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Ben Lindbergh 

Ben Lindbergh

Ben Lindbergh was the Editor-in-Chief of Baseball Prospectus from 2012 to 2014. He now writes for Grantland, has written for four BP annuals and Extra Innings: More Baseball Between the Numbers, and served as assistant editor of Baseball Prospectus 2011 and editor of the two-volume Best of Baseball Prospectus collection. He formerly worked as a baseball analyst for Bloomberg Sports, and has interned for multiple MLB teams. He was inducted into the Baseball Writers' Association of America in December of 2011.

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08-01

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 505: Dissecting Trade Deadline Day
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Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-31

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 504: Lester, Lackey, and the Red Sox as Sellers
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-30

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 503: Listener Emails of Future Past
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-29

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 502: Andrelton, Astros, and Independent Leagues
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-28

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 501: News from the Hall of Fame Front
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-25

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4

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 500: The Somewhat Special 500th Episode
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-24

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 499: Yesterday, All Your Emails Were So Far Away
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-23

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 498: The Astros' Draft Postmortem
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-22

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 497: The Trade Deadline Desperation Index
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-21

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 496: The Q&A Episode
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-18

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4

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 495: What We Would Put in Our Player Manuals
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-17

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 494: Evan Drellich on the Astros' Aiken Pains
by
Ben Lindbergh and Zachary Levine

07-16

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 493: Listener Emails for Your Off-Day
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-15

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 492: Revisiting April Aberrations
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-14

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 491: Improving All-Star Week
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-11

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56

Overthinking It: Forever Changes
by
Ben Lindbergh

07-11

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 490: Announcements and Aces
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-10

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 489: Statcast's Impact on Player Evaluation
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-09

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 488: Only the Finest Listener Emails
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-08

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 487: Ballplayers Say the Darndest Things
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-07

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3

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 486: Jason Parks on the Top 50 Prospects in Baseball
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-04

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 485: Trading Within the Division
by
Ben Lindbergh and Russell A. Carleton

07-03

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 484: Kiley McDaniel Explains the International Signing Period
by
Ben Lindbergh and Russell A. Carleton

07-02

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Overthinking It: June in Catcher Framing
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Ben Lindbergh

07-02

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 483: Made Possible By Listeners Like You
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

07-01

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10

Overthinking It: The Nationals' Non-Problem
by
Ben Lindbergh

07-01

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 482: The Astros' Leaked Trade Talks
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-30

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 481: The Next Unwritten Rules
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-27

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BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/27
by
Ben Lindbergh and Chris Mosch

06-27

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37

Overthinking It: The BP Staff Tries to Trade, and Trade for, David Price
by
Ben Lindbergh and Baseball Prospectus

06-27

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 480: The David Price Trading Game
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-26

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 479: A Move Each Contender Should Make
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-25

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BP Unfiltered: Ross Detwiler and the All-Fastball All-Stars
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-25

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Overthinking It: Does Bill James' Game Score Still Work?
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Ben Lindbergh

06-25

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 478: All the Questions of a Thousand Dreams
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-24

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BP Unfiltered: BP at Fox Sports: How Do These Players Still Have Roster Spots?
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-24

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BP Unfiltered: Bartolo on the Bases
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-24

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 477: When Does a GM Deserve to Be Fired?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-23

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18

Overthinking It: Josh Byrnes Breaks Streak; Padres Face Uncertain Future
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-23

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 476: How Far Should MLB Go to Protect Players?
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-20

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BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 6/20
by
Ben Lindbergh and Chris Mosch

06-20

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 475: What Baseball Could Borrow from Soccer's Structure
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-19

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Overthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has Missed
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-19

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 474: The Rest-of-Season Projections Test
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-18

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 473: Never Stop Asking Questions
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-17

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BP Unfiltered: Glen Perkins Dislikes Losing Strikes
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-17

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Overthinking It: Why That Stanton Homer Broke Your Brain
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Ben Lindbergh

06-17

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BP Unfiltered: When Tony Gwynn Had a Below-Average Hit Tool
by
Ben Lindbergh

06-17

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 472: The Greatness of Gwynn
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

06-16

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 471: The All-MLB.TV Team
by
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

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Does Bartolo Colon's pitching performance suffer immediately after he's been on base?

This afternoon in Oakland, the A’s face off against the Mets in a storyline-rich matchup of Scott Kazmir (whom the A’s signed over the offseason) and Bartolo Colon (whom the A’s allowed to leave because they’d signed Kazmir instead). Colon hasn’t been bad—he leads the American League in walk rate—but Kazmir leads the AL in ERA, so thus far, advantage A’s. Perhaps with that in mind, manager Bob Melvin was in a good enough mood to get a little lighthearted when discussing his team's approach against Colon:

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Ben and Sam banter about the Nationals, then discuss where the Padres went wrong and whether Josh Byrnes deserved his dismissal.

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The firing of Josh Byrnes ends a period of unprecedented GM job security. Did he deserve to get the axe?

In March, I wrote about the unprecedented job security major-league general managers have enjoyed over the previous two-plus years. Led by the long-tenured Brian Sabean, Billy Beane, Brian Cashman, and Dan O’Dowd (who was forced to share the throne but hasn’t been relieved of his duties), GMs have seen their occupation, historically a high-turnover one in which on-field success was the only sure route to remaining employed, morph into one that comes standard with the owner’s commitment to stay the course, even if it means suffering through some lean times. Accordingly, I dubbed the new strain of nearly unemployment-proof GMs the “Duracell GM Generation”—a cohort of front-office head honchos who last.

On Sunday, Josh Byrnes’ battery died. Byrnes, the Padres’ GM since October 26, 2011, became the first GM fired since the Astros axed Ed Wade on November 27, 2011. That’s a streak of 938 firing-free days—by far the longest such streak over at least the last four decades, even though baseball’s expansion to 30 teams has created more opportunities for a change to take place.

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Ben and Sam discuss whether Major League Baseball should ban chewing tobacco, mandate that pitchers wear protective caps, and fund research about elbow injuries.

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This week's bunts (including three first-timers, two near-misses, and Joey Gallo), plus a look at counter-adjustments by opposing defenses.

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Ben and Sam talk to Will Woods about soccer conventions that might improve baseball.

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June 19, 2014 10:05 am

Overthinking It: The Players PECOTA Has Missed

12

Ben Lindbergh

Hitters and pitchers who've defied their preseason PECOTAs, and players who've changed the projection system's mind.

Among the things a Baseball Prospectus subscriber might like to know, as we approach the midway point of the season, are the names of the players who’ve roundly beaten (or fallen fall short of) their preseason PECOTA projections, and the names of the players who will continue to do so. The first list of names is much easier to provide than the second. In Russell Carleton’s article today, he alludes to some relevant research by Mitchel Lichtman, who recently studied the subject of breakouts. Here’s how Russell explains what Lichtman did:

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Ben and Sam identify the players who've most overperformed or underperformed their PECOTAs and discuss what they'll do next.

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Ben and Sam answer listener email questions about players who take pitches, catcher defense, spotting terrible teams a run, tool grades, and more.

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Twins pitchers pay a price for rostering poor receivers.

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Giancarlo Stanton finds a new way to impress us with his power.

On Monday’s episode of Effectively Wild, I named Giancarlo Stanton to my All-MLB.TV team—a short list of players so compelling that I’d change channels solely to see them do their thing. Stanton’s thing is hitting homers, which he’s done more often than any other National Leaguer in 2014. His brand of dinger is particularly pleasing to the eye, consisting mostly of majestic shots that we have plenty of time to admire before they finally touch down in some remote part of the park where we didn’t know gravity would allow a baseball to trespass. The Marlins’ right fielder is responsible for the longest homer hit this season, as well as the longest launched since 2009, and he also owns 2014’s highest average home run distance. If I switch games to see Stanton, I’m tuning in on the off chance that he’ll hit one out of the stadium or at least destroy the scoreboard.

On Monday, Stanton hit a home run as awe-inspiring as any of the 135 that preceded it, but it wasn’t breath-taking because it took down a light tower or broke the 500-foot barrier. In fact, it brought down his 2014 home run distance by a few feet. In ESPN Home Run Tracker terminology, Stanton hit it “Just Enough,” which means that it “cleared the fence by less than 10 vertical feet, OR that it landed less than one fence height past the fence.”

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What did scouts say about Gwynn as an amateur?

On today’s episode of Effectively Wild, Sam Miller and I responded to Tony Gwynn’s untimely passing by discussing some of our favorite statistical fun facts from the Hall of Famer’s one-of-a-kind career. One of Sam’s was Gwynn’s 1981 batting average in 99 plate appearances at Double-A Amarillo: .462 (42-for-91). Yes, that’s a small sample, but consider the kicker that makes it even more impressive: The 21-year-old Gwynn was in his first professional season. Drafted in June, he’d hit .331/.406/.612 in 42 games for Walla Walla in the Low-A Northwest League before being bumped up to the Texas League.

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