Small samples can be deceiving, but it's important to make a realistic evaluation of your Scoresheet team in the early going.
We hate to be the ones to break the bad news to you, but you won’t win your Scoresheet league every year. Once you can bring yourself to accept that, the key is to identify the years you won’t win as early as possible so you can get a head start on preparing for next year’s shot at the title. To comprehensively assess your team’s chances, you have to start by looking at the individual players on your team, and then examine your overall team performance, and finally, see how you compare to the other teams in your league.
While small sample size alerts still abound a month into the season, it is still important to determine if your players are over- or under-performing in order to make your decision on throwing in the towel for the year. If you have Miguel Cabrera, for example, it is probably fairly reasonable to assume your team will add some wins to its pace in the coming months. Conversely, if you have Devin Mesoraco, Charlie Blackmon, and Chris Colabello on your team, you probably shouldn’t expect to continue your undefeated season. You still want to put a lot of stock in your preseason beliefs, presumably based on SS/SIM projections, but you can start giving some weight to current season performance. And don’t forget to factor in players coming back from injury in the near future. Basically, you want to assess how accurate you think your win total represents your team’s talent.
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Advice on how to approach your league's supplemental draft, plus matchup-based start/sit decisions for the coming week.
In Scoresheet baseball, the first supplemental draft is a time when the dreams of spring training are dashed against the rocks of designated for assignment statuses and hamstring strains. For all but the most active/desperate traders, this is your first chance to reshape your team, if even slightly, to cover up for some of the inevitable strains against your depth chart.
To help prepare you for the upcoming draft, we podcasted what may be the first-ever mock Scoresheet supplemental draft, a feat for which we are duly proud and ashamed. In order to determine who was eligible for the draft, we randomly selected 25 public continuing Scoresheet leagues, both American and National format, and found whether the players were available in that league. Players who were available in 60 percent or more of these index leagues were listed as available.
Before getting into this week’s article, a quick note about this week’s podcast: We experienced some technical difficulties with the audio, and the second half of the podcast sounds choppy. We believe it is still listenable, however. Apologies, and we are working to fix the problem. Well, the one of us who has any idea whatsoever about how to fix it.
We’re tackling two strategy concepts this week, along identifying some players to start and sit. First, we’ll discuss the pros and cons of working together as a three-headed monsters. And then we talk about some broad goals for the supplemental drafts.
The Scoresheet podcast transitions to its in-season format, with start-sit advice accompanying general strategy.
As you may have noticed, the regular season has started, so we are going to shift the format of our articles a little bit. Our plan is for these columns to have two parts each week. We’ll start with thoughts on something related to general Scoresheet strategy and end with picks for players we recommend sitting and starting for the next week of Scoresheet games. However, we’re still trying to be flexible and figure out what works, so if next week’s article looks completely different, then the prior few sentences never existed and you can’t prove otherwise.
Benedict Arnold Was a Trader
In the early going, the forefront of your thought process on roster moves should center around trusting the preseason projections and your general feeling on guys coming into the season. Performance so far isn’t enough to justify altering expectations in a way that would change how you treat a player. You are probably already tired of warnings not to read too much into early season small sample sizes, but you shouldn’t ignore them. As shown by the work of DerekCarty and RussellCarleton on these virtual pages, even the statistics that stabilize the most quickly will still need time before we know if the variation from expectations is noise or not.
The Scoresheet gang helps you fill out your lineup card for Opening Day.
While participants in other types of fantasy baseball may cool their heels after the pre-season draft, Scoresheet players have one final task at hand before Opening Day: filling out the lineup card. Some find the lineup card a chore, but spending a few extra minutes on it is a must to wring every last win out of a Scoresheet team. The general key to filling out a lineup card is to think like a manager from the 1980s. A smart manager somewhat ahead of his or her time, sure. But trying to force the latest in sabermetric thinking onto the card will often just result in leaving wins on the table. Keep that in mind as we go through the main features of the lineup card.
Perhaps the most important advice we can give is to platoon everywhere. With some foresight in the draft, these platoons may be obvious. But check every single player’s splits, because surprisingly often, it will make sense to bench a star or semi-star half the time. Our lineups vs. RHP generally look completely different than our lineups vs. LHP.
In this week's podcast, the gang breaks down some late-round options and welcomes Bret Sayre to discuss his first Scoresheet draft.
Sure, roto enthusiasts have their big-ticket sleepers such as Yordano Ventura or Nolan Arenado, but it’s the Scoresheet player who has the thrill of drafting 20 rounds after those guys are off the board. Last week, the Outcomes participated in the annual BL DwMurphy draft, one of Scoresheet’s flagship leagues. With a soft keeper protection system and rules discouraging protecting minor leaguers, it’s functionally a 24-team one-year league, which means that there are more picks in the draft than there are players in the major leagues. If you’re in a similar situation, who should you look out for at the bottom of the scraped barrel?
A look at the Scoresheet equivalent of WARP, plus a walkthrough of the mindset behind a mid-draft selection.
You can keep your fantasy drafts—the hourly punctuality and mind-bending depth of a Scoresheet draft is the true rite of spring. We know that fantasy players love March for the madness that comes from being in multiple ongoing drafts. Isn’t that what that copyrighted alliterative phrase means?
As either an introduction or as a refresher course, we want to walk you through some of the tools at Baseball Prospectus that will help make your drafting life easier, thanks to the hard work of the technical folks behind the scenes.
Breaking down the bullpen arms for Scoresheet leagues.
BP Fantasy closes out positions with reliever week, the position pretty much everyone considers a necessary evil. If not just plain evil. In this week’s podcast, linked at the end of the article, we spend some time discussing relievers. Not a ton of time, because there’s really not too much to say. We also take some reader questions. And have a pretty interesting discussion on when (if ever) it is OK to lose a trade, which we think will be worth your time to check out. We also spend some time discussing the lower tiers of starting pitching, which is relevant to your Scoresheet bullpen, for reasons we explain below. We’ve also updated our ranking list for all positions.
Here’s how we rank relievers. And read on for reliever strategy, picks, and more.
Breaking down the starters for Scoresheet leagues, with a guest appearance from Bret Sayre.
As you’ve undoubtedly heard, good pitching beats good hitting, and vice versa. You may not, however, have thought about the implications of great pitching or terrible pitching on good hitting. We’ve got plenty to say on starting pitching in Scoresheet (so much so that this week is only the first half of our coverage of the position), but to summarize at the highest level, our advice is to maximize the great pitching on your team and to minimize the innings devoted to terrible pitching.
Sounds easy, but it can be quite hard in Scoresheet. So read on for our rankings and detailed thoughts on some players. And be sure to check out our podcast, linked at the bottom of this article, for even more advice on strategy and specific players.
We are also really excited to have the man/the legend Bret Sayre on the podcast for a special guest segment. Bret is trying out Scoresheet for the first time this year, and in this week’s segment, we talk through our thoughts on his keeper decisions in his soft keeper league.
Without further ado, here are our starting pitcher rankings in Scoresheet. Please note that for convenience, we are calling pitchers we rank 1-25 as no. 1 starters, those ranked 26 to 50 as no. 2 starters, etc.
Ranking the players at this position for Scoresheet leagues.
It is outfield week here at BP, so we are chiming in with a look at the position from a Scoresheet perspective. In this article you’ll find our rankings along with thoughts on strategy for the position and deeper dives into specific players. Don’t miss the podcast for more thoughts on the position. And, as always, feel free to contact us via email, Twitter, or comments on this article for any questions you might have.
A look at how the hot corner stacks up for Scoresheet leagues.
As you probably guessed, this week we’re tackling the hot corner for Scoresheet players. Below, you’ll find our rankings, general thoughts on strategy for third base, and some deeper looks at players we felt were important to single out. Tune in to our podcast for more thoughts on the position and to hear us answer listener questions on drafts and keepers. As always, we’re happy to answer any Scoresheet-related questions you might have, on the record or off. Also, in case you missed it, you can check out a compilation of our rankings (please note that rankings for positions we haven’t yet covered are still subject to change).
Here’s how we rank the third basemen in Scoresheet:
The Scoresheet team reveals the rest of its positional rankings to help you decide on your keepers.
Note: This piece was originally published on February 9th.
While those of you in standard fantasy leagues are blissfully waiting for pitchers and catchers to report, for many of us on the Scoresheet side, yesterday was the culmination of an offseason of decision-making. Sunday was the standard keeper deadline, and to prepare, BP's Scoresheet team put together a complete ranking list for you to make your decisions, or to get a second opinion for keepers or trade possibilities. Consider this a beta release, as we will continue to prepare our official rankings to coincide with Scoresheet's fantasy position weeks. Until then, do you have a question? We'll take last minute questions right here in the comments section, in email at email@example.com, or @TTOScoresheet on Twitter. We're here to help, so let us know what your deadline is! For those of you with later keeper deadlines, we'll continue to discuss rankings both here and on the podcast all month long.