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09-30

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2

The Prospectus Hit List: September 30, 2016
by
Matthew Kory

09-30

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1

Expert League Recap
by
Mike Gianella

09-30

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0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Tom Hitchner

09-30

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0

BP Bronx
by
Austin Yamada

09-30

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1

What You Need to Know: Theoretical Replay and Sister Kissing
by
Nicolas Stellini

09-30

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13

Some Projection Left: No Projection Left
by
Christopher Crawford

09-30

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0

Transaction Analysis: Good Infielders, Past and Present
by
Bryan Grosnick

09-30

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0

PITCHf/ox: The Interim
by
Meg Rowley and Jarrett Seidler

09-29

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0

Fantasy Freestyle: Five Short-Season Hitters to Watch
by
Wilson Karaman

09-29

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6

Players Prefer Presentation: Jose Fernandez and Our Year of Magical Thinking
by
Meg Rowley

09-29

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2

Transaction Analysis: Cubs Extend Theo and The Gang
by
Rian Watt

09-29

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1

An Agent's Take: Watching a Client Debut
by
Joshua Kusnick

09-29

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0

Eyewitness Accounts: September 29, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-29

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1

What You Need to Know: Cycles and Walk-Offs
by
Demetrius Bell

09-28

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1

What You Need to Know: The Dozens
by
Emma Baccellieri

09-28

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0

Team Chemistry: Fast Pitch Follow-Up
by
John Choiniere

09-28

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5

Banjo Hitter: The Derek Falvey Era
by
Aaron Gleeman

09-28

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1

Rubbing Mud: The Miami Ferns
by
Matthew Trueblood

09-28

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1

Two-Strike Approach: Loving and Learning From Jose Fernandez
by
Cat Garcia

09-28

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4

Some Projection Left: 7 Make-or-Break Seasons for 2017
by
Christopher Crawford

09-27

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0

What You Need to Know: Dee Gordon and the Marlins Honor Jose Fernandez
by
Daniel Rathman

09-27

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2

Baseball Therapy: Bullpen Contagion
by
Russell A. Carleton

09-27

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0

Pitching Backward: What We Know About Spin Rate
by
Jeff Long

09-27

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2

Closer Report: Week 26
by
Matt Collins

09-27

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0

Expert FAAB Review: Week 26
by
Mike Gianella

09-27

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1

Prospectus Feature: The Joy of Adrian Beltre
by
Kate Morrison

09-27

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2

Flu-Like Symptoms: Giant Collapse
by
Rob Mains

09-27

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6

Liner Notes: Self-Sabotage Stars
by
Bryan Grosnick

09-27

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2

Notes from the Field: Cal League Wrap: The Hitters
by
Wilson Karaman

09-26

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1

The Prospectus Hit List: September 26, 2016
by
Matt Sussman

09-26

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0

Deep League Report: Week 26
by
Scooter Hotz

09-26

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8

Cold Takes: Steve Clevenger and the Media In Your Hand
by
Patrick Dubuque

09-26

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7

Prospectus Feature: The Comp-less Mike Trout
by
Henry Druschel

09-26

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0

Raising Aces: Gray Matter
by
Doug Thorburn

09-26

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1

What You Need to Know: How the West (and the East) Was Won
by
Ashley Varela

09-26

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0

Monday Morning Ten Pack: Positive Impressions
by
BP Prospect Staff

09-26

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7

Prospectus Feature: The Song of Jose Fernandez
by
Mauricio Rubio

09-23

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2

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 23
by
Matthew Kory

09-23

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0

What You Need to Know: All Mets'd Up
by
Nicolas Stellini

09-23

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0

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

The Best of Sam Miller
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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1

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 25
by
Greg Wellemeyer

09-23

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7

Retrospectus
by
Ben Lindbergh

09-23

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2

Songs From The Chorus
by
Craig Goldstein, Bret Sayre and Ben Carsley

09-23

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18

Pebble Hunting: That's The Way I Like It And I'll Never Get Bored
by
Sam Miller

09-23

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2

PITCHf/ox: Episode 1: Pilot
by
Meg Rowley and Jarrett Seidler

09-22

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0

BP Boston
by
Matt Collins

09-22

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0

What You Need to Know: The Wild Card Wilters
by
Demetrius Bell

09-22

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6

Flu-Like Symptoms: A Matter of Luck, Pt. 2
by
Rob Mains

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Does an ugly blown save hurt a bullpen long after that game is lost?

It’s been a tough September in San Francisco. That even-year magic that should have been carrying the Giants to their fourth World Series title in the last seven years seems to have left AT&T Park (our own Rob Mains has all the gory details).

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Diving into the treasure trove of data finds as many questions as answers.

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September 27, 2016 6:00 am

Closer Report: Week 26

2

Matt Collins

Surveying the ninth-inning situations around the league for the final time in 2016.

Welcome to the final regular season edition of the Closer Report for the 2016 season. Once again, it was a fun year for relievers, albeit incredibly frustrating at times. I’ll try to do a recap of the year in closers soon, but there are still some fantasy teams fighting for their season, whether it be in the playoffs or in roto. This one is for all of you, because even with just a week to go in the regular season there is still somehow some news. The Closer Carousel never ends.

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September 27, 2016 6:00 am

Expert FAAB Review: Week 26

0

Mike Gianella

A look at how the wise guys spent their money in expert leagues ahead of the final week.

Welcome to The FAAB Review, the series that looks at the expert bidding in LABR mixed, Tout Wars NL, and Tout Wars AL every week in an effort to try and help you, the Baseball Prospectus reader, with your fantasy baseball bidding needs. Bret Sayre and I participate in LABR Mixed while I have a team in Tout Wars NL, so I can provide some insight on the bids and the reasoning behind them. LABR uses a $100 budget with one-dollar minimum bids, while the Tout Wars leagues use a $1,000 budget with zero-dollar minimum bids. I will also be including Bret’s winning bids in Tout Wars mixed auction league where applicable.

LABR and Tout Wars both use a bidding deadline of Sunday at midnight ET.

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September 27, 2016 6:00 am

Notes from the Field: Cal League Wrap: The Hitters

2

Wilson Karaman

The best bats from the Cal League, all in one place.

It was a notably weaker year for top-shelf prospects in the California League this season, with a whopping 30 combined games from Kyle Tucker, Yohander Mendez, and Luis Ortiz representing the sum total of contributions by prospects that cracked our Mid-Season Top 50. The season also ended under a cloud of bummerness, with the news that two franchises—including eventual champions High Desert—would contract at season’s end. Two of the stronger systems of recent vintage in the circuit, those belonging to the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, have been confirmed as future transplants to the Carolina League, and rumblings that the Colorado Rockies may join the exodus have been percolating as well. Boo.

The good news: what the league lacked in elite pedigree it made up with quality play from a reasonably large middle class of players with future big-league potential. I’ve written about dozens of them along the way this season, and you can access all of my Eyewitness Reports, as well as a link to my full scouting database, at the bottom of this article.

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With one week left, the Hit List marches on.

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September 26, 2016 10:49 am

Deep League Report: Week 26

0

Scooter Hotz

Examining players who might pique your interest in deeper formats.

Lots of teams have clinched or are close to clinching, which means the backups on those teams will get more playing time than usual while the starters get some rest before the grind of the playoffs begins. Similarly, lots of teams have been eliminated from playoff contention or are close to it, which means that younger players will get a little more playing time as teams set their sights on 2017 and beyond. It’s the last week of the season. Let’s get this Deep League Report rolling.

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Steve Clevenger's tweets got him suspended by the Mariners, but the issue runs deeper than one backup catcher.

The Mariners' Social Media Night was set in a Spartan venue: seven tall chairs arranged against the outside wall of the stadium, with the faded brick of Pioneer Square and a single American flag as the backdrop. The gray concrete combined with a mixture of wind and crowd noise to give the event a strangely somber air considering the nature of the proceedings. Somewhere around 50 fans, clutching free t-shirts and sipping complimentary beverages, clapped as members of the social media team, local press, and players took turns talking about their social media experiences.

Mariners general manager Jerry Dipoto arrived and took the microphone, and the natural question arose: do you have an overarching policy for how players should behave on social media?

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What happens when a player is so good so young that there are no better versions against which to compare him?

Mike Trout is unique. The meaning of that word has expanded somewhat, so that it can mean either a) generically special or b) truly one-of-a-kind, without peer or comparison. Mike Trout is the latter definition.

Trout is closing out his age-24 season--his sixth year as a major leaguer and his fifth as a full-timer--and in doing so, is closing out the best stretch of baseball by a young player, ever. Not in the modern era, or with any other qualifiers attached, by but any player. During his time in the majors, he’s accumulated 48.3 WAR by Baseball Reference’s version of the metric, more than a win greater than Ty Cobb’s 46.7 in second place and nearly a full season above Mickey Mantle’s 40.9 in third.

WARP only extends back to 1950, but Trout’s 46.6 WARP is in first place among players in that period, leading Mantle by nearly four wins. And, just for completeness, Trout also leads using FanGraphs’ fWAR, with 47.4 to Cobb’s 47.2. Nor is it only a matter of playing time; to find a player with a higher WARP per plate appearance, you need to drop the minimum PA threshold to about half a season’s worth. By basically every measure we have, Mike Trout is the best player through age 24 baseball has ever seen.

If you Google “Mike Trout Mickey Mantle” you can see a real progression over time.

From 2014: "Trout Not Quite in Mantle’s League"; "Mike Trout: The Next Mickey Mantle… or Vada Pinson?"

From 2015: "Mike Trout looking like modern Mickey Mantle"; "Mike Trout vs. Mickey Mantle"

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September 26, 2016 6:00 am

Raising Aces: Gray Matter

0

Doug Thorburn

The Rockies may have finally found what they've been looking for.

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Three teams clinch division titles, Clayton Kershaw throws his fastest pitch of 2016, and the rest of the weekend action.

The Weekend Takeaway

There are a few narratives worth delving into this weekend. Divisions were won; walk-offs were celebrated, champagne bottles were popped. Bryce Harper wore Olympic swimmer Katie Ledecky’s swim cap. Vin Scully spent his last few hours quipping in the Dodgers’ broadcast booth, his last weekend announcing a Dodgers home series, ever.

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September 26, 2016 6:00 am

Monday Morning Ten Pack: Positive Impressions

0

BP Prospect Staff

Notes on Mike Soroka, Alec Hansen, Magneuris Sierra, and more.

Mike Soroka, RHP, Atlanta Braves (Low-A Rome)
Perhaps calling Soroka a “positive surprise” is slightly misleading. After all, he was drafted 28th overall last year. First-round picks often succeed. It’s why they’re first-round picks.

But Soroka wasn’t exactly lighting up public draft boards in early June 2015. He was seen by many as a potential high-round pick, but 28th overall seemed like a bit of a surprise, at least to me. Leave it to the Braves to find the pitching talent.


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