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Happy Thanksgiving! Regularly Scheduled Articles Will Resume Monday, December 1

Doug Thorburn 

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11-26

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5

Prospect Mechanics
by
Ryan Parker and Doug Thorburn

11-21

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0

Raising Aces: Free Agent Pitchers: The Top Tier
by
Doug Thorburn

11-11

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6

Prospect Mechanics
by
Ryan Parker and Doug Thorburn

11-10

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4

Raising Aces: Partners in Crime: The Long Home Runs of 2014
by
Doug Thorburn

10-31

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11

Raising Aces: Bum Deal
by
Doug Thorburn

10-24

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2

Raising Aces: Ghosts of World Series Past
by
Doug Thorburn

10-17

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2

Raising Aces: Brandon Finnegan, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

10-15

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3

Playoff Prospectus: Karmic Kickback: NLCS Game 3
by
Doug Thorburn

10-14

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3

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Three Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-14

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13

Raising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot, Reliever Edition
by
Doug Thorburn

10-07

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6

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma and Doug Thorburn

10-07

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4

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: The Bunt Heard 'Round the World
by
Doug Thorburn

10-04

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1

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews
by
Doug Thorburn and Sahadev Sharma

10-04

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0

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Giants 3, Nationals 2
by
Doug Thorburn

10-03

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0

Raising Aces: Daniel Norris, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

10-03

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5

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants
by
Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

10-03

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7

Playoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game Previews
by
Sahadev Sharma, Jeff Quinton, Mike Gianella, Doug Thorburn and J.P. Breen

09-30

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16

Raising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot
by
Doug Thorburn

09-19

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3

Raising Aces: Carlos in Charge
by
Doug Thorburn

09-12

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2

Raising Aces: Angelic Arms
by
Doug Thorburn

09-05

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3

Raising Aces: Cub Replacement Level
by
Doug Thorburn

08-29

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1

Raising Aces: Mis-Priced
by
Doug Thorburn

08-22

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7

Raising Aces: Police and Thieves
by
Doug Thorburn

08-15

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14

Raising Aces: Have Pitch Counts Gone Too Far?
by
Doug Thorburn

08-08

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6

Raising Aces: The Road to Recovery
by
Doug Thorburn

08-01

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3

Raising Aces: The Rabbit Hole
by
Doug Thorburn

07-25

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6

Raising Aces: Shelby Miller's Fall From Grace
by
Doug Thorburn

07-18

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1

Raising Aces: Outta Nowhere
by
Doug Thorburn

07-11

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2

Raising Aces: Breakout Breakdown: Corey Kluber and Garrett Richards
by
Doug Thorburn

06-27

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4

Raising Aces: Houston, We Have Lift-Off
by
Doug Thorburn

06-20

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6

Raising Aces: A Tale of Two Aces
by
Doug Thorburn

06-13

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1

Raising Aces: Under the Hood of the 2014 Draft, Part Three
by
Doug Thorburn

06-06

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0

Raising Aces: Under the Hood of the 2014 Draft, Part Two
by
Doug Thorburn

05-30

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4

Raising Aces: Under the Hood of the 2014 Draft, Part One
by
Doug Thorburn

05-23

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6

Raising Aces: Going Vertical
by
Doug Thorburn

05-16

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13

Raising Aces: The Injury Puzzle
by
Doug Thorburn

05-09

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4

Raising Aces: Making Setup Man Magic
by
Doug Thorburn

05-02

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7

Raising Aces: Too Early to Worry?
by
Doug Thorburn

04-25

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6

Raising Aces: Too Soon to Swoon?
by
Doug Thorburn

04-18

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0

TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAP Episode 20: Sonny Gray v. Erasmo Ramirez
by
Paul Sporer and Doug Thorburn

04-18

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5

Raising Aces: Masahiro Tanaka, the Debut Ante
by
Doug Thorburn

04-11

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11

Raising Aces: Starting Pitcher Four-Pack
by
Doug Thorburn

04-04

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1

Raising Aces: The Aces of Opening Day
by
Doug Thorburn

03-31

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2

My Model Portfolio: Two Aces
by
Doug Thorburn

03-28

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10

Raising Aces: Out on a Limb: 2014 Pitcher Predictions
by
Doug Thorburn

03-21

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3

Raising Aces: Bush League: Eddie Butler, Tyler Glasnow, and Alex Meyer
by
Doug Thorburn

03-14

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7

Raising Aces: Bush League: Jonathan Gray
by
Doug Thorburn

03-13

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0

TINSTAAPP: TINSTAAP Episode 19: Prospects, Prospects, Prospects!!!
by
Paul Sporer and Doug Thorburn

03-07

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9

Raising Aces: Over the Radar 2.0
by
Doug Thorburn

03-03

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17

Raising Aces: Under the Gun 2.0
by
Doug Thorburn

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October 4, 2014 8:38 am

Playoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game Two Previews

1

Doug Thorburn and Sahadev Sharma

With the AL taking the day off, a pair of Game Two NLDS games gets center-stage on Saturday evening.

The Giants narrowly took Game One of this series, besting Stephen Strasburg with a heroic outing from Jake Peavy. The Nationals will try to get back on track behind the charge of Jordan Zimmermann, who's coming off of a 10-K no-hitter on the final day of the regular season, while the Giants send 39-year-old artist Tim Hudson to the mound with a chance to take a 2-0 advantage back to San Francisco.

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October 4, 2014 12:37 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Giants 3, Nationals 2

0

Doug Thorburn

The Giants snatch home-field advantage away from the Nats behind Jake Peavy and Joe Panik.

Friday's face-off in D.C. appeared to be a mismatch looking at the full-season numbers, with NL strikeout leader Stephen Strasburg pitted against the aging Jake Peavy. But Peavy has been very effective since the midseason trade that brought him to the orange and black, slashing his ERA by more than half when compared to his Boston performance and stifling walks as well as any other time in his career. Not to be outdone, Strasburg has pitched his best baseball over the past month, including three consecutive scoreless starts to finish the season.

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October 3, 2014 10:33 am

Raising Aces: Daniel Norris, the Debut Ante

0

Doug Thorburn

Daniel Norris looked strong in his first taste of the big leagues and still has room to grow.

The Blue Jays have opened up the coffers of their pitching-rich farm system in 2014. Marcus Stroman (the top prospect in the system preseason) has established himself as a rotation fixture while Aaron Sanchez (prospect no. two) may have found a home in the Toronto bullpen. The newest addition is left-hander Daniel Norris, ranked fourth in the organization entering the year (just missing the BP Top 101), and who bumped up to no. 33 in the BP mid-season rankings. Norris made his big-league debut on September 5th, and after four appearances out of the bullpen he was given his first big-league start, toeing the rubber at home against the Mariners in game number 159.

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October 3, 2014 6:00 am

Playoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. Giants

5

Mike Gianella and Doug Thorburn

The Nats bring a deep roster, a particularly talented rotation, and the NL's best record to face a team that has been an October juggernaut.

The Nationals come into the series with the National League's best record and boast an impressive rotation and deep lineup. They'll take on a Giants team that won't have it's ace until later in the series after Madison Bumgarner dominated in the Wild Card Game, helping San Franscisco advance to the NLDS. However, the Giants' offense has more pop than the teams they brought to October in the recent past and their manager has proven he can pull the right strings in the postseason.

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Four postseason games, with the first pitch scheduled before breakfast on the West Coast. Previews of all four of them.

All losses count the same no matter the score, so after a dismaying loss Thursday the Tigers get a chance to even the series.

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September 30, 2014 10:22 am

Raising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot

16

Doug Thorburn

The best "stuff" of 2014.

With the end of the regular season comes the start of awards season, kicking off debates over the ballplayers who had the most remarkable performances in 2014. MVP, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year—these are the mainstream awards that will be wrestled over the next month—but here at Raising Aces we like to acknowledge another set of awards: the best stuff of the past season.

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September 19, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Carlos in Charge

3

Doug Thorburn

On Carlos Carrasco's excellent six weeks in Cleveland

The Cleveland Indians retain the slimmest hopes of postseason baseball, but the team could be surprisingly dangerous in October if they happen to get red hot for the final week of regular-season play. The emergence of Corey Kluber has given the Tribe a legitimate ace who can face off against any pitcher in the American League, but the meteoric rise of another pitcher has caught the rest of the league off guard while giving Cleveland a potentially devastating one-two punch at the front of their rotation.

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September 12, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Angelic Arms

2

Doug Thorburn

The lesser-known Angels starters have kept the rotation above water.

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September 5, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Cub Replacement Level

3

Doug Thorburn

How have Kyle Hendricks and Tsuyoshi Wada done so well replacing Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel?

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August 29, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Mis-Priced

1

Doug Thorburn

David Price allowed eight earned runs without getting out of the third inning. How did that happen?

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August 22, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Police and Thieves

7

Doug Thorburn

An examination of the deliveries of the best and worst right-handers at controlling the running game

The pitcher is only partly responsible for preventing the stolen base, as the process also involves the catcher, the infielders, and the baserunner himself. This reality is a major part of my personal disdain for the slide step, given the importance of pitcher timing and how that is disrupted when a pitcher compromises his delivery in an attempt to thwart the running game. That said, there is certainly an ability to limit opposing base-thieves that varies from pitcher to pitcher, including one's pace to the plate and the quality of a pitcher's pickoff move. These differences are better understood by examining those players who are at the extreme ends of the stolen-base spectrum.

We will be looking only at right-handed pitchers for the purpose of this analysis, as to avoid the additional variables that come into play with a southpaw on the mound. Let's start with the worst pitchers in the game with respect to policing the basepaths this season before we move onto those hurlers who keep runners handcuffed to first.

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August 15, 2014 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Have Pitch Counts Gone Too Far?

14

Doug Thorburn

Teams aren't letting pitchers throw 140 pitches in a game anymore, so why are they still getting hurt?

Pitcher workloads have been decreasing on a linear path for the past thirty years, yet injuries are at an all-time high. What gives?

The situation has become particularly glaring in the past few seasons, a period in which workloads are at an all-time low yet arm injuries are skyrocketing. Consider:

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