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Doug Thorburn 

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05-28

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Fantasy Rounders: Statistical Crossroads
by
Doug Thorburn

05-27

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Fantasy Rounders: Engage the Cutch
by
Doug Thorburn

05-26

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Fantasy Rounders: The Age-Defying Hunter
by
Doug Thorburn

05-22

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Fantasy Rounders: The Young and the Splitless
by
Doug Thorburn

05-21

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Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Noah Syndergaard
by
Doug Thorburn

05-21

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Fantasy Rounders: Diversification
by
Doug Thorburn

05-20

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Fantasy Rounders: The Life of Bryce
by
Doug Thorburn

05-19

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Fantasy Rounders: Happy Holliday
by
Doug Thorburn

05-18

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Fantasy Rounders: The Yard Needs Raking
by
Doug Thorburn

05-15

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Fantasy Rounders: Do You Believe in Stephen Vogt?
by
Doug Thorburn

05-15

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Fantasy Rounders: Sunk My Battleship
by
Doug Thorburn

05-14

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3

Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Carlos Rodon
by
Doug Thorburn

05-13

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4

Fantasy Rounders: To Defy the Laws of Regression
by
Doug Thorburn

05-12

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Fantasy Rounders: Hammer of Thor
by
Doug Thorburn

05-11

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Fantasy Rounders: Evan Almighty
by
Doug Thorburn

05-08

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Fantasy Rounders: Lineup Lotto
by
Doug Thorburn

05-08

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Fantasy Rounders: Demanding Supply
by
Doug Thorburn

05-06

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Fantasy Rounders: You Can Never Have Too Much Pitching
by
Doug Thorburn

05-05

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Fantasy Rounders: Tiger Shark
by
Doug Thorburn

05-04

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Fantasy Rounders: Surveying the Landscape
by
Doug Thorburn

05-04

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Raising Aces: Postmortem: Chris Sale vs. the Minnesota Twins
by
Doug Thorburn

05-01

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Fantasy Rounders: Yard Sale
by
Doug Thorburn

04-30

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Fantasy Rounders: Under Construction
by
Doug Thorburn

04-29

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Fantasy Rounders: Scooby Doo Gets #Weird
by
Doug Thorburn

04-28

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Fantasy Rounders: Two Sides of the Schwartz
by
Doug Thorburn

04-27

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Fantasy Rounders: Don't Rain on My Paredes
by
Doug Thorburn

04-24

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Fantasy Rounders: Go Big or Go Home
by
Doug Thorburn

04-24

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Raising Aces: Debut Ante: Raisel Iglesias
by
Doug Thorburn

04-23

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Fantasy Rounders: The Thin Red Line
by
Doug Thorburn

04-22

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Fantasy Rounders: Take Five
by
Doug Thorburn

04-21

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Fantasy Rounders: The Catcher Curse Continues
by
Doug Thorburn

04-20

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4

Fantasy Rounders: The Coors Stack Strikes Back
by
Doug Thorburn

04-17

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5

Fantasy Rounders: Rookie Distractions
by
Doug Thorburn

04-17

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Raising Aces: Walker on the Wild Side
by
Doug Thorburn

04-16

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7

Fantasy Rounders: The Price of Context
by
Doug Thorburn

04-15

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Fantasy Rounders: Left In
by
Doug Thorburn

04-14

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Fantasy Rounders: Another One Bites the Dust
by
Doug Thorburn

04-13

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3

Fantasy Rounders: Home is Where the Heart is
by
Doug Thorburn

04-10

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Fantasy Rounders: What a Relief It Is
by
Doug Thorburn

04-10

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7

Raising Aces: Mechanical Notes from Opening Week
by
Doug Thorburn

04-09

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Fantasy Rounders: No Whammy
by
Doug Thorburn

04-08

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Fantasy Rounders: Hello Again
by
Doug Thorburn

04-07

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4

Fantasy Rounders: Run for Cover
by
Doug Thorburn

04-06

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Raising Aces: Pitching Trident: Downers
by
Doug Thorburn

04-06

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4

Fantasy Rounders: An Opening Day Salvo
by
Doug Thorburn

03-27

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8

Raising Aces: Pitching Trident: Uppers
by
Doug Thorburn

03-20

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2

Raising Aces: Auditing the Mechanics Report Card
by
Doug Thorburn

03-18

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4

Every Team's Moneyball: San Diego Padres: Payroll Tetris
by
Doug Thorburn

03-13

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Raising Aces: Over the Radar 3.0
by
Doug Thorburn

03-09

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The BP Wayback Machine: Throwdown: Clayton Kershaw vs. Madison Bumgarner
by
Doug Thorburn

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Navigating through a day that is thin on the hill with some cheap arms and big bats

A total of 64 teams competed in our Baseball Prospectus “Beat the Expert” challenge on Draft Kings (see sidebar), and the winner was Apar17 with 167.55 points. Apar17 steered toward the red-hot Kris Bryant and took a shot on Mike Bolsinger while other managers looked in different directions, all whilst sitting on the cushion of Jake Arrrieta's 39-point day. My team scored 109.3 points, enough to win my money back but that's about it, as my own Arrieta was thwarted by Collin McHugh's worst outing since 2013. Round two of BP's Beat the Expert begins today at 7:05 EST.

Read the full article...

A new contest at Draft Kings pits the BP Fantasy crew against the world

We have a brand new tourney at Draft Kings that pits the BP fantasy crew against the world. Check it out in the side bar, and challenge me and rest of the gang to some DFS action.

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The deck is stacked for Longoria, Hanley proves his power, and deGrom attempts to silence the critics

Mother's Day featured a rather tame slate of offense, with teams averaging just 3.5 runs apiece per game. Nobody hit double digits, and the closest came in Colorado, where the vicious weather that robbed us of the full allotment of Denver baseball has moved away from baseball cities, at least for a day.

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One player shapes an entire day of competition...

… and the correct answer to yesterday's DFS Lineup Lotto was (drumroll, please): Yasmani Grandal.

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In his weekly reflection piece, Doug takes a look at how a short slate can impact the supply-demand curve

Thursday was a natural selection when deciding on the best day for this weekly reflection in Fantasy Rounders, given that it's a scheduled travel day and therefore a thinner slate of games. Teams often schedule early games on Thursdays, as well – consider that there are only six out of 11 contests today that are scheduled night games, whereas 27 of the 29 games from Tuesday and Wednesday (not counting the D'backs-Rockies doubleheader) had later starts. This creates an interesting dynamic to the player pool on Draft Kings, as the different game options (Early, All Day, Standard, Late) provide vastly different scenarios and in some cases the player options are extremely limited.

Read the full article...

Scherzer goes from luxury to necessity, 37 years of Buehrle vs. A-Rod, and the shine wears off of a Giant outfielder

The early slate means that there is no time to hang out by the water cooler, so let's get straight to the players of intrigue on today's slate.

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Walking between the raindrops, Duda tries to seize an opportunity, and Samardzija gets a crowd

Any rainout will impact the slate, but when a game in Colorado gets suspended it can have a ripple effect that is felt across DFS rosters. There is similar risk today, as the rains in Denver could once again thwart the Diamondbacks' attempt to face Tyler Matzek in the thin air. The value of Paul Goldschmidt ($5700) hangs in the balance.

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Can we learn anything from the first month?

With one full month in the books, we are starting to get a better feel for the landscape of the 2015 baseball season. We have reached a point where we might be unwilling to roster the player who is still slumping, or when we start to believe (at least in the short-term) those players that are playing above expectation. That said, we are early enough that a good weekend can still add 130 points of OPS to a stat line (just ask Charlie Blackmon).

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An analysis of a disastrous start from one of the game's best pitchers.

The stage was set. The scoreboard operator had a pile of zeroes at the ready. Gunslinger Chris Sale was in town, and he had established a reputation for blanking opponents.

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A look at some of the bargains and the traps of today's DFS slate

Yesterday's bludgeoning of Chris Sale caught the fantasy community off-guard, as he seemed primed for a big start against a weak-hitting Minnesota ballclub that crawled out of the gate and had particular issues battling left-handed pitchers. Instead, he surrendered nine runs before he could generate that many outs, and the Twins broke out of their early-season funk with a 12-spot against the White Sox. The good news is that Sale was so heavily rostered (48.1 percent in the 21k-entry Moonshot) that he took down a lot of teams, plus it was a very light day from a points perspective, so it was possible to recuperate some investment even if a roster had a Sale-sized anchor attached to it. We'll go into the nuts and bolts of the Vulture's blow-up in Raising Aces next Monday.

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Reflecting on various strategies for building a DFS roster

We all know that drafting is the best part of fantasy sports. It's why we spend months poring over statistics and scouting reports in preparation for the Christmas-like atmosphere of draft day. The beauty of DFS is the ability to draft a new lineup every day, fueled by the same competitive edge that motivates off-season research yet triggered toward the changing tides of in-season performance.

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Playing in front of 40,000 empty seats, the cold corner, and too much of Nats-Braves

Yesterday's slate of games featured a boatload of runs, and DFS scores have been bloated for the past several days. The thin red line of 100 points has not been sufficient for profit, but it has fortunately been my floor for the past eight lineups. I'm also happy to report that Draft Kings has finally removed the shortstop designation from Billy Hamilton (who hasn't played more than one game at short since 2012 in the minors), and he qualifies only as an outfielder.

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