CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

Doug Thorburn 

Search Articles by Doug Thorburn

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

08-28

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Arms Race
by
Doug Thorburn

08-28

comment icon

0

Raising Aces: Are We There Yet?
by
Doug Thorburn

08-27

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Personality Goes a Long Way
by
Doug Thorburn

08-26

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: The Tiger Den
by
Doug Thorburn

08-25

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Buc the Hand that Feeds
by
Doug Thorburn

08-24

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Sharknado
by
Doug Thorburn

08-21

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: House of Cards
by
Doug Thorburn

08-20

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: The Thinker vs. The Tinker
by
Doug Thorburn

08-19

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Thieves Run Wild
by
Doug Thorburn

08-18

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: You Down with Old CC?
by
Doug Thorburn

08-17

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Lumps of Cole
by
Doug Thorburn

08-17

comment icon

3

Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Luis Severino
by
Doug Thorburn

08-14

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Rolling Rox Gather No Moss
by
Doug Thorburn

08-13

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Making a List, Checking it Twice
by
Doug Thorburn

08-12

comment icon

2

Fantasy Rounders: An Arm and a Leg
by
Doug Thorburn

08-11

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Kazmania
by
Doug Thorburn

08-10

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Shallow Pool
by
Doug Thorburn

08-10

comment icon

0

Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Jon Gray
by
Doug Thorburn

08-07

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: A Squadron of Spitfires
by
Doug Thorburn

08-06

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Lays Down a Monster
by
Doug Thorburn

08-05

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Magic Maikel
by
Doug Thorburn

08-04

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Say Uncle, Phil
by
Doug Thorburn

08-03

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: For Whom the Bell Tolls
by
Doug Thorburn

07-31

comment icon

2

Fantasy Rounders: Countdown to Launch
by
Doug Thorburn

07-30

comment icon

2

Fantasy Rounders: Alligator Blood
by
Doug Thorburn

07-29

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Muscle Melk
by
Doug Thorburn

07-28

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Tempered Enthusiasm
by
Doug Thorburn

07-27

comment icon

2

Fantasy Rounders: Watch Out for the Swinging Odor
by
Doug Thorburn

07-27

comment icon

5

Raising Aces: Let the Good Times Ross
by
Doug Thorburn

07-24

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Running Rox
by
Doug Thorburn

07-23

comment icon

4

Fantasy Rounders: Playing Slalom with Landmines
by
Doug Thorburn

07-22

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Immune to the Platoon
by
Doug Thorburn

07-21

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Room For Bour
by
Doug Thorburn

07-20

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Twist of Cain
by
Doug Thorburn

07-17

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Country Breakfast with a Side of Grit
by
Doug Thorburn

07-10

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Make It Rain
by
Doug Thorburn

07-09

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Sunshine On My Shoulders
by
Doug Thorburn

07-08

comment icon

6

Fantasy Rounders: In Joc We Trust
by
Doug Thorburn

07-07

comment icon

6

Fantasy Rounders: Macho Man Manny Machado
by
Doug Thorburn

07-07

comment icon

0

Raising Aces: The Return of Fern
by
Doug Thorburn

07-06

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Bridled Horse
by
Doug Thorburn

07-03

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: The Eve of Fireworks
by
Doug Thorburn

07-02

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Split the Bit
by
Doug Thorburn

07-01

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: The Slump Buster
by
Doug Thorburn

06-30

comment icon

2

Fantasy Rounders: South Pause
by
Doug Thorburn

06-29

comment icon

4

Fantasy Rounders: Turn On the Green Light
by
Doug Thorburn

06-29

comment icon

4

Raising Aces: 2015 Draft Audit, Part 3
by
Doug Thorburn

06-26

comment icon

0

Fantasy Rounders: Change is Afoot
by
Doug Thorburn

06-25

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: Round Robin
by
Doug Thorburn

06-24

comment icon

1

Fantasy Rounders: The Train Stops Here
by
Doug Thorburn

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>

Running in thin air, hidden gems in the desert and Rays shine on the south side

Platoons

Target: RHB's Evan Longoria 3B ($4100, +110 OPS and +.042 ISO career vs. LHP), Logan Forsythe 1B/2B ($3800, +180 OPS and +.107 ISO career vs. LHP), and Brandon Guyer OF ($3100, +98 OPS and +.048 ISO vs. LHP) against LHP Martin Perez ($4200, +86 OPS and +.048 ISO career vs. RHB)

Read the full article...

In this week's journal, Doug dives into the game within the game: how to pick opponents

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece detailing one of the hidden aspects of playing DFS on a regular basis: picking your opponents. There are a few pros who dominate the list of competitions, with certain players who seem ready to log into every league or tournament that they see. This is not a problem in the big tournaments, where individuals get lost in a sea of scoring and the object is to beat the collective rather than vanquish an individual, but it is a major issue when it comes to the smaller contests such as head-to-head, three-team, and five-team tournaments. The 10-team leagues are right on the edge, where I keep a look out for certain names but will not be deterred if I recognize one or two players in the contest.

Read the full article...

Looking over an expensive slate of pitchers and avoiding knee-jerk assumptions about platoons

Platoons

Temper: RHB's Yoenis Cespedes OF ($4200, -31 OPS and -.001 ISO career vs. LHP) and Travis d'Arnaud C ($4100, -133 OPS and -.053 ISO vs. LHP), against LHP Jorge de la Rosa ($6600, +151 OPS and +.069 ISO career vs. RHB)

Read the full article...

Tigers are trapped on first base, Kazmir continues his dominant run, and strategic platooning in Chicago

Yesterday was a bizarre day of DFS, as a short slate plus monster performances by widely-owned players equaled a six-way tie for first place in the $250k guaranteed Swing for the Fences tournament, with a half-dozen identical lineups from different managers that had to split the $100k first-place prize. Todaty's full slate will help to spread out the ownership of individual players, effectively muting the odds of a repeat scenario in tonight's 61,000-entry, $3 Moonshot tournament.

Read the full article...

Several thoughts about a slate with few games

It's a very light slate today, almost journal-worthy, with just seven games that start at 7:00 pm EST or later. These half-days change the shape of the game a bit due to the shallow player pool, as it becomes more likely that the highest-end arms and bats will be owned by a larger portion of managers given the few options that exist to spread out the ownership. This isn't much of a problem in cash games, but in order to succeed in the GPP a player might want to stand out by looking in areas that are often ignored. It's also an interesting slate for platoon splits as it's raining southpaws tonight, with eight of the 14 starting pitchers who are scheduled to start hail from the port side of the mound.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

August 10, 2015 8:03 am

Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Jon Gray

0

Doug Thorburn

His prospect stock has seemingly plummeted, but is Gray really worse off now than he was four months ago?

I have been gushing about Gray since he was drafted, and perhaps more impressive than his track record on draft day was the level of improvement within months of the selection. Gray relied mostly on his high-90's fastball and exploding slider while in college, but the Rockies made the refinement of his changeup a focal point in his development. Mandating that he use the pitch in games, the cambio quickly evolved from a theoretically mid-range grade into a pitch that misses bats and fools hitters with deceptive arm speed. Gray was ranked as the 13th overall prospect by the BP crew prior to the season, but his ranking has plummeted since and the right-hander fell off the Mid-season list of Top 50 prospects.

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

A day chock-full of big arms, southpaw exploitation, and the occasional underpriced rookie

There are so many awesome pitchers today that I am overwhelmed and will be compelled to setup at least a half-dozen unique lineups for tonight's $3 Moonshot tournament on DraftKings ($140k guaranteed). There are seven pitchers over the $10k mark for cost, each of whom has the track record of performance to justify that cost, as opposed to yesterday's high roller's club that struggled to meet their expenses based purely on merit. Eddie Izzard once said, “We can't all do big arms, we'll look like a squadron of spitfires,” but today's menu includes so many high-end pitching options that the DFS sky will be swarming with spitfires tonight.

Read the full article...

The weekly journal entails a day of Murphy's Law and the pool-tainting impact of a weak pitching slate

Sometimes you do everything right and still lose. Such is life in DFS.

Read the full article...

Grichuk establishes his presence with authority, stopping the steals with Johnny Beisbol, and fading the fading the Pads

Platoons

Temper: RHB's Maikel Franco 3B ($4300, +219 OPS and +.064 ISO career vs. LHP), Jeff Francoeur OF ($2600, +87 OPS and +.026 ISO vs. LHP), and switch-hitter Cesar Hernandez 2B/SS ($3000, +95 OPS and -.007 ISO vs. LHP) against LHP Brett Anderson ($6700, +50 OPS and -.026 ISO career vs. RHB)

Read the full article...

Stacking Tiger stripes, dodging Phillies, and fading Tanaka

Platoons

Read the full article...

Splitting Liriano, targeting an age-old matchup, and the bell tolls in Chicago

Platoons

Target: LHB's Preston Tucker OF ($3600, +381 OPS and +.241 ISO vs. RHP), Jason Castro C ($3200, +186 OPS and +.073 ISO vs. RHP), Colby Rasmus OF ($4000, +131 OPS and +.061 ISO vs. RHP) and Luis Valbuena 2B/3B ($3800, +30 OPS and +.019 ISO career vs. RHP), against RHP Colby Lewis ($7700, +95 OPS and +.006 ISO vs. LHB)

Read the full article...

A trade deadline that promises Baltimore fireworks, a Pirate lacks plunder, and the shine fades from an ace

Trades will steal the headlines today and the flurry of activity means that some everyday players will be in transit between ballclubs rather than on the field, so be sure to double-check lineups as they get close to lock.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Author Entries Next Author Entries >>