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Gary Huckabay 

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05-29

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1

The BP Wayback Machine: In the Slot
by
Gary Huckabay

02-14

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The BP Wayback Machine: Beating Eric Gagne
by
Gary Huckabay

01-31

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The BP Wayback Machine: Redecorating Your Glass House
by
Gary Huckabay

06-09

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The BP Wayback Machine: Draft Pickin', Grinnin', and Tradin'
by
Gary Huckabay

05-04

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The BP Wayback Machine: The GM Starter Pack
by
Gary Huckabay

02-03

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17

The BP Wayback Machine: Baseball's Y2K1 Bugs
by
Gary Huckabay

03-16

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23

6-4-3: Why Youve Paid It
by
Gary Huckabay

03-04

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6-4-3: I Will Sell This House!
by
Gary Huckabay

07-01

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6-4-3: Adventures in Consulting, Part Three
by
Gary Huckabay

04-13

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6-4-3: Adventures in Consulting, Part Two
by
Gary Huckabay

03-14

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6-4-3: Adventures in Consulting
by
Gary Huckabay

12-17

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6-4-3: Value Over Jack Cust
by
Gary Huckabay

11-21

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6-4-3: ESPN and MLB
by
Gary Huckabay

10-05

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6-4-3: Weighin' in at 19 Stone, Part Two
by
Gary Huckabay

09-25

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6-4-3: Weighin' in at 19 Stone, Part One of Two
by
Gary Huckabay

09-04

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Analyze This: For What You Are About to Receive
by
Gary Huckabay

03-05

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Hope and Faith: How the San Francisco Giants Can Win the World Series
by
Gary Huckabay

02-11

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6-4-3: Farewell
by
Gary Huckabay

12-06

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6-4-3: Redecorating Your Glass House
by
Gary Huckabay

07-20

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Prospectus Today: A Night at the Park, 2004
by
Joe Sheehan and Gary Huckabay

05-25

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6-4-3: Leaving the Shore
by
Gary Huckabay

03-29

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6-4-3: Hard to Dampen the Joy
by
Gary Huckabay

02-28

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6-4-3: Beating Eric Gagne
by
Gary Huckabay

01-03

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6-4-3: Bad Habits Learned from Joe Sheehan
by
Gary Huckabay

12-19

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6-4-3: Hart to Hart
by
Gary Huckabay

11-07

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State of the Prospectus
by
Gary Huckabay

10-17

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6-4-3: Puddle of Conciousness, Redux
by
Gary Huckabay

10-08

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Playoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
by
Gary Huckabay and Nate Silver

10-03

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6-4-3: Fluffy Goodness
by
Gary Huckabay

10-01

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Playoff Prospectus: Boston Red Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
by
Gary Huckabay

09-26

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6-4-3: Take it to the Bridge
by
Gary Huckabay

09-12

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6-4-3: Know Loss
by
Gary Huckabay

09-05

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6-4-3: Winter Reading List
by
Gary Huckabay

08-29

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6-4-3: All the Leaves in Need of Raking
by
Gary Huckabay

08-08

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6-4-3: Back To Basics
by
Gary Huckabay

08-01

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6-4-3: Alex In Wonderland
by
Gary Huckabay

07-25

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6-4-3: Next Anonymous Friday
by
Gary Huckabay

07-11

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6-4-3: State of the Prospectus, July 2003
by
Gary Huckabay

06-27

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6-4-3: Road Trippin'
by
Gary Huckabay

06-23

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In Memoriam
by
Gary Huckabay

06-20

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6-4-3: Overhang
by
Gary Huckabay

06-13

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6-4-3: The Peter Principle
by
Gary Huckabay

06-06

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6-4-3: Going Batty
by
Gary Huckabay

05-23

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6-4-3: Looking for Advantages on the Ground
by
Gary Huckabay and Nate Silver

05-16

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6-4-3: Always Hangin' 'Round
by
Gary Huckabay

05-02

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6-4-3: The American Way
by
Gary Huckabay

04-11

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6-4-3: Fun with Eddie Tufte
by
Gary Huckabay

03-28

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6-4-3: What Can You Spell With Four Ps?
by
Gary Huckabay

03-19

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6-4-3: The Sin of the Politician
by
Gary Huckabay

03-14

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6-4-3: Draft Pickin', Grinnin', and Tradin'
by
Gary Huckabay

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November 21, 2007 12:00 am

6-4-3: ESPN and MLB

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Gary Huckabay

When the answer to "who's now?" becomes "not you."

The term "jump the shark" has become common parlance for an entire generation that wasn't even forced to watch Happy Days. Not that I'm that old, but a whole bunch of crap that would be relegated to the low 300s on DirecTV used to be on network television, and people watched it, primarily because there were only about five TV offerings available, even in big markets. But since we're condemned, as a species, to always view the past through sepia-toned or rose-colored lens, we tend to think that the dreck we used to consume is somehow more virtuous and wonderful than it really was.

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October 5, 2007 12:00 am

6-4-3: Weighin' in at 19 Stone, Part Two

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Gary Huckabay

Gary finishes up his conversation with a pair of front office execs, touching on umpiring, agents, and slotting.

I recently sat down to talk with executives from an AL Club and an NL Club. They agreed to the interview only if their identities were protected. In the interest of full disclosure, the executives had final edits of their statements in this two-part interview. To answer the inevitable questions, yes, this is an easy way for me to generate content, but readers seem to like it, and no, I won't tell you who these guys are, nor are you the only person to email in, either asking for their names, or letting me know how certain you are about who they are.-Gary

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A conversation with a pair of baseball execs on hiring practices and living the life on the inside.

I recently sat down to talk with two executives, one from an AL club, and one from a NL club. They agreed to the interview only if their identities were protected. Also, in the interests of full disclosure, the executives had final edits of their statements in this two-part interview. To answer the inevitable questions, no, I won't tell you who these guys are, nor are you the only person to email in, either asking for their names, or certain you know who they are.-Gary

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BP's founder makes his comeback bearing an unsettling message.

Itís been an unfortunate part of writing for BP that Iíve written a number of words about the passing of friends. Today, Iíve got another obituary to write, but this one is not in the least bit painful.

Baseball analysis is dead.

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Gary Huckabay breaks down just how enormous a factor luck is in creating a winner, and identifies the areas where the Giants need to find that good fortune in order to have a shot at the hardware in 2007.

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February 11, 2005 12:00 am

6-4-3: Farewell

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Gary Huckabay

One of our own says goodbye.

It's been nearly 10 years. They've been great. Great and hard. I've met people, made friends, had fun, picked up an ulcer, accomplished all the original goals, established some new ones along the way, grown a couple of businesses, made some mistakes, talked to literally thousands of baseball fans, been called pretty much every flattering and unflattering thing a guy can be called, and just generally had a blast.

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December 6, 2004 12:00 am

6-4-3: Redecorating Your Glass House

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Gary Huckabay

Focusing on the baseball players' use of potentially performance-enhancing drugs and the men who supplied them misses the real issues emanating from last week's grand jury leaks.

Anyone with access to a keyboard, microphone or telephone has weighed in on this. Local and national talk show hosts are more than happy to point out any number of things that may or may not be true, may or may not be relevant, but sure as hell serve to put the speaker in a position of perceived moral superiority, whether or not said position was earned.

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July 20, 2004 12:00 am

Prospectus Today: A Night at the Park, 2004

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Joe Sheehan and Gary Huckabay

After not getting to a game for the first seven weeks of the season, I've been living at the ballpark since Memorial Day weekend. That continued on Monday night, as I took in the Angels/Indians game with some of the guys who have been kicking my butt in AL Tout Wars this season. Sam Walker of the Wall Street Journal, who is actually working on a book about fantasy, was in town and dragged me, Jeff Erickson of Rotowire and Matt Berry of Rotoworld down to Anaheim to see the classic Kaz Tadano/Aaron Sele match-up. Obviously, I love baseball, and enjoy watching games whenever and wherever I can. But a night like this one--or like last month, when I got to see an Angels/Dodgers game with Jonah Keri, Rich Lederer, and Brian Gunn--is hard to beat. Watching a ball game while talking baseball for three hours with people who know and love the game might not be heaven, but you get a better view and St. Peter gets a little bit jealous.

Obviously, I love baseball, and enjoy watching games whenever and wherever I can. But a night like this one--or like last month, when I got to see an Angels/Dodgers game with Jonah Keri, Rich Lederer, and Brian Gunn--is hard to beat. Watching a ball game while talking baseball for three hours with people who know and love the game might not be heaven, but you get a better view and St. Peter gets a little bit jealous.

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I found out about Doug Pappas' tragic passing on Friday. There were phone messages on both my cell phone and home phone from a number of people, all with a more serious tone to their voices than you'd really like to hear. None of the people actually left the momentous news, but rather some version of "Give me a call the second you get this message." Moments later, I checked my e-mail, and a barrage of messages with the header "Sad News" scrolled up my screen. Doug Pappas had passed away. My friend, a colleague for whom I have immense respect, and all-around good guy, had departed from us too soon. My initial response was the same during those horrid times when another friend had died; it sounds strange, but my first impulse is to give him a call and find out what was really going on. It can't be right, you know? This has got to be some sort of misunderstanding, right? Doug's only 43, in good health, and a standup guy. Must be someone else. There's definitely a big ball of confusion out there, and this is completely out of left field. I felt like someone had kicked me in the stomach and stolen the air from the room, but I knew it was a mistake. Had to be. It wasn't. And we are all diminished because of it. Doug's particular chosen role was a particularly difficult one--to call the powerful on the inaccuracy or dishonesty of their public statements. That's not easy. Over the years, Doug came out and publicly pointed out the inaccuracies, contradictions, and misleading nature of Major League Baseball's financial disclosures. He did his homework, explained his position, made sure that the MLB functionary's agenda was understood by the public, and stood by his work. It was an often thankless and misunderstood role, but the public interest was well served because Doug was willing to vigorously undertake it.

Doug Pappas had passed away. My friend, a colleague for whom I have immense respect, and all-around good guy, had departed from us too soon. My initial response was the same during those horrid times when another friend had died; it sounds strange, but my first impulse is to give him a call and find out what was really going on. It can't be right, you know? This has got to be some sort of misunderstanding, right? Doug's only 43, in good health, and a standup guy. Must be someone else. There's definitely a big ball of confusion out there, and this is completely out of left field. I felt like someone had kicked me in the stomach and stolen the air from the room, but I knew it was a mistake. Had to be.

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Back by popular demand, I bring you another installment of "Conversations With Dave," which are, in fact, not with Dave, but with someone not named Dave at all, who's not a stathead or blogger, or even a management consultant. The conversation was not transcribed perfectly, but Dave has had an opportunity to review and approve the final copy, to make certain he wasn't misrepresented.

* * *

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February 28, 2004 12:00 am

6-4-3: Beating Eric Gagne

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Gary Huckabay

The Dodgers offered a number of $5 million, and Gagne's rep, Scott Boras, offered $8 million. How come the lower number was so compelling? Sadly, the current CBA lacks a clause allowing unfettered access to the process to self-important analysts, so we have to posit a little, and ask around some front offices to hear possible explanations. One NL exec had this to say: "Boras overreached." Not that there's a whole lot of ambiguity in that statement, but after prodding, the exec clarified the statement: "Gagne's in his first year of eligibility, and there's a bunch of comparable guys. They're not as good, but they're a clear baseline from which it'd be easy to convince the panel to work." This is true.

Gagne wasn't eligible for arbitration until after the 2003 season. During the time leading up to his first arbitration hearing, he earned a renewal-rights-tastic $550,000 after a 2002 season in which he pitched 82.1 innings, allowed 55 hits, struck out 114 against 16 walks, and saved 52 out of 56 games. In short, he was what might be called "pretty good", or, for our less restrained readers, "unbelievably sick and devastating". In 2003, it's safe to say he earned his $550,000, putting up this statistical line for the year:

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Next week, Peter Gammons is hosting Hot Stove, Cool Music in Boston. All proceeds from this benefit concert support The Jimmy Fund, which raises funds to support cancer treatment and research. Baseball Prospectus has pledged 50% of all proceeds from new subscriptions during the next week as a donation to The Jimmy Fund, so if you were thinking about subscribing, this is the time to do it. More importantly, if you'd like to support the Jimmy Fund with a donation, simply click here. Yeah, people are hitting you up for money all the time, and we all get tired of it, but The Jimmy Fund is worth both your money and time. Cancer is an indiscriminate killer, and it's likely affect either you or someone you love. Pre-emptively strike with a donation. Maybe an hour's salary. It's cold over much of the country, but Spring Training is not far off, and beginnings of all types are actually pretty cool, when you think about it. New Year's Resolutions don't, on a percentage basis, pay off, but occasionally, they stick, and if you make one to be generous in some way to someone in your life, you'll be happier, and so will they. I It sounds corny, but it's true. Think about it: do you ever really feel better--and deservedly so--than when you're helping out someone else? So, at the very least, show some pity to a Devil Ray fan this year. I only know of one--Tony Constantino--so you'll have to find your own.

-- C.M. Thanks for coming out to the feed. You probably misheard me, which is understandable in an overheated room filled with 35-40 enthusiastic owners and agents trying to either get or dump big contracts. The term is "related party transaction," and it refers to transactions between companies with common ownership or stakeholders, at least in the context in which I was using it.

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