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0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 207: Reevaluating Patrick Corbin/Baseball and Redheads by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
8 Overthinking It: The Pitches No Zone Can Contain by Ben Lindbergh
6 BP Unfiltered: Former MLB Umpire Jim McKean on Catcher Framing by Ben Lindbergh
1 BP Unfiltered: Brandon McCarthy on Catcher Framing by Ben Lindbergh
0 Prospectus Q&A: The College of Coaches on Catcher Framing by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 206: When Does it Make Sense to Fire Managers?/What We Think about Hot Streaks by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
11 Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/18 by Ben Lindbergh
5 BP Unfiltered: Jeff Keppinger Finally Works a Walk, and a Disar Awards Update by Ben Lindbergh
6 BP Unfiltered: The Longest Plate Appearance of the Week, 5/17 by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 205: Catcher Framing Questions/A Hypothetical Pitching Problem/Post-Start MRIs by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
9 Overthinking It: The Mystique and Aura of the Other 29 Teams by Ben Lindbergh
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 204: The Yankees and Luck/How We Watch Baseball/Consuming Scouting Reports by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 203: Strikeouts and Defense/Shortest Pitching Careers/Novelty All-Star Games/World Series of Worst/Rooting Against No-Hitters by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 202: Bryce Harper Hits the Wall/Albert Pujols' Pain by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
12 Transaction Analysis: The Cubs Keep Rizzo by Ben Lindbergh
7 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 201: Drafting Age-25-and-Under Starters/Still No No-Hitters by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
13 Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/10 by Ben Lindbergh
1 BP Unfiltered: The Longest Plate Appearance of the Week, 5/10 by Ben Lindbergh
14 Overthinking It: Where the Value of Robot Umpires Ends by Ben Lindbergh
11 Overthinking It: The Sub-Replacements by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 200: Will Leitch on Media, Fans, and Media and Fans by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 199: Pitchers Putting on Sunscreen/The Astros and Clubhouse Chemistry by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 198: Hitters with the Yips/Power vs. Contact/Starlin Castro's Future/Reinhart-Rogoff and Sabermetrics by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
14 Overthinking It: Evaluating Early-Season Experiments by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 197: Our Incredibly Premature All-Star Picks by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 196: The New Scott Kazmir/The Future of the Angels by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
10 Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 5/3 by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 195: Bad Body Language/Upgrading Bullpens/Steroids and the Children/BABIP and Bad Luck by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 Overthinking It: Three Months in Marco Scutaro's BABIP by Ben Lindbergh
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 194: Outlawing Endless Games/Would Baseball Be Better Without Playoffs? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 193: AAA Teams vs. the Marlins and Astros/The Braves and Strikeouts/Pickoffs and Pitch Counts/John Farrell and the Jays/Non-Superstar HOFers by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 192: Stephen Strasburg's New Injury Scare/The Underhyped Manny Machado by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
4 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 191: The Significance of the Blue Jays' Slow Start/Justin Upton and Internet Gloating by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
57 Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 4/26 by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 190: The Ike Davis Enigma/Trading Prospects Straight Up for Stanton by Ben Lindbergh and Will Woods
8 Overthinking It: Why Jose Valverde is Still Getting Saves for Detroit by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 189: Should Chad Billingsley Have Had Surgery Sooner?/Brendan Ryan, Robert Andino, and the Mariners by Ben Lindbergh and Paul Sporer
19 BP Unfiltered: Pitcher BABIP and Age by Ben Lindbergh
7 Overthinking It: Yadier Molina's Maybe-Amazing Powers of Defensive Positioning by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 188: The Yankees and PECOTA/Earned Run Ratio/Least Likely MVP Candidates/When to Trust 2013 Stats by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 187: More About Velocity Loss/Baseball Players and Appendectomies by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 186: Deceptive Starters/Matt Harvey's Improvement/The Blue Jays and Waiver Claims by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 BP Unfiltered: Desmond Jennings Doesn't Need Your Assistance by Ben Lindbergh
4 BP Unfiltered: The Startlingly Selective Yuniesky Betancourt by Ben Lindbergh
15 Overthinking It: This Week in Catcher Framing, 4/19 by Ben Lindbergh
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 185: Trading International Bonus Pool Space/Shortening the Time Between Pitches by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
2 Overthinking It: Brett Gardner Gets Aggressive by Ben Lindbergh
1 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 184: Brett Gardner Makes an Adjustment by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
3 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 183: How to Set Up a Rotation/The DH of the Future/Batting Stanton Leadoff/Pitchers and Handwarmers/Quad-A Hitters by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
0 BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 182: How Much Will Mark Appel Make?/Is Mike Scioscia's Job Safe? by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller
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Ben and Paul talk to Corey Dawkins about Chad Billingsley's elbow, then discuss the Mariners' decision to start Robert Andino over Brendan Ryan and the state of Seattle's organization. Do most young pitchers have high BABIPs?
On Wednesday, the
St. Paul Pioneer Press published a piece by Mike Berardino about how the Twins—well, more like one full-time employee of the Twins—are starting to explore sabermetrics. It's worth a read. The article won't leave you with the sense that the Twins are anywhere close to the cutting edge, relative to teams that aren't the Phillies, but at least they're not opposed to the idea of incorporating statistics into their decision making. Read the full article...
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April 24, 2013 9:42 am
Is the Cardinals' catcher even better than we think?
Several months after
made his major-league debut, we panned his career prospects in Yadier Molina . “He’s every bit a Molina,” we said, “like his brothers in Anaheim: admirable defensive skills, inadequate bat.” Molina was 21 at the time, and catchers tend to peak later than players at other positions, so we acknowledged that there was “hope for improvement.” But not Baseball Prospectus 2005 much improvement, evidently: “Expect Matheny levels of production with maybe a handful more homers.” Matheny levels of production are pretty terrible, even with a handful more homers. Given that pessimistic offensive projection, the comment’s conclusion didn’t come as a shock: “best suited to a backup role.”
Well, we nailed the part about the defensive skills. The rest seems silly now. But it didn’t start to look silly for a few seasons, and it took a few seasons more for it to become outright wrong. Through his age-27 season, Yadier’s career
(.237) was lower than his brother Jose’s through the same age (albeit in many more plate appearances). TAv
Ben and Sam answer listener emails about whether PECOTA underestimates the Yankees, how to improve ERA, Coco Crisp the MVP candidate, and in-season stats vs. projections.
Ben and Sam discuss the velocity losses of some of baseball's best starters, then talk about whether players should have prophylactic appendectomies.
Ben and Sam discuss the short-lived success of starters without great stuff who rely on deception, then talk about Matt Harvey and the Blue Jays' use (or abuse) of the waiver system. About the rare 8-unassisted double play.
It's been a weekend of weird plays. On Friday night,
did something so strange we literally Jean Segura didn't have a way to score it. And on Saturday, Rays center fielder caught a Desmond Jennings fly ball, then doubled Coco Crisp off first. All by himself. Eric Sogard
Read the full article... Has Yuniesky Betancourt left his free-swinging ways behind?
When the Phillies offered
an invitation to spring training, we wondered why a team would give even a non-guaranteed contract to a player whose career stats suggested he was without any upside. When Betancourt hit .446/.450/.625 in spring training and landed a major-league contract with Milwaukee, we wondered A) why teams allow themselves to be seduced by spring statistics and B) what it is about Betancourt that makes teams who’ve already seen him firsthand for full seasons decide to bring him back for more. When we last saw Betancourt in the big leagues, he was getting released by the Royals. It was fair to wonder why he’d be any better at age 31 than he was during his replacement-level prime. Yuniesky Betancourt Read the full article... The best missed and stolen strikes of the week, and the best and worst backstops so far.
Before we get to the rankings and GIFs, a brief detour. In the comments section of
Sam Miller’s article about ’s poor framing in Hector Sanchez ’s first start of the season, reader “jdeich” Tim Lincecum floated the possibility of a link between good receiving skills and a selective approach at the plate: Read the full article...
Ben and Sam discuss the implications of teams' ability to trade international bonus pool space, and whether it makes sense to enforce the rule about time between pitches.
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April 18, 2013 9:24 am
One of baseball's most selective hitters gets into the swing of things.
’s approach at the plate used to be simple: bend at the knees, let lots of balls (and strikes) go by, and wait until he walked. Pitchers can’t always throw strikes, even when they’re trying to, especially when the batter doesn’t have a big zone. Gardner consistently made pitchers pay for poor control with plate appearances like this one, from April 29, 2011: Brett Gardner The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.
Ben and Sam discuss Brett Gardner's new approach at the plate, and how hitters adjust to pitchers.