CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe

BP Articles 

Search BP Articles

All Blogs (including podcasts)

Active Columns

Authors

Article Types

Archives

07-23

comment icon

0

Raising Aces: Warm It Up, Chris
by
Doug Thorburn

07-23

comment icon

0

BP Wrigleyville
by
Kazuto Yamazaki

07-23

comment icon

0

BP South Side
by
James Fegan

07-23

comment icon

0

BP Toronto
by
Nick Dika

07-23

comment icon

9

Prospectus Feature: Nine Things We Would Change About Major-League Baseball
by
Brendan Gawlowski

07-22

comment icon

0

BP Bronx
by
Ben Diamond

07-22

comment icon

1

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, July 22nd
by
Wilson Karaman

07-22

comment icon

0

Fantasy Freestyle: Yasiel Puig's Missing Pop
by
Wilson Karaman

07-22

comment icon

0

What You Need to Know: Ambition Can Lead Only To Failure
by
Nicolas Stellini

07-22

comment icon

0

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, July 22
by
Matthew Kory

07-22

comment icon

5

Free Agent Watch: Week 17
by
George Bissell and J.J. Jansons

07-22

comment icon

13

The GM Trade Game!
by
Sam Miller and BP Staff

07-22

comment icon

0

Weekly Wrap: July 22, 2016
by
Will Haines

07-22

comment icon

0

Prospectus Feature: DRA 2016: Challenging the Citadel of DIPS
by
Jonathan Judge

07-22

comment icon

1

The View From Behind The Backstop: This Is All Arbitrary, Isn't It?
by
Jeffrey Paternostro

07-22

comment icon

3

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 16
by
Greg Wellemeyer

07-22

comment icon

1

Prospectus Feature: Good Deal?
by
Trevor Strunk

07-21

comment icon

0

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 89
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

07-21

comment icon

6

The Stash List: 16th Edition, 2016
by
J.J. Jansons

07-21

comment icon

0

BP Boston
by
Matt Collins

07-21

comment icon

4

Transaction Analysis: The Legend of Vogelbach, Now In Seattle
by
Christopher Crawford, Rian Watt and Brendan Gawlowski

07-21

comment icon

1

What You Need to Know: Seattle's Got A Neat Trick
by
Demetrius Bell

07-21

comment icon

0

Prospectus Feature: The Players Who Are Just Dying To Be Traded
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-21

comment icon

3

Potential Impact Call-Ups: Pitchers
by
J.P. Breen

07-21

comment icon

3

Eyewitness Accounts: July 21, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-21

comment icon

5

Some Projection Left: Prospect-For-Prospect Trades, Or Baseball's Fourth Wall
by
Christopher Crawford

07-21

comment icon

4

Rubbing Mud: Why the Yankees Should Sell Hard
by
Matthew Trueblood

07-21

comment icon

3

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 20th
by
Christopher Crawford

07-20

comment icon

0

BP Milwaukee
by
Seth Victor

07-20

comment icon

0

What You Need to Know: Fret No More
by
Daniel Rathman

07-20

comment icon

0

TDGX Transactions: Let's Talk About Yulieski Gurriel
by
George Bissell

07-20

comment icon

1

Team Chemistry: Fringe Effects on Called Strikes
by
John Choiniere

07-20

comment icon

3

Notes from the Field: Eastern League ASG, Eastern Division
by
Grant Jones and Adam McInturff

07-20

comment icon

2

Transaction Analysis: Where Does Yuliesky Gurriel Fit?
by
Bryan Grosnick

07-20

comment icon

0

The Quinton: Is There a Best Day (of the Week) to Trade?
by
Jeff Quinton

07-20

comment icon

5

Two-Strike Approach: How Good Is Cleveland?
by
Cat Garcia

07-20

comment icon

2

Life at the Margins: Seager See, Seager Do
by
Rian Watt

07-20

comment icon

5

Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, July 19th
by
Mark Anderson

07-19

comment icon

1

What You Need to Know: J-Fer Effort
by
Emma Baccellieri

07-19

comment icon

0

BP Bronx
by
Kenny Ducey

07-19

comment icon

1

Cold Takes: Catches Up With You?
by
Patrick Dubuque

07-19

comment icon

5

Prospectus Feature: Twin Killing
by
Aaron Gleeman

07-19

comment icon

0

Notes from the Field: Eastern League ASG, Western Division
by
Grant Jones and Adam McInturff

07-19

comment icon

1

Notes from the Field: July 19, 2016
by
BP Prospect Staff

07-19

comment icon

4

Closer Report: Week 16
by
Matt Collins

07-19

comment icon

2

Expert FAAB Review: Week 16
by
Mike Gianella

07-19

comment icon

7

Minor League Update: Games of Monday, July 18th
by
Christopher Crawford

07-19

comment icon

4

Baseball Therapy: The Pink Elephant Effect
by
Russell A. Carleton

07-18

comment icon

0

The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, July 18
by
Matt Sussman

07-18

comment icon

2

The Call-Up: Reynaldo Lopez
by
Christopher Crawford, Adam McInturff and Scooter Hotz

<< Previous Article Entries Next Article Entries >>

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

July 21, 2016 6:00 am

Eyewitness Accounts: July 21, 2016

3

BP Prospect Staff

Eyes on J.P. Crawford, Jesse Winker, Felix Jorge and more.

Rogelio Armenteros

The rest of this article is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber?

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or use the buttons to the right to subscribe and get access to the best baseball content on the web.


Cancel anytime.


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!


That's a 33% savings over the monthly price!

Already a subscriber? Click here and use the blue login bar to log in.

These trades don't and wouldn't happen. But what if they could?

Prospect-for-prospect trades fascinate me. They aren’t common, which makes them all the more fascinating, like a rare comet or a good Ben Stiller movie. They often are “challenge” trades; deals where a team essentially says that they believe in the guy in your system more than you do, and they’re willing to give you something in their system to prove it.

Read the full article...

The 2019 World Series might just hinge on what the Yankees do in the next 11 days.

The Yankees have won three games in a row, but they can’t fool us. They’re still no better than the third-best team in their division, and our Playoff Odds Report gives them a seven percent chance of reaching at least the Wild Card Game. There’s no question that this team needs to sell at the deadline, and the charade the team’s front office and ownership group are conducting through the tabloids in New York is just that. They’ll trade Carlos Beltran and Aroldis Chapman this month. It’s just a matter of time.

For my money, though, the team shouldn’t stop there. Andrew Miller is the hottest name on the trade market, but only because it’s so non-controversial to suggest that an elite relief pitcher on a bad team be traded. The Yankees should trade Miller, but they shouldn’t stop there, either. The next good Yankees team, at this moment, is three or four years away. The market is shaping up perfectly, though, to allow Brian Cashman to shorten that term of mediocrity, to push the pedal to the floor and speed his team back to the brink of contention—with an organization full of young talent, this time.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

July 21, 2016 6:00 am

Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, July 20th

3

Christopher Crawford

Notes on prospects who stood out yesterday, including Yadier Alvarez, Engelb Vielma, Austin Gomber, and Christin Stewart.

Prospect of the Day: Yadier Alvarez, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers (Single-A Great Lakes): 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 10 K.
Alvarez showed he was way too advanced to be facing AZL pitching and earned a promotion to the Midwest League. He’s probably too advanced to be here, too. Alvarez has an easy 80 fastball that will touch triple-digits with life, and he’s showing a plus slider at times to give hitters from both sides of the plate fits. The command still has a long way to go and there’s some effort here that may make him a reliever long term, but outside of Julio Urias, he has the highest upside of any arm in the Dodgers system.

Others of Note:


The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

July 20, 2016 12:20 pm

BP Milwaukee

0

Seth Victor

Should the Brewers' rebuild include trying to find a taker for Ryan Braun's big bat and bigger contract?

Paste post text here

Read the full article...

This is a BP Premium article. To read it, sign up for Premium today!

July 20, 2016 9:48 am

What You Need to Know: Fret No More

0

Daniel Rathman

Jake Arrieta and Noah Syndergaard look like themselves again, Chase Headley keeps building his trade value, and Blake Snell is effectively wild at Coors.

The Tuesday Takeaway

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 20, 2016 6:00 am

TDGX Transactions: Let's Talk About Yulieski Gurriel

0

George Bissell

A look at the moves made by the experts in the TDGX dynasty league this week.

Welcome back to the latest installment of TDGX Transactions, BP’s weekly series providing fantasy owners with an inside look at The Dynasty Guru Experts League (TDGX), a 20-team (40-man roster) 5x5 rotisserie dynasty league. It is the literal embodiment of the phrase “deep dynasty.” It’s also populated by some of the most talented fantasy baseball analysts and competitors on the planet. In addition to taking an in-depth look at each week’s TDGX free agent acquisitions ($100 FAAB budget per team with zero dollar bids allowed) we will also break down every major trade, with perspectives from both sides of the deal.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Wondering whether release point effects the likelihood of getting a favorable (or unfavorable) call, and so on.

Seventeen inches across, from the “hollow of the knee” to the midpoint between the belt line and the shoulder. Despite the potential ambiguity introduced in setting the lower boundary at something called a “hollow,” the rulebook strike zone is a fairly straightforward thing. Fans of the game know, though, that the defined zone doesn’t always have that much to do with the zone as called. Lefty hitters have a different effective zone than righties; it’s easier to get a called strike on 3-0 than on 0-2; the effective zone has been expanding downward for years now. Every season sees calls for #RobotUmpsNow; there are countless Twitter bots posting information about whether a particular strike/ball call helps or hurt a team of interest. Thinking about the strike zone in preparation for this article has lead me to sympathize a lot with BP E-I-C Sam Miller’s proposed definition of a strike: “A ball, delivered by the pitcher while standing wholly within the lines of his position and facing the batsman, that, so delivered, is determined by the umpire to be a fair pitch.” Still, I don’t think the game is all that close to adopting Sam’s idea, so we’re left to try to evaluate the strike zone as best as we can.

The current model for called strikes here at BP produces a stat called Called Strikes Above Average. It’s built from a mixed model that accounts for, among other things, the pitcher, umpire, batter, and current score. CSAA, in turn, builds upon called strike probability, estimated from a proprietary PitchInfo model that reflects PI’s pitch classifications and adjusted PITCHf/x data. With that in mind, I set out to find an answer to a very specific question: All else being equal (pitch type, amount of movement, etc.), does a pitcher’s release point have an effect on whether a pitch is called a strike? In researching the topic, I found that yes, it does (though minimally); I also found that pitch type continues to play a role in the “above average” part of the equation (so to speak), even after being accounted for in the initial calculation.

Read the full article...

It's the East of the East. Like that Jean-Claude Van Damme movie except about baseball. Sort of.

Last week the Eastern League held its all-star game, and Adam McInturff and Grant Jones were there to take in the festivities. Below are their notes on some of the most prominent stars from the Eastern Division. In case you missed it, they wrote about the best of the West yesterday, and you can find that piece here.

Jorge Alfaro, C, Philadelphia Phillies (Reading)

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

Michael Conforto returns to New York, Justin Smoak stays in Toronto, and Yuliesky Gurriel might be an odd fit in Houston.

Read the full article...

This is a BP Fantasy article. To read it, sign up today!

July 20, 2016 6:00 am

The Quinton: Is There a Best Day (of the Week) to Trade?

0

Jeff Quinton

Why most barters occur on the day weekly transactions are processed, and how to take advantage of such trends.

Fantasy baseball trades, as we have discussed previously, tend to happen at certain times. They happen after the last of the big free agents sign in the offseason, right before the keeper deadline, and right before the league’s trading deadline. More than anything though, at least in the leagues in which I participate, trades happen on the day of weekly transaction. For many leagues, this day is Sunday. These days, especially at this time of the year in leagues with active trade markets, are fun days. If we’re lucky, the messages, emails, and texts are flying as we see what is out there and try to improve our team.

The remainder of this post cannot be viewed at this subscription level. Please click here to subscribe.

The Indians head into the trade deadline in first place, but are they really capable of running with the best teams in this year's playoffs?

In 1999, the world was anticipating the Y2K bug, Rachel and Ross had just (accidentally) married, and Enema of the State and The Slim Shady LP were selling millions of records against the backdrop of Napster’s ascent.

Read the full article...

<< Previous Article Entries Next Article Entries >>