CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

BP Articles 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

01-20

comment icon

4

Players Prefer Presentation: Would You Like to Play a Game of Telephone?
by
Meg Rowley

01-20

comment icon

1

Fantasy Players to Avoid: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-20

comment icon

0

The -Only League Landscape: American League First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-20

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Miguel Cabrera
by
Matt Collins

01-20

comment icon

13

2017 Prospects: Colorado Rockies Top 10 Prospects
by
Jeffrey Paternostro, Wilson Karaman and BP Prospect Staff

01-20

comment icon

0

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: A.J. Reed vs. Dan Vogelbach
by
George Bissell

01-20

comment icon

2

Transaction Analysis: One More Go-Round in Toronto
by
Bryan Grosnick

01-20

comment icon

0

Rumor Roundup: Hunting Starters
by
Demetrius Bell

01-19

comment icon

1

The -Only League Landscape: National League First Basemen
by
Scooter Hotz

01-19

comment icon

4

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: First Basemen on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-19

comment icon

5

Tale of the Tape: Brandon Belt vs. C.J. Cron
by
Mark Barry

01-19

comment icon

2

Flu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: Pitchers' Plate Discipline
by
Rob Mains

01-19

comment icon

5

Transaction Analysis: Extension Party
by
Bryan Grosnick, Jared Wyllys and Matthew Trueblood

01-19

comment icon

4

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 50 First Basemen
by
Bret Sayre

01-18

comment icon

0

Cold Takes: Why Do Hall of Fame Voters Love Relievers?
by
Patrick Dubuque

01-18

comment icon

0

Rumor Roundup: Must-See TV
by
Emma Baccellieri

01-18

comment icon

10

Outta Left Field: Cooperstown Changes
by
Dustin Palmateer

01-18

comment icon

25

2017 Prospects: Los Angeles Dodgers Top 10 Prospects
by
Jeffrey Paternostro, Wilson Karaman and BP Prospect Staff

01-18

comment icon

1

Rubbing Mud: Dozier and the Doyers
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-18

comment icon

3

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: First Base
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-18

comment icon

2

The Adjuster: First Base
by
Eric Roseberry

01-18

comment icon

2

Tale of the Tape: Tommy Joseph vs. Eric Thames
by
Bryan Joiner

01-18

comment icon

9

Get to Know: First Base Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

01-17

comment icon

2

Player Profile: Hanley Ramirez
by
Wilson Karaman

01-17

comment icon

1

Cold Takes: Stan Javier Saves a No-Hitter
by
Patrick Dubuque

01-17

comment icon

9

Rubbing Mud: Flashback Friars
by
Matthew Trueblood

01-17

comment icon

15

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: First Basemen
by
Mike Gianella

01-17

comment icon

0

Welcome to Splitsville: First Base
by
Tim Finnegan

01-17

comment icon

8

Baseball Therapy: What Does Batter/Pitcher Matchup Data Tell Us?
by
Russell A. Carleton

01-17

comment icon

3

Tale of the Tape: Victor Martinez vs. Carlos Santana
by
Alex Chamberlain

01-16

comment icon

3

Rumor Roundup: Ain't Settling for Anything Less Than Everything
by
Ashley Varela

01-16

comment icon

16

2017 Prospects: Chicago Cubs Top 10 Prospects
by
Jeffrey Paternostro and BP Prospect Staff

01-16

comment icon

11

State of the Position: First Base
by
George Bissell

01-16

comment icon

9

Flu-Like Symptoms: New Year's Resolutions: Hitters' Plate Discipline
by
Rob Mains

01-16

comment icon

2

Fantasy Players to Target: First Basemen
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-16

comment icon

5

Early ADP Analysis: First Base
by
Matt Collins

01-16

comment icon

2

The Quinton: First Basemen, Roto Categories, and Total vs. Complementary Production
by
Jeff Quinton

01-16

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Dented Cans and Safety Nets
by
Bryan Grosnick and Jared Wyllys

01-13

comment icon

8

The -Only League Landscape: National League Catchers
by
Scooter Hotz

01-13

comment icon

5

Players Prefer Presentation: Baseball's Longest and Shortest Games
by
Meg Rowley

01-13

comment icon

6

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Catchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

01-13

comment icon

6

Tools of Ignorance: Cornered
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

comment icon

1

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Francisco Mejia vs. Chance Sisco
by
Greg Wellemeyer

01-13

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Can't Stop, Won't Stop
by
Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski

01-13

comment icon

0

Transaction Analysis: Going Back To Cali
by
Aaron Gleeman

01-13

comment icon

0

Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy
by
Jeff Quinton

01-13

comment icon

1

Rumor Roundup: Trumbo Tumbles
by
Demetrius Bell

01-12

comment icon

4

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Yan Gomes vs. Devin Mesoraco
by
Mark Barry

01-12

comment icon

3

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Catchers on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

01-12

comment icon

3

Flu-Like Symptoms: New Year’s Resolutions: Ground-ball Pitchers
by
Rob Mains

<< Previous Article Entries Next Article Entries >>

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 16, 2017 6:00 am

State of the Position: First Base

11

George Bissell

The 30,000-foot-high view of the cold corner for fantasy purposes.

The Big Question: What does a replacement-level fantasy first baseman look like?

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

Does better plate discipline for hitters yield better results?

In this series, we’re investigating the outcomes when baseball players made what appear to have been New Year’s resolutions to do something differently in 2016. But unlike the rest of us, who try to waste less time watching TV or learn another language, we’re looking here at specific baseball outcomes. The first article considered batters who hit markedly more (or less) to the opposite field in 2016 than in 2015. The next two looked at batters who hit more or fewer balls on the ground and pitchers who induced more or fewer grounders.

And I’ll admit, framing these as New Year’s resolutions is a bit of a stretch. There probably aren’t a lot of baseball players who said last January 1 that what they really wanted to do in 2016 was to hit more balls in the air. Today, though, I’m going to tackle one that seems plausible: Better plate discipline.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 13, 2017 10:50 am

The -Only League Landscape: National League Catchers

8

Scooter Hotz

A look at the menu of backstop options in the senior circuit.

The top end of the NL-only catcher pool wasn’t nearly as thin as the top end of the AL-only catcher pool going into the 2016 season. As my colleague Mike Gianella noted in his AL-Only Landscape for catchers, in the AL, the most expensive catchers heading into Opening Day were Brian McCann and Salvador Perez at $16. In the NL, four catchers went for the same or more: Buster Posey at $29, Kyle Schwarber at $25, Jonathan Lucroy at $19 and Travis d’Arnaud at $16. Unlike the AL, owners concerned about positional scarcity had multiple legitimate options for spending their auction dollars.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Rain delays, mascot races, Rickie Weeks, civil wars, and dopes.

January is a particularly low month for baseball fans. Pitchers and catchers won’t stretch for a month. It’s the time of year when we mewl for some baseball, any baseball, heck bad baseball, just so long as it is recognizable as such. It is a privilege of distance to forget a thing’s flaws. After all, sometimes baseball is slow and plodding. Sometimes it features a bunch of pitching changes. Sometimes it features the Padres.

The average time of game in 2014 was three hours and eight minutes; it dropped to two hours and 56 minutes in 2015 with the league’s pace-of-play rules. Using the Play Index’s time-of-game data, we know that for the 2,428 games in 2016[1] (185 of which went to extra innings), the average time of game crept back up, not matching its 2014 levels, but generally slowing:

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Catchers

6

BP Fantasy Staff

You might want to someone else draft or buy these players in your leagues this spring.


Yadier Molina, St. Louis Cardinals
Molina was panned in this space last year, and the market was down on him. We were out to lunch. In 15-team mixed leagues, Molina finished 108th overall per the PFM, beating his NFBC ADP of 258 by a fair amount. But last year isn’t this year, and many of the concerns that dogged Molina in 2016 carry over into this season. Much of Molina’s value is predicated on his batting average. While Molina certainly does have a history of .300+ seasons, 2016 was his first campaign over .300 since 2013. He hasn’t stolen more than three bases since 2012 and more importantly hasn’t had more than eight home runs since 2013. Batting average tends to fluctuate, and betting on another .300+ season from an older, slow-footed catcher is suboptimal.



The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Tools of Ignorance: Cornered

6

Jeff Quinton

Is there an inefficiency to be exploited by taking so-so center fielders and playing them in a corner?

The Mariners have added Jarrod Dyson and Mitch Haniger to their outfield this offseason and they already had Leonys Martin. The Rays traded Drew Smyly for a group of prospects, which they insisted (to at least some extent) include Mallex Smith, and they already had Kevin Kiermaier. I think the Mariners and Rays made these trades because they thought high-end corner outfield defense was undervalued.

***

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Francisco Mejia vs. Chance Sisco

1

Greg Wellemeyer

Is the future Oriole or the future Indian a better long-term bet to help your fantasy team in the squat?

We’ve mercifully reached the end of catchers week, during which the staff covered fantasy’s worst position from every angle. Most of our dynasty coverage rolled out yesterday and I’m here to close it out with Round 4 in our Tale of the Tape series. This one tackles the 17th and 22nd best options—fourth and fifth among prospects—according to Bret’s dynasty catcher rankings. As those ranks imply, there’s not much gap between Mejia and Sisco. Let’s see if we can find some separation.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Transaction Analysis: Can't Stop, Won't Stop

0

Bryan Grosnick and Brendan Gawlowski

Jerry Dipoto refuses to stop making trades, this time roping the Braves and Rays into his addiction.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Trevor Plouffe finds a new home in Oakland and his former team adds veteran depth.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 13, 2017 6:00 am

Player Profile: Jonathan Lucroy

0

Jeff Quinton

After a change in his approach at the plate, what can we expect from the Brewer-turned-Ranger this season?

Player Background

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

New York may keep Curtis Granderson, Baltimore is unlikely to keep Mark Trumbo, and Matt Wieters is looking for a deal.

Mets may hold onto Granderson

Earlier this week there were rumors that the Mets were trying to find a solution to their outfield situation, which is awfully crowded. One of the players mentioned in that piece who could’ve potentially been traded was Curtis Granderson. However, if Sandy Alderson’s comments to ESPN’s Adam Rubin are any indication, it appears as if the Mets are feeling a bit hesitant to trade Granderson away.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

January 12, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Yan Gomes vs. Devin Mesoraco

4

Mark Barry

Which of these Buckeye State backstops is a better long-term bet for fantasy owners?

The year was 2014. Taylor Swift was running wild on the Billboard charts, Transformers was inexplicably tops at the box-office, and the state of Ohio boasted two of the best young catchers in baseball. Devin Mesoraco was being compared to Johnny Bench after blasting 25 bombs and slashing .273/.359/.534 in 440 plate appearances. His cross-state counterpart, Yan Gomes, broke out as well, smacking 21 homers with a .785 OPS and stellar defense. Then just as quickly as the hype train got started, the wheels came off, pretty much literally.

Injuries, regression, or some combination of both have ravaged the promise that Mesoraco and Gomes carried only two short years ago. That said, both players offer interesting bounce-back potential that could present decent value, especially in dynasty leagues. Let the Battle for Ohio (or at least for catchers in their late 20’s that are both coming off injury riddled seasons) begin!

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

<< Previous Article Entries Next Article Entries >>