Breaking our self-imposed semi-hiatus to focus on one of the highlights of the Scoresheet calendar: the 40th round.
We’re breaking our self-imposed semi-hiatus to focus on one of the highlights of the Scoresheet calendar: the 40th round. We wanted to present a brief analysis of the 2017 draft before the standard Wednesday supplemental. Before we begin, the standard caveats apply. Namely, if you want in-depth analysis on each of these prospects, you can find the coverage elsewhere on Baseball Prospectus. We make no claims towards being draft experts, even if we collectively make up about a third of MLB Network’s viewing audience on draft night.
What we try to do is analyze players keeping their Scoresheet value in mind—you’ll see some of our standard advice apply here. We tend to prefer college players over high school players with all but the highest upside, not because we’re Moneyball fetishists, but because we think low-A players, especially pitchers, tend to be wasted draft spots unless they’re easy keepers. We’ll go for up-the-middle talent and devalue first basemen to an even more extreme degree than in real life. And we’ll look for players with potential for “keeper value,” which is probably closer to a mean approximation of their real-life value than their ceiling or floor.
The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.
Not a subscriber?
Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is back to chat about the state of the podcast, the state of the game, and how both impact (or don't impact) Scoresheet.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is back to chat about the state of the podcast, the state of the game, and how both impact (or don’t impact) Scoresheet. From MLB roster construction to the run scoring environment, we spend some time talking about how the trends in MLB might impact Scoresheet strategy and suggest a few updates and alterations to improve Scoresheet in response to these trends.
The Outcomes take listener questions, discuss some of "their guys," and talk WBC.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is back with our fifth episode of 2017. We take some listener questions about soft versus hard and whether we’d want Mookie Betts on our team. We go through a list of our guys (aka, players you should avoid). Finally, we share our love of the WBC. And both puzzle and dragons.
This week, the Outcomes take listener questions, and talk about spring training, and much more.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is here with our fourth episode of 2017. We take some listener questions about Jonathan Gray, crossovers (and reference JDM’s Crossover list), and defensive subs for players out of position. We also talk about the Oscars, bobbleheads and gnome figurines, and spring training.
The Outcoes take listener questions and discuss the factors they consider when preparing player lists for the Scoresheet draft.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is here with our third episode of 2017. We take some listener questions about playing players out of position, potential trades and about draft prep. We spent most of the time talking about preparing for the draft and the ways that we would build player lists and the factors we would consider. We wrap with the best things we saw this week and we look forward to some upcoming pop culture events as well.
In their second episode of the year, the Outcomes take listener questons, offer their thoughts on keeper decisions and BP's top 101 prospects, and much more.
The Three True Outcomes podcast is here with our second episode of 2017. We take some listener questions, mostly about keeper decisions. We also go through some thoughts on resources for making keeper choices, factors to consider, and what to do at the last minute when you’re not sure who to keep. We chat about the BP Top 101 prospects and how that list (and others) translate to Scoresheet, and we also mention the BP Scoresheet Draft Aid as a tool for preparing for picks before and during your drafts.
In their final podcast of the season, the Outcomes welcome two Scoresheet experts to talk playoff lineups and much more.
The Three True Outcomes podcast wraps up the year with a phenomenal show, bringing on notable Scoresheet experts Nate Stephens and John R. Mayne. They join us as we take listener questions, we talk about playoff line up cards, especially on the pitching side, and finally we draft the first round of a hypothetical league starting with standard rules expected to be played indefinitely (also known as round 1 of the Mock Draft). You won’t want to miss this season finale!
The Outcomes answer myriad reader questions, talk last-minute Scoresheet deals, and much more.
This Week’s Podcast
This week, the Three True Outcomes took a couple of reader questions about trades, playoff rotations, and promoted prospects. We discuss the Scoresheet playoffs, setting your lineup cards, and making last minute deals that you may not have considered to maximize your chances of winning.
The Outcomes discuss the MLB trade deadline, offer advice on Scoresheet deadline deals, and much more.
This Week’s Podcast
This week, the Three True Outcomes talk about the trade deadlines, both MLB and Scoresheet. We go through the most notable MLB deals, mention our favorites both good and bad, and then we talk about the kinds of trades that Scoresheet teams should be looking to make between now and the deadline. We venture into some new ideas with ways to improve a contending team and ways to continue the rebuild for those out of contention.
The Outcomes discuss the ideal baseball simulation, take reader Scoresheet questions, and more.
This Week’s Podcast
This week, the Three True Outcomes continue our discussion of the ideal baseball simulation. We take reader questions about players, trades and simulations and we go even deeper into the nuances of random, stochastic and deterministic. We also talk about the futures game--well, Ian does--and of course the best things we saw this week.
The Outcomes discuss their recent Scoresheet trades, the ideal baseball simulation, and much more.
This Week’s Podcast
This week, the Three True Outcomes were busy making trades for their teams, and we discuss a few on the air. Then, we ponder the perfect baseball simulation. We talk about the core tenets of the ideal way to simulate a baseball game and we banter about the big questions: How much uncertainty do we want? Should it feel random? Should season performance line up with simulation performance? How much should recent performance matter? How should defensive ratings work? Spoiler alert: We don’t answer all of these questions on this week’s episode.