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03-31

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3

My Model Portfolio: Stars, Scrubs, and High-End Starters
by
Nick Shlain

03-31

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9

Prospectus Feature: All Spin Is Not Alike
by
Alan M. Nathan

03-31

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7

Closer Report: Week One
by
Matt Collins

03-31

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0

My Model Portfolio: Framing Decisions Around Value
by
Jeff Quinton

03-31

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3

Every Team's Moneyball: Texas Rangers: Shortstop Depth
by
Kate Morrison

03-31

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5

Dynasty Dynamics: TINO Does Arizona, 2015
by
Ben Carsley and Craig Goldstein

03-31

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5

Every Team's Moneyball: Atlanta Braves: Shortstop Instincts
by
R.J. Anderson

03-31

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10

Baseball Therapy: The Most Important Player on the Field
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-31

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47

Pebble Hunting: The Case For Shaming the Cubs
by
Sam Miller

03-30

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5

League Preview Series
by
Craig Goldstein

03-30

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6

Fantasy Freestyle: Shadow Auctioneering
by
Mike Gianella

03-30

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7

The Darkhorses: Batting Average and Home Runs
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-30

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1

The Buyer's Guide: Adam Lind
by
J.P. Breen

03-30

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4

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: National League Players to Monitor
by
Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

03-30

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Philadelphia Phillies: Changing Habits
by
Christopher Crawford

03-30

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8

Every Team's Moneyball: Toronto Blue Jays: I Gotta Sell High, All The Time
by
Chris Mosch

03-30

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0

The Week in Quotes: March 23-29, 2015
by
Chris Mosch and Nick Wheatley-Schaller

03-27

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8

Raising Aces: Pitching Trident: Uppers
by
Doug Thorburn

03-27

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Arizona Diamondbacks: Hidden Snakes
by
Sam Miller

03-27

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8

Pitching Backward: Why Relievers Get A Free Pass
by
Jeff Long

03-27

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7

Every Team's Moneyball: Minnesota Twins: Rebuilding in Plain View
by
Ken Funck

03-27

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0

Skewed Left: History Repeats Itself
by
Zachary Levine

03-27

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7

League Preview Series
by
Jeff Moore

03-27

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5

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP
by
Wilson Karaman

03-27

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3

League Preview Series
by
Jordan Gorosh

03-27

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4

Prospectus Feature: How the Astros do Spring Training
by
Howard Megdal

03-27

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7

The Darkhorses: Steals and Saves
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-27

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3

Spring Training Notebook: Cactus League
by
BP Prospect Staff

03-26

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4

Daisy Cutter: Pedroia Got His Thumb Back, But Don't Call it a Comeback
by
Sahadev Sharma

03-26

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4

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars: General Impressions
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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3

Spring Training Notebook: Grapefruit League
by
Jeff Moore and Chris King

03-26

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9

Fantasy Auction Values: Third Edition, 2015
by
Mike Gianella

03-26

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7

The Quinton: Draft Setting and the Wisdom of our Competition
by
Jeff Quinton

03-26

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4

Fantasy Freestyle: Endgame Picks
by
Nick Shlain

03-26

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11

Player Profile: Jedd Gyorko
by
Keith Cromer

03-26

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Baltimore Orioles: Unearth
by
Jeff Long

03-26

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33

Some Projection Left: Top 50 Draft Prospects [With Aiken Update]
by
Christopher Crawford

03-26

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0

Every Team's Moneyball: Miami Marlins: Haste
by
Brendan Gawlowski

03-26

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6

Transaction Analysis: It's Olivera Now, Baby Blue
by
R.J. Anderson

03-25

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8

Rumor Roundup: The Diamondbacks' Shortstop Decision Will Affect 2B, 3B, and Perhaps All Three OF Positions
by
Daniel Rathman

03-25

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7

Tout Wars X
by
Bret Sayre

03-25

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4

Painting the Black: Getting Personal
by
R.J. Anderson

03-25

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2

Every Team's Moneyball: Milwaukee Brewers: Nay Handedness!
by
Matthew Trueblood

03-25

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10

The Lineup Card: Eight Spring Training Lines of Interest
by
Baseball Prospectus

03-25

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8

Baseball Therapy: On the High Five
by
Russell A. Carleton

03-25

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14

The Darkhorses: ERA and WHIP
by
BP Fantasy Staff

03-25

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0

Every Team's Moneyball: Cleveland Indians: Yay Handedness!
by
Nick Wheatley-Schaller

03-25

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7

Five to Watch: National League Position Battles
by
Wilson Karaman

03-25

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19

Moonshot: If We Can Land a Man on the Moon, Surely I Can Get Good Data
by
Robert Arthur

03-25

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10

Every Team's Moneyball: Seattle Mariners: Top of the (Free Agent) Market to You!
by
Russell A. Carleton

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March 30, 2015 6:00 am

The Buyer's Guide: Adam Lind

1

J.P. Breen

Is a bit year in store for the ex-Jay as he takes over at first base in Milwaukee?

Fantasy baseball owners are hardwired to pursue value. It’s not always about grabbing the best player at a given position, but rather identifying several players who are undervalued by the community and spending less to acquire more. That way, the banked money can be utilized in other areas to create the best possible squad.

When acquiring high-end players, value isn’t always paramount. In auctions, if you’re unwilling to spend the extra $5-10 on an elite player, you’ll be stuck with extra money in the end and a roster devoid of impact talent. Similarly, in snake drafts, the first couple of rounds are more about acquiring “safe” production among the elite, rather than absolute talent—which is why someone like Troy Tulowitzki is a back-end option in the first round, when his talent is clearly top five.

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March 30, 2015 6:00 am

TTO Scoresheet Podcast: National League Players to Monitor

4

Ian Lefkowitz, Ben Murphy and Jared Weiss

The Outcomes spotlight one player from each team whose value could change between now and May.

We’re just as excited as anyone that Opening Day is fast approaching, but we also want to be careful not to overrate its importance for Scoresheet. There’s no guarantee that a player who makes the roster for day one will stick around come May. So here, we list a player we’ll be monitoring on each NL team (we went through the AL last week). Some of these guys are in position battles that potentially won’t be resolved for months. Others are finally getting an opportunity for consistent playing time. And a third group need to find that final gear to achieve (Scoresheet) stardom. Or at least be worthy of a keeper slot.

Arizona Diamondbacks: Jake Lamb

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How the Phillies stopped drafting risky athletes in favor of high-floor baseball skills.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the drafting philosophies of the Phillies and Blue Jays.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Mets | Yankees

Read the full article...

How Alex Anthopolous drafts and deals high-upside prospects before they get a chance to bust.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the drafting philosophies of the Phillies and Blue Jays.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Mets | Yankees

Read the full article...

Running through the notable quotes from the week that was.

Potential international draft continues to draw splitting opinions

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March 27, 2015 7:46 am

Raising Aces: Pitching Trident: Uppers

8

Doug Thorburn

The author takes a look at pitchers he has ranked higher than their average draft position.

I like to take a three-pronged approach to pitcher evaluation, following the process-outcome train through stations of mechanics, stuff, and stats. The numbers steal the focus during fantasy draft season, but my personal rankings are heavily influenced by the other two prongs of the trident. Mechanics will sway me (big surprise), but a pitcher's delivery typically needs to be paired with great stuff to cause a real boost in the ranks, and sometimes a pitcher is one small piece away from making that next leap in performance.

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How the Diamondbacks scout the quiet independent leagues.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the mainstream fundamentals of the Twins, versus the hipster indie-ball scouting of the Diamondbacks.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Mets | Yankees

Read the full article...

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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Pitching Backward: Why Relievers Get A Free Pass

8

Jeff Long

Or: How Was Carlos Marmol?

The other day a reader posted a question in Sam’s chat about an interesting observation the reader had made:

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How the Twins stick to the fundamentals of drafting and player development.

Every day until Opening Day, Baseball Prospectus authors will preview two teams—one from the AL, one from the NL—identifying strategies those teams employ to gain an advantage. Today: the mainstream fundamentals of the Twins, versus the hipster indie-ball scouting of the Diamondbacks.

Week 1 previews: Giants | Royals | Dodgers | Rays | Padres | Astros | Rockies | Athletics | Mets | Yankees

Read the full article...

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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Skewed Left: History Repeats Itself

0

Zachary Levine

An offseason filled with sugestions of change following another year of stifled offense brings about a familiar feeling.

What’s troubling baseball, though, is a fear: People may admire good pitching, but how long will they pay to see it?Joseph Durso, The New York Times, May 1968

Managers have come up with new strategic concepts. The main difference is that they now platoon their pitchers... Fresh pitchers keep streaming in. Once upon a time a hitter could adjust to a pitcher after he’d come to bat a couple of times and the pitcher was beginning to tire. Now they get no chance to tire and the hitter has no opportunity to adjust. The game has become one-sided. –Former Yankees All-Star shortstop Tony Kubek, July 1968

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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

League Preview Series

7

Jeff Moore

We continue our league preview series with a breakdown of every team in the Florida State League.

It was a down year for the Florida State League last year, at least in terms of big name prospects. Even most of the well-known prospects that saw action in the complex-based, sunshine-drenched conference received promotions midseason and were not replaced with as much vigor by their Low-A counterparts.

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March 27, 2015 6:00 am

Fantasy Freestyle: BP Rankings vs. ADP

5

Wilson Karaman

Comparing when the fantasy staff would advise you to take players to when they're actually being selected.

This article took shape thanks to the comments and suggestions of BP readers Tuck and TroJim. The former noted that a column elaborating on some of the larger discrepancies between Mike Gianella’s Top 300 list and current ADP numbers might be a helpful exercise in helping drafters determine value, and I agree. And then in a response to questions about the utility of our Darkhorses series focusing on generally known and highly drafted players, TroJim made the following excellent point: “Like the stock market... some people try to get rich on penny stocks and others find success in discerning which blue chips will perform the best.”

And lo, a column was born. I’m going to focus this article on the players with the largest gaps between our own ranking and ADP from the top 84 names on Mike’s list, as that cutoff represents the top six rounds of a standard 14-team league. I don’t think I’m breaking much ground with this declaration, but the top six rounds of a draft are extremely important rounds. These are your blue chip players, the foundation upon which your team is built. It’s possible to win with an underwhelming start, but it’s awfully difficult.

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