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The First-ever Baseball Prospectus Futures Guide - now just $7.24 at Amazon ( bbp.cx/fg ) |
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Geoff Young |
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October 30, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: Three Giant Draft Picks |
With the benefit of hindsight, how different might the NL West look if given the opportunity to repick in several drafts?
Brian Sabean doesn't always get the credit he deserves. The Giants GM has been lampooned for his tendency to sign players who are past their prime (outgoing skipper Felipe Alou complained upon being dismissed after the 2006 season that, “I don't believe one manager enjoys having players die in their hands”) and for being out of touch with the hippest trends. Early in his tenure, Sabean went on record as saying “I am not an idiot” in defense of a trade that sent popular third baseman Matt Williams to Cleveland for four players, the most notable of which was future MVP/“Survivor” contestant Jeff Kent.
All of which I'm sure is fine with Sabean, who gets results while those that would criticize him must settle for dismissing his success as a fluke or some such. The man and his team have played in three World Series in the past 11 years and won two of the last three. Clearly he is doing something right.
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October 23, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: Better Than Setting Cash on Fire |
The oddsmakers in Vegas place some weird bets, but aren't you better off using your money elsewhere?
My wife and I drove to Las Vegas this weekend for an aunt's 90th birthday party. The aunt is a Dodgers fan, but we love her anyway. She, likewise, tolerates our affection for the Padres.
I typically don't make sports bets because setting fire to one's cash is more efficient, but once in a while I do. In 1997, shortly after the Padres acquired Kevin Brown from Florida, I put $20 on them to win it all the following year at 50-to-1. They got swept by the Yankees in the World Series, and I regretted not having bet on them to win the National League, which would have netted me $500.
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October 16, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: The Year Baseball Went Missing in San Diego |
Chronicling the Padres' off-field saga from 2012 and predicting its implications for the future.
The Padres had a strange 2012, even by their standards. The strangeness wasn't limited to on-field action. Ongoing ownership and television contract issues often overshadowed how the team performed in games.
It's all a bit convoluted, so we'll go over some background information before looking at the 2012 timeline and what effect the events of this year will have on the franchise and the city of San Diego in the short- and long-term.
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October 3, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: If It Wasn't for Accountability, I Wouldn't Have Any Ability |
The season is nearly at an end. How many predictions made in the early going actually panned out?
Oh, navel. Thou art so lovely and so perfectly placed. I could gaze upon thy glory fore'er and still not grasp all the intricacies of thy splendor. Or I could point at stuff I said earlier this year and laugh. Yeah, let's go with Plan B.
January 31: Fixing a Bug in the Mariners
What I said
The Mariners did not score enough runs in 2011 to field a competitive team. There was no single point of failure; rather, this was a systems-level issue, with nearly all components contributing. The solution is to add a promising young hitter, Jesus Montero, to the lineup. His strong minor-league track record and pedigree suggest that he can provide a boost to the offense in 2012 and beyond.
September 27, 2012 9:37 am
BP Unfiltered: Jeff Ballard Award |
Who are the most effective pitchers who can't strike out batters?
Yesterday's Lineup Card featured nine fictitious awards that we'd like to see given to players for their efforts in areas not formally recognized. One such award was the Jeff Ballard Award, which honors “the most effective pitcher who can't strike out batters.”
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September 25, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: Portrait of a Hacker |
The Sultan of Swing, the man more allergic to walks than most players in major-league history, drew three walks in a game. Here's the epic story of Miguel Olivo.
Miguel Olivo hooked a two-run homer just inside the Safeco Field left-field foul pole last Friday night against Rangers right-hander Alexi Ogando. The eighth-inning blast extended the Mariners' lead to 6-3 and helped secure Seattle's 71st victory of 2012. Beyond contributing to a meaningless win, Olivo's home run inspired the following table (stats here and throughout the article are through games of Saturday, September 22):
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September 20, 2012 8:43 am
BP Unfiltered: Steve Garvey's Return to Wrigley Field, May 1985 |
How did The Garv respond to fan chants on visiting the team he'd helped eliminate a few months earlier?
At last Saturday's Dodger Stadium shindig, we heard from Vin Scully, Logan White, and Steve Garvey. All told fascinating stories, among which were Garvey's recounting of his first game at Wrigley Field after helping to knock the Cubs out of the post-season the previous October.
September 18, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: Chase Headley is Awesome |
Chase Headley is having a monster season in San Diego, but could this breakout have been predicted? Where does he go from here?
“When are we going to get a 'Chase Headley is awesome' article at BP? Or did I miss it?” These were the exact words, and this is the exact article. And I don't know if you missed it.
What you may have missed, particularly if you are in or not in San Diego, is that Headley has been on a rampage since being omitted from the National League All-Star team. As of this writing, he leads the majors—along with the Tigers' Miguel Cabrera—with 20 homers in the second half. As in, more than everyone else. As in, more than the 15 he hit over the previous two seasons combined. This helps explain why the Padres are tied with San Francisco for the third-best record in the NL since the break.
September 13, 2012 9:24 am
BP Unfiltered: Home Runs at Home, Redux |
Has a player ever hit more homers in his ballpark than an entire team has in theirs over the course of a season?
Last week in this space, we observed that two players (Miguel Cabrera, Ryan Braun) had hit more home runs in their home ballparks at that time than the San Francisco Giants had hit in theirs. It was good for a chuckle or three but also got me wondering: Has a player ever hit more homers in his ballpark than an entire team has in theirs?
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September 11, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: Céspedes Won't Be Leaving to Join Devo |
Despite his current late-season swoon, Yoenis Cespedes has exceeded expectations and hit well in Oakland's ballpark.
It has been a while since I've thought about Yoenis Céspedes. That isn't entirely true. I think about him quite often, in a purely platonic way, but it has been a while since I've put those thoughts into words. The last time came toward the end of July, while marveling at Oakland's ability to win games at the last possible moment. Included in that piece was the tale of a Céspedes walk-off homer against the Dodgers on June 21.
I also wrote about him back in April, when we all still wondered why the A's would sign a 26-year-old outfielder from Cuba to a four-year, $36 million deal. Between those two articles, Céspedes displayed his abundant talents and made it apparent that Billy Beane—backlash in the wake of being portrayed by Brad Pitt in Moneyball notwithstanding—might know a thing or 52 about baseball.
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September 6, 2012 4:49 am
BP Unfiltered: Home Runs at Home |
Miguel Cabrera has hit a lot of home runs at home in 2012. The San Francisco Giants? Not so much.
Most home runs at home in 2012, through games of September 5:
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September 4, 2012 5:00 am
Western Front: They Move Like Living Things |
A small-scale study on watching a baseball broadcast from the home team and away team's perspective.
Synchronized and graceful, they move like living things.
—Neil Peart
Being among the estimated 40-plus percent of San Diegans who cannot watch Padres games on television in 2012, I find myself watching many games involving two teams in which I have no rooting interest. Watching baseball without regard for outcome is weird but also liberating. It allows me to focus on aspects of the game I might not otherwise consider.
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