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07-21

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2

Weekly Wrap: July 21, 2017
by
Javier Barragan

07-21

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6

Minor League Update: Games of July 20
by
Wilson Karaman

07-21

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7

Prospectus Roundtable: Should the Royals Buy or Sell?
by
Rob Mains, Ben Diamond, Craig Goldstein, Wilson Karaman, Matthew Trueblood and Zach Crizer

07-21

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 16
by
Mark Barry

07-21

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Anthony Rendon's Leap to Superstardom
by
Matt Collins

07-21

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4

Cold Takes: A Time and A Place
by
Patrick Dubuque

07-21

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0

Short Relief: Objection!
by
Matt Sussman and Mary Craig

07-21

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2

Guarding The Lines: A Song About Velocity
by
Jarrett Seidler

07-21

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3

What You Need to Know: You Are Who You Are
by
Demetrius Bell

07-20

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0

The Prospectus Hit List: July 20, 2017
by
Ben Carsley

07-20

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4

Transaction Analysis: First We Take Manhattan
by
Bryan Grosnick, Greg Goldstein, Steve Givarz, Ryan Schultz, Mike Gianella and George Bissell

07-20

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0

What You Need to Know: Easy as 1-2-3
by
Ashley Varela

07-20

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4

Eyewitness Accounts: July 20, 2017
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-20

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3

Minor League Update: Games of July 19
by
Steve Givarz

07-20

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4

The GM Trade Game
by
Russell A. Carleton and BP Staff

07-20

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3

Short Relief: Tanking, Titling, and Tilting
by
Trevor Strunk, Patrick Dubuque and Zack Moser

07-20

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0

The Stash List: 16th Edition
by
Greg Wellemeyer

07-19

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0

BP Mets
by
Noah Grand

07-19

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0

BP Kansas City
by
David Lesky

07-19

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0

Transaction Analysis: JD to AZ
by
Wilson Karaman, Stacey Gotsulias, Mark Anderson and George Bissell

07-19

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4

Prospectus Feature: A Series Look: Bo Bichette
by
Steve Givarz

07-19

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0

Short Relief: Baseball In Between Pitches
by
Nathan Bishop, Matt Ellis and Jason Wojciechowski

07-19

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0

Banjo Hitter: Trade Deadline Guide to Starting Pitchers
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-19

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1

Minor League Update: Games of July 18
by
Steve Givarz

07-19

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2

Deep League Report: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella

07-18

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3

What You Need to Know: Burials, Bombs, and More Bombs
by
Stacey Gotsulias

07-18

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3

Circle Change: Manny Machado's Missing Hits
by
Zach Crizer

07-18

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1

Transaction Analysis: Stearns Goes Bargain Shopping
by
Colin Anderle, Aaron Gleeman, Jarrett Seidler and Nicholas Zettel

07-18

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0

Notes from the Field: July 18, 2017
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-18

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0

Closer Report: Week 16
by
Matt Collins

07-18

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10

Minor League Update: Games of July 16
by
Steve Givarz

07-18

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0

Short Relief: Up and Running
by
Kate Preusser, Emma Baccellieri and Patrick Dubuque

07-18

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella

07-17

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0

What You Need to Know: Marathons, Robberies, and Debuts
by
Ben Diamond

07-17

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6

The Prospectus Hit List: July 17, 2017
by
Ben Carsley

07-17

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0

Monday Morning Ten Pack: July 17, 2017
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-17

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18

Flu-Like Symptoms: The Boring Index
by
Rob Mains

07-17

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8

Minor League Update: Games of July 14th-16th
by
Mark Anderson

07-17

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0

Short Relief: Feats of Man-Made Baseball
by
Meg Rowley, James Fegan and Holly Wendt

07-17

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2

The Buyer's Guide: Jhoulys Chacin
by
Eric Roseberry

07-17

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4

Transaction Analysis: Our Long Nationals Nightmare Is Over
by
Bryan Grosnick, Ben Diamond, Javier Barragan, Greg Goldstein and George Bissell

07-14

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0

Rubbing Mud: This is Really All We Know: The Wests
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-14

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8

Minor League Update: Games of July 13
by
Wilson Karaman

07-14

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3

Banjo Hitter: Aaron Judge is Out of Control
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-14

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4

The View From Behind The Backstop: Known Unknowns
by
Jeffrey Paternostro

07-14

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6

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15
by
Mark Barry

07-14

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1

Cold Takes: Waxing Moonshots
by
Patrick Dubuque

07-14

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0

Notes from the Field: Eastern League All-Star Game
by
Erich Rothmann

07-14

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0

Short Relief: The Return of Short Relief
by
Matt Sussman, Zack Moser, Mary Craig and Bryan Grosnick

07-14

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2

Weekly Wrap: July 14, 2017
by
Javier Barragan

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July 17, 2017 6:00 am

Flu-Like Symptoms: The Boring Index

18

Rob Mains

The most boring players and teams in baseball.

One of the concerns about contemporary baseball is that it’s becoming boring. The Three True Outcomes[1]—walks, strikeouts, and home runs—have accounted for more than a third of all plate appearances so far this season, an all-time high.

That means less action on the field. We’re not just talking about, for example, fewer hit-and-runs; we’re talking less running altogether. Byron Buxton sprinting first-to-third, Jarrod Dyson chasing down a liner to the gap, Yasiel Puig throwing out a runner—that’s exciting. Players walking to and from the dugout, trotting around the bases, or taking first base on a walk—not so much. On a related note, 42 percent of runs so far this year have scored on homers, the highest percentage ever.

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July 17, 2017 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of July 14th-16th

8

Mark Anderson

Huge introductions to Triple-A continue with Rafael Devers and Ronald Acuna.

Prospect of the Weekend:

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Three tales of creation: Holly with a Dial-An-Art service, James with the hellscape of tomorrow, and Meg with the psychological evaluation of a strike zone.

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July 17, 2017 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Jhoulys Chacin

2

Eric Roseberry

Since the start of June, Chacin has been a valuable commodity—but will it continue

Jhoulys Chacin did not have the best start to the 2017 season. In his first start of the year, he gave up nine earned runs against the Dodgers. Chacin gave up another seven runs four starts later at the hands of the Diamondbacks. By the time the baseball season reached the end of April, Chacin was 3-3 with a 5.82 ERA. The threat of him imploding on any given night made him a player to avoid for fantasy purposes.

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Washington's mess of a bullpen gets major help in form of right-hander Ryan Madson and left-hander Sean Doolittle.

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July 14, 2017 8:54 am

Rubbing Mud: This is Really All We Know: The Wests

0

Matthew Trueblood

The two best teams in baseball, plus a lot of uncertainty.

This is Part 2 of the series that began Wednesday, setting up the second half by talking about all 30 teams—but using just one word per game played for each. You can read Part 1 for a more extensive introduction to the concept. Let's jump right in.

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July 14, 2017 8:46 am

Minor League Update: Games of July 13

8

Wilson Karaman

Notes on Ronald Acuna, Chris Flexen, Touki Toussaint, Wander Javier, Ryan Mountcastle, and more.

Hitter of the Day:

Ronald Acuna, OF, Atlanta Braves (Triple-A Gwinnett): 3-5, BB, 3 R, HR, 2 RBI, K
Fresh off the bus from Mississippi, 19-year-old Acuna went oppo tank in his first Triple-A at-bat en route to reaching base four times in his Triple-A debut. Numbers are in no ways all, of course, but Acuna, who by the way is 19, has now posted a composite .317/.366/.516 line across three levels this year. Incredibly, he is just 19 years old.


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Judge has flown past his 90th percentile projections and into rarefied air.

Back on May 10, with a little more than one month of the season in the books, I wrote about the seven hitters—five of them big surprises—who had out-produced their 90th percentile PECOTA projections by at least 200 points of OPS. They were—along with the less surprising Bryce Harper and Freddie Freeman duo—Ryan Zimmerman, Eric Thames, Aaron Judge, Yonder Alonso, and Zack Cozart.

A few interesting things have happened to that group since then.

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July 14, 2017 6:00 am

The View From Behind The Backstop: Known Unknowns

4

Jeffrey Paternostro

In this trifling particular, then, I appear to be wiser than he, because I do not fancy I know what I do not know.

I was chatting with my colleague Meg Rowley recently when Harry Frankfurt’s essay “On Bullshit” came up. This was not actually about our midseason list making process, but it could have been. Frankfurt separates “bullshit” from “lying” by virtue of the speaker’s knowledge of the truth. You lie knowingly. You bullshit merely to convince. No one can claim objective, absolute truth of ordinal rankings or prospect outcomes. Some of us sure act like it of course. But especially within a midseason list I find myself on slipperier footing. The tiers get mushier. “I don’t know” feels like an appropriate answer more often than it should in this line of work. Here are five prospects we ranked last week. I really don’t knowing the numbers are right, but I must still venture to convince.

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July 14, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 15

6

Mark Barry

It's time again to set your rotation!

It's time to preview the hurlers scheduled for two starts in the upcoming week. As the old wrestling promoters would always say: “Card Subject to Change,” because injuries and tinkering managers can make this less than a science. Should new information present itself, we can go over it in the comments.

Most of these recommendations are based on a combination of ADP/auction price and PECOTA projections for opponent strength. As the season progresses and we get more concrete data points for how the pitchers and their opponents perform, the formula will evolve into a performance-based projection. For more information on some key terms—Auto-Start, Start, Consider and Sit—click here.

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Dingers are hard to resist.

The tension between the juiced baseball and the acceptable range of MLB testing came to a head this week in the spectacle of the Home Run Derby, as Aaron Judge and company surpassed all previous accomplishment and expectation. It was an unbelievable display, somewhat literally. And despite commissioner Rob Manfred’s denials and assurances, a growing faction of baseball fans are meeting the possibility of a more aerodynamic baseball with indifference bordering on pleasure. Home runs are fun, the increasingly common thinking declares. Why not be honest, and enjoy it?

I’m beginning to feel as though I’m the only one resisting the siren’s call of the dinger. Some of it is an apprehension born out of a political science background: trained to see patterns in human behavior, I can recognize a willful ignorance in the early steroid era that was later blamed on the media for perpetuating. The hangover, with its copious self-loathing, was not one I look forward to repeating. But there’s another element as well. The sport of baseball has often been mocked for its history, and the small-c conservatism that ties with it. But in light of change, particularly an inorganic, unexpected change, there is the potential for throwing the game, and those who rely on it, out of orbit.

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July 14, 2017 6:00 am

Notes from the Field: Eastern League All-Star Game

0

Erich Rothmann

Notes on the Eastern League All-Stars.

The Eastern League East All-Stars defeated the Eastern League West All-Stars 7-1 on Wednesday night in Manchester, New Hampshire. The West was up 1-0 heading into the bottom of the sixth before pitchers Jairo Labourt and Lucas Long combined to give up 7 runs. Here is a rundown of the game’s notable performers:

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