Weaving through weak arms to find a cornucopia of hitting gems in today's slate
Yesterday had a bounty of high-end performances that raised the profit bar, with four players having multi-homer games and 40-plus points in Draft Kings, bats that ranged in cost from the $3100 of Ben Paulsen to the $5000 of Mike Trout. The surge was helped by a day game in Colorado (note to self: stack Rox whenever they play at home on Sundays), a contest that featured 24 combined runs and two of the four lineup-defining performances. The extra padding thrown into player prices to account for the thin-air of Denver has been minimally discouraging, as players have learned that the Coors effect is strong enough to outpace the price adjustment.
Parsing through options at high altitude, stacking Brewers, and taking advantage of the ultimate matchup
Target: RHB's Ryan Braun OF ($4700, +156 OPS and +.068 ISO career vs. LHP), Carlos Gomez OF ($4700, +28 OPS and +.040 ISO vs. LHP) and Jonathan Lucroy C/1B ($3500, +119 OPS and +.070 ISO vs. LHP) against LHP Patrick Corbin ($5900, +85 OPS and +.066 ISO vs. RHB)
The Thursday journal is back - this week, Doug reflects on the importance of choosing opponents in cash games
Back in my college days, a time when poker was nearly as much a way of life as baseball, I would take frequent treks to Las Vegas for the pure intent of playing cards. Living in San Diego, it was a quick four-hour jaunt up Interstate 15, and with hotel stays for $30 per night it was workable even for a starving college student. The goal of the trip – aside from winning money – was to log as many hours as possible at the tables in order to maximize profit potential.
Tempering Cards, a faded Panda, and Schooping the moon.
Target: RHB's Brian Dozier 2B ($4600, +159 OPS and +.071 ISO vs. LHP), Torii Hunter OF ($3600, +52 OPS and +.013 ISO vs. LHP), and Trevor Plouffe 3B ($3800, +103 OPS and +.022 ISO vs. LHP) against LHP C.J. Wilson ($8500, +145 OPS and +.043 ISO vs. RHB)
More Royals thievery, a hidden gem in the muck of Miami, and taking a gamble on southpaw upside
Target: LHB's Prince Fielder 1B ($5200, +165 OPS and +.067 ISO in career vs. RHP), Shin-Soo Choo OF ($3900, +240 OPS and +.104 ISO vs. RHP), Mitch Moreland 1B ($4400, +153 OPS and +.087 ISO vs. RHP) and Josh Hamilton ($4500, +119 OPS and +.057 ISO vs. RHP) facing RHP Kyle Kendrick ($4000, +83 OPS and +.038 ISO vs. LHB)
There's a target on A.J.'s back, dodging The Duda, and a discount on Boston lumber
There was a loaded slate of stud pitchers on yesterday's docket, so many that the pitching well will be a bit shallow for the next few days. Matt Harvey will garner a large chunk of ownership shares, but after him the pool of arms dries up quickly, creating the opportunity to roster some creative SP2's and high-end bats in DFS tonight.
The 2nd half gets underway with a laundry list of targetable players
The second half officially gets underway with today's full slate of ballgames, with batteries recharged and rosters being reassessed as teams head into the trade deadline. The time off gives players the opportunity to hit the reset button both physically and mentally, taking an ounce of the arbitrary out of the analytical tendency to view half-season splits. With this in mind, the astute reader will notice the absence of the Recency category for today's Rounders, as the salt-filled numbers of short-sample trends get an extra shot of sodium from the All-Star Break. We're keeping things positive in order to reflect the optimism of this time of year, emphasizing the players to target when constructing DFS rosters today.
Stealing against southpaws, recognizing platoon specialists, and remembering the good old days
So much for yesterday's recommendation of Rockies vs. a left-handed pitcher, as a rain delay forced Braves starter Alex Wood from the game after throwing just two pitches. The weather appears to be drying up in Denver, so feel free to stack your lineups full of Rox without fear of a washout.
Target: RHB's Troy Tulowitzki SS ($4500, +113 OPS and +.036 ISO vs. LHP), Nolan Arenado 3B ($4500, +92 OPS and +.018 ISO) and Wilin Rosario C/1B ($3400, +261 OPS and +.127 ISO) facing LHP Alex Wood ($7700, +61 OPS and +.041 ISO vs. RHB)
Your daily look at the players to target and avoid in DFS.
It's been a hell of a week for DFS gamers, between Miguel Sano's trio of tater trots on Monday to yesterday's 12-strikeout performance by Gerrit Cole, and the recent rash of outlier performances has effectively raised the bar for profiting on DraftKings. It might not take a three-homer game or a complete shutdown to win every day, but the youth movement is in full effect as twenty-something's continue to take over the game.
Stacking Orioles, dodging Marlins, and alerting Tyson Ross of plundering Pirates
Target: RHB's Adam Jones OF ($4400, +38 OPS and +.034 ISO vs. RHP) and Manny Machado 3B ($4700, +27 OPS and +.024 ISO vs. RHP) plus LHB Chris Davis 1B/3B ($4500, +106 OPS and +.034 ISO vs. RHP) facing RHP Kyle Gibson ($6600, +36 OPS and +.021 ISO vs. LHB)