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Jeff Quinton 

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02-16

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5

The Quinton: Stolen Bases, Scarcity, and Magnitude Effects
by
Jeff Quinton

02-10

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0

TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 81: The Fudge Factor
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Jeff Quinton

02-10

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0

Player Profile: Jean Segura
by
Jeff Quinton

02-09

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4

The Quinton: Shortstops and Bad Options
by
Jeff Quinton

01-30

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1

The Quinton: Keeper-League Trades and Faux Redundancy
by
Jeff Quinton

01-27

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1

Player Profile: Robinson Cano
by
Jeff Quinton

01-23

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0

The Quinton: Second Base and Changes in Landscape
by
Jeff Quinton

01-16

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2

The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

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6

Tools of Ignorance: Cornered
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

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0

Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy
by
Jeff Quinton

01-09

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6

The Quinton: Catchers and Answers to Easier Questions
by
Jeff Quinton

12-27

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2

Best of BP 2016: The Team-Mandated Player Opt-Out
by
Jeff Quinton

11-24

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4

Transaction Analysis: Career-Years and Old Upside
by
Jeff Quinton, Wilson Karaman and Bret Sayre

10-17

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and ALCS Game 3 Preview
by
Jeff Quinton

10-11

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Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 4 Previews
by
Bryan Grosnick and Jeff Quinton

10-08

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0

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and NLDS Game 2 Previews
by
Jeff Quinton

10-06

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2

Tools of Ignorance: Showalter, Decisions, and Regrets
by
Jeff Quinton

08-18

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10

Tools of Ignorance: The Trades Remain the Same
by
Jeff Quinton

08-15

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11

Tools of Ignorance: Why Was Chapman So Expensive?
by
Jeff Quinton

08-02

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9

Transaction Analysis: The Penny-Pinching Pirates Pitching Parade
by
Jeff Quinton, Ben Carsley, Joshua Howsam, Gideon Turk, Craig Goldstein, Adam McInturff, Jeffrey Paternostro and Bryan Grosnick

07-30

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0

Transaction Analysis: Marlins Gonna Marlins
by
Adam McInturff, Dustin Palmateer, Steve Givarz, Jeff Quinton and Jeffrey Paternostro

07-29

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0

The Quinton: Searching for Trade Deadline Targets
by
Jeff Quinton

07-20

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0

The Quinton: Is There a Best Day (of the Week) to Trade?
by
Jeff Quinton

07-07

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Player Profile: Matt Kemp
by
Jeff Quinton

07-01

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0

The Quinton: Trading With or As the Leader
by
Jeff Quinton

06-30

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0

Tools of Ignorance: Is Now the Time to Sell?
by
Jeff Quinton

06-24

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0

Player Profile: Zach Davies
by
Jeff Quinton

06-17

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0

The Quinton: In-Season Solutions, Missed
by
Jeff Quinton

06-08

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Mark Trumbo and Being Wrong
by
Jeff Quinton

06-06

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0

Transaction Analysis: Small Trade James
by
James Fegan, Jeff Quinton, Christopher Crawford and Bryan Grosnick

05-26

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13

Tools of Ignorance: The Team-Mandated Player Opt-Out
by
Jeff Quinton

05-23

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2

The Quinton: Trades, Supply Chains, and Lead Times
by
Jeff Quinton

05-12

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0

The Quinton: The Cost of a Trade
by
Jeff Quinton

05-04

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0

Tools of Ignorance: The Somewhat Dubious Outlook For the Next Generation of Rebuilds
by
Jeff Quinton

04-22

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1

Free Agent Watch: Week Four
by
J.P. Breen and Jeff Quinton

04-21

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1

The Quinton: The Big Trade, Untouchables, and Storytelling
by
Jeff Quinton

04-12

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0

The Quinton: Bold Predictions and Confirmation Bias
by
Jeff Quinton

04-08

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7

Free Agent Watch: Week One
by
J.P. Breen and Jeff Quinton

04-05

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10

The Quinton: Keeper-League Auction Takeaways
by
Jeff Quinton

04-02

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0

TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 67: Avocados
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein and Jeff Quinton

04-01

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0

My Model Portfolio: Punting Saves
by
Jeff Quinton

03-22

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5

The Quinton: Beating the Wisdom of the Crowd
by
Jeff Quinton

03-14

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0

Flags Fly Forever Podcast: Ep. 82: Draft Strategy with Jeff Quinton
by
George Bissell and Jeff Quinton

03-14

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4

The Quinton: On Paying for Saves
by
Jeff Quinton

03-04

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5

Tools of Ignorance: The Dodgers' Breakable Rotation
by
Jeff Quinton

02-29

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1

The Quinton: Partaking in Both Auctions and Drafts
by
Jeff Quinton

02-23

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1

TINO (There Is No Offseason): Ep. 64: The BP Annual Drinking Game
by
George Bissell, Ben Carsley, Craig Goldstein, Bret Sayre, Meg Rowley, Matt Sussman and Jeff Quinton

02-22

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0

The Quinton: The Biggest Advantage of Mock Drafts
by
Jeff Quinton

02-19

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10

The Quinton: On Reaching
by
Jeff Quinton

02-08

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2

The Quinton: Shortstops, Uncertainty, and Scarcity
by
Jeff Quinton

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

February 16, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Stolen Bases, Scarcity, and Magnitude Effects

5

Jeff Quinton

Helping you avoid fantasy pitfalls associated with the decrease in steals around the league in recent years.

Stolen bases and stolen base attempts are down over the past 10 years and are so particularly over the past five years. The graph below shows league-wide totals for stolen bases, caught stealing, and stolen base attempts from 2007 to 2016 by year.

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There Is No Offseason (TINO) is a Baseball Prospectus fantasy podcast focusing exclusively on dynasty league formats.

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A fantasy-oriented look at the thrice-traded, now-Mariners shortstop.

Player Background

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A look at the pitfalls tackling the shortstop position might bring during drafts and auctions, and how you can avoid them.

“The only journey is the one within.” –Rainer Marie Rilke

I found the above via the Google search: a journey quote. Another quote I found via the same google search follows:

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January 30, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Keeper-League Trades and Faux Redundancy

1

Jeff Quinton

Jeff explains what to look for when scanning leaguemates' roster in search of offseason trade opportunities in keeper leagues.

I don’t have anything to say specifically regarding third base, so I wanted to use this week’s article to discuss a subject we have not yet touched this year in this column: pre-draft and pre-auction trades in keeper leagues.

In theory, we should see two types of trades: the at-different-points-of-the-contention-cycle trade and the challenge trade. The first happens when teams value players differently because of their difference in distance from competing for a championship. A team, for example, competing for a championship this year might find great value in Victor Martinez, whereas a team that will not be competing for a championship the next two years will have no value for Martinez other than what he can return via trade. Meanwhile, a challenge trade happens when two teams just value players differently. Because of our old friends the endowment effect and defensive decision-making, these trades rarely happen.

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January 27, 2017 6:00 am

Player Profile: Robinson Cano

1

Jeff Quinton

The Mariners second-sacker is 34 now, but is there any reason to fear an imminent decline?

Player Background

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 23, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Second Base and Changes in Landscape

0

Jeff Quinton

How to adapt to the sudden abundance of fantasy riches at the keystone.

Second Base and Changes in Landscape

You all have probably heard by now, but the second base position was incredibly productive last year in fantasy baseball and thus looks to be very deep this year. Like, really deep. How deep? Let’s take a look at that table from catchers week to point us in the right direction:

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Why the multitude of first-base options can result in suboptimal decisions, and how to avoid falling into the trap.

Good Monday and, more importantly, good Martin Luther King Day to everyone.

Unrelatedly, we go from the catcher position, the least productive offensive position (likely a result of all the ways catchers can impact the game defensively), to first base, one of the most productive offensive positions, likely a result of the limits on the way a first baseman can impact the game defensively. Talk about pointing out contrast because I didn’t know how to get rolling on this article.

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January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Tools of Ignorance: Cornered

6

Jeff Quinton

Is there an inefficiency to be exploited by taking so-so center fielders and playing them in a corner?

The Mariners have added Jarrod Dyson and Mitch Haniger to their outfield this offseason and they already had Leonys Martin. The Rays traded Drew Smyly for a group of prospects, which they insisted (to at least some extent) include Mallex Smith, and they already had Kevin Kiermaier. I think the Mariners and Rays made these trades because they thought high-end corner outfield defense was undervalued.

***

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January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy

0

Jeff Quinton

After a change in his approach at the plate, what can we expect from the Brewer-turned-Ranger this season?

Player Background

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January 9, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Catchers and Answers to Easier Questions

6

Jeff Quinton

A look at why we tend to reach for catchers and how to avoid doing so in your drafts this spring.

Catchers and Answers to Easier Questions on Draft Day

Hi all. Welcome back and, for those of you who are new around here, welcome.

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Within an unusual and thought-provoking trend, there is an extremely unusual and extremely thought-provoking subtrend.

With the year winding to a close, Baseball Prospectus is revisiting some of our favorite articles of the year. This was originally published on May 26, 2016.

We, as an internet, have thoroughly discussed the player opt-out, but oversaturation and (a lack of) timeliness have never stopped us before here at Tools of Ignorance and they will not stop us now. In December, at the beginning of the height of player opt-out-mania, I wrote about why this contract structure might have increased in popularity. I hypothesized, among other things, that players might be valuing the opt-out and flexibility it brings more than teams valued it, or that players were just flat out overvaluing the opt-out, or both. It felt right; it felt like it made sense.

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