CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Happy Thanksgiving! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume Monday, December 1

Jay Jaffe 

Author of the weekly Prospectus Hit List, now in AL and NL flavors, as well as the Prospectus Hit and Run column, and BP's in-house expert on the Hall of Fame.
Search Articles by Jay Jaffe

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

04-19

comment icon

0

The BP Wayback Machine: Remembering Jackie Robinson, and the Man Who Taught Me About Him
by
Jay Jaffe

03-06

comment icon

6

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Curious Case of Freddie Lindstrom
by
Jay Jaffe

11-30

comment icon

3

The BP Wayback Machine: Take Me Out of the Hall Game
by
Jay Jaffe

09-21

comment icon

0

The BP Wayback Machine: Backing into the Playoffs
by
Jay Jaffe

08-31

comment icon

3

Prospectus Hit and Run: Fat Elvis' Swan Song
by
Jay Jaffe

07-30

comment icon

2

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Midsummer Replacement-Level Killers, Part II
by
Jay Jaffe

07-23

comment icon

6

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Midsummer Replacement-Level Killers, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

07-11

comment icon

1

BP Unfiltered: A Correction from Down Under
by
Jay Jaffe

06-29

comment icon

20

Prospectus Hit and Run: JAWS Chews on Some Cooked Outfielders
by
Jay Jaffe

06-22

comment icon

20

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Hate List, Part III
by
Jay Jaffe

05-18

comment icon

16

Prospectus Hit and Run: Yeah, But is it Gonna Fly?
by
Jay Jaffe

05-16

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Beckett and Hyde
by
Jay Jaffe

05-14

comment icon

19

BP Announcements: A New Platform
by
Jay Jaffe

05-14

comment icon

1

Prospectus Hit and Run: A Not-So-Dandy Return
by
Jay Jaffe

05-11

comment icon

15

Prospectus Hit and Run: Donnie Buntball
by
Jay Jaffe

05-09

comment icon

24

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Phallin' Phillies
by
Jay Jaffe

05-04

comment icon

14

Prospectus Hit and Run: Worse Than Pujols, NL Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

05-02

comment icon

18

Prospectus Hit and Run: Worse Than Pujols, AL Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

04-30

comment icon

11

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Hate List, Part II
by
Jay Jaffe

04-27

comment icon

9

Prospectus Hit and Run: Labrum But it Didn't Kill Him
by
Jay Jaffe

04-23

comment icon

1

Prospectus Hit and Run: Bartolo Colon and the Comeback Kids
by
Jay Jaffe

04-20

comment icon

13

Prospectus Hit and Run: Pudge Retires
by
Jay Jaffe

04-18

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: Sizzling Starts
by
Jay Jaffe

04-16

comment icon

14

Prospectus Hit and Run: Land of 1,000 Runs
by
Jay Jaffe

04-13

comment icon

13

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Hate List, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

04-12

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: You've Never Been This Far Before
by
Jay Jaffe

04-09

comment icon

9

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Matter of Ninth-Inning Experience
by
Jay Jaffe

04-04

comment icon

6

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: West Division
by
Jay Jaffe

04-02

comment icon

6

BP Unfiltered: Earning our Varsity Letters [Updated]
by
Jay Jaffe

04-02

comment icon

3

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: Central Division
by
Jay Jaffe

03-30

comment icon

9

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: East Edition
by
Jay Jaffe

03-26

comment icon

10

Prospectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part II
by
Jay Jaffe

03-23

comment icon

7

Prospectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

03-19

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Rotation Rumble
by
Jay Jaffe

03-12

comment icon

12

Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Rotation Rumble
by
Jay Jaffe

03-07

comment icon

43

Prospectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part IV: The Designated Hitter Question
by
Jay Jaffe

03-05

comment icon

31

Prospectus Preview: NL West 2012 Season Preview
by
Jay Jaffe and Geoff Young

02-29

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part III: Out of Left Field, Again
by
Jay Jaffe

02-24

comment icon

6

Prospectus Hit and Run: Big Shoes to Fill
by
Jay Jaffe

02-20

comment icon

5

Prospectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part II: The Podz People
by
Jay Jaffe

02-17

comment icon

17

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Greatness of Gary Carter
by
Jay Jaffe

02-15

comment icon

21

Prospectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part I: The Cold Corner, Again
by
Jay Jaffe

02-13

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part II
by
Jay Jaffe

02-10

comment icon

8

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Vortices of Suck, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

02-08

comment icon

0

Prospectus Hit and Run: Rising Payrolls of the Post-Collusion Era
by
Jay Jaffe

02-06

comment icon

18

Prospectus Hit and Run: Beware of Falling Payrolls
by
Jay Jaffe

02-01

comment icon

7

BP Unfiltered: Jaffe Versus Bowa
by
Jay Jaffe

02-01

comment icon

14

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Replacement-Level Killers, Part II
by
Jay Jaffe

01-30

comment icon

9

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Replacement-Level Killers, Part I
by
Jay Jaffe

01-27

comment icon

25

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Heavyweight Infield
by
Jay Jaffe

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 13, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Hate List, Part I

13

Jay Jaffe

Jay hates your favourite team. Here's why.

Last month, when the NL West preview I wrote with Geoff Young got under the skin of a few readers who found our jibes directed at the Giants to be unfair, I made a half-in-jest promise on Twitter: "[A]nybody got a favorite team? I promise to hate on them unreasonably tomorrow. I will rain down bias." Persistent problems in locating myself along the space-time continuum have prevented that promise from being fulfilled, until now.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 12, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: You've Never Been This Far Before

5

Jay Jaffe

Stephen Strasburg's pitch count sails into uncharted territory during a matchup against the Mets on Wednesday.

In this age of pitch counts and innings caps, every starting pitcher has a limited number of bullets. Even among the hardiest hurlers, nine years have passed since a starter topped 260 innings, and eight since one went past 140 pitches in a game without having either a no-hitter on the line (Edwin Jackson) or simply being Livan Hernandez. These days, it's a rarity for any hurler to come within 10 percent of those marks in a game or a season, and not surprisingly, the more fragile sorts pull up far short. So nobody came out to Citi Field on Wednesday afternoon expecting the matchup between the Nationals' Stephen Strasburg and the Mets' Johan Santana would yield complete game efforts or deep pitch counts, particularly with both pitchers working their way back from 2011 seasons largely lost to injuries. But in their second starts of the season, on a gray day with game-time temperature at a brisk 53 degrees, the two opposing managers tested their aces' limits, and both held up after firing all of their bullets, keeping their opposite offenses to a combined one run through 5 ½ innings before the bullpens took over.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 9, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: The Matter of Ninth-Inning Experience

9

Jay Jaffe

The woe of Boston's bullpen, and debating whether it's important for a closer to have ninth-inning experience.

Andrew Bailey couldn't even wait until Opening Day to get hurt. Before the Red Sox’ most high-profile off-season acquisition could even take the mound during the regular season, the team discovered that he had torn the ulnar collateral ligament of his thumb, requiring surgery that could sideline him until at least the All-Star break. General manager Ben Cherington and manager Bobby Valentine resisted the call to push converted set-up man Daniel Bard back to the bullpen, instead naming Alfredo Aceves—another reliever who spent the spring vying for a rotation spot—the interim closer.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 4, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: West Division

6

Jay Jaffe

What are some of the nagging questions up and down the West Coast?

Continuing the saga I started last week, I've identified one nagging question about each team coming out of spring training, one loose thread that I can't resist tugging upon. Last Friday began with some East Coast bias, on Monday we got Centralized, and today we run out of real estate on the Western shore.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

In conjunction with the publication of Extra Innings, Steven Goldman and Jay Jaffe will read at the popular NYC sports book series.

Thursday is Opening Day, and while the occasion doesn't need any additional embellishments, we have one for New York City-area Baseball Prospectus readers: at 7:30 PM, Steven Goldman and I will be reading from our latest tome, Extra Innings, which officially hits the streets this week. We'll be doing so as part of the Gelf Magazine monthly Varsity Letters series, which played host to Steve and Jonah Keri back in 2007, when Extra Innings' prequel, the popular Baseball Between the Numbers, was the newest game in town. Afterwards, we'll take questions from the audience.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

April 2, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: Central Division

3

Jay Jaffe

What are some of the big questions surrounding the AL and NL Central?

Continuing what I started with the two East divisions on Friday, I've identified one nagging question I have about each team coming out of spring training, one loose thread that I can't resist tugging upon as the season nears. Today, it's the two Central divisions.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 30, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: East Edition

9

Jay Jaffe

Spring training is nearly over, but each team still has some nagging questions to answer.

In five weeks of bouncing around the country while watching spring training—or at least the news of it—I've compartmentalized the sore shoulder-driven roster dramas and other mundanities to the point that I'm left with one nagging question for each team, one loose thread that I can't resist tugging upon as the season nears. Showing my blatant East Coast bias, today I'll run down those loose threads from the near coast, working my way westward next week.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 26, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part II

10

Jay Jaffe

Detailing some of the major panels at the first SABR Analytics Conference and soaking in some spring training action.

Continued from Part I

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Detailing some of the major panels at the first SABR Analytics Conference and soaking in some spring training action.

I can't do full justice to my trip to Arizona to participate in the inaugural SABR Analytics Conference, which took place from March 15-17 in Mesa, Arizona. Five days in all, part work, part working vacation—and rarely just vacation—the trip was pure sensory overload, a full immersion in a corner of the baseball universe with which I am quite familiar, but one whose size and scope have grown larger than I ever imagined. I couldn't possibly absorb it all, but what follows here and in the second installment is my best attempt to capture some of what I experienced.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 19, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: AL Rotation Rumble

8

Jay Jaffe

How do the junior circuit's rotations shake out when offseason additions are tallied?

Two years ago, the Rangers made a bold gambit that helped end nearly a decade of rotation-driven futility, shifting reliever C.J. Wilson to the starting five and bringing former supplemental first-round draft pick Colby Lewis back from Japan. Both pitchers did what Ranger hurlers of recent vintage had not: miss bats. In 2010, the two pitchers combined for 366 K's in 405 innings, helping the Rangers jump from 12th in the league in strikeouts to fourth. Helped by other upgrades—shortstop Elvis Andrus keyed a defensive turnaround—they won the AL pennant, and last year they repeated the feat.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

March 12, 2012 3:00 am

Prospectus Hit and Run: NL Rotation Rumble

12

Jay Jaffe

Which teams have the strongest starting rotations in the senior circuit?

Last week, I had the pleasure of participating in the Baseball Prospectus annual stop at Washington DC's Politics and Prose bookstore. As I joined Steven Goldman, Derek Carty, and Adam Sobsey in the question-and-answer session with the 125 or so attendees—yet another packed house that lived up to our past history there, for which we profusely thank our DC-area readership and the store—the most apparent difference from years past was the bona fide sense of hope the audience had about the Nationals.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Pitchers continue to get injured while batting, so should baseball continue to require NL pitchers to hit?

I'm not known around the Internet as the world's biggest A.J. Burnett fan. During last Wednesday's BP roundtable, I even dusted off an old Simpson's riff: "I'm a well-wisher in that I wish him no specific harm." Now, to set the record straight, any voodoo dolls I may have referenced over the past decade or so for any player exist only in my breathlessly hyperbolic narratives, and I would never actually wish injury on a ballplayer, particularly not such an injury as befell Burnett later that day. The recent trade that sent the enigmatic righty from the Yankees to the Pirates mandates that he practice his hitting and bunting, and unfortunately, a less-than-stellar bit of work on the latter sent a ball into his own face, fracturing his right orbital and necessitating surgery. Fortunately, it does not sound as though he suffered a detached retina, which could have threatened his career.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>