout. Yet it was the Giants who walked away not only with a victory but a victory in a mere four games.

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Bret and Mike take some deeper dives into important fantasy topics of the week.

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October 6, 2014 5:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Monday Previews

5

Mike Gianella and Zachary Levine

The Giants and Nationals will play what feels like Game Four, while the Dodger will lean on a returning Ryu.

The Nationals were one out away from evening up the NLDS on Saturday night, but instead wound up on the wrong end of a historic, 18-inning affair, losing 2-1 to the Giants on a Brandon Belt home run. Now they try to become just the ninth team in postseason history to win a five0game series after losing the first two games. Here is a look at the PECOTA odds and projected lineups for Game Three of the NLDS.

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The Giants come away with the longest game in postseason history.

This is the kind of game recap that needs two recaps. There were two separate stories that took place during the course of this historic game, the longest postseason game by time and one of the two longest postseason games by innings played. The first story was about the great pitching duel between Jordan Zimmermann and Tim Hudson. The second story was about eight innings of bullpen mastery or offensive futility (depending upon your point of view) that ended with a Brandon Belt blast in the top of the 18th. Both stories were woven together and made possible by a Drew Storen blown save that perhaps should never have happened.

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