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Happy Labor Day! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume on Tuesday, September 2.

Michael Jong 

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04-19

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3

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 4/19/12
by
Michael Jong

04-13

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0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 4/13/12
by
Michael Jong

03-28

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0

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 3/28/12
by
Michael Jong

03-21

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2

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 3/21/12
by
Michael Jong

03-16

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8

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 3/16/12
by
Michael Jong

03-07

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7

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Third for 3/7/12
by
Michael Jong

02-29

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0

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 2/29/12
by
Michael Jong

02-24

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14

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 2/24/11
by
Michael Jong

02-22

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28

Prospectus Preview: NL East 2012 Preseason Preview
by
Derek Carty and Michael Jong

02-15

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12

Preseason Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 2/15/12
by
Michael Jong

02-01

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7

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 2/1/12
by
Michael Jong

01-11

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1

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/11/12
by
Michael Jong

01-04

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0

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/4/11
by
Michael Jong

12-28

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3

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/28/11
by
Michael Jong

12-21

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5

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/21/12
by
Michael Jong

11-02

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12

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 11/2/11
by
Michael Jong

10-26

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16

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher
by
Michael Jong

10-19

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17

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/19/11
by
Michael Jong

10-12

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9

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/12/11
by
Michael Jong

10-06

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7

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Final Moments of a Brave 2011 Season
by
Michael Jong

10-05

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15

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/5/11
by
Michael Jong

09-28

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0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher Review
by
Michael Jong

09-26

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4

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Surprise Wild Card Race
by
Michael Jong

09-21

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Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/21/11
by
Michael Jong

09-19

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3

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Importance of a Strong Core
by
Michael Jong

09-14

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1

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/14/11
by
Michael Jong

09-12

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2

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Phillies' Cy Young Candidacy
by
Michael Jong

09-07

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5

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/7/11
by
Michael Jong

09-06

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4

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Curious Case of Javier Vazquez
by
Michael Jong

08-31

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1

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/31/11
by
Michael Jong

08-29

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12

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The September Stretch
by
Michael Jong

08-24

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5

The BP Trading Post: Top Catchers and Resurgent Shortstops
by
Michael Jong

08-23

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4

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/22/11
by
Michael Jong

08-22

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10

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Playoff Matchups Shaping Up
by
Michael Jong

08-11

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2

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Uggla/Ramirez Paradox
by
Michael Jong

08-09

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1

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/9/11
by
Michael Jong

08-02

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3

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/2/11
by
Michael Jong

08-01

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2

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Trade Deadline Reflections
by
Michael Jong

07-28

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0

Fantasy Beat: Stolen Base Thieves and Wannabes
by
Michael Jong

07-26

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2

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/26/11
by
Michael Jong

07-25

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12

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Potential Post-Season Impact Players
by
Michael Jong

07-19

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4

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/19/11
by
Michael Jong

07-18

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5

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Trade Deadline Wishlists
by
Michael Jong

07-12

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1

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7-12-11
by
Michael Jong

07-11

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6

Divide and Conquer, NL East: Pitching Dominance
by
Michael Jong

07-06

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15

Divide and Conquer, NL East: First-Half MVPs
by
Michael Jong

07-05

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Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/5/11
by
Michael Jong

06-30

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9

The Jong Show: Crawford vs. Reyes
by
Michael Jong

06-29

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4

Divide and Conquer, NL East: National Fever
by
Michael Jong

06-28

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5

Value Picks: Second Base, Shortstop, and Catcher
by
Michael Jong

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

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January 4, 2012 10:45 pm

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/4/11

0

Michael Jong

A couple of top catchers and two mid-tier middle infielders get a look in this week's Keeper Reaper

Joe Mauer | Minnesota Twins
Shallow (30 keepers)
: NO
Medium (60 keepers)
: NO
Deep (90 keepers)
: BORDERLINE
AL-only (60 keepers)
: YES
Super Deep (200 keepers)
: YES

Mauer had his most disappointing season in 2011, batting a career-worst .287/.360/.368 (.272 TAv) and receiving just 333 plate appearance while battling knee problems and pneumonia. Fantasy owners were undoubtedly disappointed, and enough question marks surround Mauer that he should be considered carefully in keeper leagues. What should owners do with the 2009 AL MVP?






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December 28, 2011 10:35 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/28/11

3

Michael Jong

Cano, Utley, Asdrubal, and Iannetta step into the Keeper Reaper's office this week.

Robinson Cano | New York Yankees
Shallow (30 keepers)
: YES
Medium (60 keepers)
: YES
Deep (90 keepers)
: YES
NL-only (60 keepers)
: YES
Super Deep (200 keepers)
: YES

Last year, Cano was the tenth most valuable player in deep leagues according to PECOTA, registering $31 in auction value. The best part for fantasy owners is that he did so without doing anything unusual.






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December 21, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/21/12

5

Michael Jong

Middle infield Keeper Reaper returns with Reyes, KJ, Lowrie, Scutaro, and Furcal

The Keeper Reaper returned earlier this month, but the up-the-middle positions were suspiciously absent due to previous commitments by yours truly. However, the up-the-middle Keeper Reaper is finally back, bringing Baseball Prospectus readers a few more names to consider for their keeper leagues.

Jose Reyes | Miami Marlins
Shallow (30 keepers)
: NO
Medium (60 keepers)
: YES
Deep (90 keepers)
: YES
NL-only (60 keepers)
: YES
Super Deep (200 keepers)
:  YES






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November 2, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 11/2/11

12

Michael Jong

The Keeper Reaper tackles Han-Ram's value plus that of Zobrist, Wieters, Cozart, Mesoraco, and Salvador Perez

Hanley Ramirez | Florida Marlins
Shallow:
NO
Medium:
BORDERLINE
Deep:
YES
NL-only:
YES
Super Deep:
YES

Again, it is extremely difficult for this author to remain completely objective when it comes to Ramirez, who is perhaps the face of the (soon-to-be Miami) Marlins franchise. Ramirez's performance in 2010 was disconcerting but still well in the range of excellence for shortstops. Ramirez's 2011 performance, on the other hand, was an abject disaster. Not only did he post his worst batting line by far (.243/.333/.379), but he did so while suffering through his most injury-riddled year ever after going through two seasons of creeping minor injuries.






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October 26, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher

16

Michael Jong

Youth and speed dominate this week's Keeper Reaper list

Yet another week passes with more potential keeper names for The Keeper Reaper to examine. The season is winding down just as the offseason for keeper league owners is heating up. Here again are the format categories that we are considering, for reference:

Shallow (10-team mixed, 3 keepers): http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6431
Medium (12-team mixed, 4 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6430
Deep
 (15-team mixed, 6 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6432
NL-Only
 (12-team NL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6435
AL-Only
 (12-team AL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6434
Super Deep 
(20-team mixed, 10 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6433






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October 19, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/19/11

17

Michael Jong

Jeter, Drew, Cuddyer, Arencibia, Barney, and Jemile Weeks are examined by The Keeper Reaper this week

As Rob McQuown mentioned in yesterday's edition of The Keeper Reaper, the Player Forecast Manager has been updated with 2011 numbers and can thus be used for the purposes of elucidating price estimates for players last season. From now on, we will be using these prices in our evaluation of players. Here are those price lists again for each of the formats we will be considering. 

Shallow (10-team mixed, 3 keepers): http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6431 
Medium (12-team mixed, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6430 
Deep (15-team mixed, 6 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6432 
NL-Only (12-team NL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6435 
AL-Only (12-team AL only, 5 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6434 
Super Deep (20-team mixed, 10 keepers) http://pfm.baseballprospectus.com/index.php?cid=6433






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October 12, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/12/11

9

Michael Jong

Jason Kipnis and Jimmy Rollins highlight this week's Keeper Reaper

The Keaper Reaper continues this week with more options for your middle infield and catcher positions. As you may have noticed from the last few editions, we have added a “Super Deep” category to satisfy you players with keeper leagues loaded with keeper possibilities. Once again, here are the categories we will be considering.

Shallow: 10-team mixed leagues with 3 keepers (30 total keepers)
Medium: 12-team mixed leagues with 5 keepers (60 total keepers)
Deep: 
15-team mixed leagues with 6 keepers (90 total keepers)
AL/NL-only
 12-team with 5 keepers (120 effective keepers)
Super Deep: 20-team mixed leagues with 10 keepers (200 total keepers)





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A look back at the key moments of the game that led to Atlanta's elimination

Last week, we discussed the potential collapse of the Atlanta Braves in their attempt to hold on to the National League Wild Card. Well, on one of the greatest nights in baseball history, that potential collapse became a crippling reality for the Braves, as they lost a late-inning heartbreaker to their division rival Philadelphia Phillies. At the risk of picking at a wound that has almost assuredly not begun healing yet, let us take an episodic look through the lens of Win Probability Added and Win Expectancy (provided by Baseball-Reference) and see how the game progressed from the Braves being on the brink of a second straight playoff berth to heading home without a chance at the World Series.

3rd Inning: Dan Uggla hits a two-run home run, Braves lead 3-1
That home run was the single biggest play on the Braves' side of the docket on Wednesday evening, as it added 22 percent to their chances of winning the game according to WPA. Uggla's home run was fitting of the hitting performance he has put up since July; his batting line of .301/.386/.596 with 24 home runs since July 5 has far surpassed the other Braves batters. His 36 homers for the season represent a career-high total and a fifth straight year with over 30 home runs. Despite the atrocity that was the first half of the season, his magnificent second-half line brought his season back from the brink. After the end of June, it seemed almost a foregone conclusion that Uggla would end up an absolute disappointment in 2011, yet somehow he ended up with 2.3 WARP on the year, which stands as second on the team among position players. With his Wednesday night home run, it appeared that Uggla was going to once again have a hand in leading his team's offense to the postseason.


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October 5, 2011 9:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 10/5/11

15

Michael Jong

A half dozen middle infielders and backstops worth considering as keepers for 2012

As mentioned in yesterday's debut article, the Value Picks crew has transformed into The Keeper Reaper crew for the next two months, though we will be remaining in our classic weekly beats as seen on VP all season. Remember, here are the definitions for the different categories, as set out by BP Fantasy Editor Derek Carty.

Shallow: 10-team mixed leagues with 3 keepers (30 total keepers)
Medium: 12-team mixed leagues with 5 keepers (60 total keepers)
Deep: 
15-team mixed leagues with 6 keepers (90 total keepers)
AL/NL-only
 12-team with 5 keepers (60 total keepers from one league)




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September 28, 2011 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher Review

0

Michael Jong

A look back at the best and worst Value Picks of 2011 from the middle infield and catcher positions

This week, the crew of Value Picks will be looking back on the year that was in the Value Picks article series, reviewing the good and the bad in terms of our suggestions for fantasy teams. My format will be similar to that of my colleague Rob McQuown, who discussed his outfield selections yesterday. I will simply be breaking down my good and bad choices between first- and second-half selections. Let us take a look at what went right and what went (horribly) wrong in terms of VP suggestions this season. For each player mentioned, I will show his stats while he was on the VP column.

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September 26, 2011 5:00 am

Divide and Conquer, NL East: The Surprise Wild Card Race

4

Michael Jong

While no one would have predicted it a mere month ago, the Braves have collapsed and hold a single game lead over the Cards.

As sports fans, we all love a good collapse. This may be because inherent to all good collapses are also good comebacks, and everyone loves a good comeback. Combine the nature of these dual concepts with the stakes of making it to the playoffs for a chance at the World Series, and you have an intriguing storyline to follow at the end of an otherwise dull 2011 stretch run. The Atlanta Braves were 8.5 games ahead of their closest Wild Card competitor, the St. Louis Cardinals, at the beginning of September. CoolStandings had them at a 97.8 percent chance of making the playoffs (96.4 percent chance of winning the Wild Card) that day using their “smart” mode assumptions. The Cardinals, on the other hand, had just a 4.3 percent chance of making the postseason. Flash forward to the present time, and the Braves and Cardinals are in drastically different situations. Since September 1, the Braves have gone 8-15 while the Cardinals have gone the opposite direction, posting a 15-7 record. The reversal of fortunes has put the Braves just one game ahead of the Cardinals for the Wild Card lead with only three games remaining.

This drastic change is reflected in the Playoff Odds Report. Through September 24, the Braves had an 88.8 percent chance of moving into the postseason, while the Cardinals were up to 11.2 percent. This change was most drastic during the past week—a week in which the Braves went 2-4 versus the three lower-ranked teams in the NL East while the Cardinals won five of seven games. Atlanta lost almost seven percent on their odds to make the playoffs this past week, while the Cardinals gained eight percentage points in their quest to thwart the previously untouchable Braves.
 


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September 21, 2011 9:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/21/11

0

Michael Jong

The resurgent Mike Aviles joins VP for the final week of the 2011 season.

Thanks to fellow VP author Rob McQuown, the up-the-middle edition of Value Picks will also feature the Value Picks Team Tracker

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