CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

J.P. Breen 

Search Articles by J.P. Breen

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

05-23

comment icon

7

The Buyer's Guide: Nick Castellanos
by
J.P. Breen

05-19

comment icon

2

Fantasy Freestyle: New Managers and Stolen Bases
by
J.P. Breen

05-18

comment icon

2

The Call-Up: Colin Moran
by
Kit House and J.P. Breen

05-12

comment icon

1

The Fantasy Verdict: People Ain't Trustin' David Price
by
J.P. Breen

05-09

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Stephen Strasburg
by
J.P. Breen

05-05

comment icon

5

The Fantasy Verdict: Kenta Maeda or Matt Moore
by
J.P. Breen

05-02

comment icon

8

The Buyer's Guide: Patrick Corbin
by
J.P. Breen

04-29

comment icon

0

The Call-Up: Michael Fulmer
by
Grant Jones and J.P. Breen

04-27

comment icon

5

The Fantasy Verdict: Is Storytime Over?
by
J.P. Breen

04-25

comment icon

2

The Buyer's Guide: Derek Norris
by
J.P. Breen

04-22

comment icon

0

The Call-Up: Blake Snell
by
Steve Givarz and J.P. Breen

04-22

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: Week Four
by
J.P. Breen and Jeff Quinton

04-20

comment icon

3

The Things We Believe: Long-Shot Rookies, Power Surges, and an Emerging Strikeout Artist
by
Greg Wellemeyer and J.P. Breen

04-18

comment icon

3

The Buyer's Guide: David Price
by
J.P. Breen

04-14

comment icon

8

The Fantasy Verdict: Declaring Winners and Losers of Trades
by
J.P. Breen

04-11

comment icon

3

The Buyer's Guide: Jean Segura
by
J.P. Breen

04-08

comment icon

7

Free Agent Watch: Week One
by
J.P. Breen and Jeff Quinton

04-04

comment icon

0

The Buyer's Guide: Martin Perez
by
J.P. Breen

03-29

comment icon

4

My Model Portfolio: Follow Your Heart
by
J.P. Breen

03-22

comment icon

0

Winter Is Leaving
by
J.P. Breen

03-21

comment icon

9

Playing Time Battles: American League East
by
J.P. Breen

03-17

comment icon

4

Fantasy Freestyle: Analyzing ADP to Identify Bargains
by
J.P. Breen

03-14

comment icon

5

Fantasy Freestyle: Targeting Under-the-Radar Prospects for Rebuilds
by
J.P. Breen

03-10

comment icon

2

Player Profile: Brad Ziegler
by
J.P. Breen

03-08

comment icon

7

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Relief Pitchers
by
J.P. Breen

03-03

comment icon

1

Player Profile: Carlos Martinez
by
J.P. Breen

03-01

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Nathan Eovaldi
by
J.P. Breen

02-24

comment icon

3

State of the Position: Starting Pitchers
by
J.P. Breen

02-22

comment icon

2

Player Profile: Mookie Betts
by
J.P. Breen

02-17

comment icon

7

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part Two: 31-75
by
J.P. Breen

02-16

comment icon

13

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part One: 1-30
by
J.P. Breen

02-08

comment icon

11

State of the Position: Shortstop
by
J.P. Breen

02-05

comment icon

2

Player Profile: Matt Carpenter
by
J.P. Breen

02-02

comment icon

12

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Third Base
by
J.P. Breen

02-01

comment icon

1

Transaction Analysis: The Take-Out Signing
by
Bryan Grosnick and J.P. Breen

01-28

comment icon

6

Player Profile: Devon Travis
by
J.P. Breen

01-25

comment icon

7

State of the Position: Second Base
by
J.P. Breen

01-21

comment icon

3

Player Profile: Miguel Sano
by
J.P. Breen

01-19

comment icon

22

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Base
by
J.P. Breen

01-18

comment icon

2

Transaction Analysis: Innings, Innings, Innings
by
J.P. Breen and Wilson Karaman

01-14

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Derek Norris
by
J.P. Breen

01-11

comment icon

8

Transaction Analysis: Jays, Storen Each Get Relief
by
Bryan Grosnick and J.P. Breen

01-11

comment icon

11

State of the Position: Catcher
by
J.P. Breen

01-04

comment icon

6

Fantasy Freestyle: Surveying the Uncertain Closer Landscape
by
J.P. Breen

12-21

comment icon

3

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Saves: The General Landscape
by
J.P. Breen

12-14

comment icon

1

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: WHIP: Over/Underachievers
by
J.P. Breen

12-09

comment icon

2

Transaction Analysis: Cubs Implement Flextime
by
Jeff Quinton, Sahadev Sharma and J.P. Breen

12-07

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Wins: A Deeper Dive
by
J.P. Breen

11-30

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: Stolen Bases: The General Landscape
by
J.P. Breen

11-23

comment icon

0

Fantasy Categorical Breakdowns: ERA: Over/Underachievers
by
J.P. Breen

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

Greg projects near-term fantasy returns from two players with murky paths to the majors, while J.P. believes in two veterans' soaring pop and punchout production.

I Firmly Believe: Colin Moran will return the most value among Astros third basemen

Through the season’s first 13 games, the Astros third basemen are hitting .186/.250/.237. The division of labor is roughly two-thirds Luis Valbuena, one-third Marwin Gonzalez, and a dusting of Matt Duffy. As the primary incumbent and strong side of the platoon, Valbuena holds the keys to whether this prediction has any chance of coming to fruition.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 18, 2016 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: David Price

3

J.P. Breen

Is now the right time to try to snatch the Red Sox lefty from a fretting fantasy owner?

Fantasy baseball is designed to mirror real-life baseball. It allows the average fan to “play GM,” and it’s one of the main reasons why dynasty leagues, especially deep dynasty leagues, are skyrocketing in popularity. We all want to build rosters, identify talent, and see how we stack up to our buddies.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 14, 2016 6:00 am

The Fantasy Verdict: Declaring Winners and Losers of Trades

8

J.P. Breen

J.P. evaluates the merits of three barters submitted by readers on Twitter.

Between the Bat Signal and Twitter, the Fantasy Team gets hundreds of hypothetical trade proposals each year. Should I trade Player A and Player B for Player C? Am I giving up too much? Would you do that trade? We do our best to offer thoughtful advice in an attempt to aid your quest for a fantasy championship.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 11, 2016 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Jean Segura

3

J.P. Breen

The D'backs infielder is off to a hot start in the desert, but can he sustain it?

We often hear about second-half players, guys who traditionally struggle early in the season and pick it up once the weather heats up. Aramis Ramirez and Adam LaRoche are two oft-cited examples of this archetype, with Ian Desmond being a more current reference point. As fantasy owners, we focus on these types of players because they’re “buy-low” candidates every summer.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 8, 2016 6:00 am

Free Agent Watch: Week One

7

J.P. Breen and Jeff Quinton

If these players are on your league's waiver wire, they might be worth a look, depending on the format.

MIXED LEAGUE HITTERS

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

April 4, 2016 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Martin Perez

0

J.P. Breen

Can the Rangers lefty boost his strikeout rate and take the next step?

At the back end of fantasy drafts, or on the waiver wire, we’re always trying to identify under-the-radar talents who could blossom into legitimate assets. We’ve often targeted guys like Jerad Eickhoff or Matt Shoemaker in recent years—guys with attractive stat lines who have traditionally been overlooked due to their lack of prospect pedigree. That’s the core precept of the sabermetric movement, too, right? Use numbers to identify diamonds in the rough, to cut through the narrative and profit.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 29, 2016 6:00 am

My Model Portfolio: Follow Your Heart

4

J.P. Breen

After a rough first year, J.P. picks the players he likes, eschewing the "safe" picks that went awry in 2015.

Process

This is my second year participating in the My Model Portfolio competition, which means I attempted to learn from last year’s missteps and to employ a better overall strategy. In 2015, I single-handedly coughed up the title due to Kyle Lohse’s self-immolation on the mound in Milwaukee. Other poor picks included Erick Aybar, Michael Cuddyer, Brandon Moss, and Danny Santana. In other words, I erred when I opted for “safe” players, rather than players I actually liked.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

March 22, 2016 6:13 am

Winter Is Leaving

0

J.P. Breen

No, really: The Brewers added some guys.

Owner Mark Attanasio brought money and legitimacy to the Milwaukee Brewers when he purchased the club prior to the 2005 season. The franchise ended a 26-year postseason drought with a simultaneously tumultuous and heroic Wild Card berth in 2008, and three years later the Brewers won the NL Central for the first time in three decades. Throughout that time, Attanasio pushed for consistent contention, or at least consistent relevance, continuously trying to squeeze another year of 80-plus wins out of an aging core.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 21, 2016 6:00 am

Playing Time Battles: American League East

9

J.P. Breen

A look at the job competitions ongoing in this division's spring-training camps.

BLUE JAYS STARTING ROTATION

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 17, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Analyzing ADP to Identify Bargains

4

J.P. Breen

Based on where they've been selected in drafts to date, these players could provide a significant return on your preseason investment.

Throughout the offseason, the Fantasy Team has analyzed every position group in multiple ways. We have offered tiered rankings, three-year rankings, dynasty rankings, and various kinds of player profiles. We have even suggested players to target and avoid at each position, though that’s more of a compilation of individual opinions than some kind of overarching consensus. I’d argue that no other site has provided such a comprehensive preview, both in terms of breadth and depth, of the 2016 fantasy season.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 14, 2016 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Targeting Under-the-Radar Prospects for Rebuilds

5

J.P. Breen

Dynasty-leaguers taking the long view might want to target these underappreciated young'uns in trades this spring.

Dynasty leagues have increased in popularity in recent years for multiple reasons, including a boom in prospect knowledge and a desire for year-round fantasy activity. It’s a format that allows hardcore baseball fans an excuse to obsess over minor-league development. It’s also a format that gives everyone, from the owners in contention for a championship to the owners toiling at the bottom of the standings, a reason to remain committed to the league at all times. In fact, Baseball Prospectus has an aptly named podcast—There Is No Offseason—that’s dedicated to these kind of leagues, and they’re the leagues that overwhelmingly inspire questions in our “Bat Signal” queue.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

March 10, 2016 6:00 am

Player Profile: Brad Ziegler

2

J.P. Breen

Can the Diamondbacks righty keep sidewinding his way to great success?

PLAYER BACKGROUND

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>