CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Vote in the Internet Baseball Awards for a chance at a free copy of Dollar Sign on the Muscle
Voting ends in 16 days and 10 hours

Josh Shepardson 

Search Articles by Josh Shepardson

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

06-05

comment icon

1

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week 10
by
Josh Shepardson

05-29

comment icon

10

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Nine
by
Josh Shepardson

05-22

comment icon

6

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Eight
by
Josh Shepardson

05-16

comment icon

13

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Seven
by
Josh Shepardson

05-10

comment icon

7

Fantasy Freestyle: Four Hot Hitters
by
Josh Shepardson

05-07

comment icon

5

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Six
by
Josh Shepardson

05-01

comment icon

3

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Five
by
Josh Shepardson

04-24

comment icon

11

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Four
by
Josh Shepardson

04-15

comment icon

14

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Three
by
Josh Shepardson

04-08

comment icon

16

Free Agent Watch: National League, Week Two
by
Josh Shepardson

04-01

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Legitimate Breakouts and Early-Season Flukes
by
Josh Shepardson

03-27

comment icon

9

Fantasy Freestyle: Use Your Disabled List
by
Josh Shepardson

03-20

comment icon

23

Fantasy Tier Rankings: First Basemen
by
Josh Shepardson

03-19

comment icon

43

Fantasy Tier Rankings: Catchers
by
Josh Shepardson

03-13

comment icon

9

Five to Watch: Drawing Blanks
by
Josh Shepardson

03-11

comment icon

10

Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre and Josh Shepardson

03-07

comment icon

43

Top 100 Dynasty League Prospects
by
Bret Sayre and Josh Shepardson

03-01

comment icon

12

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Outfielders, Part Two: 26-50
by
Mike Gianella, Josh Shepardson and Paul Singman

02-27

comment icon

12

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 50 Fantasy Outfielders, Part One: 1-25
by
Josh Shepardson and Paul Singman

02-18

comment icon

15

Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 15 Fantasy Second Basemen
by
Josh Shepardson

02-11

comment icon

1

The Keeper Reaper: Catcher, Second Base, and Shortstop for 2/11/13
by
Josh Shepardson

02-04

comment icon

0

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 2/4/2013
by
Josh Shepardson

01-28

comment icon

5

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/28/13
by
Josh Shepardson

01-14

comment icon

5

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/14/13
by
Josh Shepardson

01-07

comment icon

4

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/7/13
by
Josh Shepardson

12-17

comment icon

1

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/17/12
by
Josh Shepardson

12-11

comment icon

21

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/11/12
by
Josh Shepardson

09-24

comment icon

4

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher Review
by
Josh Shepardson

09-17

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/17/12
by
Josh Shepardson

09-10

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/10/12
by
Josh Shepardson

08-27

comment icon

1

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/27/12
by
Josh Shepardson

08-20

comment icon

4

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/20/12
by
Josh Shepardson

08-13

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/13/12
by
Josh Shepardson

08-06

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/6/12
by
Josh Shepardson

07-30

comment icon

2

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/30/12
by
Josh Shepardson

07-23

comment icon

3

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/23/12
by
Josh Shepardson

07-16

comment icon

5

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/16/12
by
Josh Shepardson

07-09

comment icon

5

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/9/12
by
Josh Shepardson

07-02

comment icon

3

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/2/12
by
Josh Shepardson

06-25

comment icon

4

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 6/25/12
by
Josh Shepardson

06-18

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 6/18/12
by
Josh Shepardson

06-11

comment icon

6

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 6/11/12
by
Josh Shepardson

06-04

comment icon

0

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 6/4/12
by
Josh Shepardson

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 7, 2013 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 1/7/13

4

Josh Shepardson

The merits of Jason Kipnis, Ian Desmond, and Brian McCann as keepers are debated in this week's Reaper.

Brian McCann | Atlanta Braves
Shallow (30 Keepers): No
Medium (60 Keepers): No
Deep (90 Keepers): Fringe
NL-only (60 Keepers): Fringe
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes

McCann had a down year in 2012 but still managed to reach 20 home runs for the fifth straight season. He retained his plate discipline but finished with an ugly .230 average. His BABIP was well below his career mark, yet his batted ball data fell right in line with his norms. This would seem to indicate he was unlucky last year and should rebound this year, but it isn't that cut and dry.






The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 17, 2012 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/17/12

1

Josh Shepardson

Old standbys Neil Walker and Alexei Ramirez join young studs Starlin Castro and Jurickson Profar in this week's Reaper.

Neil Walker | Pittsburgh Pirates
Shallow (30 Keepers): No
Medium (60 Keepers): No
Deep (90 Keepers): No
NL-only (60 Keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes

Walker won't find his name mentioned with the elite at the second base position, but he's a solid option at the keystone. He brings a well-rounded 5x5 line to the table, though he's not an efficient base-stealer and shouldn't be counted on to steal more than a handful of bags.






The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

December 11, 2012 5:00 am

The Keeper Reaper: Second, Short, and Catcher for 12/11/12

21

Josh Shepardson

BP Fantasy content returns to help with your keeper league decisions.

BP Fantasy kicks back into gear today as the football season begins to wane and attentions begin to turn back toward baseball.  For the next few weeks, the BP Fantasy team will spend time examining the keeper league value of various players that may be on the fringe of keepability in certain leagues.  We know that every keeper league is different, so while we’ll talk in broad strokes, we’re happy to answer questions specific to your league or cover a particular player if you ask nicely :)  The analysis, of course, will be focused on each player’s 2013 prospects, so even if you’re not in a keeper league, this should still prove valuable to your draft preparations. We've got some exciting things in the works for the coming season, and I'm happy to be able to kick it off today. —Derek Carty, Fantasy Manager

Matt Wieters | Baltimore Orioles
Shallow (30 Keepers): No

Medium (60 Keepers): Fringe
Deep (90 Keepers): Yes
AL-only (60 Keepers): Yes
Super Deep (200 Keepers): Yes






The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 24, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher Review

4

Josh Shepardson

Josh looks back on his VP picks that panned out and those that floundered in the final VP of the year.

With just over a week left in the season, BP’s Value Picks writers will be taking a look back on the season.  They’ll be looking at the players they hit on, the players they missed on, and what went right or wrong.  Thank you, readers, for your support throughout another great season here at BP. —Derek Carty, Fantasy Manager

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 17, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/17/12

0

Josh Shepardson

Jed Lowrie is healthy and Gordon Beckham is hot again, leading to stretch-run VP stints for the pair of middle infielders.

Hanging On
If he played a different position, Manny Machado (Yahoo! 29%, ESPN 38%, CBS 67%) would be an easy departure. Shortstop is a wretched offensive position this year, though, earning Machado a bit more leash as the season winds down. He recorded zero extra base hits this past week but did manage to steal a base. His strikeout rate is down this month, and his line drive rate is up. He has enough thump in the bat to put a charge into the ball, so deep mixed leaguers and AL-only owners should refrain from dumping Machado.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

September 10, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 9/10/12

0

Josh Shepardson

Kurt Suzuki and Manny Machado join the VP crew for the stretch run in this week's edition.

Departures
Since the last Second, Short, and Catcher Value Picks article (on break last week for Labor Day), Zack Cozart (Yahoo! 23%, ESPN 22%, CBS 59%) has slumped, and more importantly, he has been bit by the injury bug. A strained oblique has Cozart riding the pine, and it's unclear when he'll return. A player can't accumulate stats if he isn’t on the diamond, so cut bait with Cozart.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

August 27, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/27/12

1

Josh Shepardson

This week's VP welcomes both power and speed helpers in Ryan Lavarnway and Everth Cabrera to the mix.

Departures
A trade from the Diamondbacks to the A's pushes Stephen Drew (Yahoo! 18%, ESPN 14%, CBS 31%) to the “Departures” section.  The trade means that Drew will be moving from a home ballpark that plays slightly in the favor of left-handed hitters to one of the worst in baseball for them.  He also moves from an offense that is 11th in runs scored in Major League Baseball to the team ranked 25th.  He is still an option as a middle infielder in large mixed leagues, but he shouldn't be starting at shortstop in anything other than AL-only leagues. 


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

August 20, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/20/12

4

Josh Shepardson

Catchers dominate the Arrivals section of this week's VP with Rosario, Grandal, and Jaso joining the group.

Departures
It should come as no surprise that as a much-ballyhooed prospect that got off to a hot start, Manny Machado (Yahoo! 50%, ESPN 84%, CBS 79%) saw his ownership level rise to a level that disqualifies him for continued inclusion in Value Picks. Even with a couple of 0-fers over the weekend, Machado has made about as seamless a transition as the Orioles could have hoped for from a guy jumping from Double-A to the majors. His strikeout rate is right in line with his minor league levels, but his walk rate is way down. Don't let the walk rate fool you, though; his chase rate headed into Sunday was at 33.3 percent, just a bit above the league average of 30.5 percent. We aren't talking about a total hacker here. He's still really green, and he's hitting in the bottom third of the Orioles lineup, so if someone wants to overpay in a redraft league, let them. Otherwise, ride out his hot streak and hope Machado is able to take advantage of expanded rosters and perhaps some weaker pitching opposition in September.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

August 13, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/13/12

0

Josh Shepardson

Breakout rookie sensation Manny Machado joins the VP crew this week.

Sticking Around
Finally: a big week from Stephen Drew (Yahoo! 21%, ESPN 17%, CBS 35%). His batted ball data and plate discipline rates pointed to brighter days. This past week he raked, going 5-for-19 with one home run, five runs scored, and three runs batted in and a five-to-five walk-to-strikeout ratio. Drew is a good enough hitter to start at shortstop in mixed leagues, and his ownership levels will rise from fringe middle infield-worthy to match his starting shortstop talent level.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

August 6, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 8/6/12

0

Josh Shepardson

Zack Cozart and Ruben Tejada form this week's VP middle infield tandem.

Departures
The non-waiver trade deadline came and went, and Chase Headley is still a member of the Padres. That means no path was cleared for Jedd Gyorko (Yahoo! 1%, ESPN 0%, CBS 10%) to receive regular playing time in the majors. Gyorko has done plenty to earn a look this year, and I fully expect he'll get that shot, but without guaranteed steady playing time when he reaches the bigs and an uncertain call-up date, he can safely be cut loose in most redraft leagues.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 30, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/30/12

2

Josh Shepardson

Chris Iannetta, George Kottaras, and Steve Lombardozzi get examined in this week's VP.

Departures
My optimistic outlook for Gordon Beckham (Yahoo! 10%, ESPN 13%, CBS 46%) resulted in a 4-for-23 week at the dish with no pop or speed. He's making contact, with a contact rate of better than 90 percent in the last two weeks, but it hasn't been hard contact; he’s posted a paltry 8 percent line drive rate. Stephani Bee discussed Beckham as a change of scenery candidate in Wednesday's Lineup Card. Perhaps that is what it will take to get Beckham right, or perhaps there is no fixing Beckham, but for now, he doesn't need to be rostered in fantasy leagues.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 23, 2012 5:00 am

Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 7/23/12

3

Josh Shepardson

Josh looks at rookie middle men Jean Segura and Josh Rutledge as potential AL- and NL-only picks in this week's VP.

Departures
My desire to feature someone else as this week's AL-only VP spelled the end for Brian Dozier (Yahoo! 2%, ESPN 1%, CBS 7%) being included in the column. Of course, he has done himself no favors to remain either. In the last seven days, Dozier has hit an ugly .185/.214/.185 with zero home runs and zero steals. The last 14 days weren't much better, as he hit .200/.263/.286 with one home run and zero stolen bases. That type of production, or better said, that lack of production simply isn't going to cut it, even in AL-only leagues.


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>