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Andrew Koo 

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06-18

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16

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

06-06

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14

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

05-22

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8

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

05-16

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14

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

05-08

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5

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

05-01

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8

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

04-15

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35

PECOTA Takes on Prospects
by
Andrew Koo

03-25

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10

Prospectus Preview: AL East 2014 Preseason Preview
by
Andrew Koo and Zachary Levine

12-18

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35

More Moneyball
by
Andrew Koo

12-09

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1

The Week in Quotes: December 2-8
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo and Chris Mosch

12-02

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2

The Week in Quotes: November 23 - December 1
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo and Chris Mosch

11-18

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3

The Week in Quotes: November 11-17
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

11-11

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1

The Week in Quotes: November 4-11
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo and Chris Mosch

11-04

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0

The Week in Quotes: October 28-November 3
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

10-28

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0

The Week in Quotes: October 21-27
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

10-21

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0

The Week in Quotes: October 14-20
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

10-08

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1

The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 6
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-30

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1

The Week in Quotes: September 23-29
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-30

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7

What You Need to Know: A Wild Final Weekend
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-23

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1

The Week in Quotes: September 16-22
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-16

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0

The Week in Quotes: September 9-15
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

09-12

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8

What You Need to Know: Jose Fernandez's Closing Argument
by
Andrew Koo and Chris Mosch

09-09

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0

The Week in Quotes: September 3-8
by
Nick Bacarella, Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-27

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1

What You Need to Know: The Other Way in Which Zack Greinke is Good
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-26

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3

BP Unfiltered: The Significance of Position Players Pitching in Extras
by
Andrew Koo

08-26

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0

The Week in Quotes: August 19-25
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-19

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0

The Week in Quotes: August 12-18
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-12

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0

The Week in Quotes: August 5-11
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-05

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0

The Week in Quotes: July 29-August 4
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

08-02

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2

BP Unfiltered: Reliever Value at the Deadline
by
Andrew Koo

07-29

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2

The Week in Quotes: July 22-28
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

07-25

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3

BP Unfiltered: ERA, Falling Slowly
by
Andrew Koo

07-25

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2

What You Need to Know: Price Wrong for the Red Sox
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

07-22

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0

The Week in Quotes: July 15-21
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

07-15

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0

BP Unfiltered: Betting on the Home Run Derby
by
Andrew Koo

07-15

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4

The Week in Quotes: July 8-14
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

07-08

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1

The Week in Quotes: July 1-7
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

07-01

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2

The Week in Quotes: June 24-30
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

06-24

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4

The Week in Quotes: June 17-23
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

06-17

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0

The Week in Quotes: June 10-16
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

06-10

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2

The Week in Quotes: June 3-9
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

06-09

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3

BP Unfiltered: A List of Home Run Streak Artists
by
Andrew Koo

06-03

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0

The Week in Quotes: May 27-June 2
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

05-28

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0

The Week in Quotes: May 20-26
by
Andrew Koo, Chris Mosch and Satchel Price

05-22

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Travis Wood and the Winds of Wrigley
by
Andrew Koo

05-20

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0

The Week in Quotes: May 13-19
by
Jonah Birenbaum, Andrew Koo and Satchel Price

05-13

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4

The Week in Quotes: May 6-12
by
Pete Barrett, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

05-06

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0

The Week in Quotes: April 29-May 5
by
Pete Barrett, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

04-29

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1

The Week in Quotes: April 22-28
by
Pete Barrett, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

04-22

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The Week in Quotes: April 15-21
by
Pete Barrett, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

PUJOLS HAS A LASTING EFFECT ON CARDINALS

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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

DODGERS RIDE PUIG-MANIA TO SEASON-HIGH SIX STRAIGHT WINS
"The way Yasiel plays is really contagious. You see that energy and it affects our fans and it makes the guys want to play like that. Bring a young guy like that in and it helps everybody. You've got to stay young. When everybody's experienced, sometimes it gets to be the same old thing. This kid brings energy."
—Dodgers’ manager Don Mattingly, on rookie sensation Yasiel Puig. (Ken Gurnick, MLB.com)



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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

BLUE JAYS TURN IT UP TO 11
“I believe in this team, so I knew things had to change, things had to turn around for us. This is what's happening for us, and we're going to enjoy the moment. I'm not surprised by this; I know this team is good and I know we can do it.”
—Blue Jays’ slugger Edwin Encarnacion, on the team’s 11-game hitting streak. Encarnacion and his parrot trotted the bases for the 21st time on Sunday. (Gregor Chisholm, MLB.com)



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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

BENCHES CLEAR DURING BEANBALL WAR IN LOS ANGELES
“That was supposed to be an inside pitch. Trying to strike him out, I'm not trying to hit him, that's what it comes down to.”
—Diamondbacks starting pitcher Ian Kennedy, on the 1-2 fastball that hit Dodgers rookie Yasiel Puig in the nose during Tuesday’s game. (Steve Gilbert, MLB.com)



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Running through the notable quotables of the week that was.

ASTROS TAKE APPEL WITH NO.1 PICK IN DRAFT
"It's incredibly special. We're a tight family. Both my parents were born [in Houston] and raised there, and I lived there for 12 years before moving to California. All my family lives there. It's very exciting."
—Stanford pitcher Mark Appel, selected first overall in the Rule 4 draft by the Houston Astros. (Brian McTaggart, MLB.com)



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How hitters perform the day after they homer.

I was watching Pedro Alvarez yesterday, smasher of 400-foot home runs and manufacturer of golden sombreros. Alvarez is one of a few streaky hitters who have excellent 2-3 game stretches of power, followed by long stretches of bat contact amnesia. I wondered which hitters hit home runs on back-to-back days most often, so I fired up our database and looked for games where any hitter homered. Then, I tabulated their performance the day after and took the leaders (data since 2011):

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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

MLB PAYS TRIBUTE TO DR. LEWIS YOCUM
“He saved a lot of guys' careers, he fixed a lot of guys and did a lot for the game of baseball. Obviously, he saved my career, and I wouldn't be here without him.”


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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

DODGERS SEARCHING FOR THE PROMISED LAND
“I think he has done fine. I think he's kept it steady. Players still have to play. You have to look at our performance as a team on the field. Have we hit well with runners in scoring position? Have we scored enough runs? Have we played enough good defense? Have we made proper pitches all the time? It's an easy way out to look at one person.”
—Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti, on whether the blame for the team’s recent struggles should be put on the players or manager Don Mattingly. (Dylan Hernandez, Los Angeles Times)



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May 22, 2013 5:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: Travis Wood and the Winds of Wrigley

4

Andrew Koo

Why it pays to look at the weather forecast before starting a flyball pitcher at Wrigley Field.

One of the first axioms I learned when I wandered into the world of sports betting was to heed Wrigley Field’s winds. Wrigley’s proximity to Lake Michigan gave it a reputation for dramatically affecting fly balls, which would inflate or deflate the game over/under on runs. If the wind was blowing out, fly balls were expected to sail out as home runs, and the total would be unusually high. A low total typically meant that winds were blowing toward home plate, suppressing fly balls.

Vegas already knew this, which unfortunately added an additional dimension to handicapping Cubs home games. Amazingly though, this advice was extremely exploitable in fantasy baseball. An “@ChC” note next to my pitcher meant a trip to Baseball Weather Analyzer or Daily Baseball Data (two sweet resources) to examine Wrigley Field’s conditions that day. Flyball pitchers sat on blow-out days and started on blow-in days.

Chris Constancio of The Hardball Times investigated the effect of winds on HR/FB rates six years ago, and he observed statistically significant results in Chicago parks. I replicated his method on data from 2007 to the present and found that the Wrigley wind effect is stronger than ever. Over 508 games, here’s how pitchers performed in HR/FB rate, ERA, and slugging percentage allowed, split by Retrosheet’s wind field:

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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

SNAKES ON TOP OF THE WEST
"I was spotty at first. As good as I've felt the last few times, coming out again I just wasn't there, I wasn't sharp, but I had a focus point that I wanted to get back to. About the second inning on, I was able to get back to that and at least repeat my delivery and was able to kind of turn the game over in my favor instead of the first where everything was a little up and a little too hittable."
—Diamondbacks starter Brandon McCarthy, after throwing a complete game shutout at Marlins Park on Saturday. Arizona’s 25-19 record leads the NL West. (Steve Gilbert, MLB.com)



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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

MOTHER’S DAY
“When they were growing up, it was baseball 24/7. And it's still baseball 24/7. The other day, we had Kyle on TV, Justin on the computer, and were listening to Corey on the radio. That's what we do all night, every night. [...] When the boys were born, you took 'em outside and got a ball and bat and ran around the yard. That's all we've ever done. Let's put it this way: They have broken a lot of my figurines in the front room with either a baseball or basketball.”
—Baseball mother Jody Seager, who has raised her three sons to be successful athletes. Kyle Seager is with the Mariners, Corey Seager is in the Dodgers’ system as a first-rounder, and Justin is playing at UNC-Charlotte. (Greg Johns, MLB.com)



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Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

CLAY BUCHHOLZ AND THE SECRET SUBSTANCE SAGA
“It bothers me immensely when someone is going to make an accusation, and in this case cheating, because they’ve seen something on TV. [Buchholz has] got rosin on his arm. I think rosin was designed to get a grip. But the fact is, he’s got it on his arm. I’ve seen some people who have brought photographs to me. They’re false. The fact is the guy’s 6-0. He’s pitched his tail off. If people are going to point to him cheating? Unfounded.”
—Red Sox manager John Farrell, responding to cheating allegations that surfaced after Clay Buchholz’s most recent start against the Blue Jays on Wednesday night.  Some members of the Toronto media accused Buchholz, now 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA, of applying an illegal substance to his pitches. (Nick Cafardo, Boston Globe)



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