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Jeff Quinton 

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07-21

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Interleague Report: Week 17
by
Jeff Quinton

07-17

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7

Fantasy Freestyle: Midseason Keeper League FAAB Strategy
by
Jeff Quinton

07-14

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1

Interleague Report: Week 16
by
Jeff Quinton

07-10

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Fantasy Freestyle: League Norms and Trade Markets
by
Jeff Quinton

07-07

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Interleague Report: Week 15
by
Jeff Quinton

07-02

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Minor League Draft Pick Valuation
by
Jeff Quinton

06-30

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2

Interleague Report: Week 14
by
Jeff Quinton

06-26

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Weaknesses, Decision Framing, and Trades
by
Jeff Quinton

06-23

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Interleague Report: Week 13
by
Jeff Quinton

06-19

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3

Fantasy Freestyle: Trade Paralysis
by
Jeff Quinton

06-16

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2

Interleague Report: Week 12
by
Jeff Quinton

06-13

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Fantasy Freestyle: In-Season Strategic Agility
by
Jeff Quinton

06-09

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Interleague Report: Week 11
by
Jeff Quinton

06-05

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper League Purgatory
by
Jeff Quinton

06-02

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1

Interleague Report: Week 10
by
Jeff Quinton

05-27

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Interleague Report: Week Nine
by
Jeff Quinton

05-22

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Fantasy Freestyle: Representativeness, Valuation, and Tanaka
by
Jeff Quinton

05-21

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13

Transaction Analysis: Stephen Drew and the Red Sox End the Suspense
by
Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Quinton

05-19

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Interleague Report: Week Eight
by
Jeff Quinton

05-14

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Growing the Pie
by
Jeff Quinton

05-12

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3

Interleague Report: Week Six
by
Jeff Quinton

05-07

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1

Fantasy Freestyle: Negotiation Styles
by
Jeff Quinton

05-05

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3

Interleague Report: Week Six
by
Jeff Quinton

04-28

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Interleague Report: Week Five
by
Jeff Quinton

04-28

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Transaction Paralysis
by
Jeff Quinton

04-23

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: The Benefits of Early-Season Trade Talk
by
Jeff Quinton

04-21

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Interleague Report: Week Four
by
Jeff Quinton

04-16

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Fighting Early-Season Confirmation Bias
by
Jeff Quinton

04-14

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1

Interleague Report: Week Three
by
Jeff Quinton

04-09

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8

Fantasy Freestyle: Buying Low, Letting Go, and the Disposition Effect
by
Jeff Quinton

04-07

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2

Interleague Report: Week Two
by
Jeff Quinton

04-02

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14

Fantasy Freestyle: Strategic Agility on Auction Day
by
Jeff Quinton

03-31

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6

The Miguel Cabrera Extension
by
Jeff Quinton

03-31

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5

Interleague Report: Week One
by
Jeff Quinton

03-27

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4

My Model Portfolio: Hopefully, No Scrubs
by
Jeff Quinton

03-24

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: Is it Really All Currency?
by
Jeff Quinton

03-20

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Beating the Success Trap
by
Jeff Quinton

03-13

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10

Fantasy Freestyle: Raise Decisions and the Fantasy Win Curve
by
Jeff Quinton

03-06

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11

Fantasy Freestyle: Prospect Theory on Draft Day
by
Jeff Quinton

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June 9, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week 11

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Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs-NL and NL-vs-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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June 5, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Keeper League Purgatory

6

Jeff Quinton

Advice for owners who feel like they're stuck in no-man's land between contention and dumping.

After taking the last week off, it is good to be back. Today we are talking in-season keeper league strategy (we will get #behavioral next week). More specifically, we will be talking about being in the curious position of being neither a buyer nor a seller—of being in keeper league purgatory. This position does not occur in each league every year. In leagues where half the teams have a shot at a title and the other half clearly do not, every owner is either a buyer or a seller. We have not gathered here today to talk about those leagues because those leagues have no purgatory. No, we are here in this very moment to talk about leagues where first place and, potentially, other top finishes have seemingly been decided, leaving the teams battling for lesser payouts and higher minor league draft picks (or some other similar payout/finish structure) disincentivized to be buyers.

First question of the article: why are these teams disincentivized to be buyers? They are disincentivized because no matter what they buy they are unlikely to meaningfully improve their position. Second question: what do I mean by meaningfully improve their position? Almost a fortnight of Sundays ago I wrote about the fantasy win curve, which denotes the value of an increase in the standings. If the value difference between, let us say, third and seventh is not meaningful, and first and second place are not attainable, then teams likely to finish in the 3-7 range will not be incentivized to sell long term assets for assets that will help them win this year. On top of that, if third-to-seventh-place finishes hold monetary (cash) or long-term (higher picks) value, then these teams will not be incentivize to sell short term assets for long term assets either. Essentially, these teams are incentivized to do nothing; they are in keeper league purgatory.

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June 2, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week 10

1

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs.-NL and NL-vs.-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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May 27, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week Nine

0

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs.-NL and NL-vs.-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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May 22, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Representativeness, Valuation, and Tanaka

0

Jeff Quinton

A look at why evaluating players based on other players we find comparable can be troublesome, and how to overcome the issue.

Back at my old stomping grounds, I used to write about the same topics that I currently write about at Baseball Prospectus, but when I wrote about a behavioral phenomenon that had particularly negative consequences I would call it a fantasy pitfall. The representativeness heuristic can be placed in the fantasy pitfall category. What follows is a discussion of the representativeness heuristic, its impact on fantasy baseball decision making, an example of that said impact regarding Masahiro Tanaka, and a look at how we can hopefully minimize the negative impact of the representativeness heuristic on fantasy baseball decision making.

Note: while this is going to be most helpful for the offseason, I always find it best to investigate and write about such topics when they are fresh in my mind. Because this topic is particularly relevant to players coming over from Japan, Cuba, and the amateur ranks, this article should still be of some help during the season.

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The Stephen Drew/Scott Boras qualifying offer odyssey comes to a non-tragic conclusion.



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May 19, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week Eight

0

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs.-NL and NL-vs.-AL matchups, and how they might impact teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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May 14, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Growing the Pie

6

Jeff Quinton

The final article in a three-part series on trade negotiations focuses on the little pieces that can make the difference in crafting a deal.

What follows is the third of a three-part series about negotiation. Part one, The Benefits of Early-Season Trade Talk, can be found here. Part two, Negotiation Styles, can be found here.

We are not talking about an actual pie in the baked-dish sense. We are not even talking about the late, great tomato pies at Hudson Street and Hamilton Avenue, may they rest in peace. Rather, we are here today to talk about a figurative pie, that figurative pie being the total asset pool that is being moved in a trade. Moreover, we are here to discuss the advantages of growing that asset pool beyond the framework of the initial trade to the benefit of both parties involved when possible.

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May 12, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week Six

3

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs.-NL and NL-vs.-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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May 7, 2014 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Negotiation Styles

1

Jeff Quinton

A look at how your league-mates might approach trade discussions, and how you should go about dealing with them.

What follows is the second of a three-part series about negotiation. Part one, The Benefits of Early-Season Trade Talk, can be found here.

People are not all alike. Well depending on the baseline you use, we are all pretty similar anatomically and physiologically. While all humans use the hydrochloric acid in their stomachs in a similar fashion, we do not all use our brain, brawn, tongue, and trachea to negotiate the same. Knowing your own negotiation style and that of your leaguemates will help you to negotiate better. Each negotiation style is predisposed to certain trade mistakes in fantasy baseball. By knowing what we are predisposed to, we can hopefully more frequently avoid the following mistakes:

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May 5, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week Six

3

Jeff Quinton

A look at the upcoming AL-vs.-NL and NL-vs.-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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April 28, 2014 6:00 am

Interleague Report: Week Five

0

Jeff Quinton

A look at this week's AL-at-NL and NL-at-AL matchups, and how they might affect teams' lineups.

Please note that in the “DH” column, the player listed is the player that has been added or removed from the lineup, not necessarily the player in the DH slot. For example, if the Phillies move Dominic Brown to DH and put Tony Gwynn Jr. in the OF, then I will list Gwynn Jr. in the “DH” column because he is the player that is gaining at bats.

Last Week

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