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Bradley Ankrom 

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10-31

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4

Minor League Update: Games of October 30
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-30

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3

Minor League Update: Games of October 29
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-29

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6

Minor League Update: Games of October 28
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-26

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6

Minor League Update: Games of October 25
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-25

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4

Minor League Update: Games of October 24
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-23

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Minor League Update: Games of October 22
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-22

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4

Minor League Update: Games of October 21
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-19

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6

Minor League Update: Games of October 18
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-17

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1

Minor League Update: Games of October 16
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-16

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6

Minor League Update: Games of October 15
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-15

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10

Minor League Update: Games of October 14
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-12

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7

Minor League Update: Games of October 11
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-11

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8

Minor League Update: Games of October 10
by
Bradley Ankrom

10-01

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8

BP Announcements: Current and Historical Umpire Stats Now Available
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-14

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9

Minor League Update: Games of September 13
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-13

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20

Minor League Update: Games of September 12
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-12

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21

Minor League Update: Games of September 11
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-11

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2

Minor League Update: Games of September 10
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-10

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3

Minor League Update: Games of September 9
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-10

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24

Monday Morning Ten Pack: Most Memorable Prospect Debuts
by
Jason Parks, Bradley Ankrom, Hudson Belinsky and Chris Mellen

09-07

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9

Minor League Update: Games of September 6
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-06

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16

Minor League Update: Games of September 5
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-05

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16

Minor League Update: Games of September 4
by
Bradley Ankrom

09-04

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38

Minor League Update: Games of September 3
by
Bradley Ankrom

08-17

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11

The Process: Resetting the Astros Roster
by
Bradley Ankrom

08-08

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10

BP Unfiltered: Who Assumes Trout's Vacated Title of Baseball's Best 20-Year Old?
by
Bradley Ankrom

08-02

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39

The Process: The Mariners' Missed Opportunity
by
Bradley Ankrom

07-28

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23

Transaction Analysis: Liriano Heads to Rival White Sox
by
Bradley Ankrom and Kevin Goldstein

07-26

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12

The Process: When Will We Know Who Won the 10-Player Trade?
by
Bradley Ankrom

07-18

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0

BP Unfiltered: Never Underestimate the Value of a Hot Start
by
Bradley Ankrom

07-03

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25

What the Contenders Need
by
Bradley Ankrom, Jeff Euston and Kevin Goldstein

07-03

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3

BP Unfiltered: Livan of Many Skills
by
Bradley Ankrom

06-27

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23

What the Contenders Need
by
Bradley Ankrom, Jeff Euston and Kevin Goldstein

06-26

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2

BP Unfiltered: Adam Dunn Doing Adam Dunn-like Things
by
Bradley Ankrom

06-22

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7

BP Unfiltered: Can Carlos Correa Be Jose Offerman?
by
Bradley Ankrom

06-21

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10

BP Unfiltered: Futures Game Rosters Announced
by
Bradley Ankrom

06-15

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12

What Scouts Are Saying: Pitchability Is My Middle Name
by
Kevin Goldstein and Bradley Ankrom

06-09

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0

BP Unfiltered: Taking A Look At Our Preseason Predictions
by
Bradley Ankrom

06-07

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13

The Process: How to Evaluate Precocious Prospects
by
Bradley Ankrom

05-17

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49

The Process: Fixing the Phillies
by
Bradley Ankrom

05-10

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2

What Scouts Are Saying: Mixed Reviews
by
Adam Sobsey, Bradley Ankrom and Kevin Goldstein

05-04

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2

Prospectus Game of the Week: Harper Overshadows Kemp, or Vice Versa?
by
Bradley Ankrom

05-01

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6

The Process: Post-Draft Rankings: You're Doing it Wrong
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-30

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19

BP Unfiltered: Prospect Tracker Adds Leaderboards
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-23

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19

BP Unfiltered: Prospect Tracker Returns
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-19

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6

Research Mailbag: James McDonald, Professional Hitter
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-18

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13

The Process: Was Brien Taylor the Worst Number-One Pick Ever?
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-16

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30

BP Unfiltered: Tracking 2012's Top Prospects
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-12

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10

Research Mailbag: More Than a Mouthful
by
Bradley Ankrom

04-10

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7

The Process: Have Teams Used Extra Draft Picks Efficiently?
by
Bradley Ankrom

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Scouts speak on Brett Lawrie, Sean Gilmartin, and Jed Bradley, among others.

Minor Leaguers

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How are our 20 Questions predictions looking after the first two months of the season?

A lot of the questions posed in our preseason 20 Questions for 2012 piece have turned out to be fairly close, some hilariously so (see question numero uno). How are our predictions looking after the first two months of the season? (​Note: statistics are through games of June 8, 2012​)

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June 7, 2012 5:00 am

The Process: How to Evaluate Precocious Prospects

13

Bradley Ankrom

Is it better for a prospect to be very good at an age-appropriate level, or very young in an advanced league?

This article began as a comparison of Tigers third-base prospect Nick Castellanos and former Padres third-base prospect Sean Burroughs. Castellanos tore through the Florida State League this season, hitting .405/.461/.553 in 55 games, before being promoted to Double-A earlier this week, though his raw power has yet to manifest itself outside of batting practice.

At the same age more than a decade ago, Sean Burroughs was working on a .322/.386/.467 season at Triple-A Portland of the Pacific Coast League, two levels ahead of Castellanos’ recently-vacated Advanced Class-A assignment. Burroughs was also two levels ahead at age 19, making the task of comparing the players a challenge.

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May 17, 2012 3:00 am

The Process: Fixing the Phillies

49

Bradley Ankrom

Are the Phillies doomed to enter a lengthy period of losing, or can they make a quick return to the top by selling their expiring assets now?

As Ben Lindbergh noted in April, the Phillies have maintained one of baseball’s oldest rosters in recent years, and 2012 has proven to be more of the same. The only everyday players on the roster born in the 1980s are Freddy Galvis, Hunter Pence, and Shane Victorino, and Galvis wouldn’t be playing regularly if 33-year-old second baseman Chase Utley were healthy.

Percentage of Plate Appearances by Age Group

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May 10, 2012 3:00 am

What Scouts Are Saying: Mixed Reviews

2

Adam Sobsey, Bradley Ankrom and Kevin Goldstein

Scout quotes about three players who should be on the fast track to promotion and two who might have more to figure out.

Minor Leaguers

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Bryce Harper may have been the lead story heading into last Saturday's game at Chavez Ravine, but there were plenty of other moments that made the night memorable.

Even though we’ve already had a pair of no-hitters, it could be argued that the most exciting—and certainly the most anticipated—game of the year was Saturday, when the Washington Nationals visited Chavez Ravine and the Los Angeles Dodgers. The most-hyped prospect of all-time, Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper, was making his debut. Harper’s teammate Stephen Strasburg, who wasn’t far removed from his own otherworldly hype, would be making his fifth start of the year. The advent of MLB.tv enabled fans from all over the country to tune in and hear Vin Scully describe the intricacies of Harper’s debut. Both teams were in first place. And, as the game grew late, Matt Kemp and the Nationals' depleted bullpen were rushing toward each other for an inevitable conclusion. 

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May 1, 2012 3:00 am

The Process: Post-Draft Rankings: You're Doing it Wrong

6

Bradley Ankrom

The 2000 draft serves as an example of why knee-jerk reactions to the draft are often premature.

Rankings are always of interest to sports fans, but many analysts are uncomfortable with the notion of slapping grades on players whose real value won’t be known for a number of years. This is particularly true in baseball, where players selected in the annual amateur (Rule 4) draft are further away from the major leagues than those of any other major sport. The majority of players taken in the football and basketball drafts have spent time performing under the bright lights, and against the premier competition, of NCAA Division I athletics, and the transition from amateur to professional is a relative breeze. In baseball, only a small percentage of the 1,500 or so players chosen each year hail from Division I baseball programs.

More than a decade ago, some were critical of the Marlins for allegedly putting signability before talent when they tabbed Adrian Gonzalez with the number-one overall pick of the 2000 draft. Gonzalez was regarded as the most polished high school hitter of that year’s crop, but few considered him the best talent available. As it turns out, Gonzalez has contributed the third-most wins above replacement (28.43) among players who signed that year, trailing only Chase Utley (36.26) and Jason Bay (30.53). Given the health woes of Utley and Bay in recent years, Gonzalez appears likely to usurp them atop the list. Joe Borchard, who received that year’s largest signing bonus ($5.3 million) from the White Sox, has the third-lowest WARP total (-1.55) among players who have reached the major leagues.

Players Receiving Signing Bonuses of
$2 Million or Greater, 2000 Draft


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The Prospect Tracker adds leaderboards and classification, league filtering.

Over the weekend, we were busy improving Prospect Tracker 2.0, adding leaderboards and classification and league filtering. On the Prospect Tracker home page, you'll notice a new option — 2012 Leaders:

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After a momentary hiatus, the Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker rises once again.

The Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker has returned!

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April 19, 2012 3:00 am

Research Mailbag: James McDonald, Professional Hitter

6

Bradley Ankrom

This week's mailbag takes a look at Hall of Famers who were picked in later rounds of the draft, home team winning percentage in extra innings, and Matt Cain's one-hitter.

Welcome to the latest installment of the Baseball Prospectus Research Mailbag. This week, we’ll tackle Hall of Famers being selected in later rounds of the draft, the home team’s winning percentage in extra-inning contests, and the quirks of Matt Cain’s one-hitter against the Pirates last Friday. As always, if there’s a question you would like to see answered in a future mailbag, please feel free to send it in via email or through the “Contact Author” form (please remember to include your full name and hometown with your question).

George Brett and Mike Schmidt went back-to-back with the 29th and 30th picks of the 1971 draft. Have there been any other cases of two Hall of Famers being picked back-to-back in the draft? Also, what’s the latest a Hall of Fame player has gone in the draft?

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Using the relative strength of each draft class can help us determine whether Brien Taylor really is the worst first-overall pick in history.

To date, six of the 46 players taken with the first-overall pick in baseball’s annual Rule 4 draft have not played in the major leagues. Gerrit Cole, Bryce Harper, and Tim Beckham—the top choices in three of the last four drafts—remain active, while a fourth, Matt Bush, currently resides in Charlotte County (Fla.) jail as police investigate a series of hit-and-run accidents on March 23 that left a 72-year-old motorcyclist comatose.

Only two former number-one picks have retired from the game without reaching the big leagues: catcher Steve Chilcott, taken by the Mets in 1966, and left-hander Brien Taylor, the Yankees’ top choice in 1991. Both players’ careers were derailed by injury, though Chilcott’s performance, even when healthy, inspired little confidence in his major-league future. Taylor, on the other hand, quickly established himself as an elite prospect before tearing the labrum in his left shoulder during an altercation in December 1993. Rehabilitation cost Taylor the 1994 season, not to mention eight miles an hour from his fastball, and the arm that changed the draft never realized the potential of what some consider the greatest high school pitcher they’ve ever seen.

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Introducing the Top 101 and Top 11 Prospects stats pages.

4/27 ​UPDATE: ​The Baseball Prospectus Prospect Tracker is now located at baseballprospectus.com/prospect_tracker.

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