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02-22

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Transaction Analysis: The Old Blue and Gold
by
Bryan Grosnick

02-22

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Rumor Roundup: Blanket Approval
by
Emma Baccellieri

02-22

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Rubbing Mud: Carlos Martinez, Tunnels, and PECOTA
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-22

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Fantasy Players to Target: Starting Pitchers
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-22

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1

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 95
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

02-22

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Early ADP Analysis: Starting Pitchers
by
Matt Collins

02-21

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Tale of the Tape, Dynasty Edition: Jackie Bradley vs. Joc Pederson
by
Greg Wellemeyer

02-21

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1

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA's Breakout Bets: Hitters
by
Aaron Gleeman

02-21

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2

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Long-Term Outfielders
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-21

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8

Dynasty League Positional Rankings: The Top 125 Outfielders
by
Bret Sayre

02-21

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2

Cold Takes: Smoak on the Roster
by
Patrick Dubuque

02-21

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7

Baseball Therapy: Is Win Probability Broken?
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-21

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Notes from the Field: Cal State Fullerton v. Stanford
by
Wilson Karaman

02-20

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3

Fantasy Players to Avoid: Outfielders
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-20

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3

Prospectus Feature: Arbitration Clash
by
Jarrett Seidler

02-20

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8

Monday Morning Ten Pack: Candidates for Next Year's 101
by
BP Prospect Staff

02-20

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1

Rumor Roundup: Shooting for the Moon
by
Ashley Varela

02-20

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Deep, But Playable: Didi Gregorius, Power Hitter?
by
Craig Goldstein

02-20

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The -Only League Landscape: American League Outfielders
by
Mike Gianella

02-20

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9

Flu-Like Symptoms: Fit to be Tied
by
Rob Mains

02-18

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17

Polling Our Readers
by
Bret Sayre

02-18

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BP Mets
by
Jarrett Seidler

02-18

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BP Kansas City
by
Clark Fosler

02-18

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BP Boston
by
Brett Cowett

02-18

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BP South Side
by
Mark Primiano

02-17

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Player Profile: Keon Broxton
by
Wilson Karaman

02-17

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3

Rumor Roundup: Miami Rollercoaster
by
Demetrius Bell

02-17

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4

Fantasy Players to Target: Long-Term Outfielders
by
BP Fantasy Staff

02-17

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8

Dynasty League Positional Rankings Continued: Outfielders on the Ocean Floor
by
Wilson Karaman

02-17

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6

Players Prefer Presentation: Breaking Lind
by
Meg Rowley

02-17

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4

The View From Behind The Backstop: Gabriel Ynoa Transaction Analysis
by
Jeffrey Paternostro

02-17

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Player Profile: Odubel Herrera
by
Matt Collins

02-17

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6

Liner Notes: NRI Watch: American League
by
Bryan Grosnick

02-17

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8

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Outfielders, Part II
by
Greg Wellemeyer

02-16

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4

Tale of the Tape: Andrew Benintendi vs. Nomar Mazara
by
Mark Barry

02-16

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8

Flu-Like Symptoms: The Profitability Canard
by
Rob Mains

02-16

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Rubbing Mud: Corey Dickerson is Weird
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-16

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10

Banjo Hitter: PECOTA and the Twins, Sitting in a Tree
by
Aaron Gleeman

02-16

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7

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Outfielders, Part One
by
Greg Wellemeyer

02-16

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5

The Quinton: Stolen Bases, Scarcity, and Magnitude Effects
by
Jeff Quinton

02-16

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The -Only League Landscape: National League Outfielders
by
Scooter Hotz

02-15

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6

Rubbing Mud: A Day of Rest
by
Matthew Trueblood

02-15

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4

Baseball Therapy: Taking the Weirdness Out of Baseball
by
Russell A. Carleton

02-15

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2

The Adjuster: Outfielders
by
Eric Roseberry

02-15

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9

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part II
by
Mike Gianella

02-15

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3

Tale of the Tape: Jose Bautista vs. Michael Brantley
by
Bryan Joiner

02-15

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7

Get to Know: Outfield Prospects
by
Ben Carsley

02-15

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3

Liner Notes: NRI Watch: National League
by
Bryan Grosnick

02-15

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1

Rumor Roundup: Curse of the BP 101
by
Emma Baccellieri

02-15

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0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 94
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

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What if a hitter swung at literally every pitch he saw?

No batter should swing at every pitch they see. That would be preposterous. Relatively few batters should swing even half the time. For most guys, patience and plate discipline are hard-won, valuable skills, the backbone of a successful approach. It would be so cool, though, if we could find a player who should swing at everything.

Imagine such a player. He’d have to be so prone to strikeouts that he could trade any chance of walks for the extra hacks and chances to make contact. He’d also need to have good power, to make up for his inevitably tepid on-base percentage. He’d also have to be unbelievably good at hitting pitchers’ pitches, even ones pretty far outside the strike zone, and hitting them hard—or at least, he’d need to be close to as good at that as he was at hitting pitches within the traditional hitting zone.

Read the full article...

PECOTA projects Minnesota to improve by an MLB-high 21 games. How?

Every year around this time Baseball Prospectus releases the full slate of PECOTA projections for players and teams. And every year around this time those projections upset a handful of fan bases that feel disrespected or overlooked by the numbers that were crunched. Some fan bases are briefly annoyed and then brush it off, while others—and especially those like the Orioles and Royals who’ve been through this same dance with PECOTA several times before—take serious offense. Such is the life of a system designed to predict (or at least project) the future.

Read the full article...

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February 16, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Outfielders, Part One

7

Greg Wellemeyer

The top 40 outfielders based on their values from now through the end of the 2019 season.

In case you missed the infield positions, let’s get you caught up:

Fantasy Three-Year Projections: Catcher

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

February 16, 2017 6:00 am

The Quinton: Stolen Bases, Scarcity, and Magnitude Effects

5

Jeff Quinton

Helping you avoid fantasy pitfalls associated with the decrease in steals around the league in recent years.

Stolen bases and stolen base attempts are down over the past 10 years and are so particularly over the past five years. The graph below shows league-wide totals for stolen bases, caught stealing, and stolen base attempts from 2007 to 2016 by year.

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This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

February 16, 2017 6:00 am

The -Only League Landscape: National League Outfielders

0

Scooter Hotz

Examining the senior-circuit menu of fantasy options at this position.

You’re going to spend a lot of money in the outfield. Granted, a lot of that is because standard leagues have more outfielders than any other positions. That’s not the only reason, though. The defensive requirements are a little more flexible than they are in the infield, so the player pool is more diverse, including players as different as Billy Hamilton and Kyle Schwarber.

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Rubbing Mud: A Day of Rest

6

Matthew Trueblood

Fresher pitchers and faster games?

Word on the street is that Major League Baseball, in its infinite wisdom, and with its spotless track record of measured, smart reforms that anticipate the many possible consequences, is ready to make fairly radical changes to the game itself in the name of improving pace of play. Starting extra innings with a runner on second base is on the table. A change to the strike zone (specifically, a raising of it) is on the table. The four-toss intentional walk is all but doomed.

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Baseball Therapy: Taking the Weirdness Out of Baseball

4

Russell A. Carleton

One little (proposed) rule changes and so many side effects.

Let me begin by laying my cards on the table. I have a soft spot in my heart for post-apocalyptic survivalist fiction. What would happen if it were really the end of the world as we knew it and we didn’t feel fine? What would happen if all of the phones and lights and motorcars on which we have come to rely were taken away suddenly and we had to survive off the land, Gilligan’s Island style? Now, I’d never want to actually live that way, but it’s fun to torture the edges of anything, including our notions of civilization.

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

The Adjuster: Outfielders

2

Eric Roseberry

A look at how the players at this position fare in OBP and points formats.

Perhaps no position in fantasy baseball offers the kind of variety that the outfield does. There are a handful of elite options, veterans who offer safe production, prospects who bring the promise of yet unrealized upside, and plenty run-of-the-mill options to fill out your roster. That doesn’t even factor in the one or two skill specialists who can help bolster deficient categories on your team.

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Outfielders, Part II

9

Mike Gianella

Rounding out our rankings at this position with the three- thorugh one-star tiers.

To read the previous editions in this series, follow the links below:

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Tale of the Tape: Jose Bautista vs. Michael Brantley

3

Bryan Joiner

Which of these players should you choose for your fantasy outfield in drafts and auctions this spring?

Styles make fights, and Michael Brantley and Jose Bautista play the game in *extremely* different ways, making them a perfect Tale of the Tape matchup. If you were choosing between these guys in a vacuum, would you go with the fragile all-around stud in his prime, or the reliable, almost universally despised aging moonshot specialist? It’s not so easy to pick, but I’m here to help, should you need it.

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February 15, 2017 6:00 am

Get to Know: Outfield Prospects

7

Ben Carsley

A glimpse into the fantasy future out on the pastures.

Previous entries in this series

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Taking stock of the familiar veteran names, Quadruple-A standouts, and top prospects trying to earn Opening Day jobs in the National League.

It’s time. Trucks are on the move and pitchers and catchers report shortly, and that means it's time to prepare for spring training. Do you have the guts—and the free time—to familiarize yourself with all of the non-roster invitees? If not, don’t worry. Below we’ll quickly reviewing each team’s crop of NRIs, focusing on one noteworthy player. It could be because they’re likely to crack the 25-man roster or because they’re a top prospect or just because they’re a great story. Find out which minor move could be major in the National League (and check back later for the American League version).

Read the full article...

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