Five years later and this draft class still looks about the same. Big-time talent at the top. Big-time drop off at the bottom.
With just hours before the 2017 draft class starts getting their names called on the MLB Network, we wanted to take a look back to see how things have changed with the draft class with which it’s been most compared. A lot can happen in five years. In fact, a lot can happen in three years as well (the first time we redrafted the 2012 crop was back in 2014). So we assigned 35 picks to BP authors and re-drafted from scratch, selecting only from the pool of players who were both selected and signed in 2012. Here's how the new draft shook out:
1:1 Houston Astros Actual Selection:Carlos Correa, SS Re-Draft Selection:Carlos Correa, SS (2012 no. 1 pick) Draft Position Change: 0 Explanation: Well, then. As it was in June of 2012, compelling arguments can be made for other players. The differences between Carlos Correa and Corey Seager are nearly impossible to express quantitatively. But Correa, already a star, nonetheless stands out as a singular player who most frequently causes involuntary raising of the eyebrows. The suspicion, the conviction, that there is another explosive level of stardom here keeps Correa in the No. 1 slot. —Zach Crizer
1:2 Minnesota Twins Actual Selection: Byron Buxton, CF Re-Draft Selection: Corey Seager, SS (2012 no. 18 pick) Draft Position Change: +16 Explanation: Like Correa, Seager is a large physically imposing shortstop that faced a lot of questions about whether he could stick at the position. Well, Seager has proven he can handle short, and the bat might be even better than we thought. He was supposed to be his brother, Kyle, with more power, but has become his brother, with a better average. Either way, his offensive profile plays in heart of the Dodgers lineup for years to come. —J.H. Schroeder
You might be better off letting someone else invest in these hurlers over the long run.
Zack Greinke, Arizona Diamondbacks
Greinke’s first year in the desert likely didn’t go as well as he hoped it would. It definitely didn’t go as well as the Diamondbacks hoped it would. The $200 million man struggled with both injuries and poor performance in 2016, leading to a 4.37 ERA (highest since 2005) and a 1.27 WHIP (highest since 2008). His fastball velocity ticked down, and the strikeouts followed suit, as he fanned only 134 batters in 158 2/3 innings.
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The story of the Ranger, Brave, Angel and Yankee as told through the years.
David Ortiz wasn't the only AL East slugger to hang up his cleats this year, as Mark Teixiera played out the last year of his contract in New York. In honor of his retirement, and to look back at his long and editorialized career, let's review 13 years of BP Annual comments about him, as he transitioned from breakout star to huge trade target to huge free agent and beyond.
A look back at a career that changed an entire city.
Some players feel like they should be around forever, but a small subset of those players truly engineer that fate. In honor of his retirement, and to look back at his long and editorialized career, let's review 19 years of BP Annual comments about him, as he grew from a midwestern cast-off to playoff hero of a generation.
We're coming to Milwaukee on August 27th. Reserve your spot at the event today!
Baseball Prospectus and the Milwaukee Brewers invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, August 27, 2016 at Miller Park. Thanks to the fine folks in the Brewers' front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
The only thing better than doing something once is doing something twice.
After last week’s events, two new classes of U.S. amateur players have entered professional baseball since the class of 2014, which has seen some fast-moving performers. This means it’s a good time to take the pulse of that class again and peek at just how differently it might have turned out if we were drafting with the information that we know now. You may remember that we did this last year as well, so we’ve included those selections as well—if you want to get the full picture, this is the reason hyperlinks were created.
We're coming to New York on July 9th. Reserve your spot at the event today!
Baseball Prospectus and the New York Mets invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, July 9, 2016 at Citi Field. Thanks to the fine folks in the Mets front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
We're coming to Atlanta on July 16th. Reserve your spot at the event today!
Baseball Prospectus and the Atlanta Braves invite you to join us for a great day of baseball on Saturday, July 16, 2016 at Turner Field. Thanks to the fine folks in the Braves' front office, we are proud to be able to offer our guests the following:
A look back at a career that ended unexpectedly early this spring.
Some endings you just don't see coming. And after one (or three) too many articles have been written about the recent saga that pushed him to retire, it's time to celebrate the work of the consistently underrated Adam LaRoche. In honor of his retirement, and to look back at his long and editorialized career, let's review 13 years of BP Annual comments about him, as he grew into a steady performer and a righteous beard.
The former elite prospect finished his career with 18.4 WARP'would you consider that a success?
The sun has finally set on Brad Penny's career. In honor of his retirement, let's take a look through old BP annual comments to see the highs and lows of the former Marlin, Dodger, Red Sock, Giant, Cardinal, Tiger, Giant again, and Marlin again.
Some thoughts from those who pay closest attention to their teams.
Nothing truly signifies the end of a long winter full of trades, rumors, position battles, and injuries like the start of Fantasy Baseball Draft season. When you see that draft calendar begin to count down in days instead of weeks, it means spring is finally here, and real games are just around the corner. It also means that you’re running out of time to get ready. You need to finish your research. There are a number of great fantasy resources available, especially right here at Baseball Prospectus, but you often need to dig through so much information to get find what you really want. So we’ve decided to help you about.