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09-27

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What You Need to Know: Dee Gordon and the Marlins Honor Jose Fernandez
by
Daniel Rathman

09-27

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1

Baseball Therapy: Bullpen Contagion
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-27

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Pitching Backward: What We Know About Spin Rate
by
Jeff Long

09-27

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2

Closer Report: Week 26
by
Matt Collins

09-27

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Expert FAAB Review: Week 26
by
Mike Gianella

09-27

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Prospectus Feature: The Joy of Adrian Beltre
by
Kate Morrison

09-27

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Flu-Like Symptoms: Giant Collapse
by
Rob Mains

09-27

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6

Liner Notes: Self-Sabotage Stars
by
Bryan Grosnick

09-27

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2

Notes from the Field: Cal League Wrap: The Hitters
by
Wilson Karaman

09-26

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The Prospectus Hit List: September 26, 2016
by
Matt Sussman

09-26

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Deep League Report: Week 26
by
Scooter Hotz

09-26

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7

Cold Takes: Steve Clevenger and the Media In Your Hand
by
Patrick Dubuque

09-26

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7

Prospectus Feature: The Comp-less Mike Trout
by
Henry Druschel

09-26

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Raising Aces: Gray Matter
by
Doug Thorburn

09-26

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1

What You Need to Know: How the West (and the East) Was Won
by
Ashley Varela

09-26

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Monday Morning Ten Pack: Positive Impressions
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-26

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7

Prospectus Feature: The Song of Jose Fernandez
by
Mauricio Rubio

09-23

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2

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 23
by
Matthew Kory

09-23

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What You Need to Know: All Mets'd Up
by
Nicolas Stellini

09-23

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The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25
by
Greg Wellemeyer

09-23

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7

Retrospectus
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-23

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2

Songs From The Chorus
by
Craig Goldstein, Bret Sayre and Ben Carsley

09-23

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18

Pebble Hunting: That's The Way I Like It And I'll Never Get Bored
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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2

PITCHf/ox: Episode 1: Pilot
by
Meg Rowley and Jarrett Seidler

09-22

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BP Boston
by
Matt Collins

09-22

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What You Need to Know: The Wild Card Wilters
by
Demetrius Bell

09-22

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6

Flu-Like Symptoms: A Matter of Luck, Pt. 2
by
Rob Mains

09-22

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Two-Strike Approach: Jonathan Lucroy, Willing Cog
by
Cat Garcia

09-22

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7

Pebble Hunting: The Great Big 'Beat PECOTA' Wrap
by
Sam Miller

09-22

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2

Players Prefer Presentation: Short-Season Baseball With A Third Deck
by
Meg Rowley

09-22

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The Call-Up: A Triplet of Padres
by
Christopher Crawford, Mauricio Rubio and Greg Wellemeyer

09-22

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3

Eyewitness Accounts: September 22, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-22

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2

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-22

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The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-22

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3

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-21

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16

An Agent's Take: On Tebow
by
Joshua Kusnick

09-21

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Prospect House: High Ceilings, Low Floors, Big Rooms
by
Mauricio Rubio

09-21

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2

Outta Left Field: Two Months In Hel
by
Dustin Palmateer

09-21

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3

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-21

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The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-21

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2

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-21

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Deep League Report: Week 25
by
Scooter Hotz

09-21

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Soft Toss: A Very Human Defense of the September Call-Ups
by
Brendan Gawlowski

09-21

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What You Need to Know: To Sin By Silence, When They Should Protest, Makes Cowards of Men
by
Emma Baccellieri

09-21

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4

Prospectus Feature: The Six Archetypes of Famous Baseball Men LinkedIn Profiles
by
Emma Baccellieri

09-20

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5

Cold Takes: Rickey, Unwritten Rules, and the 130
by
Patrick Dubuque

09-20

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Closer Report: Week 25
by
Matt Collins

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On being grateful for surprises.

Baseball Prospectus’ playoff odds have traditionally been based on 50,000 simulations of the season, but this year we wanted to say we did one million, so we did one million. Out of those one million simulations, we pretty much had the whole world of possibilities covered: We had a simulation where the A’s won 107 games, and one where the Cubs won 58. We had a simulation where the Phillies, Reds, Rockies, Padres, and Nationals are repping the NL in the playoffs. We had simulations where your favorite team won 100 games, where they lost 100 games, where they won the division by one, where they lost the division by one, where they’re playing a Game 163 to break a tie, where the manager got fired in mid-May, where the manager is the Manager of the Year, where they got the first pick in the draft and where they got to ride through your favorite team’s city’s downtown wearing t-shirts that refer to whatever obnoxious inside-meme carried them through a magical October run. We had seasons where that obnoxious meme was the nonsensical slogan Call The Cows Home, and where that obnoxious meme was a viral Vine of a breakdancing rabbit, and where that obnoxious meme was the team’s shared affection for The Great British Bake Off, and where that obnoxious meme was a fat suit that the catcher would wear during post-game interviews. We had seasons where they didn’t wear meme-displaying t-shirts in the parade, but meme-displaying coveralls. We had seasons where the parade was interrupted by a plague of locusts, and seasons where the parade was interrupted by a plague of cicadas. We had a lot of seasons.

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Does Pitch pay off?

Last night, Fox debuted its much-hyped new drama Pitch. The basic conceit of the show is well known: The San Diego Padres call up the first woman in Major League Baseball’s history. Screwballs are thrown, words are exchanged, lessons are learned. Since the show is about baseball, and will hopefully ask some interesting questions about the game, we figured we’d review it for as long as the baseball and the drama stay interesting.

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September 22, 2016 10:58 am

BP Boston

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Matt Collins

As the Red Sox prepare to clinch the AL East crown, their shortstop's slump looms large in their October outlook.

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While the division races get clear, the wild card race is left to the losers, and more from Wednesday's action.

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The luckiest and unluckiest teams of the year and the era.

In my last article, I introduced a Luck Index, a Franken-stat that combines team record in one-run games, pitchers’ strand rate, batting with runners in scoring position, and strength of schedule to derive a measure of luck. It’s centered around a Luck Index of zero with a standard deviation of 25.

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The Rangers added a star catcher at the trade deadline, but Lucroy just wants to help out however he can. He has!

At the trade deadline on August 1, after all the drama--the trade to the Indians, the undone trade to the Indians, the rumors as the deadline approached—Jonathan Lucroy sat in the parking lot at O’Hare International Airport and received final confirmation from his agent that he was joining something that he’d wished for for a long time: a winning team.

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The results of our preseason experiment in expectations and perception.

Earlier this year, we released PECOTA projections for every major-league baseball player, and then I asked you to beat those projections. The instructions were simple: Find players you thought PECOTA was too optimistic on, and bet the under; find players you thought PECOTA was too pessimistic on, and bet the over. We called it a game and I promised to learn something from it. Here we are nearing the end of the season, so I’ll fulfill my obligation presently.

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The Everett AquaSox played at Safeco Field, as two brands of baseball displayed an unusual Venn diagram.

It happened because sometimes in Everett it rains in September, and the night Game One of the Northwest League’s Northern Division title series was supposed to be played was one of those sometimes. The AquaSox couldn’t play the Spokane Indians as scheduled. Instead, they met on a home field, of sorts, a few days later, skipping southward and forward in time to play at Safeco on a cool Friday evening. And it was baseball, just not baseball as I was used to seeing it there.

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September 22, 2016 6:00 am

The Call-Up: A Triplet of Padres

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Christopher Crawford, Mauricio Rubio and Greg Wellemeyer

A breakdown of Hunter Renfroe, Manuel Margot, and Carlos Asuaje.

The Situation: With El Paso wrapping up a championship season, the Padres have called up three of their top prospects to get a taste of the majors.

Hunter Renfroe
Scouting Report: Renfroe was the Padres first-round pick out of Mississippi State in 2013, and though there have been some peaks and valleys, for the most part he's looked the part of one of the best corner outfield prospects in baseball. The weakest tool at his disposal is likely the hit: he's an aggressive hitter with some length to his swing, and you can mark him down for some 100-plus strikeout seasons if he's a regular. That being said, he does have quality bat speed, and he will go the other way, so a 50—or possibly even a tick above—grade isn't out of the question. There's no question about his power, as there's natural loft in his right-handed stroke, and he is strong enough to take the ball out to any part of the park. Even in Petco Park, 25-30 homer seasons are not out of the realm of possibility, if he sees enough quality pitches to allow that to happen.


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Eyes on Anderson Espinoza, Josh Morgan, Jairo Beras, and more.

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September 22, 2016 6:00 am

The Best of Sam Miller

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Sam Miller

As you get older it is harder to have heroes, but it is sort of necessary.

With our dear Editor-in-Chief leaving Baseball Prospectus for his next chapter, we wanted to highlight some of our favorite chapters of his career here. There's an incredible number of timeless Sam Miller articles to choose from, but we whittled it down enough to not break the internet. This article originally ran on May 16, 2016.

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