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Jeff Moore 

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12-19

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2

Transaction Analysis: Padres Wish Upton a Star
by
R.J. Anderson, Wilson Karaman, Bret Sayre, Jordan Gorosh, Jeff Moore and Ethan Purser

12-15

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6

Rule 5 Draft Recap
by
Jeff Moore

11-24

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0

The 40-Man Additions
by
Tucker Blair and Jeff Moore

11-24

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5

The 40-Man Additions
by
Craig Goldstein, Mauricio Rubio and Jeff Moore

11-18

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10

Transaction Analysis: Heyward Movement
by
Sam Miller, Jeff Moore, Ben Carsley and Wilson Karaman

10-29

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5

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, October 28th
by
Jeff Moore

10-28

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8

Hot Stove Scouting Report: Jon Lester
by
Jeff Moore

10-28

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3

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 27th
by
Jeff Moore

10-27

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3

Minor League Update: Games of October 24th-25th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-24

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1

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 23rd
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Jeff Moore

10-23

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Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, October 22nd
by
Jeff Moore

10-22

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Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, October 21st
by
Jeff Moore

10-21

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1

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 20th
by
Jeff Moore

10-20

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Minor League Update: Games of October 17-18, 2014
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Jeff Moore

10-17

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Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 17th
by
Jeff Moore

10-16

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4

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, October 15th
by
Jeff Moore

10-15

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2

Minor League Update: Games of October 14th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-14

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7

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 13th
by
Jeff Moore

10-13

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2

Minor League Update: Games of October 10-11, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-10

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2

Minor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 9th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-09

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1

Minor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 8th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

10-08

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6

Prospectus Feature: Aaron Judge and the Question of Long-Armed Hitting Prospects
by
Jeff Moore

10-08

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2

Minor League Update: Arizona Fall League Games of October 7th, 2014
by
Jeff Moore

09-23

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11

Prospectus Feature: Colin Moran and the Matter of Draft Status
by
Jeff Moore

09-15

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21

Minor League Update: Games of September 12-14
by
Jeff Moore

09-12

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Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, September 11
by
Jeff Moore

09-11

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Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, September 10
by
Jeff Moore

09-10

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2

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, September 9
by
Jeff Moore

09-09

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3

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, September 8
by
Jeff Moore

09-08

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2

Minor League Update: Games of September 5-7
by
Jeff Moore

09-05

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5

Prospect Debate: Steven Moya's Feast or Famine
by
Jeff Moore, Mark Anderson and Tucker Blair

09-05

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3

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, September 4th
by
Jeff Moore

09-04

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2

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, September 3rd
by
Jeff Moore

09-04

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3

The Call-Up: The Others
by
Mauricio Rubio, Tucker Blair, Jordan Gorosh, Craig Goldstein, Ben Carsley, Bret Sayre and Jeff Moore

09-03

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4

Notes from the Field: Two Cubans Walk Onto A Field...
by
Jeff Moore

09-03

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3

The Call-Up: Dalton Pompey
by
Jeff Moore and Ben Carsley

09-02

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2

Minor League Update: Games of August 29-September 1
by
Jeff Moore

08-29

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8

The Call-Up: Dilson Herrera
by
Jeff Moore and Craig Goldstein

08-29

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Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 28th
by
Jeff Moore

08-28

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2

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 27th
by
Jeff Moore

08-27

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5

AFL 2014
by
Jeff Moore

08-27

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11

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 26th
by
Jeff Moore

08-26

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5

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, August 25th
by
Jeff Moore

08-25

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5

Minor League Update: Games of August 22-24
by
Jeff Moore

08-22

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12

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 21
by
Jeff Moore

08-21

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5

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, August 20
by
Jeff Moore

08-20

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8

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, August 19
by
Jeff Moore

08-19

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8

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, August 18
by
Jeff Moore

08-18

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11

Minor League Update: Games of August 15-17
by
Jeff Moore

08-15

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Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, August 14
by
Jeff Moore

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Notes on prospects who stood out yesterday, including Francisco Lindor and Mark Appel.

Francisco Lindor, SS, Indians (Peoria): 3-4, R, 2B. I’m not breaking any new ground by saying that Lindor is among the best, if not the best, shortstop prospect in the game, but he’s also perhaps the surest bet of any prospect at any position around whom you could build your team. There is no doubt that he is prepared to step in and provide defensive value in the majors today if necessary, as has been the case for some time. What will separate him from the pack, however, will be his ability to drive the ball for extra bases. He has just enough pop to keep pitchers honest and punish them when they leave the ball over the plate, something pitchers don’t fear with Lindor’s most frequent comp, Elvis Andrus. If Lindor can consistently get into the 30-double/10-home-run range (well within reach), the rest of his skill set should make him one of the best players in the American League.

Mark Appel, RHP, Astros (Salt River): 5 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K. It’s safe to say that Appel has rebounded from his bizarre struggles at the start of the season, and Monday night’s start was the best of three strong outings thus far in the desert. These performances make his struggles early this season even more bizarre, as they were at least partially contributed to the unforgiving hitting environments of the California League, something not unlike what he’s handling quite well this October. Assuming he finishes the month as strong as he has started it, Appel is giving the Astros hope that he could get to the big leagues by some point next season, which seemed almost impossible earlier this year.

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October 20, 2014 6:45 am

Minor League Update: Games of October 17-18, 2014

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Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out over the weekend, including D.J. Peterson and Tyler Glasnow.

Friday, October 17th

D.J. Peterson, 1B, Mariners (Surprise, AFL): 1-4, R, HR. I mentioned this in a chat when a reader asked me about Peterson’s future, but sometimes these developmental decisions are quite complicated and sometimes they are remarkably simple. Many scouts believed that Peterson was destined for first base as soon as he was drafted; others thought he had a chance to stick at third. Regardless of where he falls on that spectrum, he’s probably destined for first base just out of the Mariners’ necessity, and he’s seeing some time at the new position this fall. He’s not going to unseat Kyle Seager, but Peterson is going to be an everyday bat and won’t need too much more time in the minors. His bat won’t play as well at first base, but whose does? It still projects to be a better option than the pu pu platter the Mariners trotted there this year.

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October 17, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, October 17th

0

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including Greg Bird and Patrick Kivlehan.

Greg Bird, 1B, Yankees (Scottsdale): 2-4, 2 R, 2 HR, K. The key to Bird’s success is finding the right balance point between being patient and being passive. He has a tremendous eye at the plate, but there are times when he lets hittable pitches go by instead of trying to do damage, which I noted earlier in the year after seeing him in the Florida State League. As he learns to attack more of these pitches without expanding the strike zone and swinging at pitchers’ pitches, however, he has the potential to do enough damage to be an everyday first baseman, as the power is legitimate and the ball comes off his bat with ease.

Patrick Kivlehan, 1B, Mariners (Surprise): 2-3, 2 R, 2B, HR, BB. Kivlehan is a late-bloomer in the baseball world after playing more football while at Rutgers, but he offers plus right-handed power, a desired commodity in the game today. The Mariners have had him at third base, but he’s destined for first base where he’s playing this fall. It’s going to be all about the power for Kivlehan, and just how much of it will play in games against better competition. He could be a guy who hits his ceiling at Triple-A, but if the power continues to show, he’ll get his chances.

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October 16, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, October 15th

4

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including C.J. Edwards and Aaron Judge.

C.J. Edwards, RHP, Cubs (Mesa): 3 IP, H, 0 R, BB, 3 K. Since coming over to the Cubs farm system in the midst of his breakout 2013 campaign, Edwards has been unfairly pegged as the leader of a lackluster group of Cubs pitching prospects. He may be one of their better arms in a farm system dominated by impact bats, but there are major questions about his ability to remain a starter. He’s had success, but shoulder inflammation kept him to just 53 2/3 innings this year, which doesn’t help ease concerns about his durability.

Aaron Judge, OF, Yankees (Scottsdale): 2-4, R, HR. Judge didn’t just hit a home run, he crushed one, which he’s perfectly capable of doing given his tremendous size and strength. I’ve noted before that he doesn’t sell out for his power, which gives him a remarkably balanced approach for such a tall hitter and bodes well for his future development. He’ll run into plenty of home runs because he’s so strong, but he’ll be better suited being the all-around hitter he’s attempting to be.

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October 15, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of October 14th, 2014

2

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including Brandon Nimmo and Mark Appel.

Brandon Nimmo, OF, Mets (Scottsdale): 2-3, R, 3 BB, K. These are the kinds of games we need to start getting excited about with Nimmo. At first glance, he looks like the kind of hitter who will one day be at the center of a big-league lineup, but he’s not the run producer his physical frame suggests. Because of that, he has a tendency to let scouts down. That’s their fault. Instead, it’s important to focus on what he does well, which is hit for average and get on base even more frequently. Nimmo is going to be an everyday player and a darn good one, but he’s going to be atop a big-league order and not necessarily in the middle of one. The power may not come, but he’s going to get on base enough to play every day.

Roman Quinn, OF, Phillies (Scottsdale): 2-6, K. Quinn is getting his reps in center field this fall, which is good given that he didn’t switch to the position until the second half of the minor-league season. But the real question surrounding the speedster is whether he’s going to hit enough to play every day no matter his position. His speed helps everything play up, but there are real questions about whether or not the hit tool is good enough, and his plate discipline isn’t adequate to make up the difference.

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October 14, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, October 13th

7

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including Kyle Zimmer and Josh Bell.

Taijuan Walker, RHP, Mariners (Surprise): 5 IP, 2 H, R, 2 BB, 6 K. It feels like Walker has been around forever, and on the verge of the majors for almost as long. When that happens, much like a Heisman-winning quarterback returning to school, we begin to nitpick. Walker is still a stud, perhaps the best pitching prospect in the game (though he no longer qualifies by most service time definitions). For those who like to see prospects fulfill their destiny, we must only root for Walker to finally be healthy and step in behind Felix Hernandez. And even the “finally” is unfair. He just turned 22.

Kyle Zimmer, RHP, Royals (Peoria): 5 IP, 2 H, 0 R, BB, 11 K. My goal this fall was to discuss as many different prospects as possible and not repeat the same guys too many times, but when a former first rounder strikes out 11 in five innings, I don’t care if it’s in the California Penal League. Zimmer appears to be getting back to his old self after missing the majority of the year due to a strained shoulder. Expecting him to jump into the Royals big-league rotation next year with just 18 2/3 innings of Double-A ball under his belt and virtually no innings built up this season is a stretch, but if he’s healthy, there’s no reason he can’t get to Kauffman at some point in the summer.

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October 13, 2014 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of October 10-11, 2014

2

Jeff Moore

Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert and in Venezuela, including Andrew Aplin, Tyrell Jenkins, and Giovanny Urshela.

Friday, October 10th

Andrew Aplin, OF, Astros (Salt River, AFL): 4-4, R, HR. Aplin doesn’t impress you at first glance, but he does enough things well that he should end up being a major leaguer. He doesn’t hit for much power, but he has just enough pop to keep pitchers honest and walks more than he strikes out. As an up-the-middle player with on-base skills and decent speed, he does enough on a baseball field to help a team.

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Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert, including Francisco Lindor and Hunter Renfroe.

Francisco Lindor, SS, Indians (Peoria Javelinas): 4-6, 2 R, 2B, HR, K. There is a legitimate debate between Lindor, Addison Russell, and Carlos Correa for the title of the best shortstop prospect in the game. For many, it comes down to preference, with Lindor seen as the best defensive option of the trio. While that’s true, his defensive prowess often overshadows his offensive abilities, which are impressive in their own right. Lindor should provide more than enough offense to eclipse the below-average bar set by the current crop of major-league shortstops.

Aaron Northcraft, RHP, Braves (Peoria Javelinas): 3 IP, H, 0 R, BB, 2 K. Northcraft has lasted longer as a starter than anyone gave him credit for early in his development, but the rotation is still probably not his long-term home. He’s a sinker/slider pitcher with a low armslot and a changeup that’s not good enough to combat lefties. Still, he’s kept his strikeout totals respectable enough to possibly eat up some innings in the back end of a rotation. More than likely, however, he’ll settle in as a low-leverage reliever.

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Notes on prospects who stood out in the desert yesterday, including Jesse Winker and Mark Appel.

Jesse Winker, OF, Reds (Surprise Saguaros): 2-3, 2 R, 2B, HR, 2 BB. There are many ways to look at Winker. On the one hand, he’s a left-field-only defensive player whose only value is with his bat. On the other hand, he hit .287/.399/.518 this year and finished the season in Double-A. On the one hand, almost all of that damage came in the hitter-friendly California League. On the other hand, he battled a wrist injury in July that affected his performance after being promoted. Either way, he remains one of the more underrated hitting prospects in the game and should hit enough to handle any defensive assignment.

Raul Mondesi, SS, Royals (Peoria Javelinas): 2-4, R, 2B, 2 K. In our Ten Pack on Monday, I named Mondesi as the prospect I wanted to see most this fall. That’s because he has perhaps the biggest gap between current production and ceiling of any player in the desert. I’ve seen glimpses of the tools at the plate that make for a good hitter, but the approach at the plate still has a long way to go, and facing by far his stiffest competition yet won’t make it any easier.

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Aaron Judge has long arms. Hitters with long arms have swing-and-miss issues. Do two sentences make a destiny?

Few things scare scouts off a hitter more than high strikeout totals. We’re trained to look past the numbers and to see just the player, rather than be swayed by, for example, gaudy numbers in an extreme hitting environment or against inferior competition—or the reverse. But high strikeout totals are one number that can set off scouts’ alarms. Even the most successful minor-league hitters can, and usually will, struggle when they get to the majors if they have extreme swing-and-miss issues. As George Springer showed this year, a hitter with extreme strikeout tendencies can still be productive; that production might just come with a painfully low batting average.

A few weeks ago, I talked about how predetermined biases about a player can affect the evaluation process, especially with prospects for whom expectations play a large part. In the case of Yankees outfield prospect Aaron Judge, however, even if we can strip away all of the background information, forget about his success in college and forget that he was selected in the Yankees in the first round, we can’t ignore that he is a tremendously large human being. I mean, he’s just massive.

We know certain things that are generally pretty true about tall hitters. They typically hit for more power than their shorter counterparts, and at the same time, they generally swing and miss more. Part of that is due to the aforementioned propensity for power (as powerful swings tend to bring whiffs), but part is due to physics. Taller hitters have longer arms, and long arms make for long swings. The longer a swing, the more holes in it.

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Kicking off the AFL season with notes on Steven Moya, Kyle Zimmer, and other prospects who stood out yesterday.

The Arizona Fall League began on Tuesday, and with it comes the return of the Minor League Update. Soon, leagues throughout the Caribbean will begin play as well, giving us a return to the prospect action we’ve been going through withdrawals from over the past five weeks, even if it’s in a limited fashion.

As a reminder to those not completely familiar, the AFL is often referred to as a “finishing school” for prospects on the cusp of the majors. Not all players on the roster are top prospects, but most will make the majors in some capacity. You can read about all of the player eligibility rules here, but it makes for a strong collection of top prospects, fringe prospects, role players, and true youngsters. It’s a dream setting for a scout looking to see as many prospects as possible in one plcae, which is why several members of the BP Prospect Team (including yours truly) will be heading out to the desert at the end of the month.

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What are we talking about when we talk about disappointment?

"(A box score) doesn't tell how big you are, what church you attend, what color you are, or how your father voted in the last election. It just tells what kind of baseball player you were on that particular day."Branch Rickey

If only it were still that simple. Back when Rickey was making personnel decisions for major-league organizations, and those last three traits were actually factors in how people were judged, it was a lot easier to evaluate a ballplayer without knowing too much about him. But with phones and tablets now as essential to the scouting toolbox as a stopwatch, with three different prospect rankings appearing on players’ Baseball-Reference pages, with signing bonuses public (and publicy debated), with the conversation about some players’ draft stock now rivaling the lifespan and intrigue of a presidential primary, that’s no longer the case.

Colin Moran is not a bad baseball player. The University of North Carolina doesn’t recruit bad baseball players. Bad baseball players don’t get popped sixth overall in the major-league draft. And bad baseball players don’t hit .296 between High- and Double-A, as Moran did in 2014, his first full year among the professional ranks.

Yet to hear many evaluators talk—to hear me at certain points during this season—you might think Moran is just terrible. Throughout a season of sitting behind home plate, I saw no player inspire more head shakes, shoulder shrugs and eye rolling than Moran. "How was this guy the sixth-best amateur player in the country last year,” I heard from more than one scout. I wasn't terribly kind in my initial write-up of Moran, saying "I came away feeling very underwhelmed with the player."

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